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Amdocs (DOX)
NASDAQ:DOX

Amdocs (DOX) AI Stock Analysis

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DOX

Amdocs

(NASDAQ:DOX)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(9.50% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (notably free-cash-flow strength and conservative leverage) and supportive valuation (moderate P/E plus a ~2.9% dividend). These are partly offset by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with bearish momentum) and earnings-call risks tied to modest growth guidance and customer-specific revenue pressure (notably T-Mobile), despite steady margins and backlog.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Amdocs converts a large share of earnings into cash (TTM FCF ~$755M, ~17% growth). Durable high FCF supports capital returns, buybacks, dividend coverage, and funding for M&A or product investment without needing material external financing over the next 2–6 months.
Conservative Leverage
Low leverage (debt/equity ~0.24) and sizeable equity provide financial flexibility for strategic initiatives, support continued buybacks and dividends, and reduce refinancing risk. This conservatism preserves balance sheet optionality during industry investments and near-term integration work.
Strategic Market Position & AI/Cloud Push
Amdocs combines strong telco relationships, a $4.25B backlog, strategic M&A (Matrixx) and new products (aOS) to capitalize on cloud migration and GenAI secular trends. These structural moves diversify revenue levers and position the firm as a platform partner over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Modest Top‑Line Momentum
Revenue growth is modest and partially inorganic, limiting organic expansion potential. Flat TTM revenue and a weak FY25 base mean upside depends on successful cross‑sell, SaaS adoption and M&A execution, constraining durable EPS growth absent sustained organic acceleration.
Customer Concentration Risk
Reliance on a few large telecom customers creates revenue volatility: even with a renewed multi‑year deal, expected FY26 declines from a major client highlight concentration risk that can materially alter top‑line trajectory and backlog utilization across quarters.
Integration & Cost Pressure
Recent acquisition integration uncertainty and restructuring payments increase short‑term execution risk. Higher aggregate borrowings and expected elevated finance costs reduce near‑term margin tailwind and create pressure to deliver predictable cross‑sell and recurring revenue from Matrixx.

