tiprankstipranks
GRENKE AG (DE:GLJ)
XETRA:GLJ
Want to see DE:GLJ full AI Analyst Report?

GRENKE AG (GLJ) AI Stock Analysis

26 Followers

Top Page

DE:GLJ

GRENKE AG

(XETRA:GLJ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
€13.00
▼(-5.11% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial quality—especially the sharp rise in leverage and volatile cash-flow conversion—despite continued profitability. Technicals are mixed with the stock still below longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is the main support, with a low P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring leasing model
Recurring leasing contracts generate predictable, multi-year cash streams and let GRENKE earn the spread between funding costs and lease yields. This business model provides durable revenue visibility, supports scale through distribution partners, and underpins long-term earnings generation.
Negative Factors
Very high leverage
Debt at roughly 6.7x equity materially increases financial risk and reduces strategic flexibility. Elevated leverage heightens sensitivity to interest-rate moves and refinancing cycles, magnifies losses in credit stress, and constrains the firm's ability to invest, deleverage, or withstand funding shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring leasing model
Recurring leasing contracts generate predictable, multi-year cash streams and let GRENKE earn the spread between funding costs and lease yields. This business model provides durable revenue visibility, supports scale through distribution partners, and underpins long-term earnings generation.
Read all positive factors

GRENKE AG (GLJ) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

GRENKE AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grenke AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking and financial services to small and medium-sized (SME) enterprises in Germany, France, Italy, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Leasing, Banking, and Fac...
How the Company Makes Money
GRENKE AG primarily makes money by originating and managing lease contracts and earning income over the life of those contracts. Key revenue and earnings drivers typically include: (1) Leasing income and interest-like earnings: GRENKE purchases eq...

GRENKE AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains positive and revenue is up modestly, but margins have compressed versus 2021–2023. Balance-sheet leverage is very high (debt ~6.7x equity) and has risen materially, increasing financial risk. Cash flow has been volatile with weaker recent conversion (FCF ~70% of TTM net income) and a negative trend despite returning to positive TTM.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue939.88M901.99M819.15M687.14M614.02M608.60M
Gross Profit533.92M589.10M396.86M372.43M384.42M414.83M
EBITDA148.48M119.70M153.51M135.65M146.31M165.66M
Net Income72.49M69.76M75.94M92.32M90.38M99.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.36B9.09B8.22B7.10B6.41B6.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments836.47M693.47M975.46M697.81M449.46M853.37M
Total Debt7.71B7.52B4.32B3.84B3.68B3.71B
Total Liabilities8.14B7.87B6.90B5.74B5.08B5.39B
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.15B1.34B1.37B1.36B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow44.30M-257.06M385.39M322.22M-355.05M-79.17M
Operating Cash Flow62.48M-238.26M393.96M329.25M-346.84M-72.04M
Investing Cash Flow-28.47M-29.12M-12.08M-33.34M-8.25M20.64M
Financing Cash Flow-149.59M-32.77M-105.51M-47.30M-49.92M-39.01M

GRENKE AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.70
Price Trends
50DMA
12.58
Positive
100DMA
13.49
Negative
200DMA
14.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
53.16
Neutral
STOCH
59.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:GLJ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.63, above the 50-day MA of 12.58, and below the 200-day MA of 14.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:GLJ.

GRENKE AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
€191.75M7.3515.86%5.53%0.49%38.41%
61
Neutral
€687.84M8.0439.55%6.77%14.56%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€586.77M9.895.74%2.63%14.40%10.33%
54
Neutral
€60.20M10.3610.77%3.06%-4.39%-36.21%
42
Neutral
€472.82M-2.00-10.36%3.61%-25.75%-496.17%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:GLJ
GRENKE AG
12.84
-0.29
-2.20%
DE:ALG
ALBIS Leasing
2.84
0.19
7.05%
DE:PBB
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank
3.46
-1.97
-36.29%
DE:MPCK
MPC Munchmeyer Petersen Capital AG
5.38
0.24
4.67%
DE:MUX
Mutares SE & Co. KGaA
27.30
-4.00
-12.79%
DE:BFV
Berliner Effektengesellschaft AG
74.00
7.49
11.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026