Casino, Guichard Perrachon (CO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €91.86M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 824.58K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.20
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: FR
• Employees: 24,078
• Sector: General
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Grocery Stores
• EPS (TTM): -0.52
• Shares Outstanding: 400,939,730
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 895,697
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 824,576
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.10
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.01
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.09
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 40 Underperform
• Price Target: €0.22 ▼(-18.89% Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's poor financial performance and weak valuation metrics. The technical analysis further supports a bearish outlook, with the stock showing oversold conditions and negative momentum. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events does not alter the negative assessment.

Positive Factors

Diversified retail footprint

A broad mix of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience formats and an e-commerce channel provides structural resilience. This multi-format presence lets the group reach varied customer segments, smooth revenue cyclicality, and allocate investment where growth or margin expansion is strongest.

Loyalty programs & private labels

Established loyalty schemes and private-label assortments create recurring purchase behavior and margin capture. Over time these assets can raise customer lifetime value, reduce reliance on promotional spend, and support differentiated pricing and margin sustainability versus competitors.

Scale and gross profit margin

Substantial top-line scale and a near-28% gross margin provide purchasing leverage and room to absorb cost inflation. Scale supports supplier negotiating power, network efficiencies, and investment in omnichannel capabilities that underpin medium-term competitiveness and potential margin recovery.

Negative Factors

High leverage

A heavily leveraged balance sheet constrains strategic flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk. With equity low and past negative equity, debt servicing limits capital for store investment or digital expansion and increases vulnerability to interest rate or cash-flow shocks over the medium term.

Negative operating cash flow

Persistent negative operating and free cash flow undermines the company's ability to self-fund operations, capex and debt service. Structural cash shortfalls increase reliance on external financing or asset sales, pressuring long-term investment plans and operational stability.

Declining revenue and unprofitability

A falling top line combined with negative operating and net results points to structural demand or execution issues. Continued revenue contraction and losses erode competitive positioning, hamper reinvestment capacity, and complicate any turnaround given the concurrent leverage and cash constraints.

Casino, Guichard Perrachon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. operates as a food retailer in France and internationally. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, shopping centers, and e-commerce sites, as well as convenience, discount, and cash and carry stores. It also offers private label products. In addition, the company is involved in banking, digital marketing and advertising, service station, restaurant, franchise, real estate asset management, property development and trading, rental, banking, and energy-related activities. It operates 10,800 stores. The company was founded in 1898 and is based in Saint-Étienne, France.

How the Company Makes Money

Casino generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and non-food products in its retail outlets. Its key revenue streams include the operation of hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores, which account for a significant portion of its sales. The company also benefits from its e-commerce platform, which allows it to reach a broader customer base and cater to changing consumer preferences. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and other retailers enhance its product offerings and promotional capabilities, while its loyalty programs and private label products contribute to customer retention and increased margins. Additionally, Casino has been focusing on optimizing its supply chain and operational efficiencies to improve profitability.

Casino, Guichard Perrachon Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Casino, Guichard Perrachon is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profit margins, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the situation, limiting operational flexibility. These factors collectively highlight underlying risks and emphasize the need for strategic initiatives to improve financial health and stability.

Income Statement

The company's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with the latest annual revenue at €8.56 billion, down from €9.05 billion the previous year. The company has reported negative EBIT and net income figures, indicating operational inefficiencies and underperformance. The gross profit margin stands at 27.94%, while the net profit margin is negative, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into profit. Overall, the income statement highlights financial struggles, particularly with achieving profitability and revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a precarious financial position with a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant total debt of €3.65 billion against equity of €1.196 billion as of the latest annual report. The stockholders' equity has decreased over recent years, and the company has a negative equity position in the prior year, indicating financial instability. The equity ratio is low at 14.48%, underscoring heavy reliance on liabilities to finance assets. These factors suggest a leveraged position with potential risks in financial solvency.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, indicating difficulties in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting cash flow challenges relative to net income losses. Free cash flow growth rate is slightly improved but remains negative, pointing to ongoing liquidity constraints. Overall, the cash flow situation raises concerns about the company's ability to meet its financial obligations and fund future operations without external financing.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	8.45B	8.56B	9.05B	9.65B	31.05B	32.51B
Gross Profit	2.06B	2.39B	2.58B	6.25B	5.93B	6.42B
EBITDA	273.00M	3.27B	-445.00M	995.00M	1.81B	1.88B
Net Income	-544.00M	-295.00M	-5.66B	-364.00M	-570.00M	-408.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.59B	8.26B	18.34B	31.70B	30.52B	30.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	522.00M	830.00M	1.06B	2.51B	2.28B	2.75B
Total Debt	3.48B	3.65B	9.14B	15.74B	15.07B	14.39B
Total Liabilities	6.62B	7.08B	20.12B	27.31B	26.25B	25.69B
Stockholders Equity	972.00M	1.20B	-2.45B	1.44B	1.39B	1.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-141.00M	-1.35B	-1.38B	-1.71B	-522.00M	577.00M
Operating Cash Flow	-27.00M	-1.05B	-1.03B	170.00M	767.00M	1.50B
Investing Cash Flow	269.00M	1.08B	-143.00M	108.00M	-1.10B	-466.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-588.00M	-1.03B	188.00M	-1.32B	-848.00M	-2.12B

Casino, Guichard Perrachon Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.27
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:CO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and below the 200-day MA of 0.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:CO.

Casino, Guichard Perrachon Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LOUP	73 Outperform	€3.33B	12.89	11.24%	1.76%	514.19%	-7.82%
BN	72 Outperform	€42.48B	23.04	11.27%	2.80%	0.54%	83.09%
SAVE	72 Outperform	€820.16M	9.11	5.22%	2.73%	5.30%	-14.66%
CA	66 Neutral	€10.06B	29.32	3.14%	6.51%	4.39%	-59.47%
SW	61 Neutral	€6.31B	9.06	18.37%	6.20%	1.16%	314.94%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
CO	40 Underperform	€91.86M	-0.17	-46.40%	―	―	―