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Equity Bancshares Inc (EQBK)
NYSE:EQBK

Equity Bancshares (EQBK) AI Stock Analysis

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EQBK

Equity Bancshares

(NYSE:EQBK)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$46.00
â–²(3.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
EQBK scores as neutral: the biggest drag is weakened TTM profitability and especially the breakdown in operating/free cash flow, partially offset by a constructive earnings-call outlook (2026 EPS target, solid capital, improving credit). Technicals remain bearish and valuation (P/E 37.4 with ~1.48% yield) offers limited support.
Positive Factors
Scale & Market Expansion via M&A
The Frontier close materially increases scale and geographic reach, adding lending capacity, deposits and new markets. Larger asset base and branch footprint support diversified revenue, stronger local-market presence and better economics for future organic growth and M&A activity over the next 2–6 months.
Improved Capital & Buyback Capacity
Elevated tangible common equity and regulatory capital ratios provide a durable buffer for loan growth, buybacks and M&A. Strong capital coverage enhances regulatory flexibility, supports balance-sheet expansion and allows management to allocate capital between returns and strategic investments without immediate solvency pressure.
Credit Metrics & Loan Pipeline
Improving asset quality and very low net charge‑offs indicate resilient underwriting and credit performance, reducing tail risk on earnings. A sizeable loan production pipeline and mid-single-digit organic loan growth target support sustainable interest income expansion beyond near-term acquisition benefits.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation
Operating cash flow collapsed to zero and FCF turned negative, undermining the quality of reported earnings and limiting internal funding for dividends, buybacks or integration costs. If cash conversion does not recover, capital actions and discretionary investment capacity will be constrained.
Profitability Decline & Volatility
A sharp fall in net income and margin signals weaker core profitability and lower returns on equity, reducing the bank's ability to steadily generate retained earnings. Historical volatility in earnings implies less predictability in funding growth, capital returns and in meeting multi-quarter profit targets.
Merger-Related Expense & Margin Pressure
Significant incremental noninterest expense and expected margin dilution from the acquisition create a structural near-term headwind. Realizing targeted cost saves requires execution; failure to achieve them would compress profitability and delay the accretive benefits of scale.

Equity Bancshares (EQBK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equity Bancshares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquity Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Equity Bank that provides a range of banking, mortgage banking, and financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company accepts various demand, savings, money market, and time deposits. Its loan products include commercial and industrial, commercial real estate-backed, commercial lines of credit, working capital, term, equipment financing, acquisition, expansion and development, borrowing base, real estate construction, homebuilder, agricultural, government guaranteed, and other loan products to national and regional companies, restaurant franchisees, hoteliers, real estate developers, manufacturing and industrial companies, agribusiness companies, and other businesses. The company's loan products also comprise various consumer loans to individuals and professionals, including residential real estate loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, installment loans, unsecured and secured personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and letters of credit. It also provides debit cards; online banking solutions, such as access to account balances, online transfers, online bill payment, and electronic delivery of customer statements; mobile banking solutions comprising remote check deposits with mobile bill pay; ATMs; and treasury management, wire transfer, automated clearing house, and stop payment services. In addition, the company offers cash management deposit products, such as lockbox, remote deposit capture, positive pay, reverse positive pay, account reconciliation services, zero balance accounts, and sweep accounts, as well as banking services through telephone, mail, and personal appointments. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a network of 69 branches in Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Wichita, Kansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquity Bancshares generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and fees associated with various banking services. The company's key revenue streams include interest income from commercial, residential, and consumer loans, which typically represent the largest portion of its earnings. Additionally, Equity Bank earns non-interest income through service fees, transaction fees, and wealth management services. The company also benefits from its strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations, enhancing its market reach and customer loyalty. Overall, the bank's diversified financial services portfolio and focus on customer relationships contribute significantly to its revenue generation.

