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GrafTech International Ltd (EAF)
NYSE:EAF
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GrafTech International (EAF) AI Stock Analysis

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EAF

GrafTech International

(NYSE:EAF)

Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-89.58% Downside)
GrafTech International's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, with significant challenges in revenue, profitability, and cash flow. The technical analysis provides a slightly more positive outlook, but the valuation remains unattractive due to ongoing losses and lack of dividends. While the earnings call highlighted some operational improvements, the overall financial health of the company remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
Total available liquidity currently stands at ~$464m, which remains sufficient to bridge EAF through the challenging environment.
Partnership Opportunities
Graftech's existing capabilities and vertical integration could potentially position the company to be an attractive partner with the Department of Defense.
Negative Factors
Market Environment
The pricing environment currently remains challenging with spot prices declining further, and it's uncertain if the market will fully accept GrafTech's attempted price increase.
Tariff Risks
There is elevated risk associated with the US potentially implementing tariffs on GrafTech's operations in Mexico and Europe.

GrafTech International (EAF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GrafTech International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrafTech International Ltd. research, develops, manufactures, and sells graphite and carbon-based solutions worldwide. It offers graphite electrodes to produce electric arc furnace steel and other ferrous and non-ferrous metals; and petroleum needle coke, a crystalline form of carbon used in the production of graphite electrodes. The company sells its products primarily through direct sales force, independent sales representatives, and distributors. GrafTech International Ltd. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Brooklyn Heights, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrafTech International generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite electrodes, which are sold to steel manufacturers and other customers operating electric arc furnaces. The company employs a direct sales model, working closely with clients to meet their specific material needs. Additional revenue streams include the sale of needle coke, a key raw material used in the production of graphite electrodes. GrafTech also benefits from strategic partnerships with major steel producers, which help secure long-term contracts and stabilize revenue. Market dynamics, such as global steel demand and pricing volatility, significantly influence GrafTech's earnings, as the company's profitability is closely tied to the price of graphite electrodes and the overall health of the steel industry.

GrafTech International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
GrafTech showed significant sales volume growth and cost reductions, achieving positive EBITDA for the first time since the previous year. However, the company faced pricing challenges and reported a net loss for the quarter. The efforts to improve liquidity and market share, particularly in the U.S., were notable positive developments, although the broader market environment remains challenging.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Volume Growth
Sales volume grew by 12% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, reaching the highest level since Q3 2022.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Achieved a 13% year-over-year decline in cash COGS per metric ton and expect to exceed initial cost reduction guidance for the full year.
Positive EBITDA
Generated positive EBITDA for the first time since Q2 of last year.
Strong U.S. Market Performance
Increased U.S. sales volume by 38% year-over-year, contributing to an 8% increase in average selling price since Q4 2024.
Safety Performance
On track for the best safety performance ever, reflecting a strong safety culture.
Increased Liquidity
Ended the quarter with $367 million in total liquidity, ahead of initial cash flow projections for 2025.
Negative Updates
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $87 million or $0.34 per share, including a $43 million non-cash income tax charge.
Pricing Challenges
Average selling price decreased by 12% year-over-year due to completion of higher-priced LTAs and industry-wide pricing challenges.
Working Capital Build
Built $45 million in net working capital through the first 6 months of the year, driven by inventory due to production exceeding sales volumes.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, GrafTech demonstrated strong operational and financial performance, indicating progress towards its strategic objectives. Sales volume increased by 12% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, marking the highest level since the third quarter of 2022. The company's capacity utilization rate peaked at 65%, the highest in nearly three years. GrafTech also achieved a 13% reduction in cash COGS per metric ton year-over-year, surpassing initial cost reduction guidance for the full year. Additionally, the company generated positive EBITDA for the first time since the second quarter of the previous year. Despite these achievements, GrafTech recognized ongoing challenges in pricing dynamics due to low-priced exports from China. In response, the company is strategically shifting sales volume to higher-priced regions, notably increasing its U.S. market share by 38% year-over-year, contributing to an average selling price increase of nearly 8% from the fourth quarter of 2024. The company remains focused on disciplined execution to navigate industry headwinds and capitalizes on its competitive advantages, including vertical integration, to drive long-term sustainable growth.

