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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV)
NYSE:NRGV
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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) AI Stock Analysis

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NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings

(NYSE:NRGV)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(2.74% Upside)
Energy Vault Holdings' overall stock score reflects a challenging financial position with significant profitability and cash flow issues. However, positive technical indicators and promising earnings call highlights, including strategic investments and revenue growth, provide some optimism. The valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio.
Positive Factors
Backlog Growth
Solid booking progress, with current backlog at $660 million, up approximately 90% from 3Q24.
Project Acquisitions
Energy Vault acquired the 1GWh Stoney Creek project, which includes a long-term service agreement.
Negative Factors
Revenue Guidance
FY25 revenue guidance was below expectations as the company continues to be affected by lower battery prices and shifts towards the 'Own & Operate' model.
Revenue Performance
FY24 results were below prior guidance due to lower lithium-ion battery prices and timing of gravity license revenue recognition.

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Vault Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Vault Holdings (NRGV) is a sustainable energy storage company that focuses on creating innovative solutions to store and manage renewable energy. The company operates within the energy sector, primarily focusing on grid-scale energy storage systems. Its core product is the Energy Vault Resiliency Center, which leverages gravity-based storage technology to provide efficient and sustainable energy storage solutions for utility companies and renewable energy providers.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Vault Holdings makes money by designing, manufacturing, and selling its gravity-based energy storage systems to utility companies and renewable energy providers. The company's primary revenue streams come from the sales and installation of its Energy Vault Resiliency Centers, which help clients optimize their renewable energy usage and improve grid resiliency. Additionally, Energy Vault may engage in strategic partnerships with governments, corporations, and energy providers to expand its market reach and deploy its technology at a larger scale, contributing to its earnings through licensing agreements and long-term service contracts.

Energy Vault Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.29%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant accomplishments, including a major equity investment, substantial revenue backlog growth, and successful project completions. Despite ongoing challenges like the adjusted EBITDA loss and tariff disputes, the positive developments and strategic advancements outweigh the setbacks.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant $300 Million Preferred Equity Investment
Energy Vault secured a $300 million preferred equity investment to fund the development, construction, and operation of its storage IPP Own and Operate projects, enabling over $1 billion in CapEx and project financing.
Strong Increase in Revenue Backlog
Revenue backlog increased 47% quarter-over-quarter to $954 million and up 120% year-to-date, driven by new third-party projects and service agreements.
Successful Execution and Financing of Initial Projects
First two owned projects in Texas and California were placed in service, and project financings were completed, contributing to cash flow improvements.
Record Year-Over-Year Revenue Growth
Revenue for Q2 increased 126% year-over-year to $8.5 million, driven by project deliveries in Australia and the commencement of operations at Cross Trails in Texas.
Improved Financial Metrics
GAAP gross profit increased 140% versus prior year to $2.5 million, with a gross margin of 29.6%. Adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed by 11% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Continued Operating Loss
Despite improvements, the company still reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $13.7 million for the quarter.
Tariff Dispute Impact
Market shocks and pauses from the tariff dispute with China affected the first half of the year, causing some delays in larger battery deliveries.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Vault Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided significant guidance, highlighting a $300 million preferred equity investment intended to fund the development, construction, and operation of their energy storage projects, branded as Asset Vault. This investment is expected to enable over $1 billion in capital expenditures, supporting an initial 1.5 gigawatts of projects in mid- to later-stage development, with an additional 3 gigawatts in earlier stages across the U.S., Australia, and Europe. Energy Vault aims to generate over $100 million in annual EBITDA cash streams from these projects within two to three years. The company reported a revenue increase of 126% year-over-year to $8.5 million, driven by its Australian projects and the Cross Trails Battery Energy Storage System in Texas. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 11% year-over-year, reducing the loss to $13.7 million. Energy Vault ended Q2 with $58.1 million in cash, a 23% increase from the previous quarter. The company forecasts full-year 2025 revenue between $200 million and $250 million and expects to maintain cash between $60 million and $75 million by the end of Q3.

Energy Vault Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Vault Holdings faces significant financial challenges, particularly in maintaining profitability and positive cash flows. While there is some revenue growth, the ongoing losses and negative cash flows highlight financial instability. The balance sheet shows some strengths, such as moderate leverage, but overall, the financial health of the company is a concern, particularly in its ability to generate consistent income and manage cash.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Energy Vault Holdings has shown some improvement in revenue with a slight growth from $46.2 million to $46.9 million in the TTM, but the consistent operating losses remain a concern. The gross profit margin is low at 19.15% for TTM, and the net profit margin is negative due to significant net losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also deeply negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a reasonable equity ratio of 52.85% for TTM, indicating a moderate level of financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.23, which is not alarming but suggests rising leverage. The return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is a significant downside.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Energy Vault Holdings' cash flow situation is challenging, with a significant negative free cash flow of $116.4 million in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting inefficient cash management. Free cash flow growth is negative, indicating cash flow issues that need addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.72M46.20M341.54M145.88M0.000.00
Gross Profit10.46M6.19M17.53M59.30M-2.44M0.00
EBITDA-138.35M-134.56M-97.86M-69.38M-28.89M-14.45M
Net Income-144.49M-135.75M-98.44M-78.30M-31.34M-24.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets248.83M183.89M340.75M416.71M125.29M30.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.42M30.02M109.92M203.04M105.13M10.05M
Total Debt35.59M1.36M1.86M1.55M1.36M2.16M
Total Liabilities158.53M57.63M116.96M129.00M193.96M70.01M
Stockholders Equity90.30M126.32M223.79M287.71M114.04M-39.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-84.38M-114.71M-123.09M-25.66M-22.24M-18.45M
Operating Cash Flow-31.39M-55.86M-92.66M-23.35M-22.07M-16.70M
Investing Cash Flow-55.24M-58.74M-42.54M-13.32M-1.17M-1.75M
Financing Cash Flow31.53M-252.00K-5.48M217.77M116.38M15.64M

Energy Vault Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.46
Price Trends
50DMA
0.97
Positive
100DMA
0.89
Positive
200DMA
1.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
70.22
Negative
STOCH
62.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 0.97, and above the 200-day MA of 1.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.22 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRGV.

