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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV)
NYSE:NRGV
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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) AI Stock Analysis

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NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings

(NYSE:NRGV)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-0.85% Downside)
Energy Vault Holdings' stock score is driven by positive earnings call developments and technical momentum, despite financial challenges and valuation concerns. The strategic equity investment and increased revenue backlog are significant positives, while ongoing losses and cash flow issues remain risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic Equity Investment
The $300 million investment will enable significant capital expenditure for projects, enhancing long-term growth and stability through predictable EBITDA cash streams.
Revenue Backlog Increase
A growing revenue backlog indicates strong demand for Energy Vault's solutions, supporting future revenue growth and market position.
Project Acquisition
The acquisition enhances Energy Vault's presence in high-growth markets, leveraging long-term agreements to ensure stable revenue and profitability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could hinder long-term sustainability, as negative margins indicate challenges in covering operational costs.
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative cash flow limits the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations, impacting long-term viability.
Continued Losses
Continued losses reflect ongoing financial challenges, potentially affecting investor confidence and the ability to secure future funding.

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Vault Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and sells energy storage solutions. The company offers gravity-based storage systems, including EVx Platform, a scalable, modular product line starting from 40-megawatt hour to multi-gigawatt hours to address grid resiliency needs in shorter durations; Energy Vault Resiliency Center, a scalable, gigawatt hour scale product line designed to address grid resiliency needs to manage energy disruptive climate events; and Energy Vault solutions. Its solutions allow utilities, independent power producers, and large energy users to manage their power portfolios and efficiently dispatch power. Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. is based in Westlake Village, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Vault generates revenue through various channels, primarily by selling its energy storage systems to utility companies, renewable energy developers, and large-scale energy consumers. The company also earns income from long-term service agreements for maintenance and operation of their systems. Additionally, Energy Vault may benefit from strategic partnerships with energy providers and government contracts aimed at enhancing grid stability. The increasing demand for energy storage solutions, driven by the global transition to renewable energy and the need for reliable energy infrastructure, further supports its revenue model.

Energy Vault Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Energy Vault's earnings call reflected significant growth and strategic advancements, including a substantial increase in revenue and the successful launch of the Asset Vault platform. Despite challenges in the macro environment, the company maintained strong financial results and sustainability leadership.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Energy Vault delivered Q3 revenue of $33.3 million compared to $1.2 million a year ago, representing a 27x increase year-over-year, driven by strong execution on Australia projects and the initial contribution from the Asset Vault assets.
Successful Launch of Asset Vault Platform
The quarter marked the formal launch of the Asset Vault platform, enabling Energy Vault to vertically integrate and originate, design, build, own, and operate energy storage assets.
Strong Gross Margins
Energy Vault delivered strong unit economics with gross margins of 27% in the quarter, bringing year-to-date gross margins to almost 33%.
Significant Project Financing and Cash Flow
Closed a $300 million preferred equity investment from Orion Infrastructure, with expectations to return $30 million to $40 million in investment tax credits, growing cash balances for three consecutive quarters.
Sustainability Leadership
Energy Vault continues to advance its leadership in sustainability, placing in the top 98th percentile of all companies reviewed by S&P Global, maintaining its leadership as the #1 company in the energy storage segment.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Challenges in Macro Environment
The company faced macro uncertainty, including tariff volatility and market shutdowns, causing some delays and requiring more complex deal structures.
R&D Expense Reduction
There was a sequential decline in R&D expenses, reflecting a shift from investment in R&D to focusing on harvesting benefits from earlier investments.
Company Guidance
During Energy Vault's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics indicating strong performance and strategic advancements. The company reported a Q3 revenue of $33.3 million, a significant increase from $1.2 million a year ago, primarily driven by their projects in Australia and contributions from their Asset Vault platform. Gross margins for the quarter stood at 27%, contributing to a year-to-date gross margin of nearly 33%. Energy Vault also narrowed its EBITDA loss to $6 million for the quarter, showcasing improved financial management. Furthermore, the company's backlog reached $920 million, more than doubling year-to-date, with a total development pipeline valued at approximately $2.1 billion or 8.7 gigawatt-hours. Energy Vault maintained its guidance for full-year 2025 revenue between $200 million and $250 million and projected end-of-year cash reserves between $75 million and $100 million. The launch of the Asset Vault platform is expected to deliver $40 million in recurring annual EBITDA by year-end 2027, expanding further by 2029. Additionally, Energy Vault's sustainability leadership was highlighted, as it continues to rank in the top 98th percentile globally in S&P ESG scores.

