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Ferrellgas Partners (FGPR)
OTHER OTC:FGPR
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Ferrellgas Partners (FGPR) AI Stock Analysis

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FGPR

Ferrellgas Partners

(OTC:FGPR)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(7.08% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the company's financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability. Despite strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, the stock's valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Strategic financial improvements are necessary for a more favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth trend indicates a strong market position and effective business model, supporting long-term stability.
Operational Efficiency
Positive EBIT margin reflects operational efficiency, suggesting the company can manage its core operations effectively despite challenges.
Market Position
As a leading provider in the U.S., Ferrellgas benefits from a strong market position, which can drive sustained demand and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term stability.
Negative Profitability Margins
Negative profitability margins highlight ongoing financial struggles, which could hinder reinvestment and growth opportunities.
Declining Cash Flow
Declining cash flow growth can strain operations and limit the company's ability to fund new initiatives or manage debt effectively.

Ferrellgas Partners (FGPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ferrellgas Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFerrellgas Partners, L.P. is a leading provider of propane distribution and related services in the United States. The company operates in the retail propane sector, focusing on delivering propane to residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers. Ferrellgas offers a range of services including tank installation, propane delivery, and equipment sales, as well as maintenance and repair services for propane systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyFerrellgas generates revenue primarily through the sale of propane and related services. Its revenue model is built on several key streams, including retail propane sales, which account for a significant portion of its earnings. The company also earns income from the sale of propane appliances and equipment, as well as service contracts for maintenance and installation. Additionally, Ferrellgas may benefit from strategic partnerships with suppliers and service providers that help enhance its operational efficiency and expand its market reach. Seasonal demand fluctuations, especially during colder months, can significantly impact revenue, making the company's earnings sensitive to weather conditions and energy prices.

Ferrellgas Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 20, 2024
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in adjusted EBITDA growth, successful acquisitions, and strategic use of technology. However, these positives were overshadowed by significant financial challenges, including a substantial net loss driven by litigation-related expenses, decreased sales volumes due to warm weather, and increased operating expenses.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Gross Profit and Margin
Gross profit increased by $0.9 million or 0.5%, with a margin per gallon increase of 3% due to increased volume on the fixed cost price program for residential customers.
Growth in Tank Exchange Sales
An $8.8 million increase in tank exchange sales was driven by organic growth, particularly from new customer wins, with tank exchange selling locations increasing by 9%.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by $2.9 million or 9% to $35.8 million compared to $32.9 million in the prior year quarter.
Successful Acquisitions
Successful onboarding of Eastern Sierra propane and acquisition of Kilhoffer Propane, which perfectly aligned with strategic goals and resulted in market expansion.
Effective Storm Response
Double-digit growth in service areas impacted by hurricanes, with significant support provided through partnerships like Operation Barbecue Relief, which served 1.4 million meals.
Telematics Technology Implementation
Investment in telematics technology led to reduced fuel costs and improved route efficiencies, enhancing logistics and fleet management.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Gallons Sold
Gallons sold decreased by 4.2 million or 3%, with retail gallons sold decreasing 7.7 million or 7%, primarily due to warmer weather and business closures.
Significant Net Loss
Net loss attributable to Ferrellgas Partners LP was $146.6 million, a significant increase from the $17.5 million loss in the prior year quarter, driven by a $125 million accrual related to ongoing litigation.
Increase in Operating and Interest Expenses
Operating expenses increased by $3.5 million and interest expenses by $1.9 million, impacting overall profitability.
Warm Weather Impact
Weather that was 16% warmer than the prior year quarter contributed to the decrease in retail gallons sold and a 3% decrease in retail customers.
Litigation-Related Expenses
A $125 million accrual related to ongoing Eddystone litigation significantly impacted financials, increasing general and administrative expenses.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Ferrellgas Partners reported a 0.5% increase in gross profit, driven by a 3% rise in margin per gallon and a 4% decrease in the cost of products sold, despite a 2% drop in revenue. The company faced a 3% decline in retail gallons sold, attributed to a 16% warmer weather compared to the previous year and small business closures due to inflation and severe weather events. However, wholesale gallons sold rose by 7%, fueled by an $8.8 million increase in tank exchange sales. The net loss attributable to Ferrellgas Partners LP was $146.6 million, largely due to a $125 million accrual related to the Eddystone litigation. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% to $35.8 million, thanks to a $1.6 million decrease in general and administrative expenses and enhancements in logistics and fleet management. The company's strategic initiatives, including the acquisition of Kilhoffer Propane and investments in telematics technology, bolstered operational performance and efficiency.

