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OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE (FR:EFG)
:EFG

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE (EFG) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:EFG

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE

(EFG)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
€1.50
▼(-2.60% Downside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance—sharp revenue contraction, heavy operating losses, persistent negative free cash flow, and a high-debt/negative-equity balance sheet. Technicals also point to a bearish setup with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is not supportive because the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Brand and diversified revenue model
Olympique Lyonnais operates multiple, structurally different revenue pillars (matchday, media, sponsorship, merchandising, player trading). This diversified sports-business model reduces single-channel dependency and supports long-term revenue resilience tied to brand strength and recurring commercial partnerships.
Substantial asset base
Despite negative equity, a sizable asset base provides options: collateral for refinancing, potential monetization of non-core assets, or structured player sale programs. These tangible and intangible assets offer strategic levers to address liquidity and preserve operating continuity over the medium term.
Historically strong gross margin profile
High gross margins indicate the core product (matches, licensing, merchandise) commands pricing power. If management can more flexibly align operating costs with revenue, the gross margin foundation supports a path back to operating profitability and sustainable margins over time.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and negative equity
High debt and negative equity materially weaken financial flexibility and raise refinancing and covenant risk. Over the medium term this constrains investment, increases cost of capital, and raises the probability management must pursue dilutive capital raises or asset disposals to stabilize the balance sheet.
Sharp revenue decline and operating losses
A large, persistent drop in revenue combined with a swing to operating losses signals structural pressure on demand or competitiveness. Sustained revenue weakness impairs the group’s ability to cover fixed costs like wages and stadium expenses, undermining long-term margin recovery prospects.
Consistently negative operating and free cash flow
Recurring negative operating and free cash flow indicate the core business is not self-funding and creates ongoing dependency on external financing or player sales. This structural cash generation shortfall increases liquidity risk and limits reinvestment, threatening medium-term operational stability.

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE (EFG) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEagle Football Group Société anonyme, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the entertainment and media sector in France. The company manages Olympique Lyonnais football club and operates Groupama stadium. It also markets, distributes, and retails derivative products under the Olympique Lyonnais brand; and produces television programs and corporate films, advertisements, events-based programs, and documentaries. In addition, the company involved in ticketing, sponsoring, advertising, media and marketing rights, and player trading businesses. Further, it organizes various events, such as concerts, non-football sporting events, conventions, B2B seminars and corporate events, stadium tours, etc. The company was formerly known as Olympique Lyonnais Groupe SA and changed its name to Eagle Football Group Société anonyme in April 2024. Eagle Football Group Société anonyme was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Décines-Charpieu, France. Eagle Football Group Société anonyme is a subsidiary of Eagle Football LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyOlympique Lyonnais Groupe generates revenue through multiple streams associated with its football operations and related activities. Key revenue sources include matchday income from ticket sales, concessions, and hospitality services during home games at Groupama Stadium. The company also earns from broadcasting rights, both domestically and internationally, providing a significant portion of its income. Additionally, merchandising and licensing of the Olympique Lyonnais brand contribute to its earnings. Sponsorship and advertising partnerships are crucial, with various brands paying for exposure through team apparel, stadium signage, and digital platforms. The company may also benefit from player transfers, where profits are made from the sale of player registrations to other clubs.

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is stressed: 2025 revenue fell ~40% YoY with a swing from positive EBIT in 2024 to deeply negative EBIT/EBITDA and larger net losses. Balance sheet risk is acute with high/rising debt (~663M) and negative equity (~-167M). Cash generation is consistently weak with negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow (about -95M in 2025), implying ongoing external funding needs.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Operating performance has been highly volatile and has deteriorated sharply in the latest year. In 2025 (annual), revenue fell ~40% year over year (to ~163M), and profitability swung from positive EBIT in 2024 to deeply negative EBIT and EBITDA in 2025, with net losses expanding materially. While gross margin remains high in 2025, the company is not converting that into operating profit, suggesting a cost structure (player wages/transfer impacts/overheads) that is not flexing with revenue. The main strength is the historically strong gross margin profile, but the recurring net losses and the steep 2025 revenue contraction heavily pressure the score.
Balance Sheet
9
Very Negative
Leverage and solvency risk are elevated. Total debt is high and rising (to ~663M in 2025), while shareholders’ equity turned negative in 2025 (about -167M), which materially weakens financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk. The debt-to-equity relationship is distorted by negative equity, but directionally it indicates an over-levered capital structure. Total assets are sizable, yet the balance sheet is being eroded by ongoing losses. The only partial positive is that the asset base remains substantial, but negative equity and heavy debt dominate the outlook.
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
Cash generation remains weak and inconsistent. Operating cash flow is negative across the entire period shown, including 2025 (slightly negative) and a very large outflow in 2024, indicating the core business has not been self-funding. Free cash flow is deeply negative every year and was still very weak in 2025 (around -95M), implying ongoing funding needs. A relative improvement in free cash flow in 2025 versus 2024 is a modest positive, but the overall pattern of negative operating and free cash flow suggests continued dependence on external financing or asset sales.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue269.91M162.61M264.14M199.13M160.47M118.16M
Gross Profit25.54M109.13M191.63M-18.31M109.26M95.97M
EBITDA-35.00M-84.14M83.89M-18.97M21.40M-65.58M
Net Income-81.58M-201.20M-25.20M-97.82M-54.09M-106.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets825.81M800.08M830.59M741.54M651.63M698.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.03M62.07M129.48M34.60M27.53M69.87M
Total Debt606.53M663.05M610.29M502.63M439.25M416.26M
Total Liabilities904.00M963.69M791.21M636.17M573.57M576.45M
Stockholders Equity-81.24M-166.73M36.40M99.97M75.75M118.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-82.01M-95.16M-174.60M-169.97M-122.58M-100.99M
Operating Cash Flow-80.20M-4.34M-98.08M-113.19M-53.96M-16.07M
Investing Cash Flow96.05M36.23M105.85M52.09M5.94M-34.62M
Financing Cash Flow-13.52M-99.73M87.03M68.44M6.06M87.39M

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.54
Price Trends
50DMA
1.63
Positive
100DMA
1.67
Positive
200DMA
1.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
70.31
Negative
STOCH
94.79
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:EFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.68, below the 50-day MA of 1.63, and below the 200-day MA of 1.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:EFG.

OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€939.30M11.0919.49%3.03%9.51%26.07%
72
Outperform
€3.57B14.8311.69%3.60%5.80%-9.84%
64
Neutral
€1.32B12.323.96%12.76%15.65%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
53
Neutral
€836.85M24.992.68%63.49%
50
Neutral
€5.57B0.35%
43
Neutral
€312.86M-1.46-38.44%-851.16%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:EFG
OLYMPIQUE LYONNAIS GROUPE
1.80
-0.20
-9.77%
FR:CDA
Compagnie des Alpes
26.00
10.70
69.96%
FR:GLO
GL EVENTS
32.20
14.12
78.07%
FR:DEC
JCDecaux SA
16.67
1.05
6.72%
FR:ODET
Compagnie de l'Odet SE
1,318.00
-185.53
-12.34%
FR:VAC
Pierre et Vacances
1.81
0.24
14.97%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025