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Fuchs Petrolub SE (DE:FPE)
XETRA:FPE
Germany Market

Fuchs Petrolub (FPE) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:FPE

Fuchs Petrolub

(XETRA:FPE)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
€31.00
▲(3.16% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality—especially the very low leverage, solid margins, and improving 2025 TTM revenue—partly offset by historically uneven cash flow. Technicals are currently the largest near-term risk, with the stock in a clear downtrend and negative momentum. Valuation (moderate P/E and ~4.1% yield) and a stable earnings-call outlook help support the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage
Exceptionally low debt-to-equity (~0.06) provides durable financial flexibility across cycles. This conservatism supports sustained dividend policy, selective M&A, and capital spending without pressuring credit lines, lowering refinancing risk and preserving optionality in adverse macro conditions.
Revenue acceleration
An 11.2% revenue acceleration into the 2025 TTM indicates renewed demand momentum and successful growth execution. Combined with geographic expansion and recent acquisitions, this trend supports multi-quarter organic and inorganic revenue durability rather than a one-off cyclical uptick.
Stable margins & strong ROE
Consistent mid-teens ROE and double-digit operating margins reflect durable profitability from specialized lubricant products and scale advantages. Stable margins enable reinvestment in R&D, sustain dividends, and provide buffer against raw material or pricing swings over medium term.
Negative Factors
Cash flow volatility
Operating and free cash flow have shown significant year-to-year variability, with OCF below reported earnings in several years. Persistent volatility undermines predictability for dividends, capex, and M&A funding, increasing reliance on careful working-capital management and potentially external financing in stress periods.
Europe demand weakness
Structural weakness in European automotive manufacturing reduces organic growth in Fuchs' home market. Given material exposure to EMEA, prolonged weakness there could offset gains in Asia/Americas and pressure margins as pricing and mix adjustments take time to flow through.
Reduced net liquidity
Net liquidity fell to EUR 30m following dividend payouts and acquisitions, shrinking cash buffers. Even with low leverage, a slim liquidity position limits short-term flexibility for opportunistic investments or to absorb shocks, increasing reliance on working-capital management or external funding if cycles turn.

Fuchs Petrolub (FPE) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Fuchs Petrolub Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFuchs Petrolub SE develops, produces, and sells lubricants and related specialties worldwide. The company offers automotive lubricants, such as biodegradable lubricants, central and mobile hydraulic oils, dry coatings, engine and gear oils, motorcycle/two wheelers, and service fluids, as well as various oils for agriculture sector. It also provides industrial lubricants, including chain lubricants, compressor oils, dry coatings, gear oils, hydraulic oils, machine oils, open gear lubricants, rapidly biodegradable lubricants, refrigeration oils, release agents, slideways oils, industrial oils, textile machine oils, and turbine oils. In addition, the company offers lubricating greases comprising assembly pastes, biodegradable greases, food grade greases, long-life greases, pastes for extreme temperatures, perfluorinated pastes, and wheel bearing greases, as well as gear boxes, greases for central lubricating system, extreme temperature, machine tools, plain and roller bearings, rail vehicles, spray cans or rattle cans, and solid lubricants. Further, it provides metal processing lubricants, including cleaners, corrosion preventives, cutting and grinding, forming lubricants, and quenching oils; and special application lubricants for application equipment, chain, dry coatings, food and beverage, gears, sugar processing, railway traffic, plain and roller bearings, glass manufacturing process, hot forming, maintenance, open gears, pastes, release agents, other specialties, special greases, and wind power plants. Additionally, the company offers open gear and surface coating services. Fuchs Petrolub SE was founded in 1931 and is based in Mannheim, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyFuchs Petrolub generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lubricants and specialty products across various sectors. Key revenue streams include the automotive sector, which encompasses passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and motorcycles, and the industrial sector, which serves manufacturing, metalworking, and construction industries. The company also capitalizes on its strong research and development capabilities to create innovative products that meet evolving market demands. Significant partnerships with automotive manufacturers and industrial clients enhance its market presence and contribute to steady sales. Additionally, Fuchs benefits from a global distribution network that allows it to reach customers in numerous regions, providing both standard and customized lubricant solutions, further driving its revenue growth.

