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Equity Bancshares Inc (EQBK)
NYSE:EQBK

Equity Bancshares (EQBK) AI Stock Analysis

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EQBK

Equity Bancshares

(NYSE:EQBK)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
â–²(5.17% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/26/26
The score is held back primarily by mixed financial performance (declining revenue/FCF growth and low ROE) and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with modest yield). These are partly offset by a constructive earnings outlook and improving capital/credit trends, while technicals are broadly neutral.
Positive Factors
Scale and geographic expansion
Large M&A-driven balance sheet growth materially increases scale and market coverage, adding new states and branches. This broader footprint diversifies deposit and loan markets, expands lending capacity, and creates scope for cross‑sell and efficiency gains versus remaining a smaller regional bank.
Stronger regulatory capital metrics
Industry‑level capital buffers above regulatory minima provide flexibility for buybacks, organic loan growth, and M&A while absorbing credit volatility. Sustained capital strength supports strategic optionality and lowers solvency risk during economic stress, aiding long‑term franchise stability.
Improving asset quality
Declining nonaccruals and very low net charge‑offs indicate resilient credit performance and underwriting discipline. Persistent low credit losses reduce expected loan loss volatility, supporting more predictable earnings and allowing capital to be deployed toward growth rather than loss absorption.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and cash‑flow trends
Sustained declines in revenue and FCF constrain internal funding for strategic initiatives, dividend maintenance, and investment in systems. Without reaccelerating organic top‑line growth, the bank becomes more reliant on external M&A to grow earnings, adding execution and integration risk over time.
Merger integration cost and margin pressure
Material incremental noninterest expense and anticipated margin dilution create a multi‑quarter earnings headwind. Realizing targeted 23% cost saves is execution‑intensive; failure would leave the bank with structurally lower margins and weaker returns on the enlarged asset base.
Rising leverage and low shareholder returns
Higher leverage paired with very low ROE signals limited efficiency in converting equity into returns and increases sensitivity to funding stress. Unless profitability (margins or yields) meaningfully improves, capital returns and ability to self‑fund growth will remain constrained.

Equity Bancshares (EQBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equity Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquity Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Equity Bank that provides a range of banking, mortgage banking, and financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company accepts various demand, savings, money market, and time deposits. Its loan products include commercial and industrial, commercial real estate-backed, commercial lines of credit, working capital, term, equipment financing, acquisition, expansion and development, borrowing base, real estate construction, homebuilder, agricultural, government guaranteed, and other loan products to national and regional companies, restaurant franchisees, hoteliers, real estate developers, manufacturing and industrial companies, agribusiness companies, and other businesses. The company's loan products also comprise various consumer loans to individuals and professionals, including residential real estate loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and letters of credit. It also provides debit cards; online banking solutions, such as access to account balances, online transfers, online bill payment, and electronic delivery of customer statements; mobile banking solutions comprising remote check deposits with mobile bill pay; ATMs; and treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house, and stop payment services. In addition, the company offers cash management deposit products, such as lockbox, remote deposit capture, positive pay, reverse positive pay, account reconciliation services, zero balance accounts, and sweep accounts, as well as banking services through telephone, mail, and personal appointments. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a network of 69 branches in Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Wichita, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquity Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees associated with various banking services. The company's key revenue streams include interest income from commercial, residential, and consumer loans, which typically represent the largest portion of its earnings. Additionally, Equity Bank earns non-interest income through service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. The company also benefits from its strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations, enhancing its market reach and customer loyalty. Overall, the bank's diversified financial services portfolio and focus on customer relationships contribute significantly to its revenue generation.

