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Almirall SA (ES:ALM)
BME:ALM

Almirall (ALM) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:ALM

Almirall

(BME:ALM)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
€14.00
▲(8.53% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is driven by improving financial performance and a solid balance sheet with moderate leverage, but tempered by historical earnings/FCF volatility and low returns. Technicals are mildly constructive (price above major averages) but momentum indicators are subdued. Valuation is the main headwind due to the very high P/E and only modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue recovery
A clear top-line recovery to ~€1.11B in 2025 reflects restored commercial traction in Almirall's core dermatology portfolio. Sustained revenue growth from 2021–2025 indicates improving market position and product demand, supporting mid‑term cash generation and investment capacity.
Improved cash generation
Operating cash flow turning consistently positive and a sizeable FCF rebound in 2025 materially strengthen the firm's ability to fund R&D, support launches, and meet obligations without relying on external financing. This improves financial flexibility over the coming quarters.
Manageable, improving leverage
Moderate and improving leverage (D/E ~0.24) and a solid capital base enhance resilience to R&D cadence and cyclical pressures. A stronger balance sheet supports strategic options—partnerships, selective M&A, or sustained investment in dermatology—over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Earnings and FCF volatility
Historic swings in profitability and cash generation reduce predictability of free cash flow and make multi‑period planning harder. This volatility increases execution risk for launches and R&D projects and can constrain consistent capital returns or reinvestment over the next several quarters.
Low returns on equity
A persistently low ROE signals limited efficiency in converting equity into profitable growth. Even with recent recovery, such muted returns imply the company must materially lift margins or grow revenues faster to generate sustainable shareholder value over the medium term.
Thin and uneven margins
Modest operating and net margins provide little cushion against pricing pressure, higher R&D or commercial spend, or competitive incursions. The prior years' losses and thin margins raise concern that profitability is not yet robust enough to be durable without continued execution and portfolio strength.

Almirall (ALM) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Almirall Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlmirall (ALM) is a global pharmaceutical company headquartered in Barcelona, Spain, specializing in the research, development, and commercialization of innovative dermatological products. The company operates primarily in the dermatology and respiratory sectors, offering a range of prescription medicines, over-the-counter products, and medical devices. Almirall's core portfolio includes treatments for skin conditions such as psoriasis, atopic dermatitis, and acne, along with products aimed at chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
How the Company Makes MoneyAlmirall generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products across various markets. The company’s revenue model is based on direct sales of its proprietary drugs, which include a mix of branded medications and generics. Key revenue streams also come from partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which may involve co-development and licensing agreements for specific products. Additionally, Almirall invests in research and development to expand its product portfolio, which can lead to new market opportunities and increased sales. The company’s ability to innovate and respond to market demands, along with maintaining strategic partnerships, significantly contributes to its earnings.

Almirall Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations are recovering: 2025 revenue rose to ~€1.11B (+3.3% YoY) and profitability turned positive (operating margin ~6.6%, net margin ~4.1%). Balance sheet leverage is moderate and improving (debt-to-equity ~0.24), but earnings and free-cash-flow have been volatile in recent years (losses in 2021/2023; negative/near-zero FCF in 2023–2024) and returns remain low (ROE ~3.1%).
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Revenue has grown steadily from 2021–2025 (with a sharp drop in 2021 followed by consistent recovery), culminating in 2025 revenue of ~€1.11B (+3.3% YoY). Profitability has improved meaningfully versus 2023’s loss, with 2025 returning to positive operating profit (~6.6% operating margin) and a modest net margin (~4.1%). However, earnings quality has been uneven over the period (losses in 2021 and 2023, very thin net margins in 2022 and 2024), indicating profitability is still not consistently durable.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Leverage appears manageable, with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.24 in 2025 from ~0.27–0.31 in prior years, which supports financial flexibility. Equity is stable around ~€1.49B and total assets are ~€2.34B, suggesting a solid capital base. The main weakness is muted shareholder returns: return on equity remains low (~3.1% in 2025) after being near zero or negative in several earlier years, reflecting that profitability has not been strong enough relative to the balance sheet size.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Operating cash flow is consistently positive and improved versus 2023 (2025 at ~€169M). Free cash flow rebounded sharply in 2025 (~€134M) after being roughly breakeven to negative in 2023–2024, which is a constructive inflection. Still, cash flow volatility is a key concern (negative free cash flow in 2023 and near-zero in 2024), and 2025 free cash flow remains below net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.79), implying conversion is decent but not exceptionally strong.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B985.72M894.52M863.25M827.20M
Gross Profit713.30M767.68M577.12M680.78M655.61M
EBITDA74.10M173.80M114.33M157.01M132.34M
Net Income46.20M10.15M-38.47M4.28M-40.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.34B2.40B2.37B2.15B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments338.82M377.30M388.09M248.82M207.39M
Total Debt359.66M408.81M403.25M403.88M396.11M
Total Liabilities829.74M908.28M911.59M828.98M855.71M
Stockholders Equity1.49B1.49B1.46B1.32B1.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow134.29M-664.00K-65.82M38.62M162.70M
Operating Cash Flow169.20M160.77M93.48M155.10M233.85M
Investing Cash Flow-132.94M-140.04M-122.56M-68.54M-57.26M
Financing Cash Flow-75.59M-31.58M168.21M-45.12M-134.88M

Almirall Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.90
Price Trends
50DMA
13.00
Negative
100DMA
12.73
Negative
200DMA
11.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
35.27
Neutral
STOCH
13.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:ALM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.12, below the 50-day MA of 13.00, and above the 200-day MA of 11.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:ALM.