Fuchs Petrolub Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a strong recovery in Q3, driven by growth in Asia Pacific and the Americas, successful acquisitions, and sustainability initiatives. However, challenges in Europe, currency headwinds, and a reduction in net liquidity presented some concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Recovery in Q3
FUCHS SE saw a strong recovery in Q3 after a tough second quarter, with EBIT exceeding last year's Q3 results and a sequential improvement of 16%.
Revenue Growth in Asia Pacific and Americas
Sales growth driven by Asia Pacific and the Americas, with a year-over-year increase of 1% or EUR 34 million, supported by organic growth and acquisitions.
Successful Acquisitions
Acquisitions like LUBCON, STRUB, BOSS, and IRMCO contributed to positive sales development, and the acquisition of ASEOL SUISSE AG expanded FUCHS' presence in Switzerland.
Innovative SAP System for CO2 Footprint
FUCHS implemented an automated SAP system to calculate CO2 footprint per kilogram of product, certified by TUV Rheinland, showcasing leadership in sustainability.
Improved Profitability in Asia
Asia Pacific region showed a profitability increase of 17% year-over-year, driven by excellent results in China, local production investments, and growth in India and Australia.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Europe
Europe faced a challenging economic situation with weak demand, especially in the automotive manufacturing sector, leading to an organic decline in sales.
Currency Headwinds
Negative currency effects impacted sales, with a EUR 51 million negative impact due to the stronger euro versus the U.S. dollar, Australian dollar, and Chinese renminbi.
Net Liquidity Reduction
Despite solid operating cash flow, dividend payments and acquisitions led to a cash outflow, reducing net liquidity to EUR 30 million.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter conference call for FUCHS SE, the company reported a 1% increase in sales to EUR 2.7 billion, despite facing a challenging market environment marked by currency effects that negatively impacted revenue by EUR 51 million. The company's EBIT showed positive development, exceeding last year's Q3 results, although the 9-month profitability of EUR 326 million was 2% below the prior year. The growth was driven by a strong business mix in North America, continued expansion in Asia, particularly China, and the initial effects of cost measures implemented in the previous quarter. Free cash flow stood at EUR 181 million, and the company confirmed its 2025 outlook, expecting sales to align with the previous year and EBIT to close at a strong level. The organic growth was mainly supported by the Asia Pacific and Americas regions, which offset a moderate organic decline in EMEA. Furthermore, the company highlighted its strategic investments and acquisitions, such as LUBCON and STRUB, which contributed positively to its growth.

Fuchs Petrolub Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: revenue accelerated in 2025 TTM (+11.2%) with solid, stable profitability (operating margin ~12%, net margin ~8–9%). Balance sheet is a key strength with exceptionally low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and consistently strong ROE (~14–16%). Main offset is cash flow consistency—historically volatile operating/free cash flow despite recent improvement.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Revenue has grown strongly into 2025 TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (+11.2%) after a flat 2024, showing good demand momentum. Profitability is solid and fairly stable: gross margin is mid-30%s and operating margin is around ~12%, with net margin in the ~8–9% range (slightly softer in 2025 TTM versus 2024). Overall, the income statement reflects resilient earnings power with modest margin pressure as the main watch item.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.06 in 2024 and 2025 TTM), providing flexibility through cycles. Equity has grown over time and returns on equity remain consistently strong (~14–16% across years), indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The main drawback is that debt rose versus 2023 (though still low), but overall financial risk looks limited.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is generally healthy, with free cash flow covering a large portion of net income (about ~79% in 2024 and ~85% in 2025 TTM). Free cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025 TTM after a dip in 2024, but the year-to-year pattern has been volatile (including a very weak 2022). Operating cash flow has at times been well below reported earnings (coverage below 1x in most years and notably low in 2022), which is the key risk factor despite the recent improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.56B3.52B3.54B3.41B2.87B2.38B
Gross Profit1.25B1.22B1.15B1.05B965.00M854.00M
EBITDA533.00M537.00M514.00M457.00M438.00M393.00M
Net Income306.00M302.00M282.00M259.00M253.00M220.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.73B2.61B2.42B2.52B2.31B2.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments244.00M153.00M175.00M119.00M146.00M209.00M
Total Debt93.00M112.00M63.00M179.00M49.00M30.00M
Total Liabilities752.00M710.00M619.00M682.00M555.00M540.00M
Stockholders Equity1.98B1.90B1.80B1.84B1.75B1.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow346.00M307.00M460.00M59.00M89.00M238.00M
Operating Cash Flow406.00M390.00M543.00M128.00M169.00M360.00M
Investing Cash Flow-117.00M-185.00M-82.00M-69.00M-108.00M-236.00M
Financing Cash Flow-190.00M-228.00M-400.00M-86.00M-132.00M-134.00M

Fuchs Petrolub Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.05
Price Trends
50DMA
30.04
Negative
100DMA
30.09
Negative
200DMA
31.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.47
Positive
RSI
34.73
Neutral
STOCH
32.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:FPE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.46, above the 50-day MA of 30.04, and below the 200-day MA of 31.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:FPE.

Fuchs Petrolub Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€1.64B24.6827.29%1.24%1.03%25.48%
70
Outperform
€3.99B14.8515.61%3.91%1.42%-0.40%
62
Neutral
€6.50B23.491.08%8.92%-5.92%-58.33%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
€7.00B27.056.03%4.30%-3.35%-23.06%
52
Neutral
$3.47B-4.203.75%-10.63%-23.15%
43
Neutral
$1.01B-5.92-5.77%0.59%-6.82%71.94%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:FPE
Fuchs Petrolub
28.25
-5.55
-16.42%
DE:BNR
Brenntag AG
48.48
-12.85
-20.95%
DE:EVK
Evonik
13.94
-5.96
-29.93%
DE:LXS
LANXESS
11.65
-17.96
-60.65%
DE:WCH
Wacker Chemie AG
69.95
-7.03
-9.13%
DE:ACT
AlzChem Group AG
160.80
69.89
76.88%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026