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Embecta Corporation (EMBC)
NASDAQ:EMBC
US Market

Embecta Corporation (EMBC) AI Stock Analysis

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Embecta Corporation

(NASDAQ:EMBC)

48Neutral
Embecta Corporation's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with negative equity and declining cash flow. While valuation metrics like P/E ratio and dividend yield suggest potential value, technical analysis indicates a bearish trend. The earnings call highlights strategic growth plans and debt reduction initiatives, but revenue declines remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The organizational restructuring plan, along with the discontinuation of the patch pump program, is expected to generate annualized pre-tax cost savings of $60-$65M.
Debt Management
The decision to cut R&D spending significantly increases free cash flow, allowing Embecta to repay debt and reduce its net leverage ratio.
Financial Performance
Embecta reported an impressive F4Q24 quarter, beating expectations on adjusted revenue, margins and EPS, while setting FY2025 preliminary adj. EBITDA and adj. EPS guidance well ahead of expectations.
Negative Factors
Future Revenue Expectations
Revenue guidance for 2025 is set below current market expectations, indicating a potential decline in financial performance.
Growth Opportunities
The company announced its intention to exit its insulin patch-pump program, which eliminated the sole growth opportunity around the story.
Market Shift
Diabetics are rapidly shifting away from multiple daily injection therapy toward automated pump therapy.

Embecta Corporation (EMBC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Embecta Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmbecta Corporation (EMBC) is a company that operates in the medical technology sector, primarily focusing on providing solutions for people living with diabetes. The company specializes in the development, production, and distribution of diabetes care devices, including insulin delivery devices. Embecta aims to enhance the lives of diabetes patients through innovative and reliable medical products.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmbecta Corporation generates revenue by designing and selling medical devices specifically tailored for diabetes management. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of insulin delivery devices, such as insulin pens and syringes, which are essential for diabetes patients. Embecta's products are distributed through various channels, including direct sales to healthcare providers, partnerships with medical distributors, and collaborations with healthcare institutions. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with other companies in the medical technology field to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, Embecta benefits from ongoing research and development efforts to innovate and improve their product line, maintaining competitiveness in the diabetes care market.

Embecta Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Embecta Corporation faces challenges across its financial statements. The income statement reflects shrinking margins and declining revenue growth. The balance sheet is concerning with negative equity and high leverage, while the cash flow statement highlights issues in cash generation and management. The company may need strategic adjustments to improve financial health and stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue from the previous annual period to the TTM, indicating some challenges in revenue generation. Gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 63.68%, which is healthy, but net profit margin has decreased to around 5.19% due to a significant drop in net income. The company has experienced shrinking EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting declining operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals potential risks with negative stockholders' equity, indicating high leverage and financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not applicable due to negative equity, but the high level of total debt poses a risk. The equity ratio is negative, highlighting that liabilities exceed assets, which could be concerning for creditors and investors.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate a reduction in operating cash flow from previous periods. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, showing a decline in cash available after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.76, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. Overall, cash flow stability seems to be compromised.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.16B1.12B1.12B1.13B1.17B1.09B
Gross Profit
807.80M735.20M749.90M774.90M800.00M762.60M
EBIT
429.80M166.80M221.50M309.60M492.00M486.50M
EBITDA
462.30M199.00M245.40M400.20M530.00M524.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
337.90M78.30M70.40M223.60M414.80M427.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
210.00M267.50M326.50M330.90M0.000.00
Total Assets
1.15B1.29B1.21B1.09B788.00M738.00M
Total Debt
1.58B1.61B1.64B1.64B4.00M5.00M
Net Debt
1.37B1.34B1.31B1.31B4.00M5.00M
Total Liabilities
1.92B2.02B2.04B1.98B194.00M166.00M
Stockholders Equity
-768.80M-738.30M-821.70M-891.40M594.00M572.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
410.90M19.90M41.20M388.20M417.00M456.60M
Operating Cash Flow
439.40M35.70M67.70M412.20M456.00M498.50M
Investing Cash Flow
-28.50M-15.80M-26.50M-24.00M-39.00M-41.90M
Financing Cash Flow
-113.00M-73.40M-48.70M-48.00M-417.00M-456.60M

Embecta Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.34
Price Trends
50DMA
13.33
Negative
100DMA
16.24
Negative
200DMA
15.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Positive
RSI
32.87
Neutral
STOCH
11.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMBC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.15, below the 50-day MA of 13.33, and below the 200-day MA of 15.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EMBC.