Amdocs (DOX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amdocs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services worldwide. The company designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud portfolio. It provides CES21, a 5G and cloud-native microservices-based market-leading customer experience suite, that enables service providers to build, deliver, and monetize advanced services; the Commerce and Care suite for order capture, handling, and customer engagement; the Monetization suite for charging, billing, policy, and revenue management; Intelligent Networking suite with a set of modular, flexible, and open service lifecycle management capabilities for network automation journeys; MarketONE, a cloud-native business ecosystem; Digital Brands Suite, a pre-integrated digital business suite for digital telecom brands and small-scale service providers; and eSIM Cloud for service providers. It also offers AI-powered, cloud-native, and home operating systems; data intelligence solutions and applications; media services for media publishers, TV networks, and video streaming and service providers; end-to-end application development and maintenance services; and ongoing services. In addition, the company provides a line of services designed for various stages of a service provider's lifecycle includes design, delivery, quality engineering, operations, systems integration, mobile network services, consulting, and content services; managed services comprising application development, modernization and maintenance, IT and infrastructure services, testing and professional services that are designed to assist customers in the selection, implementation, operation, management, and maintenance of IT systems. It serves to the communications, cable and satellite, entertainment, and media industry service providers, as well as mobile virtual network operators and directory publishers. Amdocs Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmdocs generates revenue through a combination of software licensing, professional services, and managed services. Key revenue streams include the sale of software products that enable telecommunications companies to manage customer interactions, billing, and network operations. Professional services involve consulting, implementation, and support, which are often customized to meet the specific needs of clients. Additionally, Amdocs earns revenue from long-term contracts with major telecom operators, providing ongoing support and updates for its software solutions. Strategic partnerships with key players in the telecommunications industry further enhance Amdocs' ability to deliver integrated solutions, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Amdocs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: Amdocs delivered a solid start to FY26 with revenue slightly above guidance, improved margins, strong free cash flow conversion, strategic commercial wins, and a new acquisition bolstering monetization capabilities. At the same time, the company reiterated modest full-year revenue growth (1.5%–5.5%), flagged expected revenue decline from a large customer (T-Mobile) in FY26, noted restructuring charges and higher financing costs, and emphasized some regional/quarterly variability and limited near-term visibility from the recent acquisition. Management highlighted material progress in generative AI (AOS) and cloud momentum, but also cautioned about macro and customer spending uncertainty.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Slightly Above Guidance
Q1 revenue of $1.156 billion, up 4.1% year-over-year reported and up 3.5% in constant currency; revenue was slightly above the midpoint of guidance despite unfavorable FX of ~$3 million.
Profitability and EPS Beat
Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.81 exceeded guidance (primarily due to a lower-than-expected tax rate); non-GAAP operating margin improved 40 basis points year-over-year to 21.6% and was stable sequentially.
Strong Cash Generation and Capital Returns
Free cash flow before restructuring payments was $237 million (≈33% of full-year target in Q1); reported free cash flow was $188 million after $49 million of restructuring payments. The company repurchased $146 million of shares and paid $57 million in dividends, with ~ $840 million remaining repurchase authority.
Backlog Growth and Managed Services Stability
12-month backlog ended at $4.25 billion, up $60 million sequentially and up 2.7% year-over-year. Managed Services revenue was $746 million, up 2.3% year-over-year and represented ~65% of total revenue, with high renewal rates and expanded multiyear engagements.
Strategic M&A Completed
Closed acquisition of Matrix Software for $197 million in cash at the end of Q1 to strengthen billing, monetization, and charging solutions and expand footprint with customers such as Verizon, Telus, Telefonica, Swisscom and others; M&A expected to contribute about half of FY26 inorganic growth assumptions.
Notable Commercial Wins and Customer Expansions
Signed a new five-year multiyear agreement with T-Mobile (managed services, software development, AI integration), expanded engagement with Vodafone Germany, wins with Telus, Optimum, Consumer Cellular, Telefonica Germany, Swisscom/Fastweb, Sunrise extension, and new proof-of-concept in Japan.
Advancement in Generative AI and Product Roadmap
Progress on GenAI initiatives (Amaze, Cognitive Core) and announced AOS (agentic operating system) purpose-built for telecommunications to be showcased at Mobile World Congress; continued collaboration with NVIDIA and early GenAI commercial wins (e.g., Telus Sovereign AI Factory solution).
Cloud & SaaS Momentum
Ongoing cloud migration work with AT&T and rising adoption of SaaS platforms (Amdocs ConnectX, MarketONE, eSIM); MarketONE selected by Vizio to monetize OTT/subscription bundles across 50M+ TVs.
Negative Updates
Modest Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Reiterated FY26 revenue growth guidance of 1.5% to 5.5% in constant currency (roughly half expected to be inorganic), signaling modest top-line expansion for the year.
Customer-Specific Revenue Pressure (T-Mobile)
Despite a new five-year agreement with T-Mobile, management expects overall revenue from this customer to decline in FY26 due to lower spending appetite; also highlighted that UScellular integration work is nonrecurring and will ramp down by design.
Regional Weakness and Quarterly Variability
Rest of World revenue was down year-over-year (though improved sequentially); management cautioned that quarterly trends may fluctuate given project orientation of customer activities in some regions.
Restructuring and Increased Financial Costs
Q1 included restructuring cash payments of $49 million and a GAAP restructuring charge of roughly $0.09 per share; aggregate borrowings rose to ~$780 million (including $130 million draw on revolver) and company expects higher finance costs for the year due to reduced cash balance and funding of strategic initiatives.
Tax Rate and Q2 Uncertainty
Although Q1 benefited from a lower-than-expected tax rate, management expects Q2 non-GAAP effective tax rate to be above the high end of the FY target range (16%–19%), introducing near-term EPS modeling uncertainty.
Limited Near-Term Visibility from Recent Acquisition
Matrix Software is a software product company with less predictable revenue cadence than managed services; management described revenue contribution conservatively and indicated first-year integration visibility is limited.
Company Guidance
Amdocs reiterated full‑year fiscal 2026 guidance for revenue growth of 1.5%–5.5% in constant currency (roughly half inorganic), non‑GAAP diluted EPS growth of 4%–8% (midpoint tied to high‑single‑digit TSR including a ~2.7% dividend yield), and non‑GAAP operating margin target of 21.3%–21.9%; Q2 revenue is guided to $1.15–$1.19 billion, the company expects a non‑GAAP effective tax rate of 16%–19% for the year (with Q2 above the high end), and free cash flow of $710–$730 million (≈90% conversion of non‑GAAP net income, ~8% FCF yield) excluding restructuring payments. In Q1 Amdocs delivered $1.156B revenue (+3.5% cc, +4.1% reported), non‑GAAP EPS $1.81 (GAAP EPS $1.45, including ~$0.09 restructuring), non‑GAAP operating margin 21.6% (+40 bps YoY), managed services revenue $746M (~65% of total), 12‑month backlog of $4.25B (+$60M seq, +2.7% YoY), DSO 76 days (‑5 days YoY, +2 days seq), FCF before restructuring $237M (reported FCF $188M after $49M restructuring), cash ~$248M, aggregate borrowings ~$780M (including $130M revolver draw and $650M notes maturing June 2030), Q1 interest and other expenses ~ $10M, $146M of buybacks in the quarter and $840M remaining repurchase authorization, and FX now assumed to benefit full‑year revenue by ~0.5% (vs 0.7% prior).

