Getlink SE (GET) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €9.07B
• Dividend Yield: 3.48%
• Average Volume (3M): 435.57K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 35.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.53
• Revenue Growth: -9.29%
• EPS Growth: -24.57%
• Country: FR
• Employees: 3,457
• Sector: Services
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 550,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 398,156
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 435,571
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €18.02
• Price Target Upside: 7.45% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: €17.50 ▲(4.35% Upside)

Getlink SE's stock score is primarily influenced by its strong cash flow management and operational efficiency, despite facing challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. The technical indicators suggest a mild upward trend, but potential bearish momentum and overbought conditions could pose risks. The valuation indicates the stock may be expensive, which could limit upside potential.

Positive Factors

Market Position

Getlink remains the most preferred stock in the sector for FY-25 given its pure European exposure, resilience to the French macro environment and compounding nature.

Revenue Performance

Getlink published a consensus-beating set of sales, driven by a surprisingly strong HSR traffic performance.

Strategic Initiatives

The Shuttle business continued to capture market share, helped by regulation improvements.

Negative Factors

Capital Expenditure

Management also disclosed an update on its CapEx programme, with further expected delays.

Operational Challenges

ElecLink remains a headwind for the stock for now, with the re-entry into service on 10 February.

Sales Performance

Getlink released a mixed set of sales, slightly missing consensus expectations.

Getlink SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Getlink SE engages in the design, finance, construction, and operation of fixed link infrastructure and transport system. The company operates through three segments: Eurotunnel, Europorte, and ElecLink. The Eurotunnel segment operates three tunnels of a length of approximately 50 kilometres each under the English Channel, as well as two terminals at Folkestone in the United Kingdom and the Coquelles in France. It also provides passenger shuttle services for the transport of trucks, cars, motor homes, caravans, coaches, and motorcycles. In addition, this segment manages high-speed passenger trains and rail freights, as well as fixed equipment and related installations. The Europorte segment offers a range of integrated rail freight services, including national and international haulage, local services for secondary lines, individual junction management, infrastructure maintenance, and wagon loading and unloading services. The ElecLink segment engages in the construction and operation of a 1 gigawatt electricity interconnector between the United Kingdom and France. Getlink SE also engages in third-party retail, telecommunication cable, training activity, and property businesses, as well as the sale of travel insurance products. The company was formerly known as Groupe Eurotunnel S.E. and changed its name to Getlink SE in April 2018. Getlink SE was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

How the Company Makes Money

Getlink generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its rail and transport services. The Eurostar service, which connects London with Paris and Brussels, contributes significantly to passenger ticket sales. The Eurotunnel Le Shuttle service facilitates the transport of vehicles and their occupants between the UK and France, providing a steady revenue source from both passenger and freight transport. Additionally, Getlink earns revenue from cross-border freight services, leveraging the Channel Tunnel's infrastructure to provide logistics solutions. The company also benefits from partnerships with various rail operators and freight companies, which enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. Other factors contributing to its earnings include ancillary services and commercial agreements related to the use of its infrastructure.

Getlink SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Getlink SE demonstrates operational efficiency and strong cash flow management, though it faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. Its profitability metrics are solid, but the company needs to address revenue contraction and manage its debt levels to ensure long-term sustainability.

Income Statement

Getlink SE has shown a mixed performance in recent years. Despite a decrease in total revenue in 2024, the company maintained a healthy gross profit margin of 51.6% and a net profit margin of 19.6%. The EBIT margin was strong at 37.1%, indicating efficient core operations. However, the revenue growth rate turned negative, indicating a contraction. This mixed performance reflects both operational efficiency and the challenge of reversing recent revenue declines.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable financial standing with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.35, indicating a high level of leverage commonly seen in transportation industries. The equity ratio of 26.9% suggests moderate financial stability. Return on Equity (ROE) was 12.7%, reflecting reasonable profitability. However, the high leverage remains a potential risk factor.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a robust operational capacity with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.73 in 2024, highlighting strong cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio was 2.24, further demonstrating effective cash management despite a decline in free cash flow growth. The company's ability to generate cash flow is a notable strength.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.61B	1.83B	1.61B	774.35M	815.92M
Gross Profit	833.00M	735.00M	754.43M	166.49M	210.47M
EBITDA	746.00M	979.00M	691.70M	120.18M	326.68M
Net Income	317.00M	326.00M	252.00M	-229.18M	-112.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.24B	9.03B	8.72B	8.15B	8.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.70B	1.56B	1.20B	718.11M	628.90M
Total Debt	5.49B	5.40B	5.30B	5.30B	4.95B
Total Liabilities	6.75B	6.56B	6.28B	6.83B	6.69B
Stockholders Equity	2.49B	2.47B	2.43B	1.32B	1.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	710.00M	892.00M	749.24M	32.02M	76.01M
Operating Cash Flow	865.00M	1.04B	937.02M	165.53M	193.58M
Investing Cash Flow	-77.00M	-147.00M	-188.60M	-134.77M	-117.56M
Financing Cash Flow	-538.00M	-533.00M	-256.86M	41.59M	39.59M

Getlink SE Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 16.77
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:GET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.16, above the 50-day MA of 16.18, and above the 200-day MA of 15.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.55 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:GET.

Getlink SE Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NEX	77 Outperform	€6.05B	12.63	25.83%	1.94%	12.65%	81.77%
ALTPC	73 Outperform	€161.12M	17.06	12.68%	7.97%	2.65%	-20.94%
VIE	71 Outperform	€21.93B	20.18	15.69%	4.58%	-0.31%	1.28%
Sector *	66 Neutral	CHF6.89B	12.15	16.30%	2.60%	2.10%	15.97%
GET	65 Neutral	€9.07B	35.34	10.61%	3.48%	-9.29%	-24.57%
ENGI	64 Neutral	€45.20B	8.90	18.16%	7.94%	1.77%	1.62%
ALO	62 Neutral	€9.79B	70.54	1.54%	1.24%	4.94%	―