Eastern Company (EML)
:EML
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Eastern Company (EML) AI Stock Analysis

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EML

Eastern Company

(NASDAQ:EML)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
▲(0.37% Upside)
Eastern Company is currently facing significant challenges, particularly in profitability and market momentum. The financial performance is weak, with declining revenue and profitability issues. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. However, the stock's valuation is relatively attractive, and strategic measures are being implemented to address current challenges. The overall score reflects these mixed factors, with a need for improvement in financial health and market conditions.

Eastern Company (EML) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Eastern Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEastern Company (EML) is a diversified manufacturer based in the United States, primarily engaged in the production of security products, metal castings, and industrial hardware. The company operates through its various segments, which include security products, industrial hardware, and metal castings, offering a wide range of products such as padlocks, locks, and other security solutions, as well as diverse industrial components. Established over a century ago, Eastern Company has built a reputation for quality and innovation, serving a variety of markets including government, commercial, and industrial sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyEastern Company generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its security products and industrial hardware to various customers across different sectors. The company benefits from long-term contracts and relationships with government agencies and commercial customers, providing a steady demand for its products. Additionally, Eastern Company engages in custom manufacturing, allowing it to cater to specific customer needs and expand its product offerings. Significant partnerships and collaborations with distributors and other manufacturers also contribute to its earnings, as these relationships facilitate market access and enhance distribution capabilities.

Eastern Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges due to a downturn in key markets, resulting in decreased revenue, lower gross margins, and reduced backlog. However, the company has taken proactive measures such as cost savings, restructuring, and financial maneuvers to stabilize and prepare for future growth. The sentiment is balanced with strategic improvements and financial adjustments countering the negative impacts.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Savings and Restructuring Efforts
The company reduced the size of its SG&A, reorganized its operational footprint, and sold an underperforming business unit, resulting in cost savings of $1.8 million within the quarter.
Share Repurchases and Debt Reduction
The Eastern Company repurchased approximately 118,000 shares, representing almost 2% of its outstanding shares, and reduced debt by $7 million.
New Revolving Credit Facility
Entered into a new $100 million revolving credit facility with Citizens Bank, providing additional flexibility for investments into long-term growth initiatives and potential M&A opportunities.
USPS Vehicle Program Success
The USPS vehicle program ramped up nicely and became an important part of the business, contributing positively to the quarterly performance.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Revenue from continuing operations for Q3 was $55.3 million, down 22% from Q3 of the prior year.
Decreased Sales in Key Markets
The company experienced decreased sales of returnable transport packaging products and truck mirror assemblies, with sales dropping by $9.9 million and $6.4 million, respectively.
Backlog and Gross Margin Decline
Backlog decreased by $23.6 million or 24%, and gross margin as a percentage of net sales dropped from 25.5% to 22.3%.
Impact of Reduced Automotive Launches
The pullback in new EV models and model changes in the automotive market led to a reduction of 34% in platform launches compared to the prior year.
Lower Net Income
Net income from continuing operations for the third quarter was $0.6 million or $0.10 per diluted share, compared to $4.7 million or $0.75 per diluted share for the same period last year.
Company Guidance
During The Eastern Company's third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting a challenging quarter with revenue from continuing operations reported at $55.3 million, a 22% decrease from the previous year. EBITDA was $3.5 million, resulting in earnings per share of $0.10. The key issues cited were a 36% decline in OE truck production and a 34% reduction in new vehicle model launches, significantly impacting their revenue streams. Despite these challenges, the company undertook strategic restructuring, leading to $1.8 million in savings, and reduced its debt by $7 million. Moreover, they entered into a new $100 million revolving credit facility with Citizens Bank to enhance financial flexibility. The company also repurchased approximately 118,000 shares, representing nearly 2% of its outstanding shares, and is exploring acquisition opportunities to bolster future growth. Gross margin was reported at 22.3%, down from 25.5% the previous year, primarily due to increased raw material costs and reduced volumes. The leadership expressed cautious optimism about marginal improvements in Q4 and potential recovery in 2026, particularly in the heavy-duty truck market.

