tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Talgo S.A. (ES:TLGO)
BME:TLGO

Talgo S.A. (TLGO) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
15 Followers

Top Page

ES:TLGO

Talgo S.A.

(BME:TLGO)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
€3.00
▼(-4.46% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/08/25
Talgo S.A.'s overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial difficulties, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the stock's valuation is concerning due to a negative P/E ratio. The absence of debt is a positive aspect, but strategic improvements are necessary to enhance financial health.
Positive Factors
Recurring maintenance/services revenue
Talgo's maintenance and lifecycle contracts produce recurring or semi-recurring revenue that smooths the cyclicality of new-build orders. Over 2–6 months this supports revenue visibility, strengthens customer retention via long-term relationships, and bolsters aftermarket margins and utilization.
Meaningful asset base / manufacturing capacity
A tangible asset base indicates retained manufacturing capacity and capital investment to design, build, and refurbish rolling stock. This physical capability supports execution on large contracts, provides collateral for financing, and preserves competitive delivery and service advantages over time.
Historical revenue growth capability
Talgo demonstrated past revenue expansion, notably in 2023, showing commercial ability to win tenders and scale deliveries. If procurement cycles or execution recover, this track record suggests the company can regain top-line momentum rather than being structurally unable to grow.
Negative Factors
Deteriorated profitability / recent deep losses
Sustained net losses through 2024–2025 erode shareholder equity and limit reinvestment capacity. Persistent negative operating margins signal issues in pricing, cost control, or project execution, undermining sustainable profitability absent structural fixes to margins or contract terms.
Rising leverage and stretched capital structure
Higher debt alongside declining equity leaves the capital structure more stretched, increasing interest burden and refinancing risk. Elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility, constrains strategic choices, and magnifies downside in slower procurement or delayed project payments.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent operating and free cash flow deficits indicate the business is burning cash and cannot self-fund operations or capex. Continued cash burn raises liquidity and covenant risks and likely necessitates external financing, which may be costly or dilutive over the medium term.

Talgo S.A. (TLGO) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Talgo S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTalgo, S.A. designs, manufactures, and maintains railway rolling stock and auxiliary machinery worldwide. It offers very high speed, high speed, and intercity trains and locomotives. The company also provides maintenance equipment, including underfloor wheel lathes for maintenance of high speed and long-distance trains; and shunting cars, as well as measuring equipment to railway operators. In addition, it offers maintenance and rolling stock refurbishment services. The company was formerly known as Pegaso Rail International, S.A. The company was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyTalgo generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its trainsets and related services. The company enters into contracts with governments and railway operators for the supply of trains, which typically include design, manufacturing, and delivery. Additionally, Talgo earns income from maintenance and after-sales services, ensuring the longevity and efficiency of its trains. The company has strategic partnerships with various rail operators and governmental agencies, allowing it to secure long-term contracts and expand its market reach. Furthermore, Talgo may benefit from research and development grants and subsidies aimed at promoting sustainable transportation solutions.

Talgo S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Talgo S.A. is facing significant financial challenges, with declining profitability, negative operational results, and cash flow issues. Despite being debt-free, the negative net income and cash flow positions require strategic adjustments.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Talgo S.A. has experienced revenue growth of 2.64% from 2023 to 2024; however, the company is facing significant profitability challenges. The gross profit margin has declined, and the company recorded a negative net profit margin of -15.85% in 2024 due to substantial losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-free position in 2024, which is a positive aspect. However, the return on equity has turned negative due to the net loss, and the equity ratio has decreased, reflecting lower equity relative to total assets, which could pose future financial stability concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Talgo's cash flow statement reveals negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting issues in converting income into cash flow. Additionally, free cash flow deteriorated further in 2024, exacerbating liquidity concerns.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue618.20M669.22M652.00M469.12M555.41M
Gross Profit25.40M125.34M155.32M262.01M88.38M
EBITDA-16.40M-58.66M77.32M44.67M62.44M
Net Income-100.70M-106.07M13.69M1.44M27.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.51B1.27B1.12B1.13B1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments226.10M93.40M156.08M239.38M252.98M
Total Debt610.70M538.77M453.96M375.58M318.01M
Total Liabilities1.28B1.09B827.48M849.69M740.59M
Stockholders Equity223.30M170.61M278.00M281.18M287.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-140.30M-159.37M-142.22M-47.64M4.50M
Operating Cash Flow-95.80M-110.80M-115.75M-25.26M29.65M
Investing Cash Flow-44.50M-48.57M-18.60M-22.38M-11.18M
Financing Cash Flow272.90M97.55M50.71M33.22M6.21M

Talgo S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.14
Price Trends
50DMA
2.93
Negative
100DMA
2.85
Negative
200DMA
2.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
41.13
Neutral
STOCH
51.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:TLGO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.86, above the 50-day MA of 2.93, and above the 200-day MA of 2.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:TLGO.

