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SAF-HOLLAND SE
(XETRA:SFQ)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
€22.00
▲(16.77% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven by an attractive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield) and bullish technical trend signals. These positives are moderated by financial risks—most notably elevated leverage and evidence of revenue contraction in recent annual periods despite improving TTM results.
Positive Factors
Diversified OEM + Aftermarket Revenue
A dual-channel model (OEM and aftermarket) provides structural revenue diversification: OEM ties to new-vehicle cycles while aftermarket yields recurring, installed-base replacement demand. This reduces long-term volatility and supports steady service-driven revenues and parts pull-through.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage near 1.6x equity limits financial flexibility in a cyclical auto-parts sector; higher debt amplifies downside during volume downturns, raises interest burden, and constrains ability to pursue acquisitions or add cyclical capex without worsening risk metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified OEM + Aftermarket Revenue
A dual-channel model (OEM and aftermarket) provides structural revenue diversification: OEM ties to new-vehicle cycles while aftermarket yields recurring, installed-base replacement demand. This reduces long-term volatility and supports steady service-driven revenues and parts pull-through.
Read all positive factors
SAF-HOLLAND SE (SFQ) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)
Market Cap
€905.16M
Dividend Yield5.7%
Average Volume (3M)53.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.5
Beta (1Y)1.13
Revenue Growth-4.59%
EPS Growth-8.81%
CountryDE
Employees5,735
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryAuto - Parts
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.29
Shares Outstanding45,394,302
10 Day Avg. Volume51,723
30 Day Avg. Volume53,325
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.40
Price to Book (P/B)1.41
Price to Sales (P/S)0.40
P/FCF Ratio7.10
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€22.33Price Target Upside18.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)1.6
Revenue Forecast (FY)€1.81B
SAF-HOLLAND SE Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
SAF-Holland SE, a company founded in 1881 and headquartered in Bessenbach, Germany, specializes in producing and supplying components and sub-systems vital for vehicle chassis. Its extensive product range caters to commercial vehicles, including t...
How the Company Makes Money
SAF-HOLLAND primarily makes money by selling commercial-vehicle components and systems through two main channels: (1) OEM business, where it supplies manufacturers of trailers, trucks, and buses with parts installed on new vehicles; and (2) afterm...
SAF-HOLLAND SE Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.74B | 1.73B | 1.88B | 2.11B | 1.57B | 1.25B |
| Gross Profit | 382.15M | 358.95M | 417.73M | 412.76M | 259.55M | 209.09M |
| EBITDA | 230.04M | 228.29M | 248.32M | 234.75M | 149.27M | 115.61M |
| Net Income | 58.39M | 50.95M | 77.35M | 79.93M | 61.08M | 36.74M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.76B | 1.66B | 1.71B | 1.66B | 1.50B | 1.01B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 339.83M | 311.47M | 311.18M | 251.65M | 248.60M | 167.32M |
| Total Debt | 810.60M | 792.31M | 774.21M | 710.54M | 769.47M | 370.07M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.24B | 1.17B | 1.18B | 1.19B | 1.06B | 643.20M |
| Stockholders Equity | 516.18M | 491.95M | 523.46M | 473.05M | 440.54M | 370.22M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 134.53M | 97.77M | 143.21M | 141.04M | 117.14M | 15.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 178.13M | 139.07M | 200.65M | 202.73M | 153.39M | 39.65M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -47.35M | -64.74M | -97.42M | -13.78M | -431.68M | -21.86M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -64.20M | -66.86M | -49.04M | -180.87M | 353.30M | -31.59M |
SAF-HOLLAND SE Technical Analysis
Neutral
18.84
Price Trends
19.60
Positive
18.44
Positive
16.63
Positive
Market Momentum
0.14
Positive
49.81
Neutral
16.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:SFQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 18.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.11, below the 50-day MA of 19.60, and above the 200-day MA of 16.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:SFQ.
SAF-HOLLAND SE Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | €905.16M | 15.46 | 11.98% | 5.70% | -4.59% | -8.81% | |
70 Outperform | €16.39B | 29.74 | 17.95% | 1.85% | -0.90% | 29.49% | |
58 Neutral | €14.57B | -441.58 | -0.76% | 2.88% | -44.98% | -102.56% | |
57 Neutral | €150.50M | 7.06 | 11.78% | ― | -3.07% | ― | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | €7.91B | 83.76 | 3.07% | 1.17% | -2.77% | -69.52% | |
54 Neutral | €7.89B | -17.90 | 7.96% | 3.15% | 16.50% | 57.62% |
* General Sector Average
DE:SFQ
SAF-HOLLAND SE
19.94
2.96
17.40%
DE:GMM
Grammer
10.10
3.80
60.32%
DE:HLE
Hella KGaA Hueck & Co
71.20
-15.53
-17.91%
DE:SHA0
Schaeffler
8.35
3.68
78.80%
DE:KBX
Knorr-Bremse AG
101.70
19.85
24.25%
DE:CON
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
72.86
17.66
32.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.