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Grifols
(BME:GRF)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€11.00
▲(13.87% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is driven primarily by mid-range financial performance: improved profitability and free cash flow are offset by high leverage and a sharp TTM revenue decline. Technicals add support as the stock trades above key moving averages, while valuation is reasonable on earnings but offers limited dividend support.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration & plasma collection network
Grifols' integrated model — operating its own plasma donation/collection centers through to fractionation and commercialization — secures raw-material supply, reduces input-price exposure and strengthens margins. This vertical control supports long-term product availability, cost management and competitive barriers across geographies and therapies.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High debt-to-equity increases refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability, constraining strategic flexibility. Sustained leverage at ~1.7–1.8x raises the cost of capital, limits capacity for bolt-on M&A or aggressive capex, and means operating shocks or revenue dips could materially pressure earnings and cash available for deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Vertical integration & plasma collection network
Grifols' integrated model — operating its own plasma donation/collection centers through to fractionation and commercialization — secures raw-material supply, reduces input-price exposure and strengthens margins. This vertical control supports long-term product availability, cost management and competitive barriers across geographies and therapies.
Read all positive factors
Grifols (GRF) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)
Market Cap
€5.93B
Dividend Yield0.83%
Average Volume (3M)1.09M
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.9
Beta (1Y)0.82
Revenue Growth-0.33%
EPS Growth51.93%
CountryES
Employees25,000
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryDrug Manufacturers - General
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.67
Shares Outstanding426,129,800
10 Day Avg. Volume1,216,950
30 Day Avg. Volume1,090,725
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)1.40
Price to Sales (P/S)0.98
P/FCF Ratio11.79
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€10.00Price Target Upside3.52% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.83
Revenue Forecast (FY)€7.64B
Grifols Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Grifols, S.A., a Spanish company established in 1940 and headquartered in Barcelona, specializes in the comprehensive process of acquiring, manufacturing, preparing, and distributing therapeutic products, with a primary focus on those derived from...
How the Company Makes Money
Grifols makes money primarily by developing, manufacturing, and selling biologic medicines derived from human plasma. A core driver of its business model is vertical integration: it sources a significant portion of its key raw material by operatin...
Grifols Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 7.42B | 7.52B | 7.21B | 6.59B | 6.06B | 4.93B |
| Gross Profit | 2.76B | 2.69B | 2.85B | 2.49B | 2.23B | 1.96B |
| EBITDA | 1.62B | 1.69B | 1.61B | 1.18B | 1.21B | 944.03M |
| Net Income | 452.11M | 401.89M | 156.92M | 59.31M | 208.28M | 265.33M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 20.09B | 19.71B | 21.41B | 21.44B | 21.53B | 19.23B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 529.00M | 825.49M | 1.00B | 645.72M | 591.24M | 2.68B |
| Total Debt | 8.52B | 9.57B | 10.09B | 10.12B | 9.75B | 9.32B |
| Total Liabilities | 12.11B | 12.11B | 12.80B | 13.47B | 13.08B | 11.09B |
| Stockholders Equity | 5.55B | 5.27B | 5.88B | 5.83B | 6.13B | 6.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 766.66M | 624.00M | 669.63M | -87.14M | -386.43M | 281.89M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.09B | 1.05B | 902.17M | 208.28M | -10.87M | 596.98M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -520.00M | -579.00M | 886.67M | -397.64M | -1.98B | -29.39M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -638.94M | -529.00M | -1.36B | 186.04M | -173.49M | 1.47B |
Grifols Technical Analysis
Positive
9.66
Price Trends
9.24
Positive
9.15
Positive
9.92
Positive
Market Momentum
0.30
Negative
62.34
Neutral
49.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:GRF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.64, above the 50-day MA of 9.24, and below the 200-day MA of 9.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:GRF.
Grifols Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | €2.96B | 16.17 | 27.84% | 1.63% | 3.21% | 39.34% | |
62 Neutral | €2.42B | 33.50 | 4.78% | 1.63% | 12.41% | 342.01% | |
60 Neutral | €5.93B | 14.87 | 8.43% | 0.85% | -0.33% | 51.93% | |
58 Neutral | €1.42B | 13.74 | 18.19% | 4.89% | 31.88% | -20.09% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
51 Neutral | €219.01M | 49.26 | 2.01% | 0.74% | -3.23% | -60.06% |
* General Sector Average
ES:GRF
Grifols
10.18
-2.34
-18.70%
ES:ALM
Almirall
10.84
0.56
5.41%
ES:FAE
Faes Farma
4.52
0.39
9.50%
ES:RJF
LABORATORIO REIG JOFRE
2.71
-0.23
-7.70%
ES:ROVI
Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi
58.35
5.40
10.19%
ES:IKM
1nKemia IUCT Group SA
0.31
0.00
0.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.