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GRENKE AG (DE:GLJ)
XETRA:GLJ

GRENKE AG (GLJ) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:GLJ

GRENKE AG

(XETRA:GLJ)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
€13.00
▼(-0.46% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance (higher leverage, weaker equity position, and a sharp negative turn in operating/free cash flow), reinforced by bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is the main support due to the low P/E and a ~3% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring leasing model & distribution
GRENKE’s core business of originating and managing lease contracts generates contractual, recurring payments and fee income. Combined with vendor/dealer distribution channels, this creates durable revenue visibility and scalable origination capacity that supports steady cash flow over lease lives.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage and weakened equity
A marked increase in debt alongside lower equity materially raises balance-sheet risk. Higher leverage tightens refinancing windows, increases interest-sensitivity and covenant risk, and reduces strategic flexibility, amplifying exposure if earnings or funding conditions worsen.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring leasing model & distribution
GRENKE’s core business of originating and managing lease contracts generates contractual, recurring payments and fee income. Combined with vendor/dealer distribution channels, this creates durable revenue visibility and scalable origination capacity that supports steady cash flow over lease lives.
Read all positive factors

GRENKE AG (GLJ) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

GRENKE AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Grenke AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking and financial services to small and medium-sized (SME) enterprises in Germany, France, Italy, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Leasing, Banking, and Fac...
How the Company Makes Money
GRENKE AG primarily makes money by originating and managing lease contracts and earning income over the life of those contracts. Key revenue and earnings drivers typically include: (1) Leasing income and interest-like earnings: GRENKE purchases eq...

GRENKE AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statement data points to a negative inflection: income statement trends show margin compression and a sharp recent revenue-growth shock, the balance sheet shows materially higher leverage with lower equity, and cash flow flipped from strong positive to large negative (operating and free cash flow), reducing flexibility.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
43
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue901.99M819.15M687.14M614.02M608.60M
Gross Profit589.10M396.86M372.43M384.42M414.83M
EBITDA119.70M153.51M135.65M146.31M165.66M
Net Income69.76M75.94M92.32M90.38M99.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.09B8.22B7.10B6.41B6.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments693.47M975.46M697.81M449.46M853.37M
Total Debt7.52B4.32B3.84B3.68B3.71B
Total Liabilities7.87B6.90B5.74B5.08B5.39B
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.34B1.37B1.36B1.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-257.06M385.39M322.22M-355.05M-79.17M
Operating Cash Flow-238.26M393.96M329.25M-346.84M-72.04M
Investing Cash Flow-29.12M-12.08M-33.34M-8.25M20.64M
Financing Cash Flow-32.77M-105.51M-47.30M-49.92M-39.01M

GRENKE AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price13.06
Price Trends
50DMA
13.81
Negative
100DMA
14.43
Negative
200DMA
15.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.30
Negative
RSI
48.15
Neutral
STOCH
69.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:GLJ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.83, below the 50-day MA of 13.81, and below the 200-day MA of 15.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:GLJ.

GRENKE AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
€179.77M7.3513.05%5.53%1.42%8.56%
61
Neutral
€646.85M0.684.72%6.77%14.56%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
€61.04M5.8917.06%3.06%-23.72%40.60%
49
Neutral
€607.23M9.905.31%2.63%16.74%-22.66%
42
Neutral
€426.56M-3.38-10.36%3.61%-14.47%-542.84%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:GLJ
GRENKE AG
13.06
0.15
1.12%
DE:ALG
ALBIS Leasing
2.88
0.25
9.38%
DE:PBB
Deutsche Pfandbriefbank
3.17
-1.92
-37.76%
DE:MPCK
MPC Munchmeyer Petersen Capital AG
5.10
0.65
14.61%
DE:MUX
Mutares SE & Co. KGaA
25.25
-5.41
-17.64%
DE:BFV
Berliner Effektengesellschaft AG
72.00
6.97
10.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026