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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV)
NYSE:NRGV
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Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) AI Stock Analysis

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NRGV

Energy Vault Holdings

(NYSE:NRGV)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(4.79% Upside)
Energy Vault Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its strong revenue growth but significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, while the valuation is negatively affected by ongoing losses. The earnings call provided positive insights, but it was not included in the weighted score calculation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The substantial year-over-year revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful execution of projects, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
The agreement with EU Green Energy enhances Energy Vault's market reach and supports its growth in the renewable energy sector, providing a stable revenue stream.
Sustainability Leadership
Strong sustainability credentials enhance brand reputation and align with global trends towards renewable energy, potentially attracting more clients and partnerships.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder reinvestment in growth and innovation, potentially affecting long-term competitiveness and financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow limits financial flexibility and may necessitate external financing, impacting the company's ability to sustain operations and invest in growth.
R&D Expense Reduction
Reduced R&D spending could slow innovation and product development, potentially weakening competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving energy storage market.

Energy Vault Holdings (NRGV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Vault Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Vault Holdings (NRGV) is an innovative company focused on sustainable energy storage solutions. The company operates within the renewable energy sector, primarily providing advanced gravity-based energy storage systems designed to enhance the efficiency and reliability of renewable energy sources. Energy Vault's core products utilize a unique technology that converts excess renewable energy into potential energy, stored in a system of large blocks which can be released to generate electricity when required.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Vault generates revenue through various channels, primarily by selling its energy storage systems to utility companies, renewable energy developers, and large-scale energy consumers. The company also earns income from long-term service agreements for maintenance and operation of their systems. Additionally, Energy Vault may benefit from strategic partnerships with energy providers and government contracts aimed at enhancing grid stability. The increasing demand for energy storage solutions, driven by the global transition to renewable energy and the need for reliable energy infrastructure, further supports its revenue model.

Energy Vault Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Energy Vault's earnings call reflected significant growth and strategic advancements, including a substantial increase in revenue and the successful launch of the Asset Vault platform. Despite challenges in the macro environment, the company maintained strong financial results and sustainability leadership.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Energy Vault delivered Q3 revenue of $33.3 million compared to $1.2 million a year ago, representing a 27x increase year-over-year, driven by strong execution on Australia projects and the initial contribution from the Asset Vault assets.
Successful Launch of Asset Vault Platform
The quarter marked the formal launch of the Asset Vault platform, enabling Energy Vault to vertically integrate and originate, design, build, own, and operate energy storage assets.
Strong Gross Margins
Energy Vault delivered strong unit economics with gross margins of 27% in the quarter, bringing year-to-date gross margins to almost 33%.
Significant Project Financing and Cash Flow
Closed a $300 million preferred equity investment from Orion Infrastructure, with expectations to return $30 million to $40 million in investment tax credits, growing cash balances for three consecutive quarters.
Sustainability Leadership
Energy Vault continues to advance its leadership in sustainability, placing in the top 98th percentile of all companies reviewed by S&P Global, maintaining its leadership as the #1 company in the energy storage segment.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Challenges in Macro Environment
The company faced macro uncertainty, including tariff volatility and market shutdowns, causing some delays and requiring more complex deal structures.
R&D Expense Reduction
There was a sequential decline in R&D expenses, reflecting a shift from investment in R&D to focusing on harvesting benefits from earlier investments.
Company Guidance
During Energy Vault's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics indicating strong performance and strategic advancements. The company reported a Q3 revenue of $33.3 million, a significant increase from $1.2 million a year ago, primarily driven by their projects in Australia and contributions from their Asset Vault platform. Gross margins for the quarter stood at 27%, contributing to a year-to-date gross margin of nearly 33%. Energy Vault also narrowed its EBITDA loss to $6 million for the quarter, showcasing improved financial management. Furthermore, the company's backlog reached $920 million, more than doubling year-to-date, with a total development pipeline valued at approximately $2.1 billion or 8.7 gigawatt-hours. Energy Vault maintained its guidance for full-year 2025 revenue between $200 million and $250 million and projected end-of-year cash reserves between $75 million and $100 million. The launch of the Asset Vault platform is expected to deliver $40 million in recurring annual EBITDA by year-end 2027, expanding further by 2029. Additionally, Energy Vault's sustainability leadership was highlighted, as it continues to rank in the top 98th percentile globally in S&P ESG scores.