Talgo S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€2.01B13.7914.10%2.28%6.84%16.03%
67
Neutral
€2.40B18.70-6.79%13.00%11.61%-212.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
€1.76B11.367.70%3.35%-4.69%-8.38%
55
Neutral
€5.17B5.28%4.49%5.00%-64.19%
52
Neutral
€603.43M297.920.29%1.39%72.34%
48
Neutral
€363.72M-3.44-165.56%-16.41%-952.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:TLGO
Talgo S.A.
2.79
-0.54
-16.34%
ES:CAF
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles
58.70
22.06
60.22%
ES:ENO
Elecnor
28.40
13.44
89.80%
ES:FCC
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
10.94
1.19
12.24%
ES:GEST
Gestamp Automocion
3.06
0.36
13.27%
ES:OHLA
Obrascon Huarte Lain
0.44
-0.05
-10.10%

Talgo S.A. Corporate Events

Talgo Sets Date for Release of 2025 Annual Financial Results
Feb 27, 2026

Talgo S.A. has announced it will publish its full-year 2025 financial results on 27 February 2026, after the close of trading on the Madrid Stock Exchange. The timing of the release signals an upcoming transparency event for investors and analysts, who will look to the figures for insights into the company’s operational performance, order execution, and positioning within the competitive rail manufacturing sector.

The scheduled disclosure may influence market expectations around Talgo’s growth prospects, profitability, and contract pipeline, potentially affecting trading activity in its shares. Stakeholders, including shareholders and lenders, are likely to treat the date as a key milestone for reassessing the company’s financial health and strategic outlook in the broader transportation infrastructure industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Wins €1.3 Billion Saudi High-Speed Train Contract, Lifts Backlog to Record Level
Feb 10, 2026

Talgo has secured a major boost to its order book after the Government of Saudi Arabia awarded a contract for the manufacture and maintenance of 20 new high-speed trains for the Haramain High-Speed Railway, adding €1.332 billion and lifting its total backlog to a record around €6 billion. The trains, to be built through the Saudi Spanish Train Project Company and based on the 35 units already operating since 2018, come alongside an extension of the Phase II operation and maintenance period that could run to 2038, consolidating Talgo’s long-term role in Saudi rail and reinforcing its international growth strategy in a key Middle Eastern market.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Calls March 2026 Extraordinary Meeting with Expanded Telematic Access
Feb 9, 2026

Talgo’s board of directors has called an Extraordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting to be held in Vitoria-Gasteiz on 12 March 2026, with a potential second call on 13 March 2026, to vote on a series of proposed corporate resolutions. The company is emphasizing flexible participation by enabling physical attendance, telematic attendance with real-time connection, remote voting and proxy delegation, and live streaming via its corporate website, underscoring a push toward greater shareholder engagement and streamlined governance processes.

Shareholders and their representatives are encouraged to participate remotely by submitting proxies or casting votes ahead of the meeting or by connecting telematically on the day. Registration desks for those attending in person will open one hour before the meeting starts, reflecting Talgo’s effort to balance traditional in-person corporate governance with expanded digital access for a broader investor base.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Wins €1.3 Billion Saudi High-Speed Train Contract, Lifting Backlog to Record Level
Feb 9, 2026

Talgo has secured a major contract in Saudi Arabia for the manufacture and maintenance of 20 new high-speed trains under the Haramain High-Speed Railway project, adding €1.332 billion to its order book and lifting its backlog to a record around €6 billion. The agreement, which mirrors the technical specifications of 35 existing Talgo units in service since 2018 and extends maintenance responsibilities for the entire 56-train fleet potentially through 2038, reinforces the company’s long-term positioning in the Saudi market and supports its broader international growth strategy focused on the Middle East.