Amdocs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation (TTM FCF ~$755M, ~17% growth) and healthy balance-sheet leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.24) support a high-quality profile. Profitability is solid and improving vs. 2024 (TTM net margin ~12.5%), but revenue growth is modest (TTM ~+1%) and margins remain below the 2021 peak, limiting the upside.
Income Statement
72
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is essentially flat (about +1.0%), following a decline in the latest annual period (2025: ~-9.4%), which points to modest top-line momentum. Profitability is solid and improving versus 2024, with TTM gross margin ~38% (up from ~35% in 2024) and TTM net margin ~12.5% (up from ~9.9% in 2024), indicating better cost control and mix. However, margins remain below the 2021 peak (net margin ~16%), suggesting some structural pressure versus prior highs.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Leverage is conservative, with TTM debt-to-equity around 0.24 and equity of roughly $3.4B supporting a ~$6.3B asset base. Returns to shareholders are healthy (TTM return on equity ~16%), consistent with a profitable, mature software business. The main watch-out is that total debt is up versus 2024 (about $952M vs. ~$790M), even though overall leverage still remains very manageable.
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM operating cash flow is ~$864M and free cash flow is ~$755M, with free cash flow up sharply (TTM growth ~17%). Free cash flow comfortably covers reported earnings (about 86% of net income), indicating good earnings quality and strong conversion. A constraint is that cash flow relative to current liabilities appears moderate (operating cash flow coverage ~0.55 in the provided data), implying less near-term cushion than the headline free-cash-flow figure might suggest.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.53B5.00B4.89B4.58B4.29B
Gross Profit1.66B1.76B1.73B1.62B1.48B
EBITDA927.10M819.03M855.15M889.85M1.04B
Net Income564.70M493.20M540.71M549.50M688.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.25B6.39B6.43B6.39B6.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments325.00M514.33M742.53M817.98M965.59M
Total Debt826.40M789.74M807.31M826.83M881.17M
Total Liabilities2.78B2.89B2.86B2.83B2.88B
Stockholders Equity3.43B3.46B3.52B3.52B3.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow645.14M618.93M698.27M529.50M715.37M
Operating Cash Flow749.10M724.43M822.63M756.72M925.81M
Investing Cash Flow-2.06M-127.41M-224.50M-262.50M-329.00M
Financing Cash Flow-768.12M-771.02M-651.43M-629.90M-870.93M

Amdocs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price73.06
Price Trends
50DMA
79.86
Negative
100DMA
80.90
Negative
200DMA
84.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.62
Positive
RSI
22.00
Positive
STOCH
11.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 73.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.36, below the 50-day MA of 79.86, and below the 200-day MA of 84.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.00 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOX.

Amdocs Risk Analysis

Amdocs disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amdocs reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amdocs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$13.22B26.9510.64%4.21%-0.63%
70
Outperform
$7.89B14.3816.45%2.57%-9.43%19.14%
68
Neutral
$5.16B27.3315.52%23.16%27.38%
62
Neutral
$6.26B-87.29-6.10%32.81%-36.32%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOX
Amdocs
73.06
-11.36
-13.45%
AKAM
Akamai
91.92
-7.69
-7.72%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments
58.08
-61.99
-51.63%
KVYO
Klaviyo, Inc. Class A
18.85
-28.82
-60.46%

Amdocs Corporate Events

Amdocs Posts Solid Q1 FY2026 Results, Expands Telco AI Push With T-Mobile Deal and aOS Launch
Feb 4, 2026

