Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA (ES:PSG)
BME:PSG
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Prosegur Compania de Seguridad
(BME:PSG)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
€3.00
▲(7.53% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and positive cash flow, tempered by high leverage and modest cash-to-debt strength. Technicals are stable/neutral with slight positive momentum, while valuation is supportive due to a moderate P/E and a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring, diversified revenue streams
Prosegur’s business is built on recurring service contracts (manned guarding, monitoring, CIT) and project installations. This mix creates durable revenue visibility, cross-sell opportunities and sticky client relationships that support stable cash flows and route/site density benefits over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High leverage materially constrains financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. With debt-to-equity near ~2.8x, cash flow shocks or slower growth would pressure liquidity and limit capacity for M&A or capex, making capital structure a persistent vulnerability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring, diversified revenue streams
Prosegur’s business is built on recurring service contracts (manned guarding, monitoring, CIT) and project installations. This mix creates durable revenue visibility, cross-sell opportunities and sticky client relationships that support stable cash flows and route/site density benefits over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad (PSG) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)
Market Cap
€1.46B
Dividend Yield4.98%
Average Volume (3M)188.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.5
Beta (1Y)0.62
Revenue Growth-1.72%
EPS Growth37.69%
CountryES
Employees152,384
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustrySecurity & Protection Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.23
Shares Outstanding545,026,860
10 Day Avg. Volume152,506
30 Day Avg. Volume188,011
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.25
Price to Book (P/B)1.92
Price to Sales (P/S)0.28
P/FCF Ratio5.71
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€3.15Price Target Upside12.90% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.25
Revenue Forecast (FY)€5.17B
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. operates in the private security sector. The company operates through Security, Cash, Cybersecurity, Alarms, and AVOS (added-value outsourcing services) segments. The Security segment offers guarding and protec...
How the Company Makes Money
PSG makes money primarily by selling security services and solutions under recurring service contracts and project-based deployments. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Manned guarding services: recurring fees charged to business and publi...
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.95B | 4.93B | 4.91B | 4.31B | 4.17B | 3.50B |
| Gross Profit | 2.98B | 1.00B | 1.23B | 874.15M | 992.24M | 808.21M |
| EBITDA | 551.00M | 543.70M | 507.32M | 417.46M | 451.15M | 364.17M |
| Net Income | 123.60M | 119.32M | 78.08M | 65.54M | 64.68M | 40.99M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.61B | 4.91B | 4.63B | 4.04B | 4.83B | 3.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 715.40M | 1.18B | 700.01M | 440.45M | 1.18B | 585.90M |
| Total Debt | 2.33B | 2.72B | 1.96B | 1.82B | 2.54B | 1.78B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.69B | 4.11B | 3.74B | 3.33B | 4.04B | 3.11B |
| Stockholders Equity | 826.50M | 720.54M | 811.01M | 681.46M | 756.11M | 692.39M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 217.96M | 242.46M | 158.17M | 139.41M | 139.76M | 186.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 391.49M | 377.24M | 352.50M | 293.20M | 307.57M | 330.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -201.68M | -209.62M | -169.00M | -185.09M | -145.45M | -25.70M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 346.16M | 338.26M | 103.42M | -791.54M | 529.79M | -462.24M |
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Technical Analysis
Positive
2.79
Price Trends
2.66
Positive
2.69
Positive
2.65
Positive
Market Momentum
0.02
Negative
55.58
Neutral
56.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:PSG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.69, above the 50-day MA of 2.66, and above the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:PSG.
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | €9.16B | 27.26 | 27.79% | 0.52% | 15.07% | 64.92% | |
67 Neutral | €4.35B | 7.83 | 61.92% | 7.05% | 3.79% | -11.33% | |
66 Neutral | €1.46B | 10.55 | 16.70% | 4.98% | -1.72% | 37.69% | |
66 Neutral | €3.40B | 8.55 | -3.10% | 13.00% | 15.15% | ― | |
62 Neutral | €41.53B | 28.65 | 15.04% | 1.42% | 5.25% | -72.42% | |
56 Neutral | €891.38M | 9.26 | 41.93% | 7.10% | -7.82% | -2.64% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
ES:PSG
Prosegur Compania de Seguridad
2.77
0.15
5.82%
ES:ENO
Elecnor
39.15
20.24
107.08%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
58.26
13.07
28.91%
ES:IDR
Indra Sistemas
51.52
18.16
54.45%
ES:LOG
Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings
33.28
6.05
22.23%
ES:CASH
Prosegur Cash
0.62
-0.20
-24.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.