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Doubledown Interactive Co (DDI)
NASDAQ:DDI

Doubledown Interactive Co (DDI) AI Stock Analysis

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DDI

Doubledown Interactive Co

(NASDAQ:DDI)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(15.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high margins, low leverage, solid free cash flow) and an attractive valuation (very low P/E). These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and earnings-call risks around monetization pressure (lower ARPP) and higher costs despite otherwise solid operating performance.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet / net cash
A large cash balance (~$490M) and net cash position (~$455M) provide a durable capital cushion. That liquidity supports disciplined marketing, M&A optionality, product investment or capital returns without relying on external financing, helping the company weather cyclical swings.
Strong cash generation and margins
High operating cash flow and free cash flow that closely match reported earnings indicate quality earnings and self-funded operations. Combined with strong gross (~72%) and net (~28%) margins, this underpins sustainable investment in live‑ops, product development, and shareholder optionality over the medium term.
Revenue diversification: DTC and iGaming ramp
Direct‑to‑consumer adoption (>30% of social revenue) and rapid iGaming growth (SuperNation) materially diversify revenue mix. A higher DTC share can raise margins and reduce platform dependence, while iGaming adds a growing adjacent channel to scale monetization and expand geographic exposure.
Negative Factors
Declining ARPP / per‑payer monetization
A near‑30% drop in ARPP is structurally important: lower spend per payer reduces lifetime value and increases the break‑even CAC horizon. Even with better conversion, sustainably lower ARPP can compress margins and force higher acquisition or retention spending to maintain growth.
Profitability volatility / prior sharp loss
Historic swings — including a severe 2022 loss — highlight operational and revenue sensitivity to one‑offs and cost timing. This volatility undermines predictability for reinvestment, M&A execution and capital returns, requiring higher reserves or conservative planning despite recent profits.
Elevated operating and marketing costs; mature market headwinds
Rising S&M and operating spend, combined with management comments about market maturity and regulatory/promotional pressures, suggest customer acquisition costs may remain elevated. That structural cost pressure can limit scalable growth and compress margin expansion absent efficiency gains.

Doubledown Interactive Co (DDI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Doubledown Interactive Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. engages in the development and publishing of digital games on mobile and web-based platforms for casual players in South Korea. The company offers DoubleDown Casino, DoubleDown Classic, DoubleDown Fort Knox, and Undead World: Hero Survival games. Its games are primarily distributed, marketed, and promoted through third party platform providers. The company was formerly known as The8Games Co., Ltd. and changed its name to DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of DoubleU Games Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyDoubledown Interactive Co generates revenue primarily through in-app purchases and virtual currency sales within its games. Players can buy chips and bonuses to enhance their gaming experience, which constitutes a significant portion of the company's earnings. Additionally, DDI monetizes its user base through advertising, partnering with various advertisers to display ads within its games and leveraging user engagement metrics to drive ad revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with social media platforms, enhancing its visibility and user acquisition efforts, which in turn contributes to its overall revenue growth.

