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Gestamp Automocion (ES:GEST)
BME:GEST

Gestamp Automocion (GEST) AI Stock Analysis

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Gestamp Automocion

(BME:GEST)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
€3.50
▲(9.72%Upside)
Gestamp Automocion's strong technical indicators and reasonable valuation combined with positive financial performance metrics contribute to a favorable stock outlook. High leverage and fluctuations in free cash flow are risks, but the company's operational efficiencies and cash generation capabilities provide a solid foundation for growth.

Gestamp Automocion (GEST) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Gestamp Automocion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGestamp Automocion (GEST) is a global leader in the design, development, and manufacturing of metal components and structural systems for the automotive industry. The company specializes in stamping, welding, and assembling components used in the production of vehicles, focusing on lightweight solutions to enhance fuel efficiency and safety. Operating across several sectors, including body-in-white, chassis, and mechanisms, Gestamp serves major automotive manufacturers around the world, leveraging advanced technologies and innovation to meet the evolving needs of the industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyGestamp Automocion generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of metal components and systems to automotive manufacturers. The company's key revenue streams include body-in-white components, chassis systems, and mechanisms, all of which are critical to vehicle structure and performance. Gestamp's business model is heavily reliant on its relationships with major automotive OEMs, which provide long-term contracts and steady demand for its products. Additionally, the company invests in cutting-edge technologies and production processes, enabling it to offer innovative, lightweight solutions that align with industry trends toward sustainability and efficiency. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a role in expanding its market presence and capabilities, contributing to its earnings.

Gestamp Automocion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gestamp Automocion demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics post-pandemic. While leverage is relatively high, operational efficiencies and robust cash generation indicate financial stability. Continued focus on debt management and free cash flow improvement is essential for sustained growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gestamp Automocion has shown a strong recovery in its revenue with a growth rate of 13.3% from 2020 to 2021 and 24.5% from 2021 to 2022, although it slightly declined by 2.2% in 2023. The gross profit margin remains healthy around 37-38% over the years. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations, with a notable recovery from a negative margin in 2020 to positive values in subsequent years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate consistent operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) has improved significantly post-2020, showcasing better profitability on shareholder's equity. The equity ratio has been stable, reflecting a balanced approach to financing through equity and liabilities.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Gestamp Automocion's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth in recent years, suggesting challenges in maintaining surplus cash after capital expenditures. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio has fluctuated, pointing to variability in cash retention after expenses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.93B12.00B12.27B10.73B8.09B7.46B
Gross Profit3.26B4.60B4.50B3.95B3.36B3.00B
EBITDA1.29B1.30B1.34B1.22B1.01B613.26M
Net Income160.29M188.49M280.67M259.97M215.46M-143.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.77B10.49B9.93B10.04B8.64B9.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B1.38B1.32B1.72B1.49B2.31B
Total Debt0.003.48B3.38B3.94B3.81B4.82B
Total Liabilities7.68B7.48B7.07B7.28B6.42B7.40B
Stockholders Equity2.34B2.28B2.20B2.13B1.75B1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow207.74M116.04M211.30M261.70M213.95M322.75M
Operating Cash Flow1.12B1.07B1.16B1.04B827.39M880.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.05B-1.02B-924.19M-806.61M-631.72M-479.42M
Financing Cash Flow99.88M-70.82M-726.93M-39.16M-1.07B1.29B

Gestamp Automocion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.19
Price Trends
50DMA
2.91
Positive
100DMA
2.77
Positive
200DMA
2.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
66.01
Neutral
STOCH
90.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:GEST, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.01, above the 50-day MA of 2.91, and above the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:GEST.

Gestamp Automocion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€1.82B11.266.90%2.61%-2.00%-36.82%
ESCIE
75
Outperform
€3.04B9.3423.42%3.71%0.03%1.68%
ESPSG
75
Outperform
€1.57B17.4510.72%4.20%15.36%28.72%
64
Neutral
kr59.90B13.371.88%7.71%0.78%-4.41%
ESTUB
60
Neutral
€465.92M21.257.40%4.44%-9.95%-37.57%
46
Neutral
€355.74M20.37-47.29%1.97%2.64%-867.79%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:GEST
Gestamp Automocion
3.19
0.47
17.45%
ES:CIE
CIE Automotive
25.20
-0.57
-2.21%
ES:PSG
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad
2.99
1.34
81.46%
ES:TUB
Tubacex
3.75
0.73
24.25%
ES:TLGO
Talgo S.A.
2.94
-1.07
-26.63%

Gestamp Automocion Corporate Events

Gestamp Automoción Reports Related Party Transactions with Acek Group
May 23, 2025

Gestamp Automoción announced transactions with its related party, Acek Group, which exceeded the regulatory threshold of 2.5% of annual turnover. These transactions, involving services provided and received, were deemed market-based and compliant with applicable regulations, reflecting Gestamp’s adherence to transparency and regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:GEST) stock is a Hold with a EUR2.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gestamp Automocion stock, see the ES:GEST Stock Forecast page.

Gestamp Automoción Announces Key Board Appointments and Re-elections
May 9, 2025

Gestamp Automoción, S.A. announced several key appointments and re-elections during its Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders. The company appointed Ms. Patricia Riberas López as an Executive Director and re-elected several directors, including Mr. Francisco José Riberas Mera as Executive Chairman. These changes aim to strengthen the company’s leadership and governance structure, potentially enhancing its strategic direction and operational efficiency.

Gestamp Maintains Strong Financial Performance Amid Market Challenges
May 8, 2025

Gestamp reported a strong financial performance in the first quarter of 2025, with revenues of 2.983 billion euros and an EBITDA of 307 million euros, despite challenges such as market volatility and currency impacts. The company’s strategic focus on diversification and cost control measures has helped maintain profitability and reduce net debt to its lowest level since the adoption of IFRS 16. Gestamp continues to execute its Phoenix Plan in the NAFTA region, aiming to improve profitability in line with other regions. The company remains committed to shareholder value, approving a dividend distribution and appointing a new executive director.

Gestamp Automoción to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Apr 24, 2025

Gestamp Automoción has announced that it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, after the market closes. The company will also host a webcast on the same day to present these results, providing an opportunity for stakeholders to engage in a Q&A session, reflecting its commitment to transparency and investor engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025