Equity Bancshares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 22, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized significant strategic progress (two large transactions closed, substantial balance sheet growth, improved capital ratios, buybacks, and credit trends improving) while acknowledging notable near-term execution and expense integration tasks (Frontier-related expense and anticipated margin dilution), litigation accruals, and competitive pressures on pricing and deposits. Given the strong underlying results, capital position and forward guidance (> $5/sh goal) that materially outweigh the manageable integration and margin headwinds, the overall tone is constructive and confidence-driven.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Large Balance Sheet Growth via M&A
Assets increased from $5.3B to $6.4B in 2025, and the Frontier acquisition added ~$1.4B, described by management as nearly 50% growth year-over-year; expansion provides scale and market footprint in 6 states and 5 major metros.
Beating Expectations and Strong EPS Guidance
Reported net income of $22.1M ($1.15 diluted EPS); adjusted earnings $23.3M ($1.21) vs. adjusted $22.4M ($1.17) prior quarter. Management targets >$5.00 per share in 2026.
Improved Capital and Liquidity Metrics
Tangible common equity (TCE) rose to 9.9% (up 23 bps quarter-over-quarter); CET1 at 13.1% and total capital at 16.3%; bank-level TCE 10.3% — provides capacity for buybacks, organic growth and M&A.
Loan Production and Pipeline Strength
Quarterly loan production of $220M (down Q/Q but up $100M YoY) with originations at an average rate of 6.77%. 75% pipeline stands at $452M and line utilization ~54%, positioning the bank for mid-single-digit organic loan growth in 2026.
Net Interest Income and Margin Performance
Net interest income $63.5M, up $1.0M linked quarter; reported margin improved to 4.47% (up 2 bps Q/Q). Management expects 2026 margin of 4.20%–4.35% (Q1 ~4.25%) and notes Frontier is accretive to NII.
Asset Quality Trajectory
Nonaccrual loans declined to $40.3M from $48.6M (a 17% reduction Q/Q); loans past due + nonaccrual fell to 1.53% from 1.55% Q/Q; annualized net charge-offs 7 bps for the quarter (down 4 bps Q/Q), YTD annualized 6 bps.
Active Capital Return
Share repurchases executed: 172,338 shares at a weighted average cost of $41.69 during the quarter, with 872,662 shares remaining under Board authorization; management reiterated buyback discipline alongside M&A.
Funding Cost Improvements and Bond Repositioning
Cost of deposits declined ~10 bps and overall cost of funding down ~12 bps Q/Q as bond portfolio repositioning effects were realized, contributing to margin and NII outperformance vs. midpoint expectations.
Negative Updates
Merger-Related Expense and Near-Term Cost Headwinds
Frontier acquisition expected to add $23M–$24M of noninterest expense in 2026 (with only $2M–$3M of noninterest income), and management noted the merger will be dilutive to margin even as it is accretive to NII; Frontier integration costs and realizable 23% cost-save target remain execution items.
Rising Adjusted Noninterest Expense
Adjusted noninterest expense (ex-M&A and litigation) increased to $44.1M from $42.9M Q/Q, a 2.7% increase; provisioning for unfunded commitments increased by $1.2M and drove part of the expense rise.
Legal/Litigation Reserve
Recorded a $1.0M litigation settlement expense accrual related to anticipated resolution of ongoing overdraft suits, a recurring risk that impacts adjusted earnings.
Competitive Pressure on Deposit and Loan Pricing
Management cited increased competition leading to selective pricing losses (letting lower-rate business go to preserve portfolio yields); deposit balances remain challenging despite account gathering improvements and brokered deposits declined ~$80M.
Margin Compression Guidance vs. Current Margin
Reported margin of 4.47% this quarter is expected to compress to 4.20%–4.35% for 2026 as Frontier is integrated and higher-cost liabilities are repositioned — representing modest margin pressure ahead.
One-time Payoff/Paydown Headwinds
Management noted payout activity and unscheduled payoffs suppressed ending loan balances in the period (some payoff volatility experienced in the prior year), creating uncertainty around near-term loan balance cadence.
Company Guidance
Management guided to drive toward more than $5.00 per share in 2026 while forecasting full‑year margin of 4.20%–4.35% (Q1 ~4.25%), with Q1 balances implying loans ≈80% of earning assets and a loan‑to‑deposit ratio ≈88%; the Frontier close (CEO cited ~$1.4B in assets, CFO noted ~$1.3B loans / $1.1B deposits) is expected to be accretive to NII but dilutive to margin and to add $23M–$24M of noninterest expense and $2M–$3M of noninterest income, with ~23% targeted cost saves and systems conversion in mid‑February (cost saves realized by end‑Q1). Recent fourth‑quarter metrics underpinning the outlook include net income $22.1M ($1.15 diluted), adjusted net income $23.3M ($1.21), NII $63.5M, GAAP margin 4.47% (core normalized ~4.36% after 12 bps purchase‑accounting), average earning assets $5.64B (up 1.21%), loan production $220M (originations at 6.77%), 75% pipeline $452M, nonaccrual loans $40.3M (down 17% QoQ), past‑due+nonaccrual 1.53%, annualized net charge‑offs 7 bps (YTD 6 bps), ending reserve ratio 1.33% (ACLO coverage 1.26%), TCE 9.9% (bank TCE 10.3%), CET1 13.1%, total capital 16.3%, and ongoing capital actions including 172,338 shares repurchased at $41.69 (872,662 shares remaining under authorization) alongside a stated appetite to use capital for both buybacks and future M&A while targeting mid‑single‑digit organic loan growth.