Doubledown Interactive Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely positive financial and operational picture driven by healthy revenue growth (+17% consolidated), strong adjusted EBITDA (+16%) and significant cash generation ($136.8M FY operating cash flow) alongside successful integration of Wow Games and rapid iGaming expansion (+78% SuperNation). Offsetting items included a non-cash goodwill impairment (SuperNation), a meaningful drop in average revenue per payer (~29.8%), higher operating and marketing costs, and market maturity/legislative pressures that keep customer acquisition costs elevated. Management emphasized disciplined marketing, DTC momentum (DTC >30% of social revenue), and AI-enabled efficiencies while retaining a strong balance sheet and a focus on M&A and shareholder value decisions.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Consolidated revenue of $95.8M, up 17% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA of ~$40.6M, up ~16% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 42.3% (vs. 42.8% prior-year quarter).
Strong Cash Generation and Healthy Balance Sheet
Net cash provided by operations of $42.6M in the quarter and $136.8M for full-year 2025; cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $490M and net cash position of ~$455M (approximately $9.19 per ADS).
iGaming (SuperNation) Rapid Growth
SuperNation revenue of $16.1M, up 78% year-over-year; management reports the SuperNation revenue run-rate has more than doubled since acquisition (~2+ years), and the company launched its first iGaming title 'Lost Sagas' in the UK to drive further growth.
Social Casino Revenue and DTC Acceleration
Social casino revenue grew to $79.7M, up 9% year-over-year; direct-to-consumer (DTC) purchases ramped such that DTC revenue exceeded 30% of total social external revenue in the quarter, supporting margin expansion opportunities.
Improved Payer Conversion and ARPDAU
Total social casino payer conversion rate rose to 9.6% from 6.9% in the prior-year quarter (notable improvement); ARPDAU increased modestly to $1.35 from $1.30.
Successful Integration of Wow Games and Operating Synergies
First full quarter contribution from the Wow Games acquisition drove broader payer engagement and a higher DTC mix; management highlighted operational and product synergies between Wow Games and the traditional DoubleDown business.
Focus on Operational Discipline and AI Adoption
Management emphasized disciplined marketing/ROI measurement (moderated acquisition spending when thresholds approached) and active integration of AI across content production, live operations, and marketing to improve speed, targeting, and returns.
Negative Updates
Goodwill Impairment on SuperNation Reduces Reported Profit
The company recognized a goodwill impairment related to SuperNation (approx. $8.0M disclosed by management during Q&A), which is non-cash but contributed to profit excluding noncontrolling falling 31% to $24.7M and materially reduced reported EPS versus the prior year.
Decline in Average Revenue per Payer (ARPP)
Average monthly revenue per payer decreased to $198 from $282 year-over-year (down ~29.8%), driven by Wow Games payers spending less on average than traditional DoubleDown payers, which pressured per-payer monetization despite higher conversion.
Higher Operating and Marketing Costs
Operating expenses rose to $59.0M from $47.8M (increase of ~23.4%) and sales & marketing increased to $16.5M from $10.4M (increase of ~58.7%), driven by the SuperNation impairment, first full-quarter expenses for Wow Games, and ongoing marketing investments.
iGaming Sequential Moderation and Flat Quarter-over-Quarter
Although iGaming grew strongly year-over-year, SuperNation revenue was essentially flat quarter-over-quarter as management moderated prior increases in player acquisition spend to preserve ROI, indicating a cautious approach to near-term top-line acceleration.
Market Maturity and Legislative/Promotional Pressures
Management acknowledged the social casino market is mature with growth challenges; rising sweepstakes and regulatory activity have pressured marketing dynamics historically, and marketing/customer acquisition costs remain elevated and uncertain.
Slight Quarter Decline in Operating Cash Flow vs Prior Year
Q4 net cash flows from operating activities were $42.6M versus $45.9M in the prior-year quarter, a decline of ~7.2%, signaling a modest pullback in short-term operating cash generation versus the comparable period.
Company Guidance
Management's guidance for 2026 emphasized continuing to ramp direct‑to‑consumer (DTC) revenue as a share of social casino sales (DTC already exceeded 30% of social external revenue in Q4) while maintaining disciplined, ROI‑driven marketing for SuperNation and making targeted product, live‑ops and marketing investments (e.g., new meta features such as The Supreme Show) to expand margins and sustain cash generation; this comes off a Q4/ FY2025 baseline of consolidated revenue $95.8M (+17% YoY), adjusted EBITDA ~$40.6M (+16% YoY; adjusted EBITDA for 2025 ~$40.5M vs $35.3M in 2024) and adjusted EBITDA margin 42.3% (vs 42.8% a year ago), Q4 social casino revenue $79.7M (+9% YoY) and SuperNation Q4 revenue $16.1M (+78% YoY), Q4 payer conversion 9.6% (up from 6.9%), ARPDAU $1.35 (vs $1.30), monthly revenue per payer $198 (vs $282 prior year), Q4 net cash from operations $42.6M and FY operating cash flow $136.8M, and a cash/short‑term investments balance of $490M (net cash ~$455M, ≈$9.19 per ADS); management also reiterated M&A optionality and continued evaluation of capital‑return alternatives but gave no specific buyback/dividend targets.

Doubledown Interactive Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong underlying quality supported by high margins, very low leverage, and solid free cash flow that broadly matches earnings (2025 FCF to net income ~1.0). The main drawback is volatility/consistency risk, with a sharp loss in 2022 and uneven cash flow timing, plus softer 2025 profitability versus 2024.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is strong in 2025 (annual): gross margin ~72% and net margin ~28%, with revenue up ~4% year over year. However, earnings power has been volatile: net margin fell from ~36% (2024) to ~28% (2025), and 2022 showed a sharp loss (net margin ~-73%) despite a still-healthy gross margin, indicating significant operating expense swings or one-time impacts. Overall, the business is profitable again with solid margins, but the track record shows meaningful cyclicality/volatility.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative, with very low leverage across years (debt-to-equity ~4–8% and ~4.5% in 2025). Equity has grown materially over time (about $700M in 2020 to about $950M in 2025), providing a strong capital cushion. Return on equity is positive in most years (about 10.8% in 2025), but it dipped sharply negative in 2022, reinforcing that profitability can swing even with low debt.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation is generally healthy: 2025 operating cash flow (~$137M) and free cash flow (~$137M) closely match net income (free cash flow to net income ~1.0), suggesting good earnings quality. Cash flow has been uneven—operating cash flow was very weak in 2023 relative to profits, and free cash flow growth turned slightly negative in 2025—yet the company continues to produce substantial free cash flow in recent years.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue360.13M341.33M308.86M321.03M363.20M
Gross Profit258.51M237.79M209.69M211.72M236.59M
EBITDA142.37M170.01M136.85M-299.54M120.54M
Net Income102.55M124.02M101.04M-233.98M78.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.04B906.16M803.34M792.05M969.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments489.91M414.85M274.99M285.24M242.06M
Total Debt42.90M38.69M46.35M44.13M49.94M
Total Liabilities90.13M64.13M75.45M165.83M105.93M
Stockholders Equity949.95M841.91M727.73M626.23M863.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow136.65M147.56M23.89M50.52M95.84M
Operating Cash Flow136.84M148.45M24.09M50.79M96.11M
Investing Cash Flow-81.75M-15.61M-30.27M-67.83M-1.81M
Financing Cash Flow-1.35M-2.01M-3.25M0.0086.04M

