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Grifols, SA (ES:GRF)
BME:GRF

Grifols (GRF) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:GRF

Grifols

(BME:GRF)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
€9.00
▼(-0.55% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/06/26
The score is primarily constrained by balance-sheet risk (high leverage and limited debt coverage) despite improving revenue, margins, and cash generation. Weak technical signals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) further weigh on the outlook, while a reasonable P/E and modest dividend provide only partial support.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
Grifols' vertical model — plasma collection, fractionation and commercial distribution combined with Diagnostics' instrument-plus-reagent annuity — creates durable, recurring revenue streams. This integration secures supply, captures value across the chain and builds structural revenue resilience versus pure-play peers.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High absolute debt and a debt-to-equity ratio near 1.8x materially reduce financial flexibility. Interest and principal obligations constrain capital allocation, limit ability to invest aggressively or pursue M&A, and raise refinancing vulnerability if cash generation weakens or rates rise over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
Grifols' vertical model — plasma collection, fractionation and commercial distribution combined with Diagnostics' instrument-plus-reagent annuity — creates durable, recurring revenue streams. This integration secures supply, captures value across the chain and builds structural revenue resilience versus pure-play peers.
Read all positive factors

Grifols (GRF) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Grifols Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grifols, S.A. engages in the procurement, manufacture, preparation, and sale of therapeutic products, primarily hemoderivatives. The company operates through Bioscience, Hospital, Diagnostic, Bio Supplies, and Others divisions. The Bioscience divi...
How the Company Makes Money
Grifols primarily makes money by collecting human plasma through its network of plasma donation centers and converting that plasma into plasma-derived medicines that are sold to hospitals, pharmacies, and healthcare systems. A key revenue stream c...

Grifols Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operational recovery is evident with steady revenue growth and improved profitability and cash flow versus the 2022–2023 trough. However, the balance sheet is a major constraint: leverage is elevated (debt-heavy structure), equity has declined, and cash flow coverage of total debt remains limited, increasing financial risk and reducing flexibility.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.52B7.21B6.59B6.06B4.93B
Gross Profit2.86B2.85B2.49B2.23B1.96B
EBITDA1.25B1.61B1.18B1.21B944.03M
Net Income401.89M156.92M59.31M208.28M265.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.71B21.41B21.44B21.53B19.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments825.49M1.00B645.72M591.24M2.68B
Total Debt8.74B10.09B10.12B9.75B9.32B
Total Liabilities12.11B12.80B13.47B13.08B11.09B
Stockholders Equity5.27B5.88B5.83B6.13B6.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow782.00M669.63M-87.14M-386.43M281.89M
Operating Cash Flow1.05B902.17M208.28M-10.87M596.98M
Investing Cash Flow-579.00M886.67M-397.64M-1.98B-29.39M
Financing Cash Flow-529.00M-1.36B186.04M-173.49M1.47B

Grifols Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.05
Price Trends
50DMA
10.05
Negative
100DMA
10.42
Negative
200DMA
11.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
41.23
Neutral
STOCH
47.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:GRF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.02, below the 50-day MA of 10.05, and below the 200-day MA of 11.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:GRF.

Grifols Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€4.21B23.1323.03%1.50%-9.39%-25.92%
71
Outperform
€1.65B17.1935.36%1.04%7.35%5375.64%
59
Neutral
€2.79B35.123.96%1.22%13.32%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
€5.57B18.757.56%1.37%7.31%158.58%
51
Neutral
€1.53B20.1718.13%3.51%11.04%8.29%
46
Neutral
€209.08M41.662.03%1.91%-1.19%-54.66%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:GRF
Grifols
8.93
0.84
10.39%
ES:ALM
Almirall
13.00
3.79
41.15%
ES:FAE
Faes Farma
4.90
1.27
35.22%
ES:RJF
LABORATORIO REIG JOFRE
2.56
-0.14
-5.29%
ES:ROVI
Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi
83.35
34.72
71.40%
ES:PHM
Pharma Mar SA
92.90
17.15
22.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026