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Casino, Guichard Perrachon
(CO)
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Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
€0.22
▲(21.67% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:11/21/25
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's poor financial performance and weak valuation metrics. The technical analysis further supports a bearish outlook, with the stock showing oversold conditions and negative momentum. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events does not alter the negative assessment.
Positive Factors
Diversified retail footprint
A broad mix of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience formats and an e-commerce channel provides structural resilience. This multi-format presence lets the group reach varied customer segments, smooth revenue cyclicality, and allocate investment where growth or margin expansion is strongest.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A heavily leveraged balance sheet constrains strategic flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk. With equity low and past negative equity, debt servicing limits capital for store investment or digital expansion and increases vulnerability to interest rate or cash-flow shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified retail footprint
A broad mix of hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience formats and an e-commerce channel provides structural resilience. This multi-format presence lets the group reach varied customer segments, smooth revenue cyclicality, and allocate investment where growth or margin expansion is strongest.
Read all positive factors
Casino, Guichard Perrachon (CO) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)
Market Cap
€74.93M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)824.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.76
Revenue Growth-2.50%
EPS Growth27.06%
CountryFR
Employees24,078
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryGrocery Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-3091.93
Shares Outstanding400,964,400
10 Day Avg. Volume895,697
30 Day Avg. Volume824,576
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.04
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00557
P/FCF Ratio-0.04
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)€8.39B
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. is a prominent food retail group, conducting its operations both within France and across various international markets. Its extensive retail footprint encompasses a diverse range of formats, including large-scale h...
How the Company Makes Money
Casino generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and non-food products in its retail outlets. Its key revenue streams include the operation of hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores, which account for a significant portion o...
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a balanced picture: clear operational progress with sales growth in several banners, double-digit adjusted EBITDA improvement, strong marketplace momentum at Cdiscount and continuing cost and capability initiatives. However, these positives are weighed against significant financial strain — a consolidated net loss, rising net debt, negative free cash flow, one-off restructuring charges, and near-term covenant/refinancing risks that may require waivers and could lead to shareholder dilution. Operationally the group is improving, but the capital structure and financial cost pressures remain material risks.Positive Updates
Group like-for-like net sales growth and scale
Net sales totaled EUR 4.0 billion in H1 2026, up +0.4% like-for-like, driven by convenience formats, fresh products and Fashion & Home outperformance.
Negative Updates
Consolidated net loss
Group consolidated net loss (group share) of EUR -205 million in H1 2026 (net loss from continuing operations EUR -212 million), driven by financial expenses, high D&A and other operating charges.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Group like-for-like net sales growth and scale
