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Befesa S.A. (DE:BFSA)
XETRA:BFSA
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Befesa S.A. (BFSA) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:BFSA

Befesa S.A.

(XETRA:BFSA)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
€39.00
▲(10.48% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
The score is primarily held back by weaker financial momentum (sharp TTM revenue decline, lower margins vs prior peak years, and only average cash conversion with meaningful leverage). This is partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages and positive MACD) and a moderate valuation (P/E ~17.7 with a modest ~1.75% yield).
Positive Factors
Specialized recycling business model
Befesa’s core activities—EAF dust and aluminum residue recycling—are specialized, regulated services with high barriers to entry. Long-term industrial producers need compliant waste treatment, supporting predictable contract demand and durable service revenue streams across cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A near-30% TTM revenue drop signals material volume or pricing pressure in core feedstock and recovered-product markets. Given throughput-driven economics, prolonged lower volumes or weaker spreads would impair operating leverage and challenge margin recovery over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Specialized recycling business model
Befesa’s core activities—EAF dust and aluminum residue recycling—are specialized, regulated services with high barriers to entry. Long-term industrial producers need compliant waste treatment, supporting predictable contract demand and durable service revenue streams across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Befesa S.A. (BFSA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Befesa S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Founded in 1987 and headquartered in Luxembourg City, Befesa S.A. delivers specialized environmental recycling solutions to the steel and aluminum industries across European, Asian, and North American markets. The company operates through two prim...
How the Company Makes Money
Befesa makes money primarily through a combination of (a) service revenues for treating hazardous residues and (b) product revenues from selling recovered materials produced by its recycling processes. 1) Zinc recovery from steelmaking dust (EAF ...

Befesa S.A. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive operational and financial picture: EBITDA growth (+14%), margin expansion, record operating cash flow (+10%), successful deleveraging (net debt down 11%, leverage 2.27x) and strong commodity hedging/visibility. Key growth projects (Palmerton completed, Bernburg underway) and a disciplined CapEx and dividend approach support the constructive outlook. Headwinds remain in the aluminium segments, China utilization and inflationary/energy costs, but management expects recovery in secondary aluminium and higher treatment charges in 2026. On balance, the positive achievements and financial improvements outweigh the localized challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong overall profitability and margin expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for FY2025 was €243 million, up 14% year‑on‑year, with EBITDA margin improving to 21% from 17% in FY2024, reflecting operational efficiency and disciplined cost management.
Negative Updates
Aluminum salt slag and secondary aluminium weakness
Aluminum salt slag EBITDA declined to €32 million in 2025, down 27% YoY (from €43m), driven by lower aluminum metal margins and higher operating/energy costs. Secondary aluminium remains under pressure with tight metal margins and low production linked to the weak automotive market.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong overall profitability and margin expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for FY2025 was €243 million, up 14% year‑on‑year, with EBITDA margin improving to 21% from 17% in FY2024, reflecting operational efficiency and disciplined cost management.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Befesa expects 2026 to be another year of earnings growth, strong cash generation and continued deleveraging with net leverage targeted around ~2.0x by year‑end 2026 (below 2x thereafter). Total CapEx will be below EUR 70m in 2026, with regular maintenance CapEx roughly EUR 40–50m (management cited ~EUR45m) and the remainder as growth CapEx focused on Bernburg (permits secured, construction started Aug‑25, 12‑month build + 6‑month ramp‑up in H2‑26). Zinc hedges provide multi‑year visibility (average 2026 hedge ≈ EUR 2,990/t, 2027 hedged at $3,000/t and hedges extended into H1‑2028 at $3,100/t); treatment charges are expected to recover from $80/t in 2025 toward ~$100–130/t in 2026. Management flags moderate energy cost movements (coke normalizing, Q4 gas ~EUR45/MWh; Q4 coke ≈ EUR152/t), stable salt‑slag volumes with ~89% utilization, secondary‑Al utilization ~75% with gradual margin improvement, incremental U.S. steel‑dust volumes of ~60–70k t in 2026 and a target to ramp U.S. utilization from <70% today to ~90% by 2028, plus a proposed dividend of EUR 40m (EUR 1.00/sh, 50% payout, +37% vs 2025).

Befesa S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and free cash flow are still positive, but the TTM revenue decline (~-29%), lower margins versus 2021–2022, mixed cash conversion (operating cash flow ~two-thirds of EBITDA), and meaningful leverage (~0.86–0.88x debt/equity) weigh on overall financial strength.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.16B1.18B1.24B1.18B1.14B821.61M
Gross Profit490.72M161.16M514.17M456.20M569.11M465.10M
EBITDA230.07M225.08M195.66M184.52M223.15M180.47M
Net Income82.59M80.50M50.82M57.97M106.22M99.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.93B1.87B1.98B1.95B1.98B1.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments144.67M142.60M102.52M106.69M161.75M224.09M
Total Debt694.70M690.83M721.48M710.77M710.77M694.73M
Total Liabilities1.09B1.06B1.13B1.07B1.16B1.16B
Stockholders Equity817.27M802.56M830.22M823.53M805.10M622.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.58M104.39M113.25M12.51M30.68M40.22M
Operating Cash Flow193.93M178.22M191.82M117.32M137.33M117.90M
Investing Cash Flow-83.76M-76.12M-78.57M-90.85M-151.40M-449.47M
Financing Cash Flow-67.23M-57.27M-117.27M-80.24M-46.89M401.77M

Befesa S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.30
Price Trends
50DMA
34.15
Positive
100DMA
32.61
Positive
200DMA
30.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
49.01
Neutral
STOCH
20.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BFSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.11, above the 50-day MA of 34.15, and above the 200-day MA of 30.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:BFSA.

Befesa S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€8.83B21.3017.42%2.01%1.30%10.05%
66
Neutral
€1.43B49.790.33%2.76%2.34%19.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
€1.39B16.7810.12%2.24%-7.17%37.66%
57
Neutral
€1.31B-31.52-3.44%3.12%-2.35%89.53%
44
Neutral
€23.40M-10.75-8.87%1.02%-6.21%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BFSA
Befesa S.A.
34.65
8.07
30.36%
DE:DUE
Durr AG
18.92
-3.66
-16.21%
DE:G1A
GEA Group AG
54.65
-3.05
-5.29%
DE:KSB
KSB AG
832.00
21.21
2.62%
DE:ZEF
ZhongDe Waste Technology
0.15
-0.08
-34.68%
DE:WAH
Wolftank-Adisa Holding AG
4.43
-2.82
-38.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026