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Infineon Technologies AG (DE:IFX)
XETRA:IFX

Infineon Technologies AG (IFX) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:IFX

Infineon Technologies AG

(XETRA:IFX)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
€49.00
▲(4.97% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but cooling financial performance—strong TTM revenue rebound and a stable balance sheet, offset by materially lower margins/returns and only moderate cash conversion. Technicals are moderately supportive but not strong enough to overcome a demanding valuation (high P/E and low yield). Earnings-call tone is cautious: moderate growth outlook with notable AI data center strength, but free-cash-flow pressure, idle costs, and macro/geopolitical headwinds temper confidence.
Positive Factors
Diversified market position & product leadership
Infineon’s broad product set (microcontrollers, sensors, power semiconductors) across automotive, industrial power and security creates durable demand exposure. Diversified end-markets (EVs, renewables, smart devices) reduce single-market cyclicality and support steady multi-year revenue streams.
Strong TTM revenue rebound and solid gross margin
A sharp TTM revenue rebound to ~€14.9B with a ~39% gross margin demonstrates resilient end-market demand and underlying product-level profitability. This level of gross margin provides structural cushion to absorb cyclical cost swings and supports long-term reinvestment capacity.
AI data-center momentum and strategic deals
Rapid AI power revenue growth (nearly 3x to >€700m) plus strategic moves (Marvell automotive-ethernet acquisition, NVIDIA collaboration, Dresden fab investments) represent structural product diversification into high-growth, higher-ASP segments that can sustain mid-term revenue and technology leadership.
Negative Factors
Material margin compression versus prior peak
Operating and net margins have fallen sharply from 2022–2023 highs, indicating sustained pricing, mix or cost pressures. Lower margins reduce internal cash generation and return on capital, limiting flexibility for capex, R&D or shareholder returns over the medium term.
Rising debt and higher leverage
Debt increased materially, raising leverage despite a substantial equity base. Higher indebtedness reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk, which is meaningful for a cyclical semiconductor business facing uneven cash flows and ongoing capex commitments.
Cash-flow conversion weakness and reported FCF shortfall
Negative reported FCF in FY2025 and a low FCF-to-net-income ratio (~0.43) point to working-capital and investment drag. Weak cash conversion constrains the company’s ability to fund growth, reduce debt or raise distributions without relying on external financing.

Infineon Technologies AG (IFX) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Infineon Technologies AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInfineon Technologies AG designs, develops, manufactures, and markets semiconductors and related system solutions worldwide. Its Automotive segment offers automotive microcontrollers; 3D ToF, magnetic, and pressure sensors; discrete power semiconductors; IGBT modules; industrial microcontrollers; power and radar sensor integrated circuits (ICs); transceivers; silicon carbide diodes, MOSEFTs, and modules; and voltage regulators for use in assistance and safety systems, comfort electronics, infotainment, powertrain, and security products. The company's Industrial Power Control segment provides bare dies, discrete IGBTs, driver ICs, SIC diodes, and IGBT modules and stacks for home appliances, industrial drives, industrial power supplies, industrial robotics, industrial vehicles, and traction, as well as for energy generation, storage, and transmission. Its Power & Sensor Systems segment offers gas sensors, MEMS microphones, and pressure sensors chips; discrete low-voltage, mid-voltage, and high-voltage power MOSFETs; control ICs; customized chips; GaN power switches; GPS low-noise amplifiers; low-voltage and high-voltage driver ICs; radar sensor ICs; RF antenna switches and power transistors; transient voltage suppressor diodes; and USB controllers for use in audio amplifiers, automotive electronics, BLDC motors, cellular communications infrastructure, electric vehicle charging stations, human machine interaction, Internet of Things, LED and conventional lighting systems, mobile devices, and power management applications. The company's Connected Secure Systems segment provides connectivity solutions, embedded security controllers, microcontrollers, and security controllers for authentication, automotive, consumer electronics, government identification document, Internet of Things, mobile communication, payment system, ticketing, access control, and trusted computing applications. Infineon Technologies AG was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyInfineon generates revenue primarily through the sale of semiconductor products across its various sectors. The automotive segment, which includes products for electric vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems, is a significant revenue driver. Additionally, the industrial power control segment contributes to their earnings through solutions for energy efficiency and renewable energy. The company's revenue model is bolstered by long-term partnerships with leading automotive and industrial firms, as well as investments in research and development to maintain a competitive edge in technology. As demand for semiconductors continues to grow, particularly in the context of digital transformation and the shift towards sustainable energy solutions, Infineon benefits from increasing market opportunities and a diverse product portfolio.

