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Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas SA (ES:FCC)
BME:FCC

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas (FCC) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:FCC

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas

(BME:FCC)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
€11.00
▼(-1.26% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/09/26
The score is held back mainly by the sharp deterioration in 2025 profitability and still-elevated leverage, despite solid revenue growth and improved free cash flow. Technicals are weak with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative momentum, while valuation looks stretched on P/E though supported by a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified contract-based revenues
FCC’s revenues are rooted in long-term municipal and concession contracts across waste, water and construction. This contractual, diversified mix supports predictable cash flows, lower demand cyclicality and durable backlog visibility that underpin revenue resilience over 2–6 months.
Steady revenue growth; 2025 acceleration
Consistent top-line expansion, with an acceleration in 2025, indicates sustained market demand and successful tendering or contract execution. Persistent revenue growth helps absorb fixed costs and preserves scale advantages, supporting medium-term margin recovery potential if cost pressures ease.
Improved free cash flow generation
The shift to positive free cash flow in 2024–2025 shows improving cash conversion and operational cash strength. Positive FCF enhances capacity to invest in projects, service debt or sustain distributions, providing a buffer for strategic flexibility and deleveraging over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A sharp fall in net margin to ~1.7% materially reduces earnings quality and free cash potential. Lower profitability limits capacity to fund reinvestment, weakens resilience to cost or pricing shocks, and constrains the company’s ability to restore returns absent margin improvement.
Elevated leverage remains
Despite improvement, leverage at ~1.64x keeps financial flexibility constrained. With compressed margins and interest exposure, elevated debt raises refinancing and covenant risk and limits capacity to pursue growth or cushion project delays over the medium term.
Inconsistent cash conversion
Free cash flow lagging net income and modest operating coverage signal working-capital volatility or reinvestment needs. This inconsistent conversion increases sensitivity to project timing and receivables, making funding cycles and distributions more vulnerable in coming quarters.

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas (FCC) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the environmental services, water management, and infrastructure development businesses in Europe and internationally. The company offers services related to urban sanitation, industrial waste treatment and waste recycling, street cleansing, conservation of green areas, maintenance of sewerage networks, recovery of contaminated soils, and facility management. It also provides end-to-end water management services relating to the integrated water cycle, such as collection, purification and distribution of water for human consumption; sewage collection, filtration and purification; design, construction, and operation and maintenance of water infrastructure for municipal, industrial, agricultural services, etc. In addition, the company undertakes infrastructure works and building construction, such as motorways, roads, tunnels, bridges, hydraulic works, ports, airports, housing estates, housing, non-residential building, lighting, industrial climate control installations, environmental restoration, etc. Further, it is involved in the operation of quarries and mineral deposits; production of cement, limestone, plaster, and prefabricated by-products; and production of concrete. The company was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain. Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. is a subsidiary of Control Empresarial de Capitales, S.A. de C.V.
How the Company Makes MoneyFCC generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its construction projects, which include civil engineering and building works for public and private entities. The company also earns significant income from its environmental services division, providing waste management, recycling, and municipal services to local governments. Additionally, FCC's water management segment, which encompasses water treatment and distribution, contributes to its revenue. The company often engages in long-term contracts and public-private partnerships (PPPs), which provide stable income and help mitigate financial risks. Strategic collaborations with local authorities and other stakeholders in various regions further enhance its revenue potential.

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is steady and accelerated in 2025, and free cash flow improved to positive in 2024–2025. However, profitability weakened sharply in 2025 (net margin down to ~1.7%) and leverage remains elevated (~1.64x debt-to-equity), pressuring returns (ROE fell to ~4.7%).
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily from 2020–2025, accelerating sharply in 2025 (annual report). However, profitability has weakened materially: net margin fell from ~7.0% (2023) and ~4.7% (2024) to ~1.7% (2025), with operating profitability also compressing versus prior years. Gross margin remains strong and fairly stable, but the step-down in bottom-line earnings in 2025 points to higher costs, financing burden, or non-operating pressures that reduce earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage remains meaningful: debt-to-equity is elevated at ~1.64x in 2025 (improved from ~2.03x in 2024, but above 2023’s ~1.21x). Equity increased in 2025, which helps the capital structure, yet returns to shareholders dropped sharply as return on equity fell to ~4.7% in 2025 from mid-teens levels in 2023–2024. Overall, the balance sheet looks serviceable but more leveraged than ideal, with profitability currently not strong enough to fully offset that risk.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: operating cash flow is consistently positive and remained solid in 2025, while free cash flow improved from negative in 2023 to positive in 2024–2025, with strong reported growth in 2025. That said, cash conversion is not consistently strong—free cash flow is well below net income in 2024–2025, and operating cash flow coverage metrics remain modest, suggesting working-capital swings or reinvestment needs can pressure cash available to shareholders.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.57B9.70B9.07B8.41B7.71B6.66B
Gross Profit5.82B5.84B5.41B5.08B4.91B4.30B
EBITDA1.28B1.36B1.49B1.20B1.19B1.37B
Net Income230.92M164.37M429.87M589.06M315.18M580.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.20B15.80B14.24B16.72B15.28B14.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.01B2.99B2.11B1.86B1.79B1.66B
Total Debt5.05B5.73B5.54B5.37B5.37B5.34B
Total Liabilities10.55B11.06B10.50B10.57B10.34B9.80B
Stockholders Equity2.71B3.48B2.73B4.45B3.39B3.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow419.21M486.90M437.97M-66.05M922.92M358.85M
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.20B1.28B785.38M1.55B746.25M
Investing Cash Flow-862.44M-1.05B-1.30B-962.44M-938.04M193.08M
Financing Cash Flow154.03M813.51M234.72M210.26M-567.20M-627.73M

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.14
Price Trends
50DMA
11.16
Negative
100DMA
11.21
Negative
200DMA
11.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
32.41
Neutral
STOCH
7.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:FCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.05, below the 50-day MA of 11.16, and below the 200-day MA of 11.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:FCC.

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
€38.38B44.7969.30%1.42%5.75%346.20%
67
Neutral
€2.54B18.70-3.10%13.00%11.61%-212.68%
65
Neutral
€26.87B22.9920.71%2.38%25.47%7.63%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
€4.92B7.94%4.49%5.00%-64.19%
53
Neutral
€3.17B32.808.86%5.28%2.03%-32.59%
51
Neutral
€560.58M297.920.29%1.39%72.34%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:FCC
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
10.40
0.19
1.85%
ES:ACS
Actividades de Construccion y Servicios SA
103.10
50.32
95.33%
ES:ENO
Elecnor
30.00
14.41
92.39%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
53.44
13.05
32.30%
ES:OHLA
Obrascon Huarte Lain
0.41
>-0.01
-0.98%
ES:SCYR
Sacyr SA
4.02
0.79
24.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 09, 2026