Equity Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized significant strategic progress (two large transactions closed, substantial balance sheet growth, improved capital ratios, buybacks, and credit trends improving) while acknowledging notable near-term execution and expense integration tasks (Frontier-related expense and anticipated margin dilution), litigation accruals, and competitive pressures on pricing and deposits. Given the strong underlying results, capital position and forward guidance (> $5/sh goal) that materially outweigh the manageable integration and margin headwinds, the overall tone is constructive and confidence-driven.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Large Balance Sheet Growth via M&A
Assets increased from $5.3B to $6.4B in 2025, and the Frontier acquisition added ~$1.4B, described by management as nearly 50% growth year-over-year; expansion provides scale and market footprint in 6 states and 5 major metros.
Beating Expectations and Strong EPS Guidance
Reported net income of $22.1M ($1.15 diluted EPS); adjusted earnings $23.3M ($1.21) vs. adjusted $22.4M ($1.17) prior quarter. Management targets >$5.00 per share in 2026.
Improved Capital and Liquidity Metrics
Tangible common equity (TCE) rose to 9.9% (up 23 bps quarter-over-quarter); CET1 at 13.1% and total capital at 16.3%; bank-level TCE 10.3% — provides capacity for buybacks, organic growth and M&A.
Loan Production and Pipeline Strength
Quarterly loan production of $220M (down Q/Q but up $100M YoY) with originations at an average rate of 6.77%. 75% pipeline stands at $452M and line utilization ~54%, positioning the bank for mid-single-digit organic loan growth in 2026.
Net Interest Income and Margin Performance
Net interest income $63.5M, up $1.0M linked quarter; reported margin improved to 4.47% (up 2 bps Q/Q). Management expects 2026 margin of 4.20%–4.35% (Q1 ~4.25%) and notes Frontier is accretive to NII.
Asset Quality Trajectory
Nonaccrual loans declined to $40.3M from $48.6M (a 17% reduction Q/Q); loans past due + nonaccrual fell to 1.53% from 1.55% Q/Q; annualized net charge-offs 7 bps for the quarter (down 4 bps Q/Q), YTD annualized 6 bps.
Active Capital Return
Share repurchases executed: 172,338 shares at a weighted average cost of $41.69 during the quarter, with 872,662 shares remaining under Board authorization; management reiterated buyback discipline alongside M&A.
Funding Cost Improvements and Bond Repositioning
Cost of deposits declined ~10 bps and overall cost of funding down ~12 bps Q/Q as bond portfolio repositioning effects were realized, contributing to margin and NII outperformance vs. midpoint expectations.
Negative Updates
Merger-Related Expense and Near-Term Cost Headwinds
Frontier acquisition expected to add $23M–$24M of noninterest expense in 2026 (with only $2M–$3M of noninterest income), and management noted the merger will be dilutive to margin even as it is accretive to NII; Frontier integration costs and realizable 23% cost-save target remain execution items.
Rising Adjusted Noninterest Expense
Adjusted noninterest expense (ex-M&A and litigation) increased to $44.1M from $42.9M Q/Q, a 2.7% increase; provisioning for unfunded commitments increased by $1.2M and drove part of the expense rise.
Legal/Litigation Reserve
Recorded a $1.0M litigation settlement expense accrual related to anticipated resolution of ongoing overdraft suits, a recurring risk that impacts adjusted earnings.
Competitive Pressure on Deposit and Loan Pricing
Management cited increased competition leading to selective pricing losses (letting lower-rate business go to preserve portfolio yields); deposit balances remain challenging despite account gathering improvements and brokered deposits declined ~$80M.
Margin Compression Guidance vs. Current Margin
Reported margin of 4.47% this quarter is expected to compress to 4.20%–4.35% for 2026 as Frontier is integrated and higher-cost liabilities are repositioned — representing modest margin pressure ahead.
One-time Payoff/Paydown Headwinds
Management noted payout activity and unscheduled payoffs suppressed ending loan balances in the period (some payoff volatility experienced in the prior year), creating uncertainty around near-term loan balance cadence.
Company Guidance
Management guided to drive toward more than $5.00 per share in 2026 while forecasting full‑year margin of 4.20%–4.35% (Q1 ~4.25%), with Q1 balances implying loans ≈80% of earning assets and a loan‑to‑deposit ratio ≈88%; the Frontier close (CEO cited ~$1.4B in assets, CFO noted ~$1.3B loans / $1.1B deposits) is expected to be accretive to NII but dilutive to margin and to add $23M–$24M of noninterest expense and $2M–$3M of noninterest income, with ~23% targeted cost saves and systems conversion in mid‑February (cost saves realized by end‑Q1). Recent fourth‑quarter metrics underpinning the outlook include net income $22.1M ($1.15 diluted), adjusted net income $23.3M ($1.21), NII $63.5M, GAAP margin 4.47% (core normalized ~4.36% after 12 bps purchase‑accounting), average earning assets $5.64B (up 1.21%), loan production $220M (originations at 6.77%), 75% pipeline $452M, nonaccrual loans $40.3M (down 17% QoQ), past‑due+nonaccrual 1.53%, annualized net charge‑offs 7 bps (YTD 6 bps), ending reserve ratio 1.33% (ACLO coverage 1.26%), TCE 9.9% (bank TCE 10.3%), CET1 13.1%, total capital 16.3%, and ongoing capital actions including 172,338 shares repurchased at $41.69 (872,662 shares remaining under authorization) alongside a stated appetite to use capital for both buybacks and future M&A while targeting mid‑single‑digit organic loan growth.