Energy Vault Holdings Risk Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Energy Vault Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Energy Vault Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$2.73B50.548.27%33.19%486.74%
66
Neutral
¥379.87B6.999.30%2.60%3.14%-4.97%
55
Neutral
$44.98M-27.32%-46.17%-18.67%
54
Neutral
$231.45M-101.08%-82.87%-59.38%
54
Neutral
$1.34B236.42-4.45%14.26%20.99%
40
Underperform
$158.73M-9999.00%52.34%10.37%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
1.46
0.49
50.52%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.65
1.73
29.22%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
7.94
4.34
120.56%
NXXT
NextNRG
1.38
-1.44
-51.06%
FLNC
Fluence Energy
7.55
-9.89
-56.71%

Energy Vault Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures $300M for Global Expansion
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced an exclusive agreement for a $300 million preferred equity investment to launch ‘Asset Vault,’ a subsidiary dedicated to developing, building, owning, and operating energy storage assets globally. This investment, from a leading infrastructure fund, is expected to enable over $1 billion in capital expenditure for 1.5 GW of projects across the U.S., Australia, and Europe, accelerating Energy Vault’s IPP strategy. The initiative aims to generate $100 million+ in annual EBITDA within 3-4 years, leveraging long-term contracts and Energy Vault’s operational expertise to enhance project returns and shareholder alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Completes Stoney Creek BESS Acquisition
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the completion of its acquisition of the 125 MW/1,000 MWh Stoney Creek Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in Northern New South Wales, Australia. This acquisition marks Energy Vault’s first project in Australia under its ‘Own & Operate’ portfolio, reinforcing its commitment to supporting Australia’s energy transition. The Stoney Creek BESS, supported by a 14-year offtake agreement, is expected to enhance grid reliability and flexibility, contributing approximately $30 million in annual EBITDA for over 15 years. This strategic move underscores Energy Vault’s focus on expanding in high-growth markets with favorable regulatory environments, leveraging its proprietary VaultOS™ platform and B-VAULT™ technology to optimize performance and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures Major Battery Storage Contract
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced a contract with Consumers Energy to supply two battery energy storage systems (BESS) totaling 75 MW/300 MWh in Michigan’s Iosco and Bay Counties. This agreement marks Energy Vault’s expansion into the Eastern U.S. utility market and is expected to enhance grid reliability and support Michigan’s energy demand with renewable energy. The project is set to begin construction in Q1 2026 and commence commercial operations by Q4 2026, showcasing Energy Vault’s commitment to sustainable energy and grid resilience.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Secures $18 Million for Texas BESS
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the successful close of $18 million in project financing for its Cross Trails battery energy storage system (BESS), which serves the Texas ERCOT market. The financing supports the company’s ‘Own & Operate’ strategy and is expected to generate a levered IRR of approximately 15%. The Cross Trails BESS, which began commercial operations in June 2025, is backed by a 10-year offtake agreement with Gridmatic and is the first deployment of Energy Vault’s second-generation B-VAULT™ AC product. This project financing follows the company’s earlier $28 million financing for the Calistoga Resiliency Center in California and the acquisition of the Stoney Creek BESS in Australia, further demonstrating Energy Vault’s ability to attract premium financing partners and build a diversified portfolio of energy storage assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Launches Cross Trails Battery System
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the successful completion and commercial operation of the 57 MW two-hour Cross Trails battery energy storage system (BESS) in Scurry County, Texas. This project, completed ahead of schedule, marks the first asset under Energy Vault’s ‘Own & Operate’ growth strategy, supported by a 10-year offtake agreement with Gridmatic. The Cross Trails BESS provides energy and ancillary services to enhance renewable energy production and grid resiliency in the ERCOT region. The project leverages Energy Vault’s second-generation B-VAULT™ AC system and VaultOS™ Energy Management System, demonstrating the company’s ability to execute complex energy storage deployments efficiently. This milestone reflects Energy Vault’s strategic vision and expertise in designing, building, and operating energy storage assets, further strengthening its position in the energy storage asset infrastructure market.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Energy Vault Expands Battery Storage with Jupiter Power
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced an agreement with Jupiter Power to supply an additional 100 MW/200 MWh battery energy storage system in the ERCOT region, following a successful deployment in 2024. This expansion aims to enhance grid resiliency and is part of a broader partnership to decarbonize the grid, leveraging Energy Vault’s innovative technology and management systems.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Energy Vault Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. conducted its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where key decisions were made. The election of Class I Directors resulted in Larry Paulson and Mary Beth Mandanas receiving significant votes, while the appointment of BDO USA, LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified with overwhelming support.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025