GrafTech International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GrafTech International faces significant financial challenges across its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement. The company is struggling with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow difficulties. These issues highlight potential risks in maintaining operational and financial stability in the near term.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The company's income statement shows a concerning downward trend in revenue and profitability. Recent TTM figures reveal negative gross profit and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies and significant losses. Revenue has declined over the past two years, and profitability metrics like EBIT and EBITDA margins have deteriorated, reflecting challenges in maintaining cost control and revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
GrafTech's balance sheet is under significant stress, as indicated by negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The company has more liabilities than assets, leading to a negative equity position, which poses financial stability risks. High leverage and deteriorating equity ratios highlight potential solvency concerns and limited financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow and operating cash flow over recent periods, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, pointing to difficulties in sustaining cash flow despite financing activities. These trends suggest potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue508.55M538.78M620.50M1.28B1.35B1.22B
Gross Profit-24.16M-19.85M36.21M554.88M644.45M660.50M
EBITDA-37.14M1.67M-145.21M546.80M589.04M666.69M
Net Income-211.78M-131.16M-255.25M382.96M388.33M434.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.22B1.29B1.60B1.41B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments158.54M256.25M176.88M134.64M57.51M145.44M
Total Debt1.09B1.09B930.75M921.93M1.03B1.42B
Total Liabilities1.28B1.30B1.21B1.27B1.39B1.76B
Stockholders Equity-168.44M-78.90M78.25M337.71M23.40M-329.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.14M-74.40M14.37M252.46M384.78M527.57M
Operating Cash Flow-88.13M-40.09M68.41M324.63M443.04M563.65M
Investing Cash Flow-30.96M-34.21M-53.82M-71.97M-57.86M-35.70M
Financing Cash Flow155.57M155.72M18.71M-176.27M-471.79M-463.68M

GrafTech International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.60
Price Trends
50DMA
11.53
Negative
100DMA
10.20
Negative
200DMA
12.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.76
Positive
RSI
35.77
Neutral
STOCH
20.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EAF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.05, below the 50-day MA of 11.53, and below the 200-day MA of 12.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EAF.

GrafTech International Risk Analysis

GrafTech International disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GrafTech International reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GrafTech International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.85B11.6619.13%0.94%3.73%32.29%
77
Outperform
$1.88B8.15164.19%4.24%1.15%2358.45%
64
Neutral
$10.74B15.628.14%2.00%2.79%-14.82%
63
Neutral
$12.39B10,925.534.65%22.72%
56
Neutral
$1.79B125.43%128.49%-697.81%
53
Neutral
$1.81B-84.40%-1.70%9.93%
44
Neutral
$255.05M-213.73%-10.79%26.22%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EAF
GrafTech International
9.13
2.66
41.11%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
28.39
-2.20
-7.19%
ENS
EnerSys
101.03
3.49
3.58%
PLUG
Plug Power
1.49
-0.25
-14.37%
BE
Bloom Energy
52.45
41.28
369.56%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
7.62
5.18
212.30%

GrafTech International Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
GrafTech International Approves Reverse Stock Split
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 14, 2025, GrafTech International Ltd. held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where a proposal for a reverse stock split was approved. The Board of Directors subsequently decided on a 1-for-10 reverse stock split, effective August 29, 2025, reducing the number of authorized shares of common and preferred stock proportionally. This move is expected to impact the company’s stock trading on the NYSE and reflects GrafTech’s strategic financial adjustments.

Executive/Board Changes
GrafTech COO Jeremy Halford Announces Resignation
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 8, 2025, GrafTech International announced that its Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Jeremy S. Halford, plans to resign from his position effective September 12, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025