Net sales totaled EUR 4.0 billion in H1 2026, up +0.4% like-for-like, driven by convenience formats, fresh products and Fashion & Home outperformance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that H1 2026 shows improving operating performance but remains dependent on a financial restructuring: group net sales ~EUR 4.0bn (+0.4% like‑for‑like), group adjusted EBITDA up ~14% (adjusted EBITDA reported ~EUR 326m) and EBITDA after leases doubled to EUR 109m (vs EUR 55m in H1 2025), consolidated net loss group share EUR ‑205m, free cash flow before financial expenses negative EUR ‑30m (improved by EUR +23m vs H1 2025), and net debt EUR 1.7bn (up EUR 197m vs Dec) with liquidity EUR 713m at end‑June (EUR 701m cash + EUR 12m undrawn overdrafts); brand metrics included Monoprix sales ~EUR 1.95bn (adj. EBITDA EUR 207m, +11%), Franprix ~EUR 755–760m (adj. EBITDA EUR 72m), Casino/Spar/Vival ~EUR 619–620m (LFL +3.5%, adj. EBITDA ~EUR 11m), Naturalia EUR 166m (LFL +5.7%, adj. EBITDA EUR 14m) and Cdiscount GMV EUR 1.3bn (+5.7%, marketplace 71% of GMV, net sales ~EUR 454m, adj. EBITDA EUR 29m); covenant position at end‑June showed total net leverage 6.47x (covenant adj. EBITDA EUR 242m, covenant net debt EUR 1.463bn) below the 6.88x threshold but the group expects to exceed the 6.11x trigger by end‑September and will seek waivers, with liquidity estimated ~EUR 0.5bn end‑Q3 (including ~EUR 0.3bn factoring) and RCF/operational financing maturities extended to late September; management reiterated the ambition to achieve breakeven on free cash flow before financial expenses in 2026 and to complete measures to adapt and strengthen the financial structure by end‑H2 2026 (noting potential significant shareholder dilution).Casino, Guichard Perrachon Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.45B | 8.56B | 9.05B | 9.65B | 31.05B | 32.51B |
| Gross Profit | 2.06B | 2.39B | 2.58B | 6.25B | 5.93B | 6.42B |
| EBITDA | 273.00M | 3.27B | -445.00M | 995.00M | 1.81B | 1.88B |
| Net Income | -544.00M | -295.00M | -5.66B | -364.00M | -570.00M | -408.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 7.59B | 8.26B | 18.34B | 31.70B | 30.52B | 30.50B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 522.00M | 830.00M | 1.06B | 2.51B | 2.28B | 2.75B |
| Total Debt | 3.48B | 3.65B | 9.14B | 15.74B | 15.07B | 14.39B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.62B | 7.08B | 20.12B | 27.31B | 26.25B | 25.69B |
| Stockholders Equity | 972.00M | 1.20B | -2.45B | 1.44B | 1.39B | 1.96B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -141.00M | -1.35B | -1.38B | -1.71B | -522.00M | 577.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -27.00M | -1.05B | -1.03B | 170.00M | 767.00M | 1.50B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 269.00M | 1.08B | -143.00M | 108.00M | -1.10B | -466.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -588.00M | -1.03B | 188.00M | -1.32B | -848.00M | -2.12B |
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Technical Analysis
Positive
0.18
Price Trends
0.20
Positive
0.20
Positive
0.22
Negative
Market Momentum
<0.01
Negative
59.71
Neutral
75.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:CO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, below the 50-day MA of 0.20, and below the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:CO.
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
62 Neutral | €535.96M | 8.13 | 7.82% | 1.94% | -0.44% | 5958.14% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | €11.58B | 14.20 | 6.81% | 13.50% | -7.78% | 124.98% | |
52 Neutral | €72.03M | 7.27 | 10.64% | ― | 3.67% | ― | |
52 Neutral | €1.02B | -6.30 | -11.85% | 2.89% | 10.31% | -833.15% | |
40 Underperform | €74.93M | -0.19 | -23.05% | ― | -2.50% | 27.06% | |
38 Underperform | €294.23M | 5.98 | 3.60% | 2.93% | -3.63% | ― |
* General Sector Average
FR:CO
Casino, Guichard Perrachon
0.21
-0.40
-65.74%
FR:BON
Bonduelle
8.61
0.26
3.16%
FR:CA
Carrefour
15.77
3.94
33.33%
FR:ELIOR
Elior Group SA
2.08
-0.39
-15.86%
FR:FNAC
Fnac Darty SA
34.55
6.28
22.20%
FR:ALLDL
Groupe LDLC
12.00
0.50
4.35%
Casino, Guichard Perrachon Corporate Events
Casino secures key creditor extensions as TLB lenders move to challenge safeguard plan
Jul 27, 2026
Casino Group has secured an extension of consents from its RCF and Quatrim creditors, ensuring they will not use ongoing talks over the restructuring project to challenge financing documentation tied to accelerated safeguard plans or approved oper...
Casino Advances Financial Restructuring as TLB Lenders Threaten Safeguard Plan
Jul 23, 2026
Casino has secured in-principle approval from all its bank creditors to enhance the security package for term loan B (TLB) lenders and to waive a key condition requiring a two-thirds TLB majority to amend its safeguard plan. The board has endorsed...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.