Equity Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue and free-cash-flow growth are declining (revenue growth -10.6%, FCF growth -8.7%), profitability is modest (TTM net margin 5.9%, EBIT margin 23.9%), ROE is low (2.8%), and leverage is moderate but rising (debt-to-equity 0.70).
Income Statement
65
Positive
Equity Bancshares has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 10.6%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT margin of 23.9% and a net profit margin of 5.9%. Historical data shows fluctuating profit margins, with a significant drop in gross profit margin from 66.7% in 2024 to 48.1% in the TTM. The company needs to address the declining revenue and profit margins to improve its financial health.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Equity Bancshares reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70 in the TTM, up from 0.53 in 2024. The return on equity has decreased to 2.8% in the TTM, indicating reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced approach to financing. The company should focus on improving its ROE and managing debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 8.7% in the TTM, which is a negative indicator. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 90.1%, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The company should aim to improve cash flow generation to support operations and growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue296.94M326.51M224.68M220.28M186.81M177.04M
Gross Profit142.81M217.67M135.63M194.99M180.59M129.88M
EBITDA80.10M88.54M11.05M79.65M73.34M-66.33M
Net Income17.63M62.62M7.82M57.69M52.48M-74.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.36B5.33B5.03B4.98B5.14B4.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B1.19B1.28B1.29B1.59B1.15B
Total Debt481.77M312.80M380.50M281.73M151.89M133.86M
Total Liabilities5.64B4.74B4.58B4.57B4.64B3.61B
Stockholders Equity711.89M592.92M452.86M410.06M500.63M407.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow70.50M65.35M60.39M70.58M97.60M34.01M
Operating Cash Flow80.11M73.84M76.53M74.07M102.70M43.62M
Investing Cash Flow359.11M123.73M232.17M-214.18M-315.34M96.00M
Financing Cash Flow24.71M-192.93M-34.03M-15.41M191.90M51.78M

Equity Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price45.64
Price Trends
50DMA
46.26
Negative
100DMA
44.05
Positive
200DMA
42.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
45.97
Neutral
STOCH
35.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQBK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 45.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.38, below the 50-day MA of 46.26, and above the 200-day MA of 42.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EQBK.

Equity Bancshares Risk Analysis

Equity Bancshares disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equity Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equity Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$881.02M11.4311.65%3.39%1.22%15.97%
79
Outperform
$856.52M11.1813.78%3.21%3.86%12.33%
76
Outperform
$920.57M13.836.43%3.91%8.27%54.96%
69
Neutral
$918.34M13.558.80%0.38%6.48%8.78%
68
Neutral
$859.82M11.616.51%2.68%11.13%-15.28%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$870.65M36.792.90%1.34%6.45%8.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQBK
Equity Bancshares
45.64
3.88
9.29%
CCNE
Cnb Financial
29.17
5.16
21.49%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
32.84
5.07
18.24%
HFWA
Heritage Financial
27.11
3.61
15.37%
MCB
Metropolitan Bank Holding
90.78
32.23
55.04%
HBT
HBT Financial
27.25
3.14
13.04%

Equity Bancshares Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Equity Bancshares Announces Upcoming Director Board Resignation
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Equity Bancshares, Inc. announced that longtime director Randee R. Koger will resign from its Board of Directors effective at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Koger, who has served on the board since 2003 and sits on the Compensation Committee, will remain in both roles until that meeting, and the company emphasized that her decision to step down was not due to any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices, suggesting an orderly governance transition with no immediate operational or strategic dispute underlying the change.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Equity Bancshares closes Frontier acquisition, expands regional footprint
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

For the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, Equity Bancshares reported net income of $22.1 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, compared with a net loss in the prior quarter, with adjusted earnings of $23.2 million, or $1.21 per share, after acquisition-related costs. Net interest margin expanded to 4.47%, full-year 2025 net interest income rose 21.4% to $226.1 million on margin expansion and balance-sheet growth, and loan and deposit balances increased sharply year over year, aided by the NBC acquisition. On January 1, 2026, the company closed its acquisition of Frontier Holdings LLC, adding roughly $1.34 billion in loans and $1.1 billion in deposits and marking its entry into Nebraska, while maintaining solid asset quality with low net charge-offs and a 1.26% allowance for credit losses. Capital and book value strengthened, with tangible book value per share rising to $32.86 and regulatory capital ratios improving, even as Equity paid a $0.18 common dividend and repurchased 172,338 shares, underscoring management’s confidence in the bank’s financial position and its strategy to build scale as a premier community bank and merger partner in its markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Equity Bancshares completes Frontier merger, expands Nebraska presence
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 1, 2026, Equity Bancshares, Inc. completed its merger with Omaha-based Frontier Holdings LLC, parent of Frontier Bank, entering the Nebraska market with seven new locations that reopened under the Equity Bank brand on January 2, 2026. The deal, first announced on September 2, 2025, expands Equity’s footprint to six states, boosts pro forma consolidated assets to approximately $7.9 billion, and is positioned by management as a strategic growth step that enhances lending capacity, digital capabilities, and community banking reach for customers and stakeholders across its regional network, with core and digital system consolidation scheduled for February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Equity Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Equity Bancshares, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share of common stock. This dividend will be distributed on January 15, 2026, to shareholders recorded by December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Equity Bancshares Gains Approval for Frontier Merger
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Equity Bancshares, Inc. has received all necessary regulatory approvals to proceed with its merger with Frontier Holdings, LLC, as per the agreement dated August 29, 2025. The merger is anticipated to be finalized by December 2025 or early January 2026, pending customary closing conditions and the approval of Frontier’s members.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026