Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $581.46M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 902.77K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.44
• Revenue Growth: 6.23%
• EPS Growth: -2508.93%
• Country: US
• Employees: 4,100
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Parts
• EPS (TTM): 0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 41,801,357
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,407,698
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 902,774
• PEG Ratio: -2.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.05
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.90
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.32
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.94
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.17
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 3.86
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -14.90
• 1Y Price Target: $22.40
• Price Target Upside: 61.04% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: $14.00 ▲(0.65% Upside)

Fox Factory Holding's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh on the valuation. While there are some positive aspects in segment growth and strategic initiatives, the overall outlook remains cautious due to operational inefficiencies and macroeconomic pressures.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth, even in challenging environments, indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term stability.

Segment Performance

Strong performance in the Aftermarket Applications Group showcases resilience and adaptability, enhancing the company's competitive position in a challenging market.

Debt Reduction

Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest burden, allowing for reinvestment in growth initiatives and improving long-term financial health.

Negative Factors

SSG Segment Underperformance

Underperformance in the Specialty Sports Group highlights challenges in consumer demand, potentially impacting overall profitability and strategic focus.

Q4 Guidance Revision

Lowered guidance reflects macroeconomic pressures and supply chain issues, indicating potential revenue and margin pressures in the near term.

Supply Chain Disruption

Supply chain disruptions can lead to production delays and increased costs, affecting sales volumes and operational efficiency in the medium term.

Fox Factory Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Fox Factory Holding Corp. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets ride dynamics products worldwide. The company offers mid-end and high-end front fork and rear suspension products for mountain bikes, road bikes, and e-bikes; and powered vehicle products for side-by-side vehicles, on-road vehicles with and without off-road capabilities, off-road vehicles and trucks, all-terrain vehicles, snowmobiles, and specialty vehicles and applications, such as military, motorcycles, and commercial trucks. It also provides mountain and road bike wheels, and other performance cycling components, including cranks, chain rings, pedals, bars, stems, and seat posts, as well as sells aftermarket products to dealers and distributors. The company offers powered vehicles under the FOX, BDS Suspension, Zone Offroad, JKS Manufacturing, RT Pro UTV, 4x4 Posi-Lok, Ridetech, Tuscany, Outside Van, and SCA brands; and mountain bikes and road bikes under the FOX, Race Face, Easton Cycling, and Marzocchi brands. Fox Factory Holding Corp. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.

How the Company Makes Money

Fox Factory generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by selling its suspension products to OEMs and the aftermarket. The company has established strong relationships with leading bicycle and off-road vehicle manufacturers, allowing it to secure contracts for supplying custom-designed products. Additionally, Fox Factory benefits from a robust aftermarket segment, where it sells directly to consumers and retailers. Key revenue streams include sales of suspension systems, components, and accessories. The company's focus on innovation and performance has led to partnerships with prominent brands, enhancing its market presence and contributing to its revenue growth. Seasonal demand in the cycling and powersports industries also plays a significant role in its earnings, as sales tend to peak during specific times of the year.

Fox Factory Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fox Factory Holding faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and cash flow issues. While the company has low leverage, its operational inefficiencies and declining cash flow growth pose risks. Stability in gross profit margins and a solid equity base provide some resilience, but overall financial health is concerning.

Income Statement

Fox Factory Holding's income statement shows a challenging period with a negative net profit margin of -17.66% in the TTM, indicating significant losses. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 30%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Revenue growth is positive at 1.20% TTM, but the company has experienced fluctuating growth rates in recent years, suggesting instability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.025 in the TTM, suggesting low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -25.42%, highlighting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company maintains a solid equity base relative to its assets, indicating some financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by -6.67% TTM, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.49, suggesting moderate cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, showing some ability to convert earnings into cash, but overall cash flow performance is weak.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.46B	1.39B	1.46B	1.60B	1.30B	890.55M
Gross Profit	443.10M	423.58M	464.81M	531.34M	432.33M	289.55M
EBITDA	-114.73M	139.52M	216.59M	291.94M	239.97M	147.75M
Net Income	-257.73M	6.55M	120.85M	205.28M	163.82M	90.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.97B	2.23B	2.24B	1.62B	1.52B	1.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	65.37M	71.67M	83.64M	145.25M	179.69M	245.76M
Total Debt	687.65M	721.74M	757.64M	210.31M	387.55M	421.25M
Total Liabilities	1.02B	1.03B	1.02B	496.95M	621.65M	567.39M
Stockholders Equity	955.97M	1.20B	1.22B	1.12B	894.08M	719.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	85.26M	87.79M	131.89M	143.39M	10.44M	25.97M
Operating Cash Flow	124.38M	131.83M	178.74M	187.09M	65.29M	82.72M
Investing Cash Flow	-60.98M	-76.29M	-750.40M	-44.73M	-106.73M	-388.52M
Financing Cash Flow	-87.13M	-67.33M	508.98M	-179.14M	-24.10M	506.72M

Fox Factory Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 13.91
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FOXF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.13, below the 50-day MA of 21.93, and below the 200-day MA of 24.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.86 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FOXF.

Fox Factory Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
XPEL	78 Outperform	$1.22B	26.23	19.14%	―	10.29%	-3.90%
DORM	75 Outperform	$4.01B	16.35	18.19%	―	7.94%	34.84%
LKQ	70 Neutral	$7.57B	10.97	10.87%	4.06%	-3.71%	-0.27%
SMP	65 Neutral	$830.47M	12.29	10.49%	3.28%	23.96%	11.01%
THRM	65 Neutral	$1.07B	35.31	4.44%	―	-0.10%	-53.49%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
FOXF	45 Neutral	$581.46M	―	-23.94%	―	6.23%	-2508.93%

Fox Factory Holding Corporate Events

Fox Factory’s Mixed Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

The recent earnings call for Fox Factory Holding Corp. presented a mixed sentiment, reflecting both achievements and challenges. The company showcased positive growth in its Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG) and Powered Vehicles Group (PVG) segments, alongside successful cost management efforts. However, significant challenges were noted in the Specialty Sports Group (SSG) segment, compounded by macroeconomic pressures and a downward revision of Q4 guidance due to supply chain disruptions and conservative inventory management by partners.

Fox Factory Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results

Fox Factory Holding Corp., a leader in the design and manufacturing of high-performance products for specialty sports and vehicles, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025. The company is known for its innovative products and strong brand presence in the sports and automotive sectors.

Fox Factory Holding Files SEC Corporate Update

Fox Factory Holding has made a filing with the SEC, indicating a corporate action or update. The details of this filing may have implications for the company’s operations or stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (FOXF) stock is a Hold with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fox Factory Holding stock, see the FOXF Stock Forecast page.