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Rekor Systems Inc (REKR)
NASDAQ:REKR
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Rekor Systems (REKR) AI Stock Analysis

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REKR

Rekor Systems

(NASDAQ:REKR)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-5.66% Downside)
Rekor Systems' overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and recent strategic contracts, yet hampered by profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical indicators show a neutral trend, while valuation metrics are unattractive due to persistent losses. Earnings call insights suggest potential for improvement but highlight execution risks.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Management is on pace to recognize the previously announced $15 million in annualized savings over the course of the year and continues to believe it can reach free cash flow breakeven in the near term.
International Expansion
The international opportunity is promising and key hires are positioning Rekor to capitalize on demand for roadway data technologies across Europe.
Partnerships
Management remains confident in the value of the SoundThinking partnership, for which SoundThinking offers Rekor’s license plate reader system as part of the PlateRanger-branded offering.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
First-quarter revenue declined 6%, down from a 4% organic decline in the previous quarter.
Revenue Weakness
Revenue weakness was driven by adverse weather and an uncertain government procurement environment.

Rekor Systems (REKR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rekor Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRekor Systems, Inc. (REKR) is a technology-driven company specializing in the development and deployment of advanced vehicle recognition systems. Operating primarily in the public safety, transportation, and commercial sectors, Rekor leverages artificial intelligence and machine learning to provide automated license plate recognition (ALPR) solutions. These solutions help in improving traffic management, enhancing public safety, and optimizing business operations by delivering real-time data and actionable insights.
How the Company Makes MoneyRekor Systems generates revenue through the sale and licensing of its proprietary software solutions, hardware products, and related services. A significant portion of its income comes from subscription-based models where customers pay recurring fees for access to its cloud-based vehicle recognition platform. The company also earns money through strategic partnerships with law enforcement agencies, government entities, and private corporations who utilize its technology for traffic monitoring, tolling, and security purposes. Additionally, Rekor offers consultancy and support services that provide further revenue streams, contributing to its earnings.

Rekor Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in cost management and gross margin expansion. However, overall revenue decline and external challenges impacted performance, balancing the positive aspects with notable concerns about sales execution and meeting expectations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Optimization Success
Achieved a $2 million improvement in adjusted EBITDA loss due to meaningful reductions in operating expenses. Continuing efforts to streamline costs with initiatives like workforce realignment and voluntary compensation reductions.
Recurring Revenue Stability
Despite overall revenue decline, recurring revenue totaled $5.1 million for Q1 2025, marking a modest 3% increase from Q1 2024.
Improved Gross Margin
Adjusted gross margin for Q1 2025 was 48.2%, up from 46% in the same period last year, driven by a higher mix of margin accretive offerings.
New General Manager Structure
Rekor is implementing a new GM structure to enhance customer focus, accountability, and scalable growth, positioning the company for improved performance and market penetration.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Overall Revenue
Revenue reported at $9.2 million for Q1 2025, representing a 6% decrease compared to the same quarter last year.
Challenges in Sales Execution
Revenue was impacted by adverse weather conditions, delays in contract signings, and budget constraints from DOTs and public safety agencies due to uncertainties surrounding the new administration.
Underperformance Compared to Expectations
Management acknowledged that Q1 performance came in below expectations, both for the company and likely for investors.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Rekor Systems provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, emphasizing a strategic shift to enhance revenue and operational efficiency. The company reported a revenue of $9.2 million for Q1 2025, a 6% decrease from the previous year, but highlighted a $2 million improvement in adjusted EBITDA loss due to cost optimization. Recurring revenue was stable at $5.1 million, showing a 3% increase from Q1 2024. The adjusted gross margin rose to 48.2%, up from 46%, driven by a higher mix of margin-accretive offerings. Rekor is implementing a new general manager structure to better focus on customer needs and accelerate product adoption. This reorganization aims to position Rekor for scalable revenue growth, both domestically and internationally, with a focus on driving sustainable revenues and improving customer focus. The company anticipates continued improvement in adjusted EBITDA as the year progresses, supported by revenue growth and expanding gross margins.