Ferrellgas Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ferrellgas Partners faces significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability margins. While there are signs of revenue growth and operational efficiency, the company's financial stability is at risk due to high debt levels and declining cash flow. Strategic improvements in cost management and debt reduction are essential for future financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ferrellgas Partners has shown inconsistent revenue growth with a recent positive trend of 16.4%. However, the company struggles with profitability, evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -0.8% in the latest year. The gross profit margin has also decreased significantly from previous years, indicating potential cost management issues. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio of -4.47, indicating potential financial risk. The negative stockholders' equity is concerning, although the return on equity has improved to 4.6%, suggesting some profitability on equity. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting the company's reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 51.7%, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.15, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.41 suggests some ability to generate cash from operations despite profitability challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.94B1.94B1.84B2.03B2.11B1.75B
Gross Profit1.02B915.99M983.14M1.01B928.03M859.65M
EBITDA191.49M191.49M308.06M329.68M339.83M190.63M
Net Income-122.03M-15.41M10.22M75.85M48.00M-68.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.42B1.46B1.53B1.61B1.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments96.88M96.88M113.48M126.22M147.53M270.45M
Total Debt1.51B1.51B1.51B1.52B1.52B1.55B
Total Liabilities1.75B1.75B1.76B1.78B1.84B1.90B
Stockholders Equity-298.44M-298.44M-871.91M-218.36M37.91M88.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow54.63M56.34M174.71M123.34M63.79M145.27M
Operating Cash Flow134.63M136.35M245.57M212.26M160.47M206.43M
Investing Cash Flow-80.80M-80.80M-85.05M-110.77M-111.78M-60.95M
Financing Cash Flow-81.11M-82.82M-173.71M-122.87M-171.90M-197.28M

Ferrellgas Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.21
Price Trends
50DMA
16.91
Positive
100DMA
15.53
Positive
200DMA
12.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
58.44
Neutral
STOCH
90.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.84, above the 50-day MA of 16.91, and above the 200-day MA of 12.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FGPR.

Ferrellgas Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$8.31B18.518.27%6.58%-5.18%-33.14%
66
Neutral
$402.94M7.8016.22%6.07%-0.87%33.52%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$283.15M5.51%-51.37%
54
Neutral
$782.99M17.4610.19%-10.27%131.17%
51
Neutral
$2.33B-115.95%2.68%-22.37%-27.22%
43
Neutral
$609.62M-3.05-31.94%2.59%-192.73%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FGPR
Ferrellgas Partners
18.21
10.11
124.81%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.30
-0.43
-15.75%
DK
Delek US Holdings
38.13
20.53
116.65%
SGU
Star Gas Partners
12.10
0.80
7.08%
SUN
Sunoco
54.90
3.18
6.15%
CAPL
Crossamerica Partners
20.60
1.06
5.42%

Ferrellgas Partners Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Ferrellgas Partners Announces $650M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Ferrellgas, L.P. and Ferrellgas Finance Corp., subsidiaries of Ferrellgas Partners, L.P., announced the pricing of a $650 million offering of 9.250% senior notes due 2031. The proceeds from this offering, expected to close on October 27, 2025, will be used to redeem the company’s 5.375% Senior Notes due 2026, indicating a strategic financial restructuring aimed at optimizing their debt profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ferrellgas Partners Announces $650M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 17, 2025, Ferrellgas, L.P. and Ferrellgas Finance Corp., subsidiaries of Ferrellgas Partners, L.P., announced the pricing of a $650 million offering of 9.250% senior notes due 2031. The proceeds from the offering will be used to redeem the company’s existing 5.375% Senior Notes due 2026, contingent upon the completion of the offering and an amendment to the company’s credit agreement.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Ferrellgas Partners Reports Fiscal 2025 Financial Results
Oct 16, 2025

Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. is a nationwide propane distribution company, serving customers across the United States and Puerto Rico, and is known for its Blue Rhino propane exchange brand. The company recently released its financial results for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting growth in annual sales volume, revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA despite challenges in the fourth quarter.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ferrellgas Partners Announces $650M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Ferrellgas, L.P. and its subsidiary Ferrellgas Finance Corp. announced their intention to offer $650 million in senior notes due 2031, subject to market conditions. The proceeds from this offering, along with cash on hand, will be used to redeem the company’s existing 5.375% Senior Notes due 2026. The redemption is contingent upon the successful completion of the notes offering and an amendment to the company’s revolving credit facility. This strategic move aims to manage the company’s debt obligations and optimize its financial structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Ferrellgas Partners Announces $650M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Ferrellgas, L.P. and its subsidiary Ferrellgas Finance Corp. announced their intention to offer $650 million in senior notes due 2031, subject to market conditions. This private offering aims to raise funds to redeem all outstanding 5.375% Senior Notes due 2026, contingent upon amending the credit agreement and successful completion of the offering. The move is expected to impact the company’s financial structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ferrellgas Partners Highlights Strategic Positioning in Presentation
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Ferrellgas Partners made an investor presentation available, highlighting its financial performance and strategic positioning. The presentation emphasized the company’s robust logistics network and technology-driven operations, which support its role as a major player in the fragmented propane distribution industry. Despite the challenges posed by market conditions and regulatory factors, Ferrellgas continues to maintain a strong market presence with consistent demand for its services, underscoring its resilience and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ferrellgas Partners Highlights Strategic Positioning in Presentation
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Ferrellgas Partners made an investor presentation available, highlighting its robust logistics and distribution network for propane across the U.S. The presentation emphasized the company’s strategic positioning in a fragmented industry, with a focus on operational efficiencies and high-quality customer experience through advanced technology. The announcement reflects Ferrellgas’s commitment to maintaining its market position and addressing various industry challenges, which could have implications for its operations and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ferrellgas Partners Achieves Record Gross Profit in 2025
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Ferrellgas Partners reported its financial results for the fiscal year and fourth quarter ending July 31, 2025, showing growth in annual sales volume, revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. Despite a decrease in adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter due to increased expenses, the company achieved a record gross profit of over $1 billion for fiscal 2025, driven by increased revenues and operational efficiencies. Retail and wholesale sales saw growth, with notable increases in the Blue Rhino tank exchange business. The company leveraged technology and employee expertise to improve delivery metrics and responded effectively to the Texas flooding in July 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ferrellgas Partners Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Oct 15, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Ferrellgas Partners reported its financial results for the fiscal year and fourth quarter ending July 31, 2025. The company achieved growth in annual sales volume, revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA, despite a decrease in fourth-quarter EBITDA due to increased expenses. Ferrellgas leveraged operational efficiencies and technology to drive growth, becoming early adopters of the Propane Education & Research Council’s Education Program. The company reported a net loss for fiscal 2025, attributed to increased operating and interest expenses, despite achieving the highest gross profit in its history. Retail and wholesale sales saw growth, with a notable increase in Blue Rhino’s sales. The company’s telematics technology and employee expertise contributed to improved operational metrics and effective response to events like the Texas flooding.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Ferrellgas Partners Schedules Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

Ferrellgas Partners announced it will hold a teleconference on October 15, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and the fiscal year ending July 31, 2025. The teleconference will provide insights into the company’s operations and financial performance, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perspectives on the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Ferrellgas Partners Schedules Q4 Earnings Call
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

Ferrellgas Partners announced that it will hold a teleconference on October 15, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the fourth fiscal quarter and the fiscal year ending July 31, 2025. This event is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s operational performance and financial health over the past fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (FGPR) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ferrellgas Partners stock, see the FGPR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025