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Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA (ES:PSG)
BME:PSG

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad (PSG) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:PSG

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad

(BME:PSG)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
€2.50
▼(-5.30% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is held back primarily by high and rising leverage and only moderate cash support relative to debt, despite stable operating performance. Technicals are broadly neutral. Valuation is a relative positive due to a reasonable P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified security services
A multi-segment business model spanning cash management, electronic security and cybersecurity provides structural revenue diversification across physical and digital security needs. This reduces single-market cyclicality and supports durable cross-sell opportunities with corporate clients over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverage
Significantly elevated and increasing debt-to-equity heightens financial risk and interest expense sensitivity. Persistent high leverage constrains strategic flexibility, limits capacity for M&A or capex without refinancing, and increases downside vulnerability to earnings shocks over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified security services
A multi-segment business model spanning cash management, electronic security and cybersecurity provides structural revenue diversification across physical and digital security needs. This reduces single-market cyclicality and supports durable cross-sell opportunities with corporate clients over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad (PSG) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. operates in the private security sector. The company operates through Security, Cash, Cybersecurity, Alarms, and AVOS (added-value outsourcing services) segments. The Security segment offers guarding and protec...
How the Company Makes Money
Prosegur generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from its cash management services, which include the transportation and handling of cash and valuables for businesses and financial institutions. Additionally, the electronic secur...

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is steady but low-margin (TTM EBIT margin ~6.4%, net margin ~2.2%) with slowing TTM revenue momentum. The main drag is a stretched balance sheet with high and rising leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~3.43). Free cash flow improved, but cash conversion weakened (FCF ~31% of net income) and operating cash flow covers a small portion of debt (~0.14), limiting flexibility.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.93B4.91B4.31B4.17B3.50B
Gross Profit1.00B1.23B874.15M992.24M808.21M
EBITDA543.70M507.32M417.46M451.15M364.17M
Net Income119.32M78.08M65.54M64.68M40.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.91B4.63B4.04B4.83B3.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18B700.01M440.45M1.18B585.90M
Total Debt2.72B1.96B1.82B2.54B1.78B
Total Liabilities4.11B3.74B3.33B4.04B3.11B
Stockholders Equity720.54M811.01M681.46M756.11M692.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow242.46M158.17M139.41M139.76M186.17M
Operating Cash Flow377.24M352.50M293.20M307.57M330.30M
Investing Cash Flow-209.62M-169.00M-185.09M-145.45M-25.70M
Financing Cash Flow338.26M103.42M-791.54M529.79M-462.24M

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.64
Price Trends
50DMA
2.72
Negative
100DMA
2.66
Negative
200DMA
2.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
49.37
Neutral
STOCH
81.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:PSG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.63, below the 50-day MA of 2.72, and below the 200-day MA of 2.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ES:PSG.

Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€8.69B14.7228.97%0.52%6.92%57.04%
67
Neutral
€4.35B13.9452.13%7.05%4.24%-8.96%
66
Neutral
€2.93B18.70-3.10%13.00%11.61%-212.68%
62
Neutral
€41.14B44.7969.30%1.42%5.75%346.20%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€911.48M9.0641.93%7.10%
50
Neutral
€1.41B11.6116.00%4.98%10.40%62.70%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:PSG
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad
2.65
0.81
44.46%
ES:ENO
Elecnor
34.55
20.29
142.27%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
57.28
20.61
56.22%
ES:IDR
Indra Sistemas
49.34
24.84
101.35%
ES:LOG
Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings
32.96
7.25
28.20%
ES:CASH
Prosegur Cash
0.64
0.03
5.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 05, 2026