Equity Bancshares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: modest TTM revenue growth (+5.8%) and a reasonably levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.61), but profitability weakened sharply (net income down to $22.7M; net margin down to 7.2%) and cash flow is the primary concern with $0 operating cash flow and -$13.0M free cash flow in the latest TTM.
Income Statement
62
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up 5.8%, but profitability has weakened materially versus 2024: net income fell to $22.7M from $62.6M and net margin dropped to 7.2% from 19.2%. Longer-term results show the business can generate strong margins in good years (2021–2022) but earnings have been more volatile (notably the 2020 loss and the sharp step-down in the latest TTM).
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage looks moderate for a regional bank, with TTM debt-to-equity at 0.61 (higher than 2024’s 0.53 but improved versus 2023’s 0.84). Equity has grown to $732.1M alongside a larger asset base ($6.37B), supporting balance-sheet capacity. The main drawback is profitability on equity in the latest TTM is low (3.4%) compared with 2024 (10.6%), implying reduced efficiency in generating returns from the capital base.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation is the key weak spot: TTM shows $0 operating cash flow and negative free cash flow of -$13.0M, a sharp reversal from 2024’s $73.8M operating cash flow and $65.4M free cash flow. Free cash flow also does not cover net income in the latest TTM (0.0x), raising concerns about earnings quality and/or working-capital or timing effects, even though prior years generally showed strong free-cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.26M326.51M224.68M220.28M186.81M
Gross Profit158.37M217.67M135.63M194.99M180.59M
EBITDA84.83M88.54M11.05M79.65M73.34M
Net Income22.73M62.62M7.82M57.69M52.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.37B5.33B5.03B4.98B5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64B1.19B1.28B1.29B1.59B
Total Debt448.22M312.80M380.50M281.73M151.89M
Total Liabilities5.64B4.74B4.58B4.57B4.64B
Stockholders Equity732.05M592.92M452.86M410.06M500.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.54M65.35M60.39M70.58M97.60M
Operating Cash Flow51.79M73.84M76.53M74.07M102.70M
Investing Cash Flow0.00123.73M232.17M-214.18M-315.34M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-192.93M-34.03M-15.41M191.90M

Equity Bancshares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.27
Price Trends
50DMA
45.89
Negative
100DMA
44.64
Negative
200DMA
42.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
41.45
Neutral
STOCH
34.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQBK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.09, below the 50-day MA of 45.89, and above the 200-day MA of 42.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQBK.

