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GrafTech International Ltd (EAF)
NYSE:EAF
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GrafTech International (EAF) AI Stock Analysis

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EAF

GrafTech International

(NYSE:EAF)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-16.27% Downside)
GrafTech International's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, high leverage, and negative equity. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into sales growth and cost reductions, the company's valuation remains unattractive with a negative P/E ratio. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, adding to the uncertainty. The potential recovery in the steel industry offers some hope, but the current financial instability is a major concern.
Positive Factors
Sales Volume Growth
The increase in sales volume indicates strong demand for GrafTech's products, which could lead to sustained revenue growth and improved market positioning.
Cost Reduction
Effective cost management enhances profitability and competitive advantage, allowing GrafTech to maintain margins even in challenging pricing environments.
Positive Cash Flow
Positive cash flow strengthens GrafTech's financial position, providing the liquidity needed to invest in growth opportunities and weather market volatility.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Ongoing revenue decline poses a risk to GrafTech's long-term viability, as it may struggle to cover fixed costs and invest in future growth.
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility and increases risk, potentially leading to solvency issues if cash flows do not improve.
Net Loss
Sustained net losses can erode shareholder value and hinder GrafTech's ability to reinvest in its business, affecting long-term growth prospects.

GrafTech International (EAF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GrafTech International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrafTech International Ltd. research, develops, manufactures, and sells graphite and carbon-based solutions worldwide. It offers graphite electrodes to produce electric arc furnace steel and other ferrous and non-ferrous metals; and petroleum needle coke, a crystalline form of carbon used in the production of graphite electrodes. The company sells its products primarily through direct sales force, independent sales representatives, and distributors. GrafTech International Ltd. was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Brooklyn Heights, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrafTech International generates revenue primarily through the sale of graphite electrodes used in electric arc furnaces for steel production. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to steel manufacturers and other industrial clients who require high-quality electrode products. Key revenue streams include the sale of standard and premium-grade graphite electrodes, which can command higher prices due to their performance characteristics. Additionally, GrafTech benefits from long-term contracts with major steel producers, ensuring a steady flow of income. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations within the steel and industrial sectors, further enhancing its market reach and profitability. Factors contributing to its earnings include the global demand for steel, the efficiency and reliability of its products, and its ability to maintain competitive pricing in the market.

GrafTech International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Sales Volume
Sales Volume
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

GrafTech International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 24, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
GrafTech demonstrated strong sales volume growth, particularly in the U.S., and achieved significant cost reductions. However, the company faced challenges with pricing dynamics and reported a net loss for the quarter. The outlook for the steel industry shows potential for recovery, but current market conditions remain challenging.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Sales Volume Growth
GrafTech reported a 9% year-over-year increase in sales volume for Q3 2025, reaching nearly 29,000 metric tons. The company is on track to achieve cumulative sales volume growth of over 20% since the end of 2023.
U.S. Market Expansion
Sales volume in the United States grew by 53% year-over-year in the third quarter, with a year-to-date growth of 39% compared to last year.
Cost Reduction Achievements
A 10% year-over-year reduction in cash cost per metric ton was achieved for Q3 2025. The company is on track for more than a 30% cumulative reduction in cash cost per metric ton since the end of 2023.
Positive Cash Flow and Liquidity Position
GrafTech generated $25 million in net cash from operating activities and $18 million in adjusted free cash flow, with a liquidity position of $384 million as of the end of September 2025.
Steel Industry Outlook
Early indications of a rebound in the steel markets have started to appear, with projected steel demand growth in the U.S. and Europe for 2026.
Negative Updates
Challenging Pricing Dynamics
Average selling price for Q3 was approximately $4,200 per metric ton, representing a 7% decline compared to the prior year. This was partially due to increased low-priced graphite electrode exports from China.
Net Loss for the Quarter
GrafTech reported a net loss of $28 million or $1.10 per share for the third quarter of 2025.
Excess Electrode Capacity
There remains an unsustainably high level of excess electrode capacity in the rest of the world, influenced by low-priced exports from China and others.
Company Guidance
In the GrafTech Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a 9% year-over-year increase in sales volume, reaching nearly 29,000 metric tons, and a 53% growth in U.S. sales volume. They reduced cash costs per metric ton by 10% year-over-year, with a full-year target of a 30% reduction since 2023. GrafTech's adjusted EBITDA was $13 million for the quarter, and they generated $25 million in net cash from operations, with $18 million in adjusted free cash flow, boosting their liquidity to $384 million. The call highlighted a challenging market, with global steel production outside China up 2%, and a flat year-to-date trend in steel demand. The company emphasized ongoing strategic shifts, geographical sales optimization, and efforts to mitigate pricing pressures, while maintaining a positive outlook on future sales volume growth and market share gains.