Energy Vault Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Vault Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The company maintains a stable capital structure with moderate leverage, yet struggles with negative returns on equity and cash flow deficits. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Energy Vault Holdings shows a significant revenue growth rate of 62.11% TTM, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins of -279.38% and EBIT margins of -269.66% TTM. The gross profit margin has improved to 20.23% TTM, but the overall negative margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39 TTM suggests moderate leverage, which is manageable. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -113.15% TTM, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio stands at 28.57% TTM, reflecting a stable capital structure despite profitability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Energy Vault Holdings faces cash flow challenges, with a negative operating cash flow of -$33.9 million TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 2.69 TTM, indicating some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate of -11.00% TTM and operating cash flow coverage ratio of -0.22 TTM highlight ongoing cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.84M46.20M341.54M145.88M0.000.00
Gross Profit18.99M6.19M17.53M59.30M-2.44M0.00
EBITDA-128.80M-134.56M-97.86M-69.38M-28.89M-14.45M
Net Income-144.71M-135.75M-98.44M-78.30M-31.34M-24.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets281.88M183.89M340.75M416.71M125.29M30.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.70M30.02M109.92M203.04M105.13M10.05M
Total Debt62.46M1.36M1.86M1.55M1.36M2.16M
Total Liabilities201.33M57.63M116.96M129.00M193.96M7.97M
Stockholders Equity80.58M126.32M223.79M287.71M-68.67M22.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.10M-114.71M-123.09M-25.66M-22.24M-18.45M
Operating Cash Flow-33.90M-55.86M-92.66M-23.35M-22.07M-16.70M
Investing Cash Flow-43.44M-58.74M-42.54M-13.32M-1.17M-1.75M
Financing Cash Flow62.61M-252.00K-5.48M217.77M116.38M15.64M

Energy Vault Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.34
Price Trends
50DMA
3.38
Negative
100DMA
2.49
Positive
200DMA
1.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
51.32
Neutral
STOCH
75.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.31, below the 50-day MA of 3.38, and above the 200-day MA of 1.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRGV.

Energy Vault Holdings Risk Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Energy Vault Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Energy Vault Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$2.76B26.527.64%42.09%219.69%
50
Neutral
$40.37M-14.35-54.43%-40.99%-46.52%
49
Neutral
$560.42M-111.44%-35.99%-46.51%
46
Neutral
$3.55B-10.72%-16.15%-324.40%
45
Neutral
$159.94M146.01%63.18%
37
Underperform
$123.85M-21.33%23.66%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings
3.64
1.87
105.65%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
7.55
1.54
25.62%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
6.84
-4.13
-37.65%
NXXT
NextNRG
1.24
-1.26
-50.40%
VGAS
Verde Clean Fuels
2.60
-1.52
-36.89%
FLNC
Fluence Energy
19.85
2.77
16.22%

Energy Vault Holdings Corporate Events

Energy Vault’s Earnings Call: Record Growth and Strategic Advances
Nov 12, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, showcasing a positive sentiment driven by substantial growth and strategic advancements. The company reported a significant increase in revenue and successfully launched its Asset Vault platform. Despite facing challenges in the macro environment, Energy Vault maintained strong financial results and continued its leadership in sustainability.

