Casino, Guichard-Perrachon SA (FR:CO)
:CO
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Casino, Guichard Perrachon
(CO)
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Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
€0.22
▼(-18.89% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/21/25
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's poor financial performance and weak valuation metrics. The technical analysis further supports a bearish outlook, with the stock showing oversold conditions and negative momentum. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events does not alter the negative assessment.
Positive Factors
Diversified retail footprint
A broad mix of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience formats and an e-commerce channel provides structural resilience. This multi-format presence lets the group reach varied customer segments, smooth revenue cyclicality, and allocate investment where growth or margin expansion is strongest.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A heavily leveraged balance sheet constrains strategic flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk. With equity low and past negative equity, debt servicing limits capital for store investment or digital expansion and increases vulnerability to interest rate or cash-flow shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified retail footprint
A broad mix of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience formats and an e-commerce channel provides structural resilience. This multi-format presence lets the group reach varied customer segments, smooth revenue cyclicality, and allocate investment where growth or margin expansion is strongest.
Read all positive factors
Casino, Guichard Perrachon (CO) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)
Market Cap
€61.99M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)824.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.54
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryFR
Employees24,078
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryGrocery Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.48
Shares Outstanding400,939,730
10 Day Avg. Volume895,697
30 Day Avg. Volume824,576
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.10
Price to Sales (P/S)0.01
P/FCF Ratio-0.09
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.28
Revenue Forecast (FY)€8.39B
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. operates as a food retailer in France and internationally. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, shopping centers, and e-commerce sites, as well as convenience, discount, and cash and carry stores. It als...
How the Company Makes Money
Casino generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and non-food products in its retail outlets. Its key revenue streams include the operation of hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores, which account for a significant portion o...
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: operational execution and margin improvement are evident (group like-for-like sales growth, adjusted EBITDA +14%, Monoprix and Naturalia strong performance, Cdiscount marketplace recovery, major cost and procurement initiatives), and liquidity/covenant positions are currently compliant. However, material negatives remain — a consolidated net loss, heavy impairment and financing costs, rising net debt, continued negative free cash flow, large store exits, and unresolved refinancing/restructuring risk that could lead to significant dilution. The operational momentum is positive, but financial stress and refinancing uncertainty balance those gains.Positive Updates
Group Revenue Return to Growth
Full-year 2025 net sales of EUR 8.3 billion with like-for-like growth of +0.5% versus prior year, driven by rollout of new concepts and momentum in nonfood activity.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Net Loss and Heavy Non-Cash Charges
Consolidated net loss group share of EUR -402 million in 2025; net loss from continuing operations of EUR -571 million. Significant non-cash charges include EUR -275 million of asset impairments (including EUR -218 million goodwill impairment) and EUR -591 million of depreciation & amortization impacting operating profit.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Group Revenue Return to Growth
Full-year 2025 net sales of EUR 8.3 billion with like-for-like growth of +0.5% versus prior year, driven by rollout of new concepts and momentum in nonfood activity.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call provided concrete 2025 guidance and near‑term financial targets: full‑year net sales of EUR 8.3bn (+0.5% like‑for‑like), adjusted EBITDA before leases EUR 655m (+14%) and after lease payments EUR 198m (up EUR 86m), free cash flow of -EUR 120m (improvement of EUR 519m YoY), consolidated net loss group share of -EUR 402m (continuing ops -EUR 571m; discontinued +EUR 168m), and net debt of EUR 1.5bn (up EUR 290m). Liquidity was EUR 1.0bn at Dec‑25 (including EUR 711m RCF, EUR 149m overdrafts, EUR 95m Monoprix RCF, EUR 60m SGL), with an end‑Q1 estimate of EUR 0.8bn (incl. EUR 0.2bn factoring); covenants require ≥EUR 100m monthly liquidity and leverage was 4.66 (covenant EBITDA EUR 194m / covenant net debt EUR 900m) vs thresholds of 7.17–7.41. Key brand metrics: Monoprix sales EUR 4.0bn (LFL +0.6%) and adj. EBITDA EUR 424m (+€42m), Franprix sales EUR 1.5bn and adj. EBITDA EUR 136m (+€22m), Casino/Spar/Vival sales EUR 1.28bn and adj. EBITDA EUR 29m (impact -€21m dis‑synergies +€12m logistics), Naturalia sales ~EUR 310m (LFL +8.3%) and adj. EBITDA EUR 22m (+€8m), Cdiscount GMV EUR 2.75bn (+3.5%), net sales ~EUR 1.0bn and adj. EBITDA EUR 67m (marketplace 67.3% of GMV; 2m new customers). The group is pursuing a financial restructuring (standstill extended to 28 May 2026, negotiations to conclude by end‑June) and targets Casino FCF ≈0 and Cdiscount FCF ≈EUR 67m by 2030.Casino, Guichard Perrachon Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.45B | 8.56B | 9.05B | 9.65B | 31.05B | 32.51B |
| Gross Profit | 2.06B | 2.39B | 2.58B | 6.25B | 5.93B | 6.42B |
| EBITDA | 273.00M | 3.27B | -445.00M | 995.00M | 1.81B | 1.88B |
| Net Income | -544.00M | -295.00M | -5.66B | -364.00M | -570.00M | -408.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.59B | 8.26B | 18.34B | 31.70B | 30.52B | 30.50B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 522.00M | 830.00M | 1.06B | 2.51B | 2.28B | 2.75B |
| Total Debt | 3.48B | 3.65B | 9.14B | 15.74B | 15.07B | 14.39B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.62B | 7.08B | 20.12B | 27.31B | 26.25B | 25.69B |
| Stockholders Equity | 972.00M | 1.20B | -2.45B | 1.44B | 1.39B | 1.96B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -141.00M | -1.35B | -1.38B | -1.71B | -522.00M | 577.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -27.00M | -1.05B | -1.03B | 170.00M | 767.00M | 1.50B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 269.00M | 1.08B | -143.00M | 108.00M | -1.10B | -466.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -588.00M | -1.03B | 188.00M | -1.32B | -848.00M | -2.12B |
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Technical Analysis
Negative
0.27
Price Trends
0.20
Negative
0.22
Negative
0.35
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Negative
38.44
Neutral
15.00
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:CO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, above the 50-day MA of 0.20, and below the 200-day MA of 0.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:CO.
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 Neutral | €632.30M | 7.59 | 0.12% | ― | 1.60% | ― | |
62 Neutral | €1.05B | -4.25 | -9.26% | 3.47% | 17.97% | -81.24% | |
56 Neutral | €11.87B | 30.47 | 3.14% | 6.51% | 4.39% | -59.47% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | €286.51M | 1.52 | 3.16% | 1.98% | -7.08% | 90.42% | |
48 Neutral | €74.68M | 10.26 | -2.31% | 2.20% | 1.69% | 46.51% | |
40 Underperform | €61.99M | -1.76 | -50.18% | ― | ― | ― |
* General Sector Average
FR:CO
Casino, Guichard Perrachon
0.15
-0.36
-69.74%
FR:BON
Bonduelle
8.91
1.33
17.48%
FR:CA
Carrefour
16.36
4.32
35.93%
FR:ELIOR
Elior Group SA
2.49
0.16
6.81%
FR:FNAC
Fnac Darty SA
35.40
9.61
37.28%
FR:ALLDL
Groupe LDLC
12.00
5.36
80.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.