Eastern Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eastern Company faces challenges in profitability and revenue growth, with negative net income and declining revenue. The balance sheet shows improved leverage but inconsistent returns. Cash flow generation is mixed, with strong operating cash flow but declining free cash flow. The company needs to address profitability and cash management to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown fluctuations with a recent decline in TTM. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable, but net profit margins are negative, indicating challenges in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved over time, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is highly volatile, with recent negative figures, suggesting inconsistent profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, providing some balance sheet strength.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has seen significant growth in the TTM, but free cash flow growth is negative, indicating potential cash management issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue255.50M272.75M258.86M279.27M246.52M197.61M
Gross Profit58.14M67.27M61.77M58.62M56.77M48.09M
EBITDA17.72M25.68M23.26M23.91M28.06M22.09M
Net Income7.28M-8.53M8.59M12.30M9.35M5.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets220.05M235.31M252.04M261.52M266.33M275.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.23M16.06M9.29M10.19M6.17M15.32M
Total Debt55.42M56.64M62.08M76.40M75.12M101.33M
Total Liabilities95.77M114.62M119.56M134.91M151.73M171.22M
Stockholders Equity124.28M120.69M132.48M126.61M114.60M104.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.09M10.84M20.05M7.10M-5.74M17.59M
Operating Cash Flow16.81M20.55M26.48M10.46M-2.02M20.69M
Investing Cash Flow1.66M-8.47M-5.43M5.09M12.62M-9.11M
Financing Cash Flow-16.94M-4.82M-22.90M-11.78M-20.27M-13.18M

Eastern Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.42
Price Trends
50DMA
22.64
Negative
100DMA
22.89
Negative
200DMA
23.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Positive
RSI
33.17
Neutral
STOCH
8.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.87, below the 50-day MA of 22.64, and below the 200-day MA of 23.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EML.

Eastern Company Risk Analysis

Eastern Company disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastern Company reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eastern Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.48B18.619.80%1.75%-1.01%-12.13%
72
Outperform
$2.06B22.227.36%2.89%-2.63%-4.46%
64
Neutral
$10.52B23.504.92%4.86%-1.40%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$1.78B82.303.11%4.47%345.07%
53
Neutral
$119.67M23.014.98%2.06%-8.54%-68.18%
38
Underperform
$8.76M-16.20%1.28%-12.32%0.17%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EML
Eastern Company
19.72
-8.06
-29.01%
CVR
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co
9.38
-9.52
-50.37%
KMT
Kennametal
27.65
-0.03
-0.11%
SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
68.24
-13.96
-16.98%
TKR
Timken Company
78.66
5.05
6.86%
HLMN
Hillman Solutions
8.68
-2.32
-21.09%

Eastern Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Eastern Company Secures New $100 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On October 28, 2025, The Eastern Company entered into a new Credit Agreement with Citizens Bank, N.A., providing a $100 million five-year senior secured revolving credit facility. This agreement allows for revolving loans, swing line loans, and letters of credit, with the potential to increase the commitment by $75 million. The company used approximately $36 million from this facility to repay its prior credit agreement, which included a $60 million term portion and a $50 million revolving commitment portion, effectively restructuring its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EML) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Eastern Company stock, see the EML Stock Forecast page.

Eastern Company Navigates Challenges with Strategic Initiatives
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for Eastern Company highlighted a mixed sentiment, reflecting both challenges and proactive measures. The company faced a difficult business environment with declines in revenue, backlog, net income, and gross margin. However, Eastern Company has taken significant steps to mitigate these challenges by reducing costs, decreasing debt, and engaging in strategic projects. The sentiment conveyed was balanced, with positive cost-saving initiatives countering the negative revenue trends.

Eastern Company Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 7, 2025

The Eastern Company, an industrial manufacturer specializing in engineered solutions for commercial transportation and logistics, has reported its second quarter 2025 financial results. The company operates across various industrial markets and is known for its strategic focus on operational efficiencies.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025