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Fluence Energy (FLNC)
NASDAQ:FLNC
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Fluence Energy (FLNC) AI Stock Analysis

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FLNC

Fluence Energy

(NASDAQ:FLNC)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▼(-20.06% Downside)
Fluence Energy's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and valuation challenges. The company's negative profit margins and cash flow issues are significant concerns. Technical analysis suggests mixed signals, with potential bearish momentum. Despite strategic growth opportunities highlighted in the earnings call, the current financial and valuation metrics weigh heavily on the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Record Order Intake
The substantial order backlog indicates strong demand and provides revenue visibility, supporting long-term growth prospects.
Strong Liquidity Position
Robust liquidity enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and cushioning against market volatility.
Introduction of Smartstack Product
Innovative products like Smartstack can drive competitive advantage and market penetration, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Shortfall
Revenue shortfalls due to operational delays can impact financial performance and investor confidence, hindering growth.
Manufacturing Delays in Arizona
Production delays can disrupt supply chains and revenue recognition, affecting operational efficiency and profitability.
Dependence on AESC
Reliance on key suppliers like AESC poses risks to supply chain stability and could impact future operations if unresolved.

Fluence Energy (FLNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fluence Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFluence Energy, Inc. provides energy storage products and services, and artificial intelligence enabled digital applications for renewables and storage applications worldwide. The company sells energy storage products with integrated hardware, software, and digital intelligence, as well as engineering and delivery services to support the deployment of its storage products; operational and maintenance, and energy storage-as-a-service; and digital applications and solutions. Its energy storage products include Gridstack, a grid-scale industrial strength energy storage product; Sunstack for optimizing solar capture and delivery; and Edgestack, a commercial energy storage product that discharges when needed to flatten a facility's energy load profile. The company serves utilities, developers, and commercial and industrial customers. Fluence Energy, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Fluence Energy, Inc. is a joint venture of Siemens Aktiengesellschaft and The AES Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyFluence Energy generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling energy storage systems and associated software solutions to utility companies, commercial customers, and other energy stakeholders. The company also earns money through ongoing service contracts, including maintenance and operational support for its installed systems. Additionally, Fluence benefits from strategic partnerships with key players in the energy sector, which can lead to collaborative projects and joint ventures that provide further revenue opportunities. The demand for energy storage solutions, driven by the growing emphasis on renewable energy sources and grid modernization, plays a significant role in Fluence's revenue growth.

Fluence Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Shows the predictable revenue generated from ongoing contracts or subscriptions, highlighting the company's stability and potential for sustainable growth.
Chart InsightsFluence Energy's annual recurring revenue has shown strong growth, reaching $110 million by Q1 2025, driven by robust backlog and new contract additions. However, recent tariff hikes on Chinese imports pose risks, leading to a downward revision of fiscal 2025 guidance. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about international market expansion and its innovative Smartstack platform, which supports its long-term growth strategy. Investors should monitor the tariff situation closely, as it could impact U.S. project execution and overall revenue projections.
Data provided by:The Fly

Fluence Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 24, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of strong strategic positioning and operational challenges. While record order intake and product innovation paint a positive future outlook, the revenue shortfall and manufacturing delays are significant concerns. The company's robust liquidity and strategic growth in new markets like data centers provide optimism, but reliance on resolving supply chain issues remains critical.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Intake
Fluence Energy signed more than $1.4 billion of orders in Q4 2025, bringing the backlog to $5.3 billion, setting up for growth in fiscal 2026 and beyond.
Strong Liquidity Position
The company ended the quarter with approximately $1.3 billion in liquidity, up $300 million compared to the end of fiscal 2024, providing a strong financial position to fund growth.
Introduction of Smartstack Product
Fluence announced its new Smartstack product, designed to reduce total cost of ownership and offering battery density of 7.5 megawatt hours per unit. It is pivotal in securing the 4 gigawatt hour LEAG project in Europe.
Positive Financial Metrics
Achieved a record 13.7% adjusted gross margin for the year and approximately $19.5 million of adjusted EBITDA, which was at the top end of guidance.
Data Center Market Expansion
Significant increase in demand from data center customers with discussions representing over 30 gigawatt hours. Most of these engagements originated since the end of the quarter.
Negative Updates
Revenue Shortfall
Full year revenue was approximately $2.3 billion, falling $300 million short of expectations due to delays in ramping up the Arizona enclosure manufacturing facility.
Manufacturing Delays in Arizona
The Arizona facility faced challenges in staffing, leading to slower-than-expected production and impacting revenue recognition.
Dependence on AESC
Ongoing negotiations and challenges related to meeting OBBA compliance with AESC, with potential impacts on future supply if not resolved.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, Fluence Energy reported several strong financial metrics, including a record $1.4 billion in orders, bringing their backlog to $5.3 billion. Despite a revenue shortfall of approximately $300 million, attributed mainly to production delays at their Arizona facility, the company achieved a 13.7% adjusted gross margin for the year and $19.5 million in adjusted EBITDA, meeting the top end of their guidance range. The annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $148 million, slightly exceeding their original guidance. The liquidity position was robust at approximately $1.3 billion, supporting future growth plans. For fiscal 2026, Fluence provided guidance of $3.2 billion to $3.6 billion in revenue, with an adjusted gross margin range of 11% to 13% and adjusted EBITDA projected between $40 million and $60 million. Additionally, the company's ARR is expected to grow to $180 million, representing a 20% year-over-year increase.

