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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV)
NYSE:NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) AI Stock Analysis

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NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings

(NYSE:NRGV)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-1.57% Downside)
Energy Vault Holdings scores well due to strong technical indicators and positive earnings call insights, reflecting strategic growth and financial management improvements. However, ongoing profitability and cash flow challenges, along with a negative P/E ratio, moderate the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A 27x increase in revenue year-over-year indicates strong market demand and successful project execution, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership enhances Energy Vault's position as an Independent Power Producer, accelerating project deployment and revenue generation.
Gross Margin Improvement
Improved gross margins reflect better cost management and pricing power, enhancing profitability potential over the long term.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Significant negative margins indicate ongoing operational inefficiencies, which could hinder sustainable profitability and growth.
Cash Flow Constraints
Persistent cash flow deficits limit financial flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels may strain financial resources and elevate risk, affecting long-term financial health and strategic options.

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Vault Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and sells energy storage solutions. The company offers gravity-based storage systems, including EVx Platform, a scalable, modular product line starting from 40-megawatt hour to multi-gigawatt hours to address grid resiliency needs in shorter durations; Energy Vault Resiliency Center, a scalable, gigawatt hour scale product line designed to address grid resiliency needs to manage energy disruptive climate events; and Energy Vault solutions. Its solutions allow utilities, independent power producers, and large energy users to manage their power portfolios and efficiently dispatch power. Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. is based in Westlake Village, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Vault generates revenue through various channels, primarily by selling its energy storage systems to utility companies, renewable energy developers, and large-scale energy consumers. The company also earns income from long-term service agreements for maintenance and operation of their systems. Additionally, Energy Vault may benefit from strategic partnerships with energy providers and government contracts aimed at enhancing grid stability. The increasing demand for energy storage solutions, driven by the global transition to renewable energy and the need for reliable energy infrastructure, further supports its revenue model.

Energy Vault Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Energy Vault's earnings call reflected significant growth and strategic advancements, including a substantial increase in revenue and the successful launch of the Asset Vault platform. Despite challenges in the macro environment, the company maintained strong financial results and sustainability leadership.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Energy Vault delivered Q3 revenue of $33.3 million compared to $1.2 million a year ago, representing a 27x increase year-over-year, driven by strong execution on Australia projects and the initial contribution from the Asset Vault assets.
Successful Launch of Asset Vault Platform
The quarter marked the formal launch of the Asset Vault platform, enabling Energy Vault to vertically integrate and originate, design, build, own, and operate energy storage assets.
Strong Gross Margins
Energy Vault delivered strong unit economics with gross margins of 27% in the quarter, bringing year-to-date gross margins to almost 33%.
Significant Project Financing and Cash Flow
Closed a $300 million preferred equity investment from Orion Infrastructure, with expectations to return $30 million to $40 million in investment tax credits, growing cash balances for three consecutive quarters.
Sustainability Leadership
Energy Vault continues to advance its leadership in sustainability, placing in the top 98th percentile of all companies reviewed by S&P Global, maintaining its leadership as the #1 company in the energy storage segment.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Challenges in Macro Environment
The company faced macro uncertainty, including tariff volatility and market shutdowns, causing some delays and requiring more complex deal structures.
R&D Expense Reduction
There was a sequential decline in R&D expenses, reflecting a shift from investment in R&D to focusing on harvesting benefits from earlier investments.
Company Guidance
During Energy Vault's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics indicating strong performance and strategic advancements. The company reported a Q3 revenue of $33.3 million, a significant increase from $1.2 million a year ago, primarily driven by their projects in Australia and contributions from their Asset Vault platform. Gross margins for the quarter stood at 27%, contributing to a year-to-date gross margin of nearly 33%. Energy Vault also narrowed its EBITDA loss to $6 million for the quarter, showcasing improved financial management. Furthermore, the company's backlog reached $920 million, more than doubling year-to-date, with a total development pipeline valued at approximately $2.1 billion or 8.7 gigawatt-hours. Energy Vault maintained its guidance for full-year 2025 revenue between $200 million and $250 million and projected end-of-year cash reserves between $75 million and $100 million. The launch of the Asset Vault platform is expected to deliver $40 million in recurring annual EBITDA by year-end 2027, expanding further by 2029. Additionally, Energy Vault's sustainability leadership was highlighted, as it continues to rank in the top 98th percentile globally in S&P ESG scores.