Energy Vault Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Vault Holdings shows some revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is moderately strong with low leverage, but negative return on equity and cash flow issues are concerning.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Energy Vault Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced a revenue growth rate of 10.1% in the TTM, indicating some positive momentum. However, profitability remains a significant challenge, with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 20.2% in the TTM, but the company is still operating at a loss, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.39, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. The equity ratio is reasonable, showing that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed by equity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow growth rate is declining. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash relative to its net losses, but overall cash flow remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.72M46.20M341.54M145.88M0.000.00
Gross Profit10.46M6.19M17.53M59.30M-2.44M0.00
EBITDA-138.35M-134.56M-97.86M-69.38M-28.89M-14.45M
Net Income-144.49M-135.75M-98.44M-78.30M-31.34M-24.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets248.83M183.89M340.75M416.71M125.29M30.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.42M30.02M109.92M203.04M105.13M10.05M
Total Debt35.59M1.36M1.86M1.55M1.36M2.16M
Total Liabilities158.53M57.63M116.96M129.00M193.96M70.01M
Stockholders Equity90.30M126.32M223.79M287.71M114.04M-39.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-84.38M-114.71M-123.09M-25.66M-22.24M-18.45M
Operating Cash Flow-31.39M-55.86M-92.66M-23.35M-22.07M-16.70M
Investing Cash Flow-55.24M-58.74M-42.54M-13.32M-1.17M-1.75M
Financing Cash Flow31.53M-252.00K-5.48M217.77M116.38M15.64M

Energy Vault Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.53
Price Trends
50DMA
3.05
Positive
100DMA
2.09
Positive
200DMA
1.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
54.95
Neutral
STOCH
59.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.56, above the 50-day MA of 3.05, and above the 200-day MA of 1.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRGV.

Energy Vault Holdings Risk Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Energy Vault Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Energy Vault Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
$571.35M-101.08%-82.87%-59.38%
62
Neutral
$2.74B25.088.27%33.19%486.74%
62
Neutral
$3.79B-4.45%14.26%20.99%
50
Neutral
$40.37M-14.35-43.16%-46.17%-54.38%
41
Neutral
$224.77M-0.4292.43%31.00%
37
Underperform
$149.24M-19.15%10.88%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
3.53
1.47
71.36%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.55
2.18
40.60%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
7.42
0.34
4.80%
NXXT
NextNRG
1.77
-1.40
-44.16%
VGAS
Verde Clean Fuels
3.35
-1.17
-25.88%
FLNC
Fluence Energy
20.79
-0.88
-4.06%

Energy Vault Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Acquires Texas Battery Storage Project
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the acquisition of a 150 MW/300 MWh battery energy storage project in Madison County, Texas, marking the first project under its Asset Vault platform. This acquisition, supported by a $300 million investment from Orion Infrastructure Capital, is expected to generate $17-20 million in annual revenue and enhance Energy Vault’s position in the U.S. energy storage market, contributing to a total of 340 MW in operation globally and a development pipeline of 3.5 GW.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Secures $300M Investment for ‘Asset Vault’
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. announced the closing of a $300 million preferred equity investment with Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC), launching the ‘Asset Vault’ platform. This joint venture aims to develop, build, own, and operate energy storage assets globally, enhancing Energy Vault’s position as an Independent Power Producer. The partnership is expected to accelerate the deployment of over 1.5GW of energy storage projects in high-growth markets, with the platform projected to generate over $100 million in recurring annual EBITDA within the next 3-4 years. This strategic move consolidates Energy Vault’s portfolio of storage projects, leveraging its operational expertise to create a vertically integrated ecosystem that captures value across the energy storage lifecycle.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Holdings Secures $50M for Growth Initiatives
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with YA II PN, Ltd. to issue and sell up to $50 million in senior unsecured convertible debentures. This funding will be used for corporate working capital and to support the development and construction of energy storage projects. The agreement provides financial flexibility for Energy Vault to continue its growth in energy storage project development and execution, complementing a recently announced $300 million preferred equity investment. The company aims to expand its portfolio of energy storage projects, including operational facilities in Texas and California, and a 1 GWh project in Australia. This strategic move supports Energy Vault’s independent power producer strategy, ensuring project monetization and high-margin, contracted cash flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Holdings Enters New Financing Arrangements
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

