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Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. (ES:GSJ)
BME:GSJ

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. (GSJ) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:GSJ

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A.

(BME:GSJ)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
€9.00
▲(14.65% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—strong recent free cash flow and a de-risked balance sheet—partly offset by meaningful 2025 gross margin compression. Technicals are mixed with near-term weakness (below shorter-term averages and low RSI/Stoch), while valuation looks reasonable with a moderate P/E and modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained high free cash flow in 2024–2025 that closely tracks net income indicates durable cash conversion. This supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and balance-sheet strengthening over the medium term, improving financial flexibility for project funding and strategic choices.
Conservative leverage, improving ROE
A materially de-risked capital structure and rising ROE reduce funding strain and credit risk. Lower leverage plus equity growth increases resilience to project cycles, enabling the company to pursue bidding and investment while maintaining capacity to absorb setbacks.
Meaningful revenue scale expansion
Robust top-line growth over multiple years signals improved market share and project activity. Greater scale can enhance bidding competitiveness and fixed-cost absorption, providing a structural platform to improve margins and sustain earnings growth if project mix remains favorable.
Negative Factors
Sharp gross margin compression (2025)
A nearly 12-point drop in gross margin is a structural red flag: it may reflect adverse mix, pricing pressure, or persistent cost inflation. If sustained, lower gross margins reduce operational leverage and long-term profitability, constraining reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Very thin net margins
Net margins near mid-single digits leave little buffer against cost overruns or project delays common in construction. Persistent thin profitability limits internal funding for growth, heightens sensitivity to input-price swings and increases reliance on tight project execution.
Historical leverage and cash variability
Prior swings in leverage and working-capital-driven capital needs indicate financing needs can re-emerge under certain project cycles. This variability raises the risk that strong recent metrics could reverse, forcing external funding or margin compression in downturns.

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. (GSJ) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Empresarial San José, S.A. engages in construction business in Spain and internationally. It constructs hospitals, buildings and facilities, energy power plants, and infrastructure projects, as well as conserves parks and gardens; and undertakes civil, and engineering and industrial construction works. The company also researches and develops energy efficiency and renewable energy projects; and provides consultancy and project management services for the architecture, civil engineering/infrastructure, real estate management, technology, and sustainable development projects. In addition, it engages in agriculture and cattle businesses; and distributes sport and fashion clothes under the Arena, Teva, Hoka, Diadora, Hunter, Fred Perry clothing, and Dr. Martens brands. The company was formerly known as Udra S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Empresarial San José, S.A. in June 2008. Grupo Empresarial San José, S.A. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyGSJ generates revenue through multiple streams, including contract work in construction and infrastructure development for government and private sector clients. The company typically earns money by securing contracts for large-scale projects, which may include road construction, building facilities, and urban development initiatives. Additionally, GSJ may engage in real estate development, generating profits through the sale or lease of residential and commercial properties. Strategic partnerships with governmental bodies and other corporations enhance its project pipeline, while a focus on sustainability may open up opportunities for specialized funding or incentives. Overall, the combination of diverse project engagements and strategic collaborations contributes significantly to GSJ's earnings.

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth over 2022–2025 and standout recent free cash flow support earnings quality. Balance sheet leverage is conservative with improving ROE, reducing financial risk. The key drag is the sharp 2025 gross margin compression versus 2024, which raises concern about margin durability in a thin-margin industry.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Revenue has expanded strongly over the 2022–2025 period (from ~€1.09B to ~€1.59B), indicating improving scale and project activity. Profitability is positive but thin, with net margin still low (about 2.5% in 2025), which is typical for construction but leaves limited buffer if project costs rise. A key concern is the sharp drop in gross margin in 2025 versus 2024 (from ~25% to ~13%), signaling potential mix shift, pricing pressure, or cost inflation, even though operating and net profit dollars improved.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage is conservative in recent years, with debt-to-equity improving materially from elevated levels in 2020–2021 to low levels in 2022–2025, which reduces financial risk. Equity has grown (supporting balance-sheet resilience), and returns on equity are solid and improving (roughly 11% in 2023 to ~16% in 2025). The main watch item is the historical volatility in leverage (high in 2020–2021), which suggests the capital structure can swing depending on working-capital needs and project cycle.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout: operating cash flow and free cash flow are strong in 2024–2025 (free cash flow of ~€116M and ~€167M, respectively). Free cash flow tracks net income closely (around ~95–96% in 2023–2025), supporting earnings quality and indicating profits are translating into cash. A risk to monitor is variability over time (notably weaker cash generation in 2021–2022 versus the step-up in 2023–2025), which can occur in this industry due to project timing and working-capital swings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.59B1.56B1.34B1.09B927.69M
Gross Profit361.42M210.37M393.55M355.44M319.21M269.81M
EBITDA90.01M76.58M69.12M51.32M43.59M41.71M
Net Income26.58M39.85M33.02M19.94M16.61M12.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.43B1.30B1.14B978.66M933.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments522.90M638.55M490.70M411.68M328.47M313.92M
Total Debt12.44M29.30M19.22M17.93M13.60M114.23M
Total Liabilities1.08B1.14B1.05B919.56M772.11M750.93M
Stockholders Equity214.34M247.92M218.22M181.38M174.44M151.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00167.18M116.46M97.87M25.23M24.41M
Operating Cash Flow0.00174.10M122.41M103.38M31.61M30.88M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-28.14M-30.42M22.41M-12.09M38.41M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.90M-15.52M-18.18M-10.98M-58.40M

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.85
Price Trends
50DMA
8.45
Negative
100DMA
7.91
Positive
200DMA
7.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
34.65
Neutral
STOCH
27.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:GSJ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.83, below the 50-day MA of 8.45, and above the 200-day MA of 7.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:GSJ.

Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
€524.76M12.2717.08%1.89%3.23%12.32%
69
Neutral
€39.70B44.7969.30%1.42%5.75%346.20%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
€2.22B10.8424.64%41.87%55.79%
55
Neutral
€5.08B5.28%4.49%5.00%-64.19%
53
Neutral
€3.24B32.808.86%5.28%2.03%-32.59%
51
Neutral
€568.87M297.920.29%1.39%72.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:GSJ
Grupo Empresarial San Jose, S.A.
8.07
2.61
47.72%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
55.28
15.91
40.42%
ES:FCC
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
10.74
0.78
7.84%
ES:OHLA
Obrascon Huarte Lain
0.41
-0.09
-18.45%
ES:SCYR
Sacyr SA
4.11
0.92
28.80%
ES:TRE
Tecnicas Reunidas
28.42
13.17
86.36%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026