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Graftech Intl (EAF)
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GrafTech International (EAF) AI Stock Analysis

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EAF

GrafTech International

(NYSE:EAF)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-21.26% Downside)
GrafTech International's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenue, negative profitability, and high leverage. While there are some positive signs from recent earnings call highlights, such as sales volume growth and cost reductions, these are overshadowed by ongoing financial challenges and valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
Total available liquidity currently stands at ~$464m, which remains sufficient to bridge EAF through the challenging environment.
Partnership Opportunities
Graftech's existing capabilities and vertical integration could potentially position the company to be an attractive partner with the Department of Defense.
Negative Factors
Market Environment
The pricing environment currently remains challenging with spot prices declining further, and it's uncertain if the market will fully accept GrafTech's attempted price increase.
Tariff Risks
There is elevated risk associated with the US potentially implementing tariffs on GrafTech's operations in Mexico and Europe.

GrafTech International (EAF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GrafTech International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrafTech International Ltd. research, develops, manufactures, and sells graphite and carbon-based solutions worldwide. It offers graphite electrodes to produce electric arc furnace steel and other ferrous and non-ferrous metals; and petroleum needle coke, a crystalline form of carbon used in the production of graphite electrodes. The company sells its products primarily through direct sales force, independent sales representatives, and distributors. GrafTech International Ltd. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Brooklyn Heights, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrafTech International generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite electrodes, which are sold to steel manufacturers and other customers operating electric arc furnaces. The company employs a direct sales model, working closely with clients to meet their specific material needs. Additional revenue streams include the sale of needle coke, a key raw material used in the production of graphite electrodes. GrafTech also benefits from strategic partnerships with major steel producers, which help secure long-term contracts and stabilize revenue. Market dynamics, such as global steel demand and pricing volatility, significantly influence GrafTech's earnings, as the company's profitability is closely tied to the price of graphite electrodes and the overall health of the steel industry.

GrafTech International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.93%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant sales volume growth, cost reduction achievements, and positive EBITDA, indicating operational improvements and strategic momentum. However, these were tempered by ongoing pricing challenges, a reported net loss, and cash flow difficulties, which reflect continued market headwinds and financial pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Volume Growth
Sales volume increased by 12% year-over-year in the second quarter and 16% sequentially compared to the first quarter. Year-to-date sales volume is up 7% compared to 2024.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Achieved a 13% year-over-year decline in cash COGS per metric ton and expect to exceed initial cost reduction guidance for the full year.
Increased U.S. Market Share
Increased sales volume in the United States by 38% year-over-year, providing significant support to average selling price and boosting weighted average selling price by $80 per metric ton in the second quarter.
Positive EBITDA
Generated positive EBITDA for the first time since the second quarter of last year.
Safety Performance
On track for best safety performance ever, highlighting the team’s vigilance and commitment to a culture of safety.
Negative Updates
Pricing Challenges
Faced challenging pricing dynamics in nearly all regions, with a 12% year-over-year decline in average selling price and persistent industry-wide pricing challenges.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $87 million, including a $43 million non-cash income tax charge for a valuation allowance against deferred tax assets.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash used in operating activities was $53 million, reflecting significant cash interest payments and a $45 million build in net working capital.
Global Steel Production Decline
Steel production outside of China was down 1% year-over-year, impacting global utilization rates and market demand.
Company Guidance
During GrafTech's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance and highlighted key metrics reflecting their strategic initiatives and performance improvements. Sales volume grew by 12% year-over-year and 16% sequentially, reaching the highest level since Q3 2022. Capacity utilization rose to 65%, a nearly three-year high. The company achieved a 13% year-over-year decline in cash COGS per metric ton and expects to surpass initial cost reduction guidance for the full year. Despite a competitive pricing environment, GrafTech's weighted average price increased to approximately $4,200 per metric ton, an 8% rise from Q4 2024. The company reported positive EBITDA for the first time since Q2 2024, and their cash flow and liquidity position exceeded expectations. Additionally, GrafTech anticipates a 7% to 9% year-over-year decline in cash COGS per metric ton for 2025, with cash costs for the second half expected to rise due to seasonal factors and tariffs. Overall, the company remains focused on strategic growth, cost efficiency, and strengthening its market position amid evolving industry dynamics.

GrafTech International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GrafTech International faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow difficulties. These issues highlight potential risks in maintaining operational and financial stability in the near term.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The company's income statement shows a concerning downward trend in revenue and profitability. Recent TTM figures reveal negative gross profit and net income, indicating operational inefficiencies and significant losses. Revenue has declined over the past two years, and profitability metrics like EBIT and EBITDA margins have deteriorated, reflecting challenges in maintaining cost control and revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
GrafTech's balance sheet is under significant stress, as indicated by negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The company has more liabilities than assets, leading to a negative equity position, which poses financial stability risks. High leverage and deteriorating equity ratios highlight potential solvency concerns and limited financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative free cash flow and operating cash flow over recent periods, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, pointing to difficulties in sustaining cash flow despite financing activities. These trends suggest potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue538.78M620.50M1.28B1.35B1.22B
Gross Profit-19.85M36.21M554.88M644.45M660.50M
EBITDA1.67M-145.21M546.80M589.04M666.69M
Net Income-131.16M-255.25M382.96M388.33M434.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.22B1.29B1.60B1.41B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments256.25M176.88M134.64M57.51M145.44M
Total Debt1.09B930.75M921.93M1.03B1.42B
Total Liabilities1.30B1.21B1.27B1.39B1.76B
Stockholders Equity-78.90M78.25M337.71M23.40M-329.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-74.40M14.37M252.46M384.78M527.57M
Operating Cash Flow-40.09M68.41M324.63M443.04M563.65M
Investing Cash Flow-34.21M-53.82M-71.97M-57.86M-35.70M
Financing Cash Flow155.72M18.71M-176.27M-471.79M-463.68M

GrafTech International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.27
Price Trends
50DMA
1.17
Positive
100DMA
0.99
Positive
200DMA
1.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
51.27
Neutral
STOCH
18.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EAF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.31, above the 50-day MA of 1.17, and below the 200-day MA of 1.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EAF.

GrafTech International Risk Analysis

GrafTech International disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GrafTech International reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GrafTech International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$3.58B10.9119.13%1.00%3.73%32.29%
72
Outperform
$1.96B8.29164.19%4.17%1.15%2358.45%
64
Neutral
$10.70B16.306.50%2.13%2.67%-20.48%
63
Neutral
$8.61B7,829.794.65%22.72%
57
Neutral
$1.66B125.43%128.49%-697.81%
50
Neutral
$1.73B-83.81%-19.85%4.94%
48
Neutral
$327.85M-213.73%-10.79%26.22%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EAF
GrafTech International
1.27
0.73
135.19%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
28.78
0.45
1.59%
ENS
EnerSys
95.60
1.53
1.63%
PLUG
Plug Power
1.51
-0.44
-22.56%
BE
Bloom Energy
36.80
25.66
230.34%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
6.37
4.69
279.17%

GrafTech International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
GrafTech International Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

GrafTech International Ltd. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 8, 2025, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of Michel J. Dumas and Eric V. Roegner as directors, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the accounting firm, and the approval of executive compensation were all passed. Additionally, stockholders decided to hold an advisory vote on executive compensation annually.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025