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Befesa S.A. (DE:BFSA)
XETRA:BFSA

Befesa S.A. (BFSA) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:BFSA

Befesa S.A.

(XETRA:BFSA)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
€34.00
▲(0.59% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening recent financial performance (notably the sharp TTM revenue decline and weaker cash flow conversion), despite a manageable balance sheet. Technicals show an uptrend but are overextended, which tempers near-term outlook. Offsetting these risks, valuation looks reasonable and the latest earnings call indicated improving profitability, declining leverage, and reaffirmed guidance, albeit with noted cyclical/region-specific challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Befesa's recycling services, supporting long-term business stability and expansion.
Negative Factors
Negative EBIT Margin
A negative EBIT margin suggests operational inefficiencies that could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Befesa's recycling services, supporting long-term business stability and expansion.
Read all positive factors

Befesa S.A. (BFSA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Befesa S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Befesa S.A. provides environmental recycling services to the steel and aluminum industries in European, Asian, and North American markets. It operates through two segments, Steel Dust Recycling Services and Aluminium Salt Slags Recycling Services....
How the Company Makes Money
Befesa generates revenue through its recycling services by charging fees for the processing and treatment of steel and aluminum waste. The company has established key revenue streams from its operations in the Steel Dust Recycling and Aluminum Sal...

Befesa S.A. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive operational and financial picture: EBITDA growth (+14%), margin expansion, record operating cash flow (+10%), successful deleveraging (net debt down 11%, leverage 2.27x) and strong commodity hedging/visibility. Key growth projects (Palmerton completed, Bernburg underway) and a disciplined CapEx and dividend approach support the constructive outlook. Headwinds remain in the aluminium segments, China utilization and inflationary/energy costs, but management expects recovery in secondary aluminium and higher treatment charges in 2026. On balance, the positive achievements and financial improvements outweigh the localized challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong overall profitability and margin expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for FY2025 was €243 million, up 14% year‑on‑year, with EBITDA margin improving to 21% from 17% in FY2024, reflecting operational efficiency and disciplined cost management.
Negative Updates
Aluminum salt slag and secondary aluminium weakness
Aluminum salt slag EBITDA declined to €32 million in 2025, down 27% YoY (from €43m), driven by lower aluminum metal margins and higher operating/energy costs. Secondary aluminium remains under pressure with tight metal margins and low production linked to the weak automotive market.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong overall profitability and margin expansion
Adjusted EBITDA for FY2025 was €243 million, up 14% year‑on‑year, with EBITDA margin improving to 21% from 17% in FY2024, reflecting operational efficiency and disciplined cost management.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Befesa expects 2026 to be another year of earnings growth, strong cash generation and continued deleveraging with net leverage targeted around ~2.0x by year‑end 2026 (below 2x thereafter). Total CapEx will be below EUR 70m in 2026, with regular maintenance CapEx roughly EUR 40–50m (management cited ~EUR45m) and the remainder as growth CapEx focused on Bernburg (permits secured, construction started Aug‑25, 12‑month build + 6‑month ramp‑up in H2‑26). Zinc hedges provide multi‑year visibility (average 2026 hedge ≈ EUR 2,990/t, 2027 hedged at $3,000/t and hedges extended into H1‑2028 at $3,100/t); treatment charges are expected to recover from $80/t in 2025 toward ~$100–130/t in 2026. Management flags moderate energy cost movements (coke normalizing, Q4 gas ~EUR45/MWh; Q4 coke ≈ EUR152/t), stable salt‑slag volumes with ~89% utilization, secondary‑Al utilization ~75% with gradual margin improvement, incremental U.S. steel‑dust volumes of ~60–70k t in 2026 and a target to ramp U.S. utilization from <70% today to ~90% by 2028, plus a proposed dividend of EUR 40m (EUR 1.00/sh, 50% payout, +37% vs 2025).

Befesa S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are serviceable but under pressure: Income Statement reflects a sharp TTM revenue decline (-28%) and margin volatility despite remaining profitable (~5% net margin). Balance sheet leverage is manageable (debt ~0.86x equity) with moderate ROE (~7%), but debt remains meaningful. Cash flow is positive with free cash flow (~46M), yet conversion is weak (~29% of net income) and less consistent versus 2024.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.22B1.24B1.18B1.14B821.61M604.33M
Gross Profit231.88M514.17M456.20M569.11M465.10M350.58M
EBITDA240.60M195.66M184.52M223.15M180.47M117.22M
Net Income60.74M50.82M57.97M106.22M99.75M47.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.87B1.98B1.95B1.98B1.80B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.63M102.52M106.69M161.75M224.09M154.56M
Total Debt699.64M721.48M710.77M710.77M694.73M548.22M
Total Liabilities1.04B1.13B1.07B1.16B1.16B772.82M
Stockholders Equity813.57M830.22M823.53M805.10M622.84M317.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.02M113.25M12.51M30.68M40.22M37.72M
Operating Cash Flow158.85M191.82M117.32M137.33M117.90M92.54M
Investing Cash Flow-53.39M-78.57M-90.85M-151.40M-449.47M-53.88M
Financing Cash Flow-63.64M-117.27M-80.24M-46.89M401.77M-9.16M

Befesa S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.80
Price Trends
50DMA
31.00
Positive
100DMA
30.14
Positive
200DMA
29.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
67.05
Neutral
STOCH
93.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BFSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.51, above the 50-day MA of 31.00, and above the 200-day MA of 29.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:BFSA.

Befesa S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
€10.06B22.7817.25%2.01%2.26%6.49%
66
Neutral
€1.78B11.990.33%2.76%4.20%-20.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
€1.35B13.927.41%2.24%2.08%56.30%
56
Neutral
€1.48B7.7817.73%3.12%-18.21%-137.62%
54
Neutral
€22.13M-1.99-20.30%1.31%-60.90%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BFSA
Befesa S.A.
33.80
11.20
49.56%
DE:DUE
Durr AG
21.45
2.87
15.47%
DE:G1A
GEA Group AG
62.25
10.76
20.89%
DE:KSB
KSB AG
1,050.00
298.88
39.79%
DE:ZEF
ZhongDe Waste Technology
0.25
0.03
13.51%
DE:WAH
Wolftank-Adisa Holding AG
4.19
-2.91
-40.99%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026