Energy Vault Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Nov 11, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. is a company specializing in sustainable, grid-scale energy storage solutions, offering a range of technologies including battery, gravity, and green hydrogen storage systems. The company recently reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing significant growth and strategic advancements. Energy Vault’s contract revenue backlog reached $920 million, marking a 112% increase year-to-date. The company reported a revenue of $33.3 million for Q3 2025, a substantial improvement from the previous year, largely due to projects in Australia and new revenue streams from its Asset Vault projects in the U.S. Additionally, the company’s GAAP gross profit rose significantly to $9.0 million, with a gross margin of 27.0%. Energy Vault also narrowed its adjusted EBITDA loss by 59% to $6.0 million compared to the prior year. The company closed a $300 million preferred equity agreement with OIC for its Asset Vault business and acquired a 150 MW project in Texas, expanding its portfolio to 340 MW under operation and construction. Looking ahead, Energy Vault reaffirms its full-year 2025 guidance and is well-positioned for growth in 2026 and beyond, with expectations to continue increasing its cash balance and leveraging its strong backlog for future projects.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Vault Holdings Hosts Analyst and Investor Day
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. conducted a virtual Analyst and Investor Day, where they presented forward-looking statements about the company’s future operations and financial performance. The event highlighted the company’s strategic plans and the importance of energy storage in supporting global power demands, emphasizing the role of their solutions in addressing the challenges posed by the variability of renewable energy sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Acquires Texas Battery Storage Project
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings announced the acquisition of a 150 MW/300 MWh battery energy storage project in Madison County, Texas, marking the first project under its Asset Vault platform. This acquisition, supported by a $300 million investment from Orion Infrastructure Capital, is expected to generate $17-20 million in annual revenue and enhance Energy Vault’s position in the U.S. energy storage market, contributing to a total of 340 MW in operation globally and a development pipeline of 3.5 GW.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Secures $300M Investment for ‘Asset Vault’
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings Inc. announced the closing of a $300 million preferred equity investment with Orion Infrastructure Capital (OIC), launching the ‘Asset Vault’ platform. This joint venture aims to develop, build, own, and operate energy storage assets globally, enhancing Energy Vault’s position as an Independent Power Producer. The partnership is expected to accelerate the deployment of over 1.5GW of energy storage projects in high-growth markets, with the platform projected to generate over $100 million in recurring annual EBITDA within the next 3-4 years. This strategic move consolidates Energy Vault’s portfolio of storage projects, leveraging its operational expertise to create a vertically integrated ecosystem that captures value across the energy storage lifecycle.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Holdings Secures $50M for Growth Initiatives
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with YA II PN, Ltd. to issue and sell up to $50 million in senior unsecured convertible debentures. This funding will be used for corporate working capital and to support the development and construction of energy storage projects. The agreement provides financial flexibility for Energy Vault to continue its growth in energy storage project development and execution, complementing a recently announced $300 million preferred equity investment. The company aims to expand its portfolio of energy storage projects, including operational facilities in Texas and California, and a 1 GWh project in Australia. This strategic move supports Energy Vault’s independent power producer strategy, ensuring project monetization and high-margin, contracted cash flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Energy Vault Holdings Enters New Financing Arrangements
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

Between August 29, 2025, and September 5, 2025, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. entered into Financing Arrangements with Cedar Advance LLC, Reliance Financial FL LLC, and UFS West LLC, selling future receivables ranging from $7.63 million to $9.45 million for a purchase price of $7.50 million. The company received $6.75 million after fees, with repayment terms affecting the total future receivables amount. This strategic financial move could impact Energy Vault’s cash flow management and operational flexibility, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Energy Vault Regains NYSE Compliance with Share Price Surge
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. announced on September 3, 2025, that it has regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange’s continued listing criteria, following a notice of non-compliance received on April 16, 2025. The company achieved this by maintaining an average share price above $1.00 over a consecutive 30-day trading period, reflecting a 114% increase, which positively impacts its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (NRGV) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Vault Holdings stock, see the NRGV Stock Forecast page.

Energy Vault’s Earnings Call: Positive Strides Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some ongoing challenges. The company celebrated significant accomplishments such as a major equity investment, substantial revenue backlog growth, and successful project completions. These positive developments and strategic advancements were highlighted as outweighing the setbacks like the adjusted EBITDA loss and tariff disputes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025