Metrovacesa SA (MVC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €1.58B
• Dividend Yield: 17.21%
• Average Volume (3M): 121.41K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 99.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.31
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: ES
• Employees: 218
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Residential Construction
• EPS (TTM): -0.10
• Shares Outstanding: 151,676,330
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 179,114
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 121,411
• PEG Ratio: -0.51
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.87
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.13
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.69
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: €10.50 ▲(17.98% Upside)

Metrovacesa SA's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, bearish technical indicators and a high P/E ratio suggest caution. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect, but the stock's valuation and technical trends present significant risks.

Positive Factors

Strong free cash flow generation

Sustained, materially higher free cash flow strengthens liquidity and funds project development without heavy external financing. Over 2-6 months this supports execution of the development pipeline, dividend capacity and resilience to cyclical slowdowns in home sales.

Conservative leverage and strong equity base

Low leverage and a high equity ratio reduce refinancing and interest-rate risk for a capital-intensive developer. This durable balance sheet capacity allows Metrovacesa to fund land development, withstand sales timing variability and pursue selective growth without stressing liquidity.

Recovering revenue with improving margins

Sustained revenue growth and meaningful gross margin expansion indicate better pricing or cost control on projects. Turning net profit positive shows operational recovery; if maintained, these trends support reinvestment in the land bank and gradual margin improvement across future build cycles.

Negative Factors

Moderate operating efficiency (EBIT margin)

A modest EBIT margin limits the firm's ability to absorb rising construction or financing costs and constrains free cash flow expansion. In residential development, improving operational efficiency is key to durable profitability; without it, margin volatility may persist across cycles.

Low return on equity despite improvement

An ROE around 1% is very low for a development company, implying limited returns on deployed capital. Over months this hampers the firm’s ability to generate attractive shareholder returns and may signal underutilized assets or the need for higher margin projects to improve capital efficiency.

Concentrated exposure to Spanish residential market and land-timing risk

Concentration in Spanish residential development and reliance on land-bank monetization creates structural revenue timing risk: sales and cash flows are tied to project completions and local housing cycles. This limits diversification and can produce durable volatility across development phases.

Metrovacesa SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Metrovacesa SA (MVC) is a leading real estate company based in Spain, primarily engaged in the development, management, and investment of residential and commercial properties. The company operates across various sectors, focusing on urban development and property management, with a significant presence in the Spanish real estate market. Metrovacesa’s core offerings include the development of residential projects, commercial properties, and land for future development, catering to both individual buyers and institutional investors.

How the Company Makes Money

Metrovacesa generates revenue primarily through the sale and rental of residential and commercial properties. The company's revenue model includes income from the development and sale of new residential units, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. Additionally, the company earns recurring income from leasing its commercial properties to businesses. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers, long-term leases, and property management services. Metrovacesa also benefits from partnerships with local governments and other stakeholders in urban development projects, which can enhance its market reach and profitability. The company's ability to identify prime locations for development and its expertise in navigating the Spanish real estate market further contribute to its earnings.

Metrovacesa SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Metrovacesa SA demonstrates a positive financial trajectory with strong revenue growth and improving profitability metrics. The balance sheet is stable with a strong equity base and conservative debt levels, fostering financial resilience. Robust cash flow generation enhances liquidity, supporting future growth initiatives. However, there is room for improvement in operational margins.

Income Statement

Metrovacesa SA has shown a strong revenue growth of 11.48% from 2023 to 2024, indicating a positive trajectory in its operations. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 28.18%, reflecting better cost management. The net profit margin also improved to 2.43%, turning positive after a loss in the previous year, suggesting a recovery in profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains moderate at 7.78%, implying room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.22, indicating a conservative leverage position. Return on Equity (ROE) improved significantly to 0.99%, showing better profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands strong at 66.15%, highlighting a stable financial structure with a good proportion of equity financing. However, overall asset efficiency can be further optimized.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow showed impressive growth, nearly tripling from the previous year, which indicates strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 5.98, suggesting strong cash-based earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust at 5.98, reflecting efficient cash conversion. Continued positive cash flows support liquidity and potential investment opportunities.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	555.25M	653.76M	586.46M	519.21M	510.74M	139.84M
Gross Profit	555.25M	184.27M	580.62M	97.08M	512.10M	23.11M
EBITDA	0.00	48.20M	12.27M	-1.31M	27.38M	-124.37M
Net Income	-3.44M	15.88M	-20.84M	-23.48M	18.46M	-163.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.42B	2.41B	2.53B	2.51B	2.78B	2.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	60.52M	193.88M	233.23M	212.01M	322.00M	344.09M
Total Debt	435.13M	355.62M	438.39M	347.52M	390.03M	417.17M
Total Liabilities	905.47M	816.64M	847.36M	708.34M	697.34M	746.84M
Stockholders Equity	1.51B	1.60B	1.69B	1.81B	2.08B	2.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	30.52M	94.96M	30.78M	211.27M	138.21M	-78.83M
Operating Cash Flow	30.65M	94.96M	32.24M	211.27M	138.97M	-78.45M
Investing Cash Flow	3.62M	39.51M	-28.74M	-8.02M	-3.85M	-10.66M
Financing Cash Flow	-102.23M	-144.33M	-9.21M	-300.79M	-169.61M	283.46M

Metrovacesa SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 8.90
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:MVC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.89, below the 50-day MA of 9.84, and below the 200-day MA of 9.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:MVC.

Metrovacesa SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AEDAS	72 Outperform	€983.76M	7.11	16.56%	16.98%	-1.95%	11.63%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
HOME	62 Neutral	€1.98B	27.02	5.74%	16.56%	-19.93%	-42.19%
MVC	56 Neutral	€1.58B	99.24	―	17.21%	―	―

Metrovacesa SA Corporate Events

Metrovacesa Closes €200 Million Office Deal to Complete Madrid’s Oria Innovation Campus

Metrovacesa has signed a turnkey agreement with Atrea Real Estate for the development and sale of two office buildings in Madrid valued at 200 million euros, comprising a 26‑storey tower and a 6‑storey block totaling nearly 48,000 square metres of gross leasable area, with construction to begin shortly and completion scheduled for 2029. These assets form part of the Oria Innovation Campus, a major urban regeneration project next to the former Clesa factory that includes four mixed‑use buildings; with the office deal, following ongoing works on a student residence and a Living building due in 2026 and 2027, Metrovacesa has now fully commercialised the entire Oria project, reinforcing its position in Madrid’s tertiary real estate market and signalling progress in its development pipeline.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:MVC) stock is a Hold with a EUR10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metrovacesa SA stock, see the ES:MVC Stock Forecast page.