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Doubledown Interactive Co (DDI)
NASDAQ:DDI

Doubledown Interactive Co (DDI) AI Stock Analysis

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DDI

Doubledown Interactive Co

(NASDAQ:DDI)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(24.11% Upside)
DDI scores well on financial performance (high margins, low leverage, strong cash conversion) and looks very inexpensive on P/E, which are the biggest positives. The earnings call supports continued growth (especially iGaming) but rising expenses and margin pressure are key risks. Technicals are mixed, with neutral momentum and a weaker long-term trend versus the 200-day average.
Positive Factors
High profitability margins
Sustained high gross and net margins reflect durable monetization power in social casino games and efficient cost structure. High margins provide room to fund marketing, product development, and M&A while absorbing cyclical revenue dips without immediate solvency stress.
Strong cash generation and conversion
Very high earnings-to-cash conversion indicates quality, repeatable cash generation from core operations. This underpins strategic optionality—funding product launches, player acquisition, or bolt-on deals—while reducing reliance on external financing across business cycles.
Large cash position providing liquidity
A substantial cash reserve offers near-term flexibility to invest in iGaming growth, weather marketing intensity, and pursue acquisitions without materially increasing leverage, supporting long-term strategic initiatives and risk mitigation in a competitive mobile gaming market.
Negative Factors
Rising operating expenses and margin pressure
Material expense increases—driven by acquisitions and iGaming investment—compress adjusted EBITDA margins. If elevated marketing, integration, or content costs persist, sustained margin erosion could reduce free cash flow and limit reinvestment or M&A capacity over the medium term.
Historical earnings and cash-flow volatility
A history of sharp swings undermines predictability of profits and cash generation, complicating budgeting and capital allocation. Reliance on hit-driven engagement means outcomes can vary materially, raising forecasting risk for investors and management over multi-quarter horizons.
Revenue concentration on in-app purchases and ads
Heavy dependence on discretionary in-app spend and ad demand makes revenue sensitive to player engagement, platform policy shifts, and macro consumer trends. This concentration elevates structural risk compared with more diversified digital entertainment business models.

Doubledown Interactive Co (DDI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Doubledown Interactive Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. engages in the development and publishing of digital games on mobile and web-based platforms for casual players in South Korea. The company offers DoubleDown Casino, DoubleDown Classic, DoubleDown Fort Knox, and Undead World: Hero Survival games. Its games are primarily distributed, marketed, and promoted through third party platform providers. The company was formerly known as The8Games Co., Ltd. and changed its name to DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. in December 2019. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of DoubleU Games Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyDoubledown Interactive Co generates revenue primarily through in-app purchases and virtual currency sales within its games. Players can buy chips and bonuses to enhance their gaming experience, which constitutes a significant portion of the company's earnings. Additionally, DDI monetizes its user base through advertising, partnering with various advertisers to display ads within its games and leveraging user engagement metrics to drive ad revenue. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with social media platforms, enhancing its visibility and user acquisition efforts, which in turn contributes to its overall revenue growth.

Doubledown Interactive Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong revenue growth and increased cash flow, driven by success in iGaming and positive contributions from acquisitions such as SuprNation. However, increased operating expenses and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA margin present challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
DoubleDown Interactive reported third quarter consolidated revenue of $95.8 million, an increase from $83.0 million in the same period last year.
Significant Growth in iGaming Revenue
iGaming revenues more than doubled, increasing by 108% from the third quarter of 2024.
Increased Cash Flow
Net cash flows provided by operating activities in Q3 2025 were $33.4 million, up from $32.1 million in Q3 2024.
Increase in ARPUDAU and Payer Conversion
ARPUDAU increased to $1.39 in Q3 2025 from $1.30 in Q3 2024, and the payer conversion rate rose to 7.8% from 6.8%.
Positive Impact of SuprNation Acquisition
SuprNation's quarterly revenue run rate has more than doubled since its acquisition, with Q3 revenue of $16.2 million.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses rose to $60.9 million in Q3 2025 from $47.6 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to increased expenses from SuprNation and WHOW Games.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 39.1% in Q3 2025 from 44.0% in Q3 2024.
Decrease in Average Monthly Revenue per Payer
Average monthly revenue per payer decreased to $272 in Q3 2025 from $281 in the prior year period.
Company Guidance
During the third-quarter earnings call, DoubleDown Interactive provided detailed guidance and key performance metrics. The company reported a consolidated revenue of $95.8 million, with $79.6 million from Social Casino operations and $16.2 million from its iGaming business, SuprNation. Adjusted EBITDA was $37.5 million, and the adjusted EBITDA margin was 39.1%. The company achieved a payer conversion rate of 7.8% and an ARPUDAU of $1.39, both showing improvement from previous quarters. The direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue for Social Casino increased to over 15% with a goal to surpass 20% by the end of the year. DoubleDown also highlighted its cash position with $439.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. The company plans to continue investing in player acquisition for SuprNation and aims to launch a new iGaming brand next year, while also exploring further geographical expansions and potential acquisitions to drive growth.