Embecta Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$1.72B23.337.55%8.94%5171.26%
65
Neutral
$1.49B-4.86%26.20%-219.22%
57
Neutral
$1.28B59.024.48%19.36%
51
Neutral
$5.19B3.13-40.94%2.95%17.94%2.00%
48
Neutral
$659.24M11.28-10.61%5.29%-1.31%4.59%
47
Neutral
$775.93M-60.44%504.79%74.24%
44
Neutral
$855.34M-24.97%53.32%33.82%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EMBC
Embecta Corporation
10.91
0.62
6.03%
DVAX
Dynavax
10.44
-1.40
-11.82%
AVDL
Avadel Pharmaceuticals
7.96
-9.34
-53.99%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
30.29
0.58
1.95%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
68.00
2.38
3.63%
HROW
Harrow Health
23.24
12.64
119.25%

Embecta Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -37.00% | Next Earnings Date: May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment. While Embecta Corp. showcased strategic initiatives for growth, debt reduction, and restructuring progress, the company reported declines in revenue and gross margins due to ERP implementations and distributor rebalancing. The positive aspects of strategic growth and margin improvements are tempered by significant revenue challenges.
Highlights
Strategic Priorities for Growth
Embecta Corp. focuses on strengthening its core business, expanding its product portfolio, and increasing financial flexibility. Plans include a seamless brand transition, product portfolio expansion, and significant debt reduction.
Debt Reduction Initiative
Embecta Corp. aims to pay down approximately $110 million in debt during 2025, enhancing financial agility. The company has already made a $32 million principal payment in the first quarter.
Restructuring Plan Progress
The restructuring plan related to the discontinuation of the insulin patch pump program is on track, with completion expected by the end of the first half of fiscal year 2025.
Improved Operating and EBITDA Margins
Raised adjusted operating and EBITDA margin guidance ranges, driven by cost containment efforts, despite foreign exchange headwinds.
Safety Products Growth
Safety products grew approximately 11.3% due to share gains as a competitor exited the market.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline
First quarter revenue was $262 million, a 5.6% decline year-over-year on a reported basis and a 4.8% decline on an adjusted constant currency basis. The decline was due to ERP implementations and distributor rebalancing.
Gross Profit and Margin Decline
GAAP gross profit and margin for the first quarter decreased to $157.1 million and 60%, respectively, from $185.9 million and 67% in the prior year period.
International Revenue Decline
International revenue fell 5.1% on an adjusted currency basis due to distributor rebalancing and challenging comparisons from the prior year.
Pen Needle Revenue Decline
Pen needle revenue declined approximately 8.5%, primarily due to inventory adjustments and ERP implementation impacts.
Company Guidance
During Embecta Corp.'s fiscal first quarter 2025 earnings conference call, the company provided updated financial guidance and discussed several key metrics. The company reported a revenue of approximately $261.9 million, marking a 5.6% decline year-over-year on a reported basis and a 4.8% decline on an adjusted constant currency basis. Despite these declines, Embecta exceeded internal expectations for Q1, primarily due to timing and lower SG&A expenses. The adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 62.7%, and the adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 37.2%. Embecta reaffirmed its constant currency revenue guidance, projecting a decline between 1% and 2.5% for fiscal 2025, and raised its adjusted operating margin guidance to a range of 29.5% to 30.5%. Additionally, the company is focused on reducing debt by approximately $110 million during the year and maintaining its adjusted earnings per share guidance between $2.70 and $2.90, despite foreign exchange headwinds.

Embecta Corporation Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Embecta Corp Appoints Anthony Roth as VP and CAO
Positive
Dec 2, 2024

Embecta Corp. has appointed Anthony Roth as Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, effective December 2, 2024. Roth brings extensive experience from Ascential plc and Summit Health, enhancing Embecta’s financial leadership. His compensation package includes a $400,000 base salary, incentives, and stock units, aligning with Tier III executive benefits. This strategic leadership move aims to bolster Embecta’s financial operations and growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.