BayWa AG (BYW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €2.18B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 347.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.32
• Revenue Growth: -11.67%
• EPS Growth: -1069.47%
• Country: DE
• Employees: 23,144
• Sector: Services
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): -6.16
• Shares Outstanding: 100,330,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 176
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 347
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): -1.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.02
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.13
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): -10.15
• Revenue Forecast (FY): €15.60B

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: €19.00 ▲(18.38% Upside)

BayWa AG's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and high leverage. Despite strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, the overbought condition poses a risk of short-term correction. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further detract from the stock's attractiveness.

Positive Factors

Renewable Energy Focus

BayWa AG's focus on renewable energy positions it well for long-term growth, benefiting from global trends toward sustainable energy solutions.

Diverse Revenue Streams

Diversified revenue streams across agriculture, energy, and construction provide stability and reduce dependence on any single market, supporting long-term resilience.

Strategic Partnerships

Strategic partnerships enhance market access and service offerings, strengthening BayWa AG's competitive position and supporting sustainable growth.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

Declining revenue indicates challenges in market competitiveness and demand, potentially impacting long-term financial health and growth prospects.

High Leverage

High leverage and negative equity suggest financial instability, limiting BayWa AG's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.

Negative Profitability Margins

Negative profitability margins reflect operational inefficiencies and cost pressures, which could hinder BayWa AG's ability to achieve sustainable long-term profitability.

BayWa AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

BayWa AG is a globally operating trading and logistics company based in Germany, primarily engaged in the agricultural, renewable energy, and building materials sectors. The company provides a wide range of products and services, including agricultural goods, energy solutions (focusing on solar and wind), and construction materials. BayWa operates through various subsidiaries and has a strong presence in Europe, North America, and Asia, positioning itself as a leader in sustainable solutions and innovative agricultural practices.

How the Company Makes Money

BayWa AG generates revenue through multiple key streams. In the agricultural sector, the company earns income by selling seeds, fertilizers, crop protection products, and providing services related to farming and crop management. The renewable energy segment contributes significantly to revenue through the sale and installation of solar panels, wind turbines, and other clean energy solutions. In addition, BayWa's building materials division profits from the distribution of construction materials and products. The company also engages in logistics and trading operations, optimizing supply chains to enhance efficiency. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with local farmers, energy producers, and construction firms further bolster its revenue by expanding market access and enhancing service offerings.

BayWa AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

BayWa AG faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. While there are some improvements in cash flow, the overall financial health is concerning, requiring strategic measures to stabilize and improve financial performance.

Income Statement

BayWa AG's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -1.49% in the most recent year. The company also reported negative net profit and EBIT margins, indicating challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased over the years, reflecting pressure on cost management.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in an extremely high and negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates significant leverage and potential financial instability. Return on equity is positive due to negative equity, but this is not a sustainable situation.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows some improvement in operating cash flow, but free cash flow remains volatile. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net income, but the overall cash flow position is weak due to historical negative free cash flows.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.46B	21.60B	23.99B	27.06B	19.84B	16.48B
Gross Profit	2.34B	2.71B	2.78B	2.81B	2.25B	1.92B
EBITDA	-384.20M	-137.50M	607.60M	851.50M	578.80M	467.10M
Net Income	-1.40B	-1.16B	-98.10M	168.10M	70.70M	35.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.12B	10.85B	12.52B	13.90B	11.77B	8.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	348.70M	776.60M	234.30M	222.70M	400.40M	169.60M
Total Debt	5.44B	5.71B	6.49B	6.28B	5.12B	4.17B
Total Liabilities	9.76B	10.82B	10.81B	11.99B	9.96B	7.79B
Stockholders Equity	-606.40M	-263.90M	876.70M	999.70M	1.01B	828.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-340.00M	340.30M	-86.60M	-716.30M	-822.60M	342.80M
Operating Cash Flow	-211.40M	941.50M	455.00M	-337.20M	-583.60M	674.80M
Investing Cash Flow	14.80M	-352.00M	-378.70M	-293.20M	-197.20M	-251.50M
Financing Cash Flow	273.60M	-436.00M	-61.00M	451.50M	1.01B	-482.60M

BayWa AG Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 16.05
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BYW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.86, above the 50-day MA of 10.94, and above the 200-day MA of 9.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:BYW.

BayWa AG Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FPE	74 Outperform	€4.48B	13.47	16.00%	3.80%	1.42%	-0.40%
EKT	60 Neutral	€451.63M	13.02	17.69%	1.46%	-51.12%	-53.26%
VBK	57 Neutral	€972.94M	-7.05	-14.66%	1.08%	8.65%	-379.83%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$13.29B	17.42	10.03%	0.93%	7.13%	-12.93%
BYW	52 Neutral	€2.18B	―	―	―	-11.67%	-1069.47%
F3C	51 Neutral	€265.94M	79.90	―	―	5.15%	-101.73%