Doubledown Interactive Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals supported by high profitability (TTM gross margin ~71%, net margin ~32%), very conservative leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.05), and strong cash conversion (FCF ~97% of net income). Offsetting factors are historical volatility (notably 2022 loss and weaker 2023 operating cash flow) and some margin softening versus 2024.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Profitability is a key strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin is ~71% and net margin is ~32%, supported by strong operating profitability. Revenue is stable with modest growth (TTM ~3.9% vs. 2024 ~0.1%), and results recovered meaningfully from the large loss in 2022 (net margin ~-73%). Main watch-outs are the prior earnings volatility (2022) and some margin compression versus 2024 (net margin ~36% in 2024 down to ~32% TTM).
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservative: debt is low relative to equity (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.05), and equity has grown versus prior years, providing a solid capital base. Returns on equity are healthy (TTM ~12%), though below 2024 (~15%) and the business has shown that profitability can swing sharply in down periods (negative return on equity in 2022). Overall leverage risk appears limited.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and high quality: TTM operating cash flow (~$141M) and free cash flow (~$141M) closely track net income (free cash flow is ~97% of net income), indicating good earnings conversion. Free cash flow growth is positive in TTM (~1.1%) and was strong in 2024, but the company has shown past volatility (notably weak operating cash flow in 2023 versus later years). Coverage of operating cash flow relative to operating profit remains solid in TTM (~2.1x), though lower than 2024.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue346.12M341.33M308.86M321.03M363.20M358.34M
Gross Profit245.83M237.79M209.69M211.72M236.59M232.09M
EBITDA161.61M170.01M136.85M-299.54M120.54M117.58M
Net Income114.05M124.02M101.04M-233.98M78.11M53.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B906.16M803.34M792.05M969.92M806.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments439.19M414.85M274.99M285.24M242.06M63.19M
Total Debt40.88M38.69M46.35M44.13M49.94M56.82M
Total Liabilities91.16M64.13M75.45M165.83M105.93M107.32M
Stockholders Equity925.67M841.91M727.73M626.23M863.99M699.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.69M147.56M23.89M50.52M95.84M99.63M
Operating Cash Flow141.46M148.45M24.09M50.79M96.11M99.85M
Investing Cash Flow-80.15M-15.61M-30.27M-67.83M-1.81M-2.17M
Financing Cash Flow-2.54M-2.01M-3.25M0.0086.04M-76.27M

Doubledown Interactive Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.46
Price Trends
50DMA
8.91
Negative
100DMA
9.00
Negative
200DMA
9.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
38.75
Neutral
STOCH
32.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.87, below the 50-day MA of 8.91, and below the 200-day MA of 9.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DDI.

Doubledown Interactive Co Risk Analysis

Doubledown Interactive Co disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Doubledown Interactive Co reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
There can be no assurance that the adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards, or IFRS, will not adversely affect our reported results of operations or financial condition. Q4, 2023
2.
Failure to comply with regulatory requirements in a particular jurisdiction, or the failure to successfully obtain a license or permit applied for in a particular jurisdiction, could impact SuprNation's ability to comply with licensing and regulatory requirements in other jurisdictions, or could cause the rejection of license applications or cancellation of existing licenses in other jurisdictions, or could cause financial institutions, online and mobile platforms, advertisers and distributors to stop providing services to Supernation which it relies upon to receive payments from, or distribute amounts to, its users, or otherwise to deliver and promote our product offerings and services. Q4, 2023

Doubledown Interactive Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$419.22M3.6712.55%1.21%0.72%
73
Outperform
$483.23M8.7013.07%6.55%-10.75%
69
Neutral
$305.04M7.8518.48%
66
Neutral
$1.36B15.669.98%7.49%-60.32%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$102.92M-18.06-4.94%53.06%-196.63%
46
Neutral
$80.01M-2.12-14.82%-17.17%-51.88%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DDI
Doubledown Interactive Co
8.46
-1.74
-17.06%
GRVY
Gravity Co
69.54
6.91
11.03%
GMGI
Golden Matrix Group
0.73
-1.11
-60.43%
GDEV
Nexters
16.83
4.16
32.90%
MYPS
PLAYSTUDIOS
0.63
-1.02
-61.58%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
3.62
-2.97
-45.10%

Doubledown Interactive Co Corporate Events

DoubleDown Interactive Announces Secondary Offering Pricing
Dec 17, 2025

On December 17, 2025, DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. announced the pricing for a secondary offering of 2,330,468 American Depositary Shares (ADSs) by selling shareholder STIC Special Situation Diamond Limited at $8.00 per ADS. The offering, expected to close on December 18, 2025, will not affect DoubleDown’s outstanding shares or result in proceeds for the company, with Roth Capital Partners leading the underwriting. This move reflects potential shareholder strategies and highlights the company’s strong market positioning in providing interactive gaming experiences.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

DoubleDown Interactive Donates $10,000 to Meals on Wheels America
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. announced a $10,000 donation to Meals on Wheels America to support its efforts in combating senior hunger and isolation across the United States. This charitable initiative is part of DoubleDown’s commitment to community support, and it includes a play-to-enter giveaway event called Reels & Wheels on November 20, 2025, encouraging player engagement and raising awareness for the cause.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

DoubleDown Interactive Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, DoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd. announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a 15.5% increase in revenue to $95.8 million compared to the same period in 2024, driven by growth in its social casino/free-to-play games and a significant revenue rise from its iGaming subsidiary, SuprNation. Profit for the period rose by 30.8% to $32.7 million, attributed to higher revenue and lower unrealized foreign currency losses, despite increased operating expenses. The acquisition of WHOW Games contributed to the revenue growth, and the company ended the quarter with a strong cash position of approximately $404 million, providing flexibility for future growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

DoubleDown Interactive to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results on November 10
Oct 27, 2025

On October 27, 2025, DoubleDown Interactive announced it will release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 10, 2025. The company will also hold a conference call and webcast to discuss these results and provide a business update. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DDI) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Doubledown Interactive Co stock, see the DDI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026