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Carrefour (FR:CA)
:CA

Carrefour (CA) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:CA

Carrefour

(CA)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
€16.00
▼(-2.02% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker 2025 profitability and higher leverage despite solid operating and free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is mixed due to a high dividend yield offset by a relatively high P/E.
Positive Factors
Scale & Market Position
Carrefour’s broad store footprint and multi-format presence create durable competitive advantages in grocery retail: scale supports purchasing power, supplier access and category breadth, helping sustain margins and market share across regions even amid cyclical pressures.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
A marked increase in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. Higher debt levels constrain capacity for opportunistic investments or sustained shareholder returns and increase downside risk if cash flow weakens further.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & Market Position
Carrefour’s broad store footprint and multi-format presence create durable competitive advantages in grocery retail: scale supports purchasing power, supplier access and category breadth, helping sustain margins and market share across regions even amid cyclical pressures.
Read all positive factors

Carrefour (CA) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Carrefour Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Carrefour SA operates stores in various formats and channels in France, Spain, Italy, Belgium, Poland, Romania, Brazil, Argentina, and Taiwan. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, cash and carry stores, and hypercas...
How the Company Makes Money
Carrefour generates revenue primarily through the sale of consumer goods across its various store formats, including hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores. The company's revenue model is structured around high-volume sales of grocerie...

Carrefour Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured: 2025 revenue declined (~5% vs. 2024) and net margin compressed to ~0.4% (vs. ~0.8% in 2024), while leverage rose meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~2.31 vs. ~1.47). Offsetting this, operating cash flow stayed positive (~€3.6B) and free cash flow remained solid (~€2.0B) despite declining versus 2023.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.03B87.27B84.91B83.09B71.76B
Gross Profit13.96B16.97B15.85B14.34B13.03B
EBITDA4.22B4.18B4.23B4.69B3.95B
Net Income319.00M723.00M1.66B1.35B1.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.21B57.36B56.17B56.55B47.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.42B6.89B6.68B5.43B3.82B
Total Debt25.34B15.89B20.09B19.23B15.87B
Total Liabilities43.55B44.88B42.78B43.37B35.84B
Stockholders Equity10.98B10.82B11.54B11.14B10.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.03B2.43B2.80B2.34B2.08B
Operating Cash Flow3.55B4.20B4.65B4.22B3.66B
Investing Cash Flow-1.16B-2.37B-739.00M-2.13B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow-2.59B-1.08B-2.72B-326.00M-3.06B

Carrefour Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.33
Price Trends
50DMA
15.34
Positive
100DMA
14.56
Positive
200DMA
13.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
65.08
Neutral
STOCH
84.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:CA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.64, above the 50-day MA of 15.34, and above the 200-day MA of 13.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:CA.

Carrefour Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
€1.05B-4.25-9.26%3.47%17.97%-81.24%
61
Neutral
€6.49B7.2518.37%6.20%1.16%314.94%
59
Neutral
€2.68B13.1526.99%3.60%6.34%168.15%
56
Neutral
€11.87B30.473.14%6.51%4.39%-59.47%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€285.23M1.523.16%1.98%-7.08%90.42%
40
Underperform
€62.87M-1.76-50.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:CA
Carrefour
16.33
4.29
35.68%
FR:BON
Bonduelle
8.87
1.29
16.96%
FR:CO
Casino, Guichard Perrachon
0.16
-0.35
-69.16%
FR:FNAC
Fnac Darty SA
35.35
9.56
37.08%
FR:MMB
Lagardere SCA
19.06
0.33
1.77%
FR:SW
Sodexo SA
44.34
-8.19
-15.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026