Energy Vault Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Vault Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The company maintains a stable capital structure with moderate leverage, yet struggles with negative returns on equity and cash flow deficits. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Energy Vault Holdings shows a significant revenue growth rate of 62.11% TTM, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins of -279.38% and EBIT margins of -269.66% TTM. The gross profit margin has improved to 20.23% TTM, but the overall negative margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 TTM suggests moderate leverage, which is manageable. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -113.15% TTM, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio stands at 28.57% TTM, reflecting a stable capital structure despite profitability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Energy Vault Holdings faces cash flow challenges, with a negative operating cash flow of -$33.9 million TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.69 TTM, indicating some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate of -11.00% TTM and operating cash flow coverage ratio of -0.22 TTM highlight ongoing cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.84M46.20M341.54M145.88M0.000.00
Gross Profit18.99M6.19M17.53M59.30M-2.44M0.00
EBITDA-128.80M-134.56M-97.86M-69.38M-28.89M-14.45M
Net Income-144.71M-135.75M-98.44M-78.30M-31.34M-24.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets281.88M183.89M340.75M416.71M125.29M30.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.70M30.02M109.92M203.04M105.13M10.05M
Total Debt62.46M1.36M1.86M1.55M1.36M2.16M
Total Liabilities201.33M57.63M116.96M129.00M193.96M7.97M
Stockholders Equity80.58M126.32M223.79M287.71M-68.67M22.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.10M-114.71M-123.09M-25.66M-22.24M-18.45M
Operating Cash Flow-33.90M-55.86M-92.66M-23.35M-22.07M-16.70M
Investing Cash Flow-43.44M-58.74M-42.54M-13.32M-1.17M-1.75M
Financing Cash Flow62.61M-252.00K-5.48M217.77M116.38M15.64M

Energy Vault Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.08
Price Trends
50DMA
3.81
Positive
100DMA
3.03
Positive
200DMA
1.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Negative
RSI
62.38
Neutral
STOCH
43.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.34, above the 50-day MA of 3.81, and above the 200-day MA of 1.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRGV.

Energy Vault Holdings Risk Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Energy Vault Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Energy Vault Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$771.83M-5.35-111.44%-35.99%-46.51%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$1.99B18.967.64%42.09%219.69%
55
Neutral
$3.74B-45.96-10.72%-16.15%-324.40%
50
Neutral
$35.23M-9.92-54.43%-40.99%-46.52%
47
Neutral
$197.58M-0.67146.01%63.18%
37
Underperform
$105.58M-6.40-21.33%23.66%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
5.08
3.07
152.74%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
5.42
-1.45
-21.11%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
5.80
-7.77
-57.26%
NXXT
NextNRG
1.65
-1.83
-52.59%
VGAS
Verde Clean Fuels
2.25
-2.01
-47.18%
FLNC
Fluence Energy
19.67
3.54
21.95%

Energy Vault Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault raises additional $20 million via debentures
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. completed a subsequent closing under its previously disclosed September 22, 2025 Securities Purchase Agreement with YA II PN, Ltd., issuing an additional $20 million in senior unsecured convertible debentures, bringing the total raised under the arrangement to $50 million. The new debentures, issued at 97% of principal with a 7% annual interest rate and maturing on March 22, 2027, feature a fixed conversion price of $7.53 per share, detailed installment payment mechanics beginning January 26, 2026, caps on the investor’s ownership and conversions, and enhanced payment obligations upon specified amortization events, with net proceeds earmarked to strengthen working capital and support the development, construction and growth of Energy Vault’s energy storage projects through a privately placed, unregistered offering.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Vault Holdings Hosts Analyst and Investor Day
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. conducted a virtual Analyst and Investor Day, where they presented forward-looking statements about the company’s future operations and financial performance. The event highlighted the company’s strategic plans and the importance of energy storage in supporting global power demands, emphasizing the role of their solutions in addressing the challenges posed by the variability of renewable energy sources.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Acquires Texas Battery Storage Project
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the acquisition of a 150 MW/300 MWh battery energy storage project in Madison County, Texas, marking the first project under its Asset Vault platform. This acquisition, supported by a $300 million investment from Orion Infrastructure Capital, is expected to generate $17-20 million in annual revenue and enhance Energy Vault’s position in the U.S. energy storage market, contributing to a total of 340 MW in operation globally and a development pipeline of 3.5 GW.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures $300M Investment for ‘Asset Vault’
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. announced the closing of a $300 million preferred equity investment with Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC), launching the ‘Asset Vault’ platform. This joint venture aims to develop, build, own, and operate energy storage assets globally, enhancing Energy Vault’s position as an Independent Power Producer. The partnership is expected to accelerate the deployment of over 1.5GW of energy storage projects in high-growth markets, with the platform projected to generate over $100 million in recurring annual EBITDA within the next 3-4 years. This strategic move consolidates Energy Vault’s portfolio of storage projects, leveraging its operational expertise to create a vertically integrated ecosystem that captures value across the energy storage lifecycle.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Holdings Secures $50M for Growth Initiatives
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with YA II PN, Ltd. to issue and sell up to $50 million in senior unsecured convertible debentures. This funding will be used for corporate working capital and to support the development and construction of energy storage projects. The agreement provides financial flexibility for Energy Vault to continue its growth in energy storage project development and execution, complementing a recently announced $300 million preferred equity investment. The company aims to expand its portfolio of energy storage projects, including operational facilities in Texas and California, and a 1 GWh project in Australia. This strategic move supports Energy Vault’s independent power producer strategy, ensuring project monetization and high-margin, contracted cash flows.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025