On February 3, 2026, Amdocs reported results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, covering the three months ended December 31, 2025, posting revenue of $1.16 billion, up 4.1% year-on-year as reported and slightly above the midpoint of guidance, with Europe growing 17.1%, managed services comprising about 65% of sales, and both GAAP and non-GAAP EPS topping guidance on the back of a lower effective tax rate and improved profitability. The company highlighted a stronger operating margin, robust free cash flow of $188 million, $146 million in share repurchases and a $4.25 billion twelve‑month backlog, while reinforcing its fiscal 2026 revenue growth outlook in constant currency and signaling a strategic push into generative AI and broader telecom transformation through a new multi-year strategic agreement with T-Mobile USA, expanded engagements with Vodafone Germany and other European customers, the completed acquisition of Matrixx Software, and the launch of aOS, an agentic operating system designed to position Amdocs as a key technology partner for operators pursuing AI, cloud migration and fiber rollout initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOX) stock is a Buy with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amdocs stock, see the DOX Stock Forecast page.

Amdocs Names Shimie Hortig CEO as Shuky Sheffer Plans March 31 Retirement
Feb 4, 2026

On February 3, 2026, Amdocs announced that long-serving CEO Shuky Sheffer will retire and hand leadership to Shimie Hortig, the current Group President of the Americas, effective March 31, 2026. The carefully planned succession underscores Amdocs’ intent to preserve strategic continuity as it deepens its cloud and generative AI capabilities for telecom clients, reinforcing stakeholder confidence in its positioning for the next phase of industry transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOX) stock is a Buy with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amdocs stock, see the DOX Stock Forecast page.

Amdocs Shareholders Back Board, Boost Dividend and Expand Employee Share Plan at 2026 AGM
Jan 30, 2026

At its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders held on January 30, 2026, Amdocs Limited reported that investors re-elected all ten board nominees for one-year terms, signaling continued support for the company’s existing leadership and strategic direction. Shareholders also approved an amendment to the 2023 Employee Share Purchase Plan to reserve an additional 2.2 million ordinary shares, endorsed an increase in the quarterly cash dividend from $0.527 to $0.569 per share, approved the consolidated financial statements for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as auditor for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, collectively reinforcing Amdocs’ capital return policy, employee equity participation, and governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOX) stock is a Buy with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amdocs stock, see the DOX Stock Forecast page.

Amdocs Releases Annual Report for Fiscal Year 2025
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Amdocs Limited released its annual report for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2025. The report, which was issued as part of a Form 6-K filing, provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic initiatives over the past year. This release is significant for stakeholders as it offers a comprehensive overview of Amdocs’ operational achievements and future outlook, reinforcing its position in the competitive software and services market.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOX) stock is a Buy with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amdocs stock, see the DOX Stock Forecast page.

Amdocs Announces Annual General Meeting and Strategic Proposals for 2026
Dec 16, 2025

Amdocs Limited has announced its upcoming annual general meeting of shareholders, scheduled for January 30, 2026, in Jersey City, NJ. Key agenda items include the election of ten directors, an amendment to the Employee Share Purchase Plan to increase share issuance by 2.2 million shares, an increase in the quarterly dividend rate, approval of the fiscal year 2025 financial statements, and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for fiscal year 2026. These proposals reflect Amdocs’ ongoing strategic initiatives to enhance shareholder value and ensure robust corporate governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOX) stock is a Buy with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amdocs stock, see the DOX Stock Forecast page.

Amdocs Reports Q4 2025 Results and Strategic AI Investments
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Amdocs Limited announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, reporting a revenue of $4.53 billion, a decrease of 9.4% year-over-year due to the phase-out of certain business activities. Despite this, the company achieved a record managed services revenue and improved profitability, driven by operational efficiencies and a focus on high-margin activities. Amdocs also highlighted strong sales momentum and significant international expansion, securing major contracts with companies like TELUS, Lumen Technologies, and British Telecom. The company is increasing its investment in generative AI to unlock new growth opportunities, with a strategic focus on modernizing IT operations and enhancing customer experiences. Looking forward, Amdocs expects revenue growth in the range of 1.7% to 5.7% for fiscal year 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (DOX) stock is a Buy with a $97.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amdocs stock, see the DOX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026