Between August 29, 2025, and September 5, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. entered into Financing Arrangements with Cedar Advance LLC, Reliance Financial FL LLC, and UFS West LLC, selling future receivables ranging from $7.63 million to $9.45 million for a purchase price of $7.50 million. The company received $6.75 million after fees, with repayment terms affecting the total future receivables amount. This strategic financial move could impact Energy Vault’s cash flow management and operational flexibility, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Energy Vault Regains NYSE Compliance with Share Price Surge
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. announced on September 3, 2025, that it has regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange’s continued listing criteria, following a notice of non-compliance received on April 16, 2025. The company achieved this by maintaining an average share price above $1.00 over a consecutive 30-day trading period, reflecting a 114% increase, which positively impacts its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Energy Vault’s Earnings Call: Positive Strides Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some ongoing challenges. The company celebrated significant accomplishments such as a major equity investment, substantial revenue backlog growth, and successful project completions. These positive developments and strategic advancements were highlighted as outweighing the setbacks like the adjusted EBITDA loss and tariff disputes.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Secures $300M for Global Expansion
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced an exclusive agreement for a $300 million preferred equity investment to launch ‘Asset Vault,’ a subsidiary dedicated to developing, building, owning, and operating energy storage assets globally. This investment, from a leading infrastructure fund, is expected to enable over $1 billion in capital expenditure for 1.5 GW of projects across the U.S., Australia, and Europe, accelerating Energy Vault’s IPP strategy. The initiative aims to generate $100 million+ in annual EBITDA within 3-4 years, leveraging long-term contracts and Energy Vault’s operational expertise to enhance project returns and shareholder alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Energy Vault Completes Stoney Creek BESS Acquisition
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the completion of its acquisition of the 125 MW/1,000 MWh Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in Northern New South Wales, Australia. This acquisition marks Energy Vault’s first project in Australia under its ‘Own & Operate’ portfolio, reinforcing its commitment to supporting Australia’s energy transition. The Stoney Creek BESS, supported by a 14-year offtake agreement, is expected to enhance grid reliability and flexibility, contributing approximately $30 million in annual EBITDA for over 15 years. This strategic move underscores Energy Vault’s focus on expanding in high-growth markets with favorable regulatory environments, leveraging its proprietary VaultOS™ platform and B-VAULT™ technology to optimize performance and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Energy Vault Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc., a leader in sustainable, grid-scale energy storage solutions, develops and deploys utility-scale energy storage technologies, including gravity-based, battery, and green hydrogen energy storage systems.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Energy Vault Secures Major Battery Storage Contract
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced a contract with Consumers Energy to supply two battery energy storage systems (BESS) totaling 75 MW/300 MWh in Michigan’s Iosco and Bay Counties. This agreement marks Energy Vault’s expansion into the Eastern U.S. utility market and is expected to enhance grid reliability and support Michigan’s energy demand with renewable energy. The project is set to begin construction in Q1 2026 and commence commercial operations by Q4 2026, showcasing Energy Vault’s commitment to sustainable energy and grid resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Secures $18 Million for Texas BESS
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the successful close of $18 million in project financing for its Cross Trails battery energy storage system (BESS), which serves the Texas ERCOT market. The financing supports the company’s ‘Own & Operate’ strategy and is expected to generate a levered IRR of approximately 15%. The Cross Trails BESS, which began commercial operations in June 2025, is backed by a 10-year offtake agreement with Gridmatic and is the first deployment of Energy Vault’s second-generation B-VAULT™ AC product. This project financing follows the company’s earlier $28 million financing for the Calistoga Resiliency Center in California and the acquisition of the Stoney Creek BESS in Australia, further demonstrating Energy Vault’s ability to attract premium financing partners and build a diversified portfolio of energy storage assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025