This expanded role in Saudi Arabia provides Talgo with multi-year revenue visibility and deeper operational integration in one of the world’s most active rail investment regions. For stakeholders, the deal underscores the strategic importance of the Haramain corridor to Talgo’s business mix, while signaling continued demand for high-speed rail technology and lifecycle maintenance services across the Middle East.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Overhauls Board and Committees After Series of Director Resignations
Feb 6, 2026

Talgo’s Board of Directors has approved a broad reshuffle of its governing bodies, ratifying the appointment of José Antonio Jainaga Gómez as Chairman following the resignation of former chair Carlos de Palacio y Oriol, and bringing in two new independent directors, Lorea Aristizabal Abasolo and Tomás Olano Uscola, to fill recent vacancies. The company has also reconstituted key board committees—the Audit Committee, the Strategy and Sustainability Committee, and the Appointments and Remuneration Committee—by naming new members and leadership, moves that signal a significant refresh of Talgo’s corporate governance structure and may influence its strategic oversight, risk control, and sustainability agenda ahead of the next General Shareholders’ Meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Overhauls Board and Key Committees After Series of Director Resignations
Feb 6, 2026

Talgo’s board has carried out a broad reshuffle of its governing bodies, ratifying José Antonio Jainaga Gómez as chairman following the resignation of former chair Carlos de Palacio y Oriol and appointing two new independent directors, Lorea Aristizabal Abasolo and Tomás Olano Uscola, by co‑option until the next shareholders’ meeting. The company has also reconfigured its key board committees after several resignations, installing new members and leadership in the Audit Committee, Strategy and Sustainability Committee, and Appointments and Remuneration Committee, moves that signal an attempt to stabilise governance and refresh independent oversight at a sensitive time for corporate strategy and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Reshapes Board and Key Governance Committee After Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting
Feb 5, 2026

Talgo’s Extraordinary General Shareholders’ Meeting, held on 3 February 2026 in Vitoria-Gasteiz, approved all Board-proposed resolutions, including the confirmation of José Antonio Jainaga Gómez as a proprietary director for a new four‑year term following his previous co-optation. The Board of Directors subsequently enacted a broad refresh of its governance structure, accepting the resignations of several directors, removing the chair of the Appointments and Remuneration Committee, and appointing new members and leadership to that committee, signaling a significant reshaping of Talgo’s board and oversight framework that may influence its future strategic direction and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Reshapes Board Leadership and Key Governance Committees
Feb 5, 2026

Talgo’s Board of Directors has approved a broad shake-up of its governance structure, ratifying José Antonio Jainaga Gómez as Chairman to replace outgoing chair Carlos de Palacio y Oriol and bringing in two new independent directors, Lorea Aristizabal Abasolo and Tomás Olano Uscola, to fill recent vacancies. The company has also reconstituted key board committees, naming new members and leadership for the Audit Committee and the Strategy and Sustainability Committee, and adjusting the composition of the Appointments and Remuneration Committee, moves that collectively refresh the oversight framework and may influence Talgo’s strategic direction and governance practices ahead of its next General Shareholders’ Meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Reshapes Board and Committees After Series of Director Resignations
Feb 5, 2026

Talgo’s Board of Directors has approved a sweeping refresh of its governance structure, ratifying José Antonio Jainaga Gómez as chairman following the resignation of former chair Carlos de Palacio y Oriol and appointing two new independent directors, Lorea Aristizabal Abasolo and Tomás Olano Uscola, to fill recent board vacancies. The company has also reconstituted its key board committees, naming new members and leadership for the Audit Committee, Strategy and Sustainability Committee, and Appointments and Remuneration Committee in response to a series of recent resignations, moves that aim to stabilise corporate oversight and align Talgo’s governance with its current strategic priorities and regulatory expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Overhauls Board and Key Committee After Extraordinary Shareholders’ Meeting
Feb 4, 2026

Talgo’s extraordinary general shareholders’ meeting, held on 3 February 2026 in Vitoria-Gasteiz with close to 60% of share capital represented, approved all resolutions proposed by the board, including the formal removal of director Gonzalo Urquijo and the ratification and four‑year re‑election of proprietary director José Antonio Jainaga, initially appointed by co-option in December 2025. Following the meeting, the board accepted the resignations of directors María Luisa Poncela and Carlos de Palacio, overhauled the Appointments and Remuneration Committee by dismissing its previous chair, appointing new members, and naming Aránzazu Estefanía as chairwoman and board secretary Francisco Javier Gómez as committee secretary, reshaping Talgo’s governance structure and signaling a significant refresh of its leadership and board-committee configuration.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Talgo Reshapes Board Leadership With Appointment of New Chairman
Jan 30, 2026

Talgo S.A. has announced a leadership change at the top of its governance structure, with long-standing board member Carlos de Palacio y Oriol stepping down as chairman of the board of directors. The board has unanimously appointed José Antonio Jainaga Gómez as the new chairman, reconfiguring the board’s leadership while maintaining a mix of proprietary and independent external directors, a move that could signal a new phase in the company’s strategic direction and oversight for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:TLGO) stock is a Hold with a EUR3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Talgo S.A. stock, see the ES:TLGO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025