Infineon Technologies AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there was significant growth in AI data center revenues and strategic advancements in partnerships and technologies, these were offset by challenges such as a decline in annual revenue, high idle costs, and geopolitical uncertainties. The outlook for 2026 remains cautious with moderate revenue growth expected despite these challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fourth Quarter Revenue Increase
Group revenue increased to EUR 3.943 billion, a 6% increase compared to the previous quarter despite unfavorable currency effects.
AI Data Center Revenue Growth
Revenues from power supply solutions for AI data centers almost tripled in the 2025 fiscal year, reaching over EUR 700 million.
Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships
Successful acquisition of Marvell's Automotive Ethernet business and collaboration with NVIDIA on AI data center power architecture.
Quantum Computing Developments
Infineon is advancing semiconductor solutions for industrial-grade quantum computing and post-quantum cryptography.
Positive Outlook for AI and Software-Defined Vehicles
Anticipated revenue growth from AI power solutions and software-defined vehicles, with significant investments in smart power fab in Dresden.
Negative Updates
Annual Revenue Decline
Fiscal year 2025 revenue amounted to EUR 14.662 billion, a 2% decrease compared to 2024 due to currency effects and inventory corrections.
Free Cash Flow Deficit
Free cash flow was minus EUR 1.051 billion, with adjusted free cash flow at plus EUR 1.803 billion.
Challenges in Automotive and Industrial Segments
Anticipated inventory reductions by automotive suppliers and manufacturers, with slow recovery in industrial applications.
Currency and Tariff Headwinds
Unfavorable currency developments and ongoing geopolitical and tariff uncertainties impacting revenue growth.
High Idle Costs
Idle costs impacted profitability, contributing to a margin headwind of about 600 basis points in fiscal year 2025.
Company Guidance
During the annual press conference of Infineon Technologies AG, CEO Jochen Hanebeck highlighted the company's performance and guidance amidst challenging conditions in fiscal year 2025. Despite a 2% revenue decline to EUR 14.662 billion due to unfavorable currency effects and inventory corrections, Infineon achieved a segment result margin of 17.5%, down from 20.8% in the previous year. The fourth quarter saw a revenue increase to EUR 3.943 billion, a 6% rise from the previous quarter, with a segment result margin of 18.2%. Negative free cash flow was reported at minus EUR 1.051 billion, while adjusted free cash flow amounted to EUR 1.803 billion. For fiscal year 2026, Infineon projects moderate revenue growth, expecting first-quarter revenues around EUR 3.6 billion and a segment result margin in the mid- to high-teen percentage range. The company anticipates dynamic growth in AI data center power solutions, forecasting revenues to reach EUR 1.5 billion, and plans investments of around EUR 2.2 billion, focusing on its smart power fab in Dresden.

Infineon Technologies AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has rebounded strongly on a TTM basis, but profitability and returns have compressed sharply from 2022–2023 highs (TTM gross ~39%, operating ~11%, net ~6.9%; ROE ~6%). The balance sheet remains reasonably levered (debt-to-equity ~0.49) but debt has risen, and while free cash flow is positive and improving, cash conversion metrics are modest.
Income Statement
62
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is ~€14.9B, showing a sharp rebound in growth versus the latest annual period (TTM growth +162% vs. -2% annual), but profitability has clearly cooled from the 2022–2023 peak. Gross margin is ~39% and operating margin ~11% in TTM, well below 2023 levels (gross ~45%, operating ~25%), and net margin is ~6.9% versus ~19% in 2023—suggesting meaningful cyclical/price or cost pressure. Strength: still solid gross profitability for semiconductors; weakness: compressed operating and net profitability and a multi-year downshift from prior highs.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage remains moderate with TTM debt-to-equity around 0.49 and equity of ~€16.8B against ~€30.7B of assets, indicating a substantial capital base. However, balance-sheet risk has increased versus 2023–2024 as total debt rose to ~€8.2B (from ~€5.1B), pushing leverage higher. Returns on equity are positive but muted in the current period (TTM ~6%), down sharply from 2023 (~18%), reflecting the earnings slowdown. Strength: still reasonable leverage and strong equity base; weakness: rising debt and lower returns.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
TTM operating cash flow is solid at ~€3.1B and free cash flow improved to ~€1.34B, with strong reported free-cash-flow growth versus the prior annual period. That said, cash conversion is not particularly strong: free cash flow is less than half of net income (TTM ~0.43), and operating cash generation relative to earnings is also modest in the provided data (~0.54), implying working-capital/investment drag. Strength: positive and improving free cash flow; weakness: weaker cash conversion versus accounting profits.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.90B14.66B14.96B16.31B14.22B11.06B
Gross Profit5.87B5.75B6.07B7.41B6.13B4.26B
EBITDA3.55B3.51B4.18B5.81B4.51B2.99B
Net Income1.02B1.01B1.30B3.14B2.18B1.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.74B30.47B28.64B28.44B26.91B23.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.85B2.10B2.20B3.59B3.72B3.92B
Total Debt8.23B7.22B5.17B5.11B6.05B6.92B
Total Liabilities13.90B13.42B11.42B11.39B11.97B11.93B
Stockholders Equity16.84B17.05B17.22B17.04B14.94B11.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.34B1.42B61.00M966.00M1.67B1.57B
Operating Cash Flow3.09B3.22B2.78B3.96B3.98B3.06B
Investing Cash Flow-3.97B-4.57B-2.17B-2.26B-2.44B-2.28B
Financing Cash Flow905.00M920.00M-615.00M-1.30B-1.87B-885.00M

Infineon Technologies AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.68
Price Trends
50DMA
40.65
Positive
100DMA
37.37
Positive
200DMA
36.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.50
Negative
RSI
71.06
Negative
STOCH
85.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:IFX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.00, above the 50-day MA of 40.65, and above the 200-day MA of 36.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.06 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:IFX.

Infineon Technologies AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
€2.72B28.5310.99%0.88%-3.93%-20.93%
74
Outperform
€2.43B21.7022.08%1.08%-5.55%21.30%
70
Outperform
€995.92M17.6819.94%0.78%34.77%52.20%
59
Neutral
$60.75B59.136.16%0.95%-1.96%-21.55%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
€1.64B-60.45-1.40%0.43%-5.17%-128.32%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:IFX
Infineon Technologies AG
46.68
10.03
27.36%
DE:AIXA
AIXTRON
24.16
9.89
69.35%
DE:ELG
ELMOS Semiconductor
142.00
72.95
105.65%
DE:SIS
First Sensor
54.20
-2.34
-4.13%
DE:WAF
Siltronic
54.60
6.05
12.46%
DE:SMHN
Suss Microtec
52.10
12.26
30.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026