Almirall Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
€1.49B18.6714.89%3.51%11.04%8.29%
72
Outperform
€4.12B29.6820.70%1.50%-9.39%-25.92%
71
Outperform
€1.38B18.1317.22%1.04%7.35%5375.64%
65
Neutral
€202.54M45.502.03%1.91%-1.19%-54.66%
59
Neutral
€2.58B55.731.45%1.22%13.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:ALM
Almirall
12.18
2.38
24.34%
ES:FAE
Faes Farma
4.84
1.51
45.46%
ES:GRF.P
Grifols
7.47
-0.51
-6.43%
ES:RJF
LABORATORIO REIG JOFRE
2.50
-0.08
-2.91%
ES:ROVI
Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Rovi
81.25
28.33
53.53%
ES:PHM
Pharma Mar SA
81.40
-12.42
-13.24%

Almirall Corporate Events

Almirall Schedules Webcast to Present 2025 Financial Results
Feb 24, 2026

Almirall will present and discuss its 2025 financial results in a webcast with analysts and institutional investors on 23 February 2026 at 10:00 a.m. CET. The event, which can be followed live and later via full recording on the company’s website, underlines Almirall’s ongoing commitment to financial transparency and engagement with the capital markets.

The webcast is positioned as a key touchpoint for investors to assess the company’s recent performance and outlook based on the disclosed figures. By facilitating direct access to management’s commentary for both live and replay audiences, Almirall supports informed decision-making for shareholders and market participants.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:ALM) stock is a Hold with a EUR14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Almirall stock, see the ES:ALM Stock Forecast page.

Almirall Publishes 2025 Corporate Governance Report in Enhanced Narrative Format
Feb 24, 2026

Almirall has released its 2025 Annual Corporate Governance Report, prepared in a free format authorized by Spain’s securities regulator, the CNMV, while preserving references to the official structure. The report aims to enhance clarity and transparency for stakeholders by using a narrative approach and includes the required Statistical Annex.

The document covers key governance areas such as ownership structure, the General Meeting, administrative bodies, related-party and intragroup transactions, and risk control and management systems, including those for financial reporting. By detailing its degree of compliance with corporate governance recommendations and highlighting other relevant information, Almirall reinforces its commitment to robust oversight and best practices in corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:ALM) stock is a Hold with a EUR14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Almirall stock, see the ES:ALM Stock Forecast page.

Almirall’s 2025 Pay Report Highlights Strong Dermatology Growth and Governance Backing
Feb 24, 2026

Almirall reported higher net sales in 2025, driven chiefly by strong performance of its European dermatology portfolio, notably Ebglyss, Ilumetri, and Wynzora, with Ebglyss expanding into major European markets. On the R&D front, the Anti-IL1RAP candidate for hidradenitis suppurativa progressed to Phase II, while the company reiterated its goal of running six proof-of-concept studies by the end of 2026.

The company fully applied the Remuneration Policy approved in 2024, and shareholder support for its 2024 remuneration report rose sharply, with 98.80% backing at the 2025 AGM. This strong endorsement underscores improved governance and transparency around directors’ pay, reinforcing Almirall’s commitment to aligning remuneration with performance and maintaining high standards in its engagement with investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:ALM) stock is a Hold with a EUR14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Almirall stock, see the ES:ALM Stock Forecast page.

Almirall Posts Slight Decline in Total Assets as 2025 Balance Sheet Remains Stable
Feb 24, 2026

Almirall reported total assets of €2.56 billion at 31 December 2025, slightly down from €2.59 billion a year earlier, reflecting a modest decrease in its balance sheet size. Non‑current assets declined mainly due to lower investments in group companies and associates, although intangible assets and property, plant and equipment increased, signaling continued investment in core operations.

Current assets also eased to €597 million from €611 million, with reductions in cash and cash equivalents partly offset by higher inventories and current accruals. The stable asset mix, with a strong base of intangibles and intra‑group investments, suggests Almirall is maintaining its strategic focus on proprietary products and group structure while managing liquidity more tightly going into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:ALM) stock is a Hold with a EUR14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Almirall stock, see the ES:ALM Stock Forecast page.

Almirall Issues FY 2025 Update With Strictly Informational Disclaimer
Feb 24, 2026

Almirall released a brief financial results and business update document for fiscal year 2025, dated February 23, 2026, intended solely for use during a company presentation. The company stresses that the material is a summarized Spanish translation of an English version available on its website and may not be disclosed or reused without prior written consent.

The release emphasizes that past share price or security performance data cannot be relied upon as an indicator of future results, and that the document contains forward-looking information based on internal estimates and external sources not independently verified. Almirall also clarifies that the document is not an offer or solicitation to buy, sell, or subscribe for securities in any jurisdiction, underscoring its purely informational and non‑transactional nature for stakeholders and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (ES:ALM) stock is a Hold with a EUR14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Almirall stock, see the ES:ALM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026