tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
DeFi Development Corporation (DFDV)
NASDAQ:DFDV
US Market

DeFi Development Corporation (DFDV) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
426 Followers

Top Page

DFDV

DeFi Development Corporation

(NASDAQ:DFDV)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-23.08% Downside)
Score is held back primarily by negative operating/free cash flow and questions about earnings durability despite the reported TTM profitability surge. Technicals add near-term risk given a clear downtrend and negative momentum. Offsetting factors include a low P/E and positive corporate actions (buybacks/treasury strategy), but dilution and leverage risks keep the overall score in the mid-range.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The modest revenue growth indicates a positive trend in business expansion, suggesting potential for future market penetration and increased client engagement.
Strong Gross Margins
High gross margins reflect efficient cost management and pricing power, which can support long-term profitability as the company scales.
Strategic Equity Expansion
Expanding equity plans enhances capital flexibility, allowing the company to fund operations, attract talent, and pursue strategic transactions.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow highlights operational challenges and liquidity concerns, which may hinder the company's ability to sustain operations without external financing.
Heavy Losses
Significant net losses indicate ongoing profitability challenges, potentially impacting long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Equity Dilution Risk
The potential for equity dilution could affect shareholder value, as increased share issuance may dilute existing ownership and earnings per share.

DeFi Development Corporation (DFDV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DeFi Development Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeFi Development Corp. is an AI-powered online platform that connects the commercial real estate industry by providing data and software subscriptions, as well as value-added services to multifamily and commercial property professionals. The company has adopted a crypto-forward treasury model, allocating its principal treasury holdings to Solana (SOL), aiming to provide investors with economic exposure to the Solana ecosystem.
How the Company Makes MoneyDFDV generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by charging fees for its development services, which include custom smart contract creation and ongoing technical support for clients in the DeFi space. The company also earns money from transaction fees associated with the dApps it develops, as users pay a small fee for transactions conducted on these platforms. Additionally, DFDV may participate in profit-sharing agreements or receive equity stakes in projects it develops, ensuring a share of future earnings. Strategic partnerships with blockchain networks and financial institutions further enhance its revenue potential, allowing DFDV to expand its service offerings and access new markets.

DeFi Development Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows strong revenue generation and gross margins but struggles with net profitability. The balance sheet is robust with no debt, yet continuous net losses and negative cash flows raise concerns about long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
The company's revenue showed a slight increase from $2.00M in 2023 to $2.10M in 2024, indicating a modest growth trajectory. However, the gross profit margin remains strong, consistently above 98%, highlighting efficient cost management. Despite this, net income remains negative, with a net profit margin of -129.9% in 2024, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, further emphasizing the company's struggle to convert revenue into operating profits.
Balance Sheet
The company has a strong equity position with no debt in 2024, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The stockholders' equity decreased from $5.82M in 2023 to $3.50M in 2024. The equity ratio is 79.9%, indicating a stable financial structure with a low level of liabilities relative to assets. Nonetheless, the reduction in total assets and equity suggests potential risks in maintaining this stability.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains negative at -$2.42M in 2024, highlighting ongoing operational challenges. The free cash flow is also negative, with a decline from -$1.60M in 2023 to -$2.44M in 2024. The negative operating and free cash flow to net income ratios indicate that the company is not generating sufficient cash to cover its net losses, posing liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.53M2.10M2.00M2.15M1.98M1.56M
Gross Profit7.40M2.07M2.00M2.15M1.98M1.56M
EBITDA93.57M-2.70M-3.37M-1.24M-1.62M432.24K
Net Income70.19M-2.73M-3.37M-1.26M-1.62M319.02K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets479.95M4.38M6.68M1.34M1.86M740.20K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.18M2.86M5.08M981.13K1.71M415.71K
Total Debt131.71M13.93K66.66K112.57K0.000.00
Total Liabilities236.15M873.84K867.85K811.53K1.44M874.31K
Stockholders Equity243.80M3.50M5.82M525.38K419.31K-134.11K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.23M-2.44M-1.60M-1.02M65.84K346.63K
Operating Cash Flow-7.22M-2.42M-1.57M-1.02M65.84K362.81K
Investing Cash Flow-236.32M-22.31K-89.05K0.000.00-16.18K
Financing Cash Flow249.57M-117.54K5.75M297.52K1.23M49.64K

DeFi Development Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.15
Price Trends
50DMA
6.76
Positive
100DMA
11.21
Negative
200DMA
14.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
62.24
Neutral
STOCH
88.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DFDV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.88, above the 50-day MA of 6.76, and below the 200-day MA of 14.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DFDV.

