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Neinor Homes SA (ES:HOME)
BME:HOME

Neinor Homes (HOME) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:HOME

Neinor Homes

(BME:HOME)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
€17.50
▲(2.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance with strong 2025 profitability and free-cash-flow rebound, offset by a materially weaker balance sheet due to higher leverage. Valuation is a meaningful positive (moderate P/E and very high dividend yield), while technicals are mixed with near-term weakness but a still-positive longer-term trend.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow rebound
A large FCF surge in 2025 indicates the business can convert profits into cash, supporting dividends, capex, and land investment without immediate external financing. Strong cash generation enhances strategic optionality and resilience across a 2–6 month horizon and aids deleveraging if sustained.
Negative Factors
Material rise in leverage
A step-change in leverage materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability. Higher debt amplifies downside risk if the housing cycle softens, constraining the company’s ability to invest or repurchase land without worsening solvency metrics over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow rebound
A large FCF surge in 2025 indicates the business can convert profits into cash, supporting dividends, capex, and land investment without immediate external financing. Strong cash generation enhances strategic optionality and resilience across a 2–6 month horizon and aids deleveraging if sustained.
Read all positive factors

Neinor Homes (HOME) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Neinor Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Neinor Homes, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, develops, promotes, rental, and manages real estate properties in Spain. The company operates through Legacy, Development, Assets Management-Servicing, and Rental segments. Its land portfolio con...
How the Company Makes Money
Neinor Homes makes money primarily by developing and selling newly built residential units. Revenue is recognized mainly from (1) the sale of completed homes to individual buyers (and, where applicable, to institutional purchasers), which is typic...

Neinor Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and a sharp 2025 rebound in revenue and free cash flow support the score, but the balance sheet is a key drag: leverage rose materially in 2025 (debt ~1.32x equity), and revenue has been cyclical with declines in 2023–2024.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
69
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue709.13M486.69M590.63M765.29M914.30M
Gross Profit197.95M153.23M185.96M208.99M242.99M
EBITDA169.24M104.12M132.72M120.68M148.78M
Net Income123.25M62.01M90.63M96.27M103.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.93B1.73B1.65B1.78B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments802.74M375.17M188.70M227.82M283.33M
Total Debt1.54B518.22M387.89M470.37M557.07M
Total Liabilities2.55B863.59M667.61M850.97M1.02B
Stockholders Equity1.16B858.74M975.37M927.17M943.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow208.83M101.10M9.88M148.30M224.46M
Operating Cash Flow209.14M102.58M10.51M151.56M225.20M
Investing Cash Flow-695.28M-24.00M81.00M-21.82M-43.78M
Financing Cash Flow692.44M92.31M-130.69M-211.85M-141.99M

Neinor Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price17.07
Price Trends
50DMA
18.12
Negative
100DMA
17.86
Negative
200DMA
17.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
48.72
Neutral
STOCH
59.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:HOME, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 17.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.85, below the 50-day MA of 18.12, and below the 200-day MA of 17.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ES:HOME.

Neinor Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€946.71M14.75%16.98%-1.95%11.63%
67
Neutral
€1.67B12.9511.46%16.56%-19.93%-42.19%
56
Neutral
€1.83B24.95-0.63%17.21%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:HOME
Neinor Homes
16.92
4.28
33.81%
ES:AEDAS
AEDAS Homes SA
23.00
-0.11
-0.50%
ES:MVC
Metrovacesa SA
12.10
3.80
45.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026