Fluence Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fluence Energy faces several financial challenges, particularly in terms of profitability and cash flow management. The negative profit margins and declining revenue growth highlight the need for improved operational efficiency. The cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows. However, the stable asset base and low leverage are positives.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Fluence Energy's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -7.61% in the most recent year. Gross profit margin has improved slightly to 13.07%, but net profit margin remains negative at -2.14%, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating limited leverage, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the overall asset base appears stable.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges. The company has a negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a substantial decline in free cash flow growth of -61.81%. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in converting income to cash, but overall cash flow management remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.26B2.26B2.70B2.22B1.20B
Gross Profit295.79M295.79M341.08M140.96M-62.35M
EBITDA-12.09M-11.62M41.10M-101.94M-278.69M
Net Income-48.31M-48.31M22.72M-69.62M-289.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.36B2.36B1.90B1.35B1.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments690.77M690.77M448.69M345.90M467.65M
Total Debt390.80M390.80M30.36M50.56M2.74M
Total Liabilities1.81B1.81B1.30B795.82M1.12B
Stockholders Equity548.85M548.85M472.10M402.35M435.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-154.12M-160.42M60.71M-124.15M-290.32M
Operating Cash Flow-145.54M-145.54M71.23M-111.93M-282.38M
Investing Cash Flow-29.80M-29.80M-18.98M94.44M-148.42M
Financing Cash Flow356.88M356.88M-8.68M52.59M817.05M

Fluence Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.39
Price Trends
50DMA
16.75
Positive
100DMA
12.38
Positive
200DMA
8.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Positive
RSI
56.39
Neutral
STOCH
92.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLNC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.39 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.49, above the 50-day MA of 16.75, and above the 200-day MA of 8.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLNC.

Fluence Energy Risk Analysis

Fluence Energy disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fluence Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fluence Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$2.77B26.637.64%42.09%219.69%
50
Neutral
$40.37M-14.35-54.43%-40.99%-46.52%
49
Neutral
$562.10M-111.44%-35.99%-46.51%
46
Neutral
$3.59B-10.72%-16.15%-324.40%
45
Neutral
$159.94M146.01%63.18%
42
Neutral
$6.05B-76.85%765.67%-202.81%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLNC
Fluence Energy
19.39
1.06
5.78%
SMR
NuScale Power
18.08
-6.79
-27.30%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.61
1.46
23.74%
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
3.35
1.64
95.91%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
6.85
-4.14
-37.67%
NXXT
NextNRG
1.19
-1.19
-50.00%

Fluence Energy Corporate Events

Fluence Energy Reports 2025 Results and 2026 Outlook
Nov 26, 2025

Fluence Energy, Inc., a global leader in energy storage and optimization software, reported its financial results for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting its role in transforming energy markets with intelligent solutions. The company operates in the renewable energy sector, focusing on energy storage systems and asset optimization software to enhance grid resilience and unlock renewable energy potential.

Executive/Board Changes
Fluence Energy Board Member Barbara Humpton Resigns
Neutral
Oct 3, 2025

On September 30, 2025, Barbara Humpton resigned from the Board of Directors and the Compensation and Human Resources Committee of Fluence Energy, Inc., effective at the close of business on the same day. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLNC) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fluence Energy stock, see the FLNC Stock Forecast page.

Fluence Energy’s Q3 Earnings Call: Strategic Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Fluence Energy’s Q3 Earnings Call: Balancing Achievements and Challenges

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025