DeFi Development Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$227.78M3.1256.66%313.35%
54
Neutral
$226.52M-3.70-114.65%11.89%34.27%
54
Neutral
$245.44M-12.82-86.46%1.88%53.31%
50
Neutral
$297.16M-7.43-55.03%15.73%40.14%
44
Neutral
$144.07M-2.68-142.36%-34.35%20.88%
41
Neutral
$263.57M-4.21-110.11%-44.07%25.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DFDV
DeFi Development Corporation
7.80
7.00
875.00%
REKR
Rekor Systems
1.59
0.15
10.42%
ARBE
Arbe Robotics
1.25
-1.75
-58.33%
KLTR
Kaltura
1.52
-0.63
-29.30%
PDYN
Palladyne AI Corp
7.13
-1.91
-21.13%
BLZE
Backblaze
4.94
-1.13
-18.62%

DeFi Development Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
DeFi Development Issues Preliminary Q4 2025 Business Update
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, DeFi Development Corp. issued a preliminary business update for the fourth quarter of 2025, reporting that during the quarter it increased its Solana per share (SPS) by 6.2% to 0.0743, an implied 24.6% annualized run rate, while holding 2,221,329 SOL and SOL equivalents, along with approximately $9 million in cash, stablecoins, and other readily convertible tokens as of January 1, 2026. The company disclosed that it had 29,892,800 shares outstanding as of January 1, 2026 after repurchasing 2,049,113 shares at an average price of $5.62 during the quarter, and estimated an annualized average organic yield of about 8.3% for Q4 2025 from staking, validator operations, and selective on‑chain deployments—figures that are preliminary and unaudited but underscore management’s focus on boosting SOL per share, reinforcing its treasury strategy, and potentially enhancing shareholder alignment ahead of more detailed fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results to be provided in upcoming filings.

The most recent analyst rating on (DFDV) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeFi Development Corporation stock, see the DFDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
DeFi Development Expands Equity Plans and Capital Flexibility
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

At its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on December 18, 2025, DeFi Development Corp. secured shareholder approval for several measures aimed at expanding its equity compensation capacity and overall capital structure flexibility. Stockholders approved an amendment to the 2023 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the pool of shares available for issuance by 1.5 million to a total of 5 million shares, and also approved a new 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan with an initial 250,000-share reserve and an automatic annual share increase mechanism through 2035. In addition, investors ratified the appointment of Wolf & Company, P.C. as the independent auditor for 2025, re-elected five directors to the board, and passed charter amendments significantly raising the company’s authorized common stock to 1 billion shares and authorized preferred stock to 1 billion shares, moves that collectively enhance the company’s ability to issue equity, fund operations, and use stock-based incentives to attract and retain employees and potentially pursue future financing or strategic transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (DFDV) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeFi Development Corporation stock, see the DFDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DeFi Development Corp. Releases Q3 2025 Shareholder Update
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, DeFi Development Corp. released its third-quarter 2025 Shareholder Letter and Business Update, highlighting strong earnings and strategic initiatives. The company disclosed having 31,389,589 total shares outstanding and approximately $140.3 million in outstanding debt principal as of September 30, 2025. The announcement also included an updated FAQ regarding a previously announced warrant distribution, impacting stakeholders by providing detailed information on the terms of the warrants. This update reflects DeFi Development Corp.’s ongoing efforts to enhance transparency and engage with its investor community.

The most recent analyst rating on (DFDV) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeFi Development Corporation stock, see the DFDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
DeFi Development Announces Warrant Distribution for Stockholders
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, DeFi Development Corporation announced a warrant distribution for its stockholders, which will be executed on or about October 27, 2025. This strategic move aims to align with stockholders by offering them warrants as a form of dividend, allowing them to maintain their ownership stake or sell the warrants for cash. The warrants, which have an exercise price of $22.50 per share, are expected to begin trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol DFDVW. The company believes this approach will raise capital efficiently while rewarding current investors. The expiration date for these warrants is January 21, 2028, but they may expire earlier if certain conditions are met.

The most recent analyst rating on (DFDV) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeFi Development Corporation stock, see the DFDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
DeFi Development Corp. Expands SOL Holdings Significantly
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, DeFi Development Corp. announced the acquisition of 86,307 SOL at an average price of $110.91 per SOL, increasing its total SOL holdings by 4.7% to 2,195,926 SOL, valued at approximately $426 million. This strategic purchase is part of the company’s long-term plan to hold and stake SOL, generating native yield through its validators. The company also updated its outstanding share count to 28,888,178 as of October 15, 2025, with pre-funded warrants potentially increasing this to 31.9 million shares. This move reinforces the company’s commitment to maintaining and growing its SOL per share ratio, even with the impact of full warrant exercises.

The most recent analyst rating on (DFDV) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeFi Development Corporation stock, see the DFDV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026