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BASF SE (DE:BAS)
XETRA:BAS

BASF SE (BAS) AI Stock Analysis

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DE

BASF SE

(XETRA:BAS)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
€45.00
▲(7.53%Upside)
BASF SE's overall stock score is weighted by its solid operational margins and strong capital structure, offset by revenue growth challenges and high valuation concerns. The technical indicators suggest a neutral market sentiment, with a high dividend yield offering some appeal to investors.
Positive Factors
Agro Performance
Agro showed an outstanding performance with a volume growth of +18% and prices were up slightly with +2%.
Market Position
BASF sees itself well positioned to gain share in Europe.
Volume Growth
BASF was able to deliver +6% volume growth in its core businesses, consequently gaining share.
Negative Factors
Earnings Uncertainty
BASF faces headwinds with uncertain earnings due to restrictive US trade policy and low chemical spreads in China.
Political and Economic Challenges
Political support for the chemicals sector does not inspire confidence, with few material perks expected for BASF.
Restructuring and Currency Impact
Despite restructuring efforts by the new CEO, BASF's estimates are being cut due to a weaker USD and tariff headwinds to trade.

BASF SE (BAS) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

BASF SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBASF SE is a German multinational chemical company and one of the largest chemical producers in the world. The company operates in various sectors, including chemicals, materials, industrial solutions, surface technologies, nutrition & care, and agricultural solutions. BASF offers a wide range of products, including chemicals, plastics, performance products, crop protection products, and oil and gas. Its diverse portfolio serves industries such as agriculture, automotive, construction, and consumer goods.
How the Company Makes MoneyBASF SE generates revenue through the sale of its extensive range of chemical products and solutions. The company's revenue streams are primarily derived from its six business segments: Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions, Surface Technologies, Nutrition & Care, and Agricultural Solutions. Each segment contributes to the company's earnings by providing specialized products to various industries. For instance, the Agricultural Solutions segment offers crop protection products, seeds, and digital farming solutions to the agricultural sector, while the Surface Technologies segment supplies advanced materials and technologies to industries such as automotive and electronics. BASF also engages in strategic partnerships and investments to enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its revenue generation.

BASF SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BASF SE's financial position is marked by solid operational margins and a strong capital structure. However, challenges are evident in revenue growth and net income conversion to free cash flow, which could impact future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BASF SE shows a stable gross profit margin at 26.1% for TTM, with an EBIT margin of 4.0% and EBITDA margin of 11.3%, indicating operational efficiency. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 1.1%, and recent revenue growth is negative, reflecting challenges in revenue expansion.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63, indicating balanced leverage. The return on equity is modest at 2.0%, suggesting limited profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 44.3%, highlighting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 8.8, suggesting strong cash generation relative to income. However, free cash flow growth is negative, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting earnings to free cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
65.11B65.26B68.90B87.33B78.60B59.15B
Gross Profit
16.99B17.09B16.70B21.07B19.80B15.11B
EBIT
2.62B2.03B2.24B2.47B7.68B233.00M
EBITDA
7.37B6.68B7.33B10.22B10.84B3.57B
Net Income Common Stockholders
739.00M1.30B225.00M-391.00M5.52B-1.47B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.37B2.98B2.68B2.75B2.83B4.54B
Total Assets
81.42B80.42B79.93B84.47B87.38B80.29B
Total Debt
22.77B24.00B21.35B20.95B19.14B21.19B
Net Debt
20.45B21.08B18.72B18.43B16.51B16.86B
Total Liabilities
44.07B43.53B43.28B43.55B45.30B45.89B
Stockholders Equity
36.09B35.60B35.28B36.60B40.79B33.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
406.00M748.00M2.72B3.33B3.71B2.28B
Operating Cash Flow
6.48B6.95B8.11B7.71B7.25B5.41B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.89B-5.08B-4.99B-3.78B-2.62B-1.90B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.00B-1.55B-2.90B-4.01B-6.46B-1.56B

BASF SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.85
Price Trends
50DMA
42.25
Negative
100DMA
44.31
Negative
200DMA
43.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
43.08
Neutral
STOCH
33.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BAS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.94, below the 50-day MA of 42.25, and below the 200-day MA of 43.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:BAS.

BASF SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DENDA
74
Outperform
€3.58B5.1514.97%1.84%9.35%489.33%
DEWCH
66
Neutral
$3.12B12.955.37%3.77%-10.63%-23.15%
DESDF
61
Neutral
€2.89B91.490.00%0.93%-1.06%
DEBAS
60
Neutral
€37.49B50.722.02%5.36%-2.04%2258.97%
57
Neutral
€11.06B-6.00%0.01%-88.69%
DELXS
55
Neutral
$2.24B-3.92%0.36%-5.18%-139.96%
51
Neutral
$2.02B-1.14-21.36%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BAS
BASF SE
41.85
-1.96
-4.47%
DE:SDF
K+S Aktiengesellschaft
16.16
3.20
24.70%
DE:WCH
Wacker Chemie AG
62.10
-33.71
-35.19%
DE:1COV
Covestro
60.00
11.50
23.71%
DE:LXS
LANXESS
25.74
3.03
13.33%
DE:NDA
Aurubis
81.45
9.23
12.77%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.