Doubledown Interactive Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.66
Price Trends
50DMA
8.74
Negative
100DMA
8.89
Negative
200DMA
9.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
48.14
Neutral
STOCH
47.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.69, below the 50-day MA of 8.74, and below the 200-day MA of 9.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DDI.

Doubledown Interactive Co Risk Analysis

Doubledown Interactive Co disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Doubledown Interactive Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
There can be no assurance that the adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards, or IFRS, will not adversely affect our reported results of operations or financial condition. Q4, 2023
2.
Failure to comply with regulatory requirements in a particular jurisdiction, or the failure to successfully obtain a license or permit applied for in a particular jurisdiction, could impact SuprNation's ability to comply with licensing and regulatory requirements in other jurisdictions, or could cause the rejection of license applications or cancellation of existing licenses in other jurisdictions, or could cause financial institutions, online and mobile platforms, advertisers and distributors to stop providing services to Supernation which it relies upon to receive payments from, or distribute amounts to, its users, or otherwise to deliver and promote our product offerings and services. Q4, 2023

Doubledown Interactive Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$429.13M4.2011.19%1.21%0.72%
73
Outperform
$439.45M7.9213.07%6.55%-10.75%
66
Neutral
$1.15B13.569.98%7.49%-60.32%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$270.50M6.9618.48%
57
Neutral
$72.33M-12.70-4.94%53.06%-196.63%
46
Neutral
$59.17M-1.57-14.82%-17.17%-51.88%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDI
Doubledown Interactive Co
8.66
-1.41
-14.00%
GRVY
Gravity Co
63.24
4.48
7.62%
GMGI
Golden Matrix Group
0.51
-1.53
-74.90%
GDEV
Nexters
14.92
-1.40
-8.58%
MYPS
PLAYSTUDIOS
0.47
-1.24
-72.57%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
3.06
-3.13
-50.53%

Doubledown Interactive Co Corporate Events

DoubleDown Interactive Posts Record Q4 and 2025 Revenue as DTC and iGaming Fuel Growth
Feb 11, 2026

On February 11, 2026, DoubleDown Interactive reported record unaudited results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025, driven by higher revenue across its portfolio and growing contributions from acquisitions. Fourth-quarter revenue rose to $95.8 million from $82.0 million a year earlier, with social casino sales up 9.3% and SuprNation iGaming revenue jumping 78.2%, while direct-to-consumer channels expanded to 33% of social casino revenue.

Full-year revenue increased to $359.9 million from $341.3 million in 2024, although profit fell to $102.5 million from $124.1 million due mainly to a non-cash goodwill impairment at SuprNation and added costs from WHOW Games. Despite lower profit margins and slightly reduced operating cash flow, DoubleDown maintained Adjusted EBITDA essentially flat at $142.3 million, ended 2025 with about $455 million in net cash, and highlighted stronger payer conversion metrics that support its strategy of diversifying revenue sources and scaling both DTC and iGaming operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

DoubleDown Interactive Sets February 11 Release for Q4 2025 Results and Investor Call
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, DoubleDown Interactive announced that it will report its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, after the market closes on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. The company will host a conference call and simultaneous webcast at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time that day, during which management will review the quarterly performance, provide a broader business update, and take questions from participants. The call and webcast, which will also be accessible via DoubleDown’s investor relations website with a replay available afterward, underscore the company’s efforts to maintain transparency and engagement with investors and other stakeholders as it continues to build out its social casino and iGaming footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

DoubleDown Interactive Announces Secondary Offering Pricing
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. announced the pricing for a secondary offering of 2,330,468 American Depositary Shares (ADSs) by selling shareholder STIC Special Situation Diamond Limited at $8.00 per ADS. The offering, expected to close on December 18, 2025, will not affect DoubleDown’s outstanding shares or result in proceeds for the company, with Roth Capital Partners leading the underwriting. This move reflects potential shareholder strategies and highlights the company’s strong market positioning in providing interactive gaming experiences.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

DoubleDown Interactive Donates $10,000 to Meals on Wheels America
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. announced a $10,000 donation to Meals on Wheels America to support its efforts in combating senior hunger and isolation across the United States. This charitable initiative is part of DoubleDown’s commitment to community support, and it includes a play-to-enter giveaway event called Reels & Wheels on November 20, 2025, encouraging player engagement and raising awareness for the cause.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026