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SAP SE (DE:SAP)
XETRA:SAP

SAP SE (SAP) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:SAP

SAP SE

(XETRA:SAP)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
€151.00
▲(8.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (high margins, improved 2025 profitability, solid free cash flow, and reduced leverage). This is meaningfully offset by weak technicals, with the stock trading below all key moving averages and negative momentum indicators. Valuation is moderately premium with only modest support from the dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High gross & operating margins
SAP's software economics produce very high gross margins and a material 2025 step-up in operating profitability. Persistently strong margins give the company durable cash generation, funding R&D, cloud investments and shareholder returns while insulating profit resilience versus peers.
Negative Factors
Earnings & cash-flow volatility
Material swings in net income and cash flow across recent years undermine predictability for capital allocation and operational planning. Even with a strong 2025, recurring volatility can complicate budgeting, weaken investor confidence and raise the cost of raising capital when needed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross & operating margins
SAP's software economics produce very high gross margins and a material 2025 step-up in operating profitability. Persistently strong margins give the company durable cash generation, funding R&D, cloud investments and shareholder returns while insulating profit resilience versus peers.
Read all positive factors

SAP SE (SAP) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

SAP SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SAP SE, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an enterprise application software company worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Applications, Technology & Support; Qualtrics; and Services. It offers SAP S/4HANA, an ERP suite...
How the Company Makes Money
SAP primarily generates revenue through (1) cloud subscription and support fees, and (2) software licenses and related support and services. Cloud revenue is largely recurring and comes from subscription contracts for SAP’s cloud applications and ...

SAP SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong underlying software economics with high gross margin (~73%), a notable 2025 step-up in operating profitability (EBIT margin ~32%), and improving free cash flow (~€8.3B). Balance-sheet leverage has improved materially (debt-to-equity down to ~0.18). The main risk is volatility in net profitability and year-to-year cash-flow swings (notably 2022 and 2024), which reduces consistency.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue36.80B34.18B31.21B29.52B26.95B
Gross Profit27.04B24.93B22.53B21.48B19.73B
EBITDA13.17B6.47B7.16B6.32B10.33B
Net Income7.33B3.12B6.14B2.28B5.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets70.36B74.12B68.33B72.16B71.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.77B11.24B11.28B9.70B11.66B
Total Debt8.07B10.65B8.79B13.09B15.14B
Total Liabilities25.13B28.31B24.93B29.31B29.65B
Stockholders Equity44.75B45.44B43.16B40.19B38.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.26B4.42B5.55B4.77B5.42B
Operating Cash Flow9.00B5.22B6.33B5.65B6.22B
Investing Cash Flow-1.39B-667.00M906.00M667.00M-3.06B
Financing Cash Flow-8.17B-3.40B-7.73B-6.34B-56.00M

SAP SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price139.50
Price Trends
50DMA
163.96
Negative
100DMA
185.02
Negative
200DMA
211.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.71
Positive
RSI
30.41
Neutral
STOCH
35.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:SAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 139.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 153.38, below the 50-day MA of 163.96, and below the 200-day MA of 211.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:SAP.

SAP SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
€1.19B37.9558.60%1.88%10.61%12.46%
67
Neutral
€162.87B33.1616.82%1.13%9.70%161.70%
64
Neutral
€117.15M15.5123.52%0.63%4.70%-0.02%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
49
Neutral
€705.34M-4.16-26.06%9.19%-37.73%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:SAP
SAP SE
139.50
-83.29
-37.38%
DE:AOF
ATOSS Software
74.50
-50.45
-40.38%
DE:MSGL
msg life
3.84
0.62
19.25%
DE:PSAN
PSI AG fuer Produkte und Systeme der Informationstechnologie
45.00
21.00
87.50%
DE:SJJ
Serviceware SE
12.45
-1.25
-9.12%
DE:FAA
Fabasoft AG
10.65
-5.16
-32.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026