Equity Bancshares Risk Analysis

Equity Bancshares disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equity Bancshares reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equity Bancshares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.04B9.037.51%3.91%8.27%54.96%
70
Outperform
$980.17M10.7313.78%3.21%3.86%12.33%
68
Neutral
$805.26M10.7311.65%3.39%1.22%15.97%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$801.50M11.388.80%0.38%6.48%8.78%
64
Neutral
$812.60M9.768.88%2.68%11.13%-15.28%
56
Neutral
$929.32M37.403.37%1.34%6.45%8.32%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQBK
Equity Bancshares
44.27
4.72
11.94%
CCNE
Cnb Financial
27.42
5.51
25.15%
CPF
Central Pacific Financial
30.63
4.49
17.20%
HFWA
Heritage Financial
25.30
2.64
11.64%
MCB
Metropolitan Bank Holding
79.23
24.45
44.64%
HBT
HBT Financial
26.54
4.10
18.25%

Equity Bancshares Corporate Events

Dividends
Equity Bancshares Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 18, 2026, Equity Bancshares, Inc. announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share on its common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on April 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on March 31, 2026, underscoring the company’s ongoing practice of returning capital to investors through regular cash distributions.

The timing and level of the dividend reflect the board’s current confidence in Equity Bancshares’ financial position and cash-generating capacity. For income-focused investors and existing shareholders, the declaration provides visibility into near-term cash returns and signals stability in the company’s capital management strategy within the banking sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Equity Bancshares Extends Key Credit Facility with ServisFirst
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 13, 2026, Equity Bancshares, Inc. entered into a ninth amendment to its Loan and Security Agreement with ServisFirst Bank, under which the company is the borrower. The amendment extends the maturity date of the credit commitment under that facility to February 10, 2027, securing continued access to this line of credit and supporting the company’s ongoing funding flexibility and capital management.

The amended arrangement indicates that Equity Bancshares is maintaining its established banking relationship with ServisFirst Bank while preserving committed borrowing capacity for at least another year. For stakeholders, the extension underscores the company’s ability to renew key financing agreements, which may help stabilize its liquidity profile and support future operational and strategic needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Equity Bancshares Announces Upcoming Director Board Resignation
Neutral
Jan 22, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Equity Bancshares, Inc. announced that longtime director Randee R. Koger will resign from its Board of Directors effective at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Koger, who has served on the board since 2003 and sits on the Compensation Committee, will remain in both roles until that meeting, and the company emphasized that her decision to step down was not due to any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices, suggesting an orderly governance transition with no immediate operational or strategic dispute underlying the change.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Buy with a $57.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Equity Bancshares closes Frontier acquisition, expands regional footprint
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

For the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, Equity Bancshares reported net income of $22.1 million, or $1.15 per diluted share, compared with a net loss in the prior quarter, with adjusted earnings of $23.2 million, or $1.21 per share, after acquisition-related costs. Net interest margin expanded to 4.47%, full-year 2025 net interest income rose 21.4% to $226.1 million on margin expansion and balance-sheet growth, and loan and deposit balances increased sharply year over year, aided by the NBC acquisition. On January 1, 2026, the company closed its acquisition of Frontier Holdings LLC, adding roughly $1.34 billion in loans and $1.1 billion in deposits and marking its entry into Nebraska, while maintaining solid asset quality with low net charge-offs and a 1.26% allowance for credit losses. Capital and book value strengthened, with tangible book value per share rising to $32.86 and regulatory capital ratios improving, even as Equity paid a $0.18 common dividend and repurchased 172,338 shares, underscoring management’s confidence in the bank’s financial position and its strategy to build scale as a premier community bank and merger partner in its markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Equity Bancshares completes Frontier merger, expands Nebraska presence
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 1, 2026, Equity Bancshares, Inc. completed its merger with Omaha-based Frontier Holdings LLC, parent of Frontier Bank, entering the Nebraska market with seven new locations that reopened under the Equity Bank brand on January 2, 2026. The deal, first announced on September 2, 2025, expands Equity’s footprint to six states, boosts pro forma consolidated assets to approximately $7.9 billion, and is positioned by management as a strategic growth step that enhances lending capacity, digital capabilities, and community banking reach for customers and stakeholders across its regional network, with core and digital system consolidation scheduled for February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Equity Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
Neutral
Dec 11, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Equity Bancshares, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share of common stock. This dividend will be distributed on January 15, 2026, to shareholders recorded by December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQBK) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Bancshares stock, see the EQBK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026