GrafTech International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GrafTech International is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement reflects declining revenues and profitability, while the balance sheet reveals high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow issues further compound the company's financial difficulties, raising concerns about its ability to sustain operations without substantial improvements or restructuring.
Income Statement
25
Negative
GrafTech International's income statement shows significant challenges. The company has experienced a consistent decline in revenue and profitability over recent years. The TTM data reveals negative gross profit and net profit margins, indicating operational inefficiencies and substantial losses. Despite a slight revenue growth in the TTM period, the overall trajectory remains concerning with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet highlights critical financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates significant leverage and potential solvency risks. The return on equity is positive in the TTM period, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric. The equity ratio is also negative, further emphasizing financial distress.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative trend with declining operating and free cash flows. The TTM data indicates negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, although the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive due to substantial net losses. The company faces challenges in generating sufficient cash to cover its operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue521.89M538.78M620.50M1.28B1.35B1.22B
Gross Profit-2.03M-22.19M26.66M545.40M653.70M655.83M
EBITDA7.22M1.67M-145.21M546.80M589.04M666.69M
Net Income-204.19M-131.16M-255.25M382.96M388.33M434.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.22B1.29B1.60B1.41B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments177.63M256.25M176.88M134.64M57.51M145.44M
Total Debt1.14B1.09B930.75M921.93M1.03B1.42B
Total Liabilities1.30B1.30B1.21B1.27B1.39B1.76B
Stockholders Equity-194.36M-78.90M78.25M337.71M23.40M-329.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-120.44M-74.40M22.52M252.46M384.78M527.57M
Operating Cash Flow-87.14M-40.09M76.56M324.63M443.04M563.65M
Investing Cash Flow-33.01M-34.21M-53.82M-71.97M-57.86M-35.70M
Financing Cash Flow155.55M155.72M18.71M-176.27M-471.79M-463.68M

GrafTech International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.72
Price Trends
50DMA
14.77
Positive
100DMA
13.29
Positive
200DMA
11.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Negative
RSI
65.19
Neutral
STOCH
92.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EAF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.88, above the 50-day MA of 14.77, and above the 200-day MA of 11.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EAF.

GrafTech International Risk Analysis

GrafTech International disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GrafTech International reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GrafTech International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.45B17.2618.22%0.67%6.17%20.86%
71
Outperform
$1.07B28.798.33%0.37%15.93%12.72%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$1.63B7.18156.36%6.59%2.28%534.60%
50
Neutral
$3.06B-1.01-95.42%2.53%-2.83%
46
Neutral
$310.87M-1.53-3.66%32.11%
45
Neutral
$399.05M-29.51%78.82%-20.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EAF
GrafTech International
16.72
-5.88
-26.02%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
18.21
-18.00
-49.71%
ENS
EnerSys
147.65
52.44
55.08%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
8.37
-2.77
-24.87%
PLUG
Plug Power
2.20
-0.47
-17.60%
PLPC
Preformed Line Products Company
217.27
83.10
61.94%

GrafTech International Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
GrafTech Announces Resignation of Board Members
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

On November 25, 2025, GrafTech International announced that Michel Dumas and Anthony Taccone would resign from the Board of Directors, effective December 31, 2025. Their resignations are not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025