Rekor Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rekor Systems shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability and cash flow. Despite a healthy gross profit margin, operational and net profitability are weak with negative net and EBIT margins. The balance sheet reflects a balanced capital structure but poor returns on equity. Cash flow issues are critical, as free cash flow remains negative, impacting financial stability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Rekor Systems has shown significant revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue of $45.45 million compared to $9.23 million in 2020. However, the company's profitability metrics are concerning. The gross profit margin stands at 49.8% TTM, indicating efficient cost management on revenue. Yet, the negative net profit margin of -118.1% and EBIT margin of -113.4% TTM highlight substantial operational losses and persistent net losses, suggesting challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's balance sheet reflects a mixed financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable at 0.48 TTM, showing a relatively low level of debt compared to equity. However, the return on equity is negative at -160.9% TTM, driven by continued net losses, which undermines shareholder value. The equity ratio is 55.8% TTM, indicating a balanced capital structure with a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow metrics indicate financial strain. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 0.61 TTM, suggesting some ability to convert accounting profits into actual cash, albeit with negative operating cash flow of -$32.66 million. The free cash flow remains negative, impacting the company’s ability to self-finance growth and operations without external financing. Although there has been some reduction in free cash flow deficit, it remains a critical area of concern.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.03M34.93M19.92M14.29M9.23M
Gross Profit22.68M18.43M9.03M8.06M5.70M
EBITDA-48.86M-36.11M-78.04M-27.60M-10.10M
Net Income-61.41M-45.69M-83.45M-26.63M-13.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.47M92.15M83.84M125.88M40.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.01M15.71M1.92M25.80M20.59M
Total Debt32.44M42.33M19.76M11.36M2.41M
Total Liabilities48.33M58.78M34.50M24.79M8.54M
Stockholders Equity34.14M33.37M49.34M101.09M31.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.15M-34.02M-43.78M-24.30M-16.10M
Operating Cash Flow-32.47M-32.63M-39.61M-18.03M-15.06M
Investing Cash Flow-9.37M270.00K-8.39M-47.37M5.19M
Financing Cash Flow31.45M45.60M23.87M70.99M29.02M

Rekor Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.06
Price Trends
50DMA
1.24
Negative
100DMA
1.09
Negative
200DMA
1.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
36.24
Neutral
STOCH
6.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REKR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.22, below the 50-day MA of 1.24, and below the 200-day MA of 1.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REKR.

Rekor Systems Risk Analysis

Rekor Systems disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rekor Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rekor Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$386.03M43.0719.65%27.84%-13.78%
61
Neutral
$34.83B4.75-10.43%2.08%6.55%-9.99%
59
Neutral
$85.09M26.79-3.58%-13.46%95.46%
52
Neutral
$135.82M-600.12%-24.08%-51.13%
49
Neutral
$129.88M-121.54%17.97%21.12%
42
Neutral
$47.32M-168.24%230.96%91.63%
42
Neutral
$145.13M-116.76%-46.41%6.05%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REKR
Rekor Systems
1.06
-0.39
-26.90%
SNCR
Synchronoss Technologies
7.57
-3.93
-34.17%
VERI
Veritone
2.31
-0.05
-2.12%
PAYS
PaySign
5.90
1.35
29.67%
AUID
Ipsidy
3.53
-4.52
-56.15%
ARBE
Arbe Robotics
1.28
-0.74
-36.63%

Rekor Systems Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rekor Systems Secures $1.2M Contract with Sun Belt State
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Rekor Systems announced a significant contract with a Sun Belt state transportation agency to deploy 150 Rekor Discover® systems under a one-year Data-as-a-Service contract worth $1.2 million. This initiative aims to modernize traffic data collection and monitoring using AI-enabled sensors, replacing outdated and intrusive technologies. The deployment is part of a broader trend where Rekor’s solutions are being adopted by various U.S. states, indicating strong momentum in the domestic market and potential for international expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (REKR) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rekor Systems stock, see the REKR Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rekor Systems Secures Major Contract with TxDOT
Positive
Jun 3, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Rekor Systems announced its selection by the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) for a multi-year statewide contract to implement Rekor Command, an advanced incident management and situational awareness platform. This contract includes a significant purchase order allowing immediate deployment across all TxDOT districts, aiming to improve traffic operations, reduce congestion, and enhance roadway safety. The platform, which has already shown success in Texas, will now support additional features like the Traffic Impact Module and Work Zone API, further solidifying Rekor’s position as a key partner in modernizing Texas’s infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (REKR) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rekor Systems stock, see the REKR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Rekor Systems Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Rekor Systems, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where 61,861,880 shares were represented. During the meeting, all nine director nominees were elected, the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent public accountant for 2025 was ratified, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (REKR) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rekor Systems stock, see the REKR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025