Ayvens SA (AYV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €9.59B
• Dividend Yield: 7.01%
• Average Volume (3M): 798.95K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 12.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.21
• Revenue Growth: 5.22%
• EPS Growth: 35.25%
• Country: FR
• Employees: 13,092
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Rental & Leasing Services
• EPS (TTM): 0.30
• Shares Outstanding: 783,862,060
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 855,137
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 798,950
• PEG Ratio: -0.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.48
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.21
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.49
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €12.75
• Price Target Upside: 4.08% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: €13.50 ▲(10.20% Upside)

Ayvens SA's stock score is primarily driven by its strong technical indicators and attractive valuation, suggesting potential for price appreciation. However, financial performance concerns, particularly around profitability and leverage, moderate the overall score. The absence of recent earnings call insights and corporate events leaves the analysis focused on existing financial and market data.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Trajectory

Sustained top-line expansion provides a durable base to invest in product development, sales scale and customer success. Over time, consistent revenue growth increases strategic optionality, supports recurring revenue conversion efforts and underpins long-term margin recovery opportunities.

Diverse / Recurring Revenue Mix

A mix of licensing, subscriptions and consulting creates recurring revenue and client stickiness, reducing volatility. Recurring subscription fees improve predictability, while consulting and licensing diversify cash streams and enable cross-sell, supporting stable long-term cash generation.

Stable Operating Margins

Stable EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate disciplined operations and scalable cost structure, which can absorb cyclical headwinds. Sustained operating efficiency supports reinvestment capacity and long-term profitability as revenue scales, improving resilience against cost pressures.

Negative Factors

High Financial Leverage

Elevated leverage raises interest burdens and refinancing risk, constraining capital allocation and strategic investments. High debt levels reduce financial flexibility during downturns and amplify downside risk, making long-term growth more dependent on cash conversion and deleveraging execution.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Persistent negative free cash flow limits the company's ability to fund capex, pay down debt or return capital without external financing. Over months, this can pressure liquidity, increase funding costs and force suboptimal financing choices that impede strategic investments.

Eroding Profitability Metrics

Declining gross and net margins signal rising cost pressure or pricing weakness, which reduces returns to shareholders and weakens cash generation. Coupled with falling ROE noted elsewhere, this trend can erode competitive positioning and make deleveraging and reinvestment harder over time.

Ayvens SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ayvens provides service leasing and vehicle fleet management services. Its products and services include full service leasing, fleet management, outsourcing solutions, and sale and lease back; fleet consultancy; and tools and services for fleet managers and drivers. The company is also involved in trading used cars and light commercial vehicles, and the retail sale of vehicles. The company operates in Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, Northern Europe, South America, Africa, and Asia. The company was formerly known as ALD S.A. and changed its name to Ayvens in May 2024. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Rueil-Malmaison, France. Ayvens operates as a subsidiary of Société Générale Société anonyme.

How the Company Makes Money

Ayvens SA generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from software licensing, subscription services, and project-based consulting. The company charges clients for its software products on a per-license basis, while its subscription services provide ongoing support and updates for a recurring fee. Additionally, Ayvens engages in consulting projects, offering tailored solutions that are billed based on the scope and duration of the engagement. Significant partnerships with major cloud service providers and technology firms further enhance its revenue potential, allowing Ayvens to expand its market reach and deliver integrated solutions that meet evolving client needs.

Ayvens SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ayvens SA demonstrates strong revenue growth but faces profitability challenges due to rising costs and high leverage. The balance sheet reflects significant debt levels, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow management remains a concern with negative free cash flow, indicating potential liquidity constraints. Overall, while growth prospects are positive, the company needs to address profitability and leverage issues to enhance financial health.

Income Statement

Ayvens SA has shown a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a significant increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased over the years, indicating rising costs. The net profit margin has also declined, suggesting challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity (ROE) has been declining, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio has improved slightly, showing a better balance between equity and total assets.

Cash Flow

Ayvens SA's free cash flow has been negative, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, highlighting potential liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	18.92B	25.35B	18.74B	11.37B	10.44B	9.86B
Gross Profit	3.98B	2.98B	2.80B	2.20B	1.44B	984.00M
EBITDA	2.53B	1.25B	8.66B	5.55B	5.03B	4.67B
Net Income	638.00M	683.60M	816.20M	1.22B	873.00M	509.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	73.10B	150.23B	70.26B	31.30B	26.99B	25.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.13B	5.47B	4.84B	584.70M	533.40M	545.10M
Total Debt	37.89B	40.14B	37.88B	19.99B	18.64B	17.78B
Total Liabilities	61.91B	139.07B	58.91B	24.39B	22.15B	20.87B
Stockholders Equity	11.16B	11.13B	10.83B	6.88B	4.81B	4.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-4.16B	-11.00B	-3.27B	-4.71B	-3.78B	-2.56B
Operating Cash Flow	7.35B	10.80B	-2.99B	4.95B	5.08B	4.71B
Investing Cash Flow	-10.39B	-2.04B	754.50M	-6.62B	-5.57B	-2.70M
Financing Cash Flow	-4.16B	2.23B	5.71B	1.97B	537.90M	-737.90M

Ayvens SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 12.25
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:AYV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.91, above the 50-day MA of 11.26, and above the 200-day MA of 9.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:AYV.

Ayvens SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FGR	76 Outperform	€12.10B	12.12	14.39%	3.87%	7.71%	-2.82%
ELIS	76 Outperform	€5.70B	15.54	10.25%	1.88%	4.83%	52.47%
AYV	69 Neutral	€9.59B	12.53	7.26%	7.01%	5.22%	35.25%
ALO	67 Neutral	€12.48B	39.86	3.25%	―	4.58%	―
SPIE	66 Neutral	€7.86B	38.22	10.66%	2.14%	10.87%	-10.35%
RXL	65 Neutral	€10.42B	42.42	4.63%	3.61%	2.16%	-64.02%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%