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DigitalBridge Group (DBRG)
NYSE:DBRG

DigitalBridge Group (DBRG) AI Stock Analysis

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DBRG

DigitalBridge Group

(NYSE:DBRG)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(7.07% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by improved balance-sheet flexibility and strong recent cash generation, plus constructive technicals and a positive earnings narrative around fee growth/capital raising. These are tempered by weak and volatile operating profitability (sharp 2025 revenue decline and negative EBITDA/EBIT) and a very high P/E, with deal-completion/regulatory risk also influencing the outlook.
Positive Factors
Fee revenue and capital formation
Sustained fee growth and strong capital raises expand the durable base of recurring management fees. Hitting FEEUM targets early demonstrates distribution and fundraising strength, which supports predictable fee income and scale advantages across fundraising cycles.
Scale in AI-focused data center leasing
Leading data-center leasing and large AI-focused campuses position the firm in secular demand for hyperscale compute. This structural exposure to AI infrastructure underpins long-term leasing cash flows, tenant relationships, and differentiated platform scale versus smaller operators.
Improved balance sheet and cash generation
Materially lower leverage and positive free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility to fund platform growth, make opportunistic investments, and support fee-generation activities. Strong cash conversion reduces refinancing risk and strengthens long-term capital allocation optionality.
Negative Factors
Volatile operating profitability and revenue
A sharp revenue collapse and negative operating profits highlight weak core earnings power. Persistent volatility in underlying operations risks the sustainability of fee margins and makes long-term cashflow forecasts and reinvestment plans more uncertain for the asset-management model.
Acquisition closing and regulatory risk
The SoftBank-backed acquisition is conditional on complex regulatory and client consents. Failure or delay could leave strategy and capital plans uncertain, disrupt client relationships, and create execution risk for planned integration or capital commitments over the medium term.
Performance fee volatility and reversals
Significant reliance on incentive fees introduces earnings cyclicality; carried interest reversals show valuation sensitivity. This structural variability weakens earnings quality and can produce material swings in distributable income and management-fee economics across reporting periods.

DigitalBridge Group (DBRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DigitalBridge Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDigitalBridge (NYSE: DBRG) is an infrastructure investment firm. It specializes in investing and operating businesses across the digital ecosystem including cell towers, data centers, fiber, small cells, edge infrastructure, digital infrastructure and real estate. DigitalBridge Group, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida with additional offices in Los Angeles, California; New York, New York; Boston, Massachusetts; Denver, Colorado; London, United Kingdom; Senningerberg, Luxembourg and Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyDigitalBridge Group generates revenue through a combination of management fees, performance fees, and investment income from its portfolio of digital infrastructure assets. The company earns management fees by overseeing funds that invest in data centers, towers, and fiber networks, typically calculated as a percentage of the assets under management. Performance fees are earned when the funds exceed certain return benchmarks. Additionally, DBRG benefits from the appreciation of its investments and can generate income through leasing agreements with telecom and technology companies that utilize its infrastructure. Significant partnerships with leading technology firms and service providers further enhance its revenue potential by ensuring high occupancy rates and stable cash flows from its assets.

DigitalBridge Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
DigitalBridge showcased strong financial growth, significant capital formation, and strategic positioning in the data center and AI infrastructure sectors. The company's partnership with Franklin Templeton and record leasing activities were notable achievements. However, the reversal of carried interest presents a challenge, though it does not overshadow the overall positive developments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Financial Growth
DigitalBridge reported fee revenue of $94 million, up 22% year-over-year, and fee-related earnings (FRE) grew 43% to $37 million in the third quarter.
Significant Capital Formation
The company raised $1.6 billion in new capital during the quarter, with a year-to-date total of $4.1 billion, aiming to exceed its full-year objectives.
Record Data Center Leasing
DigitalBridge leased a record 2.6 gigawatts across its portfolio, representing one-third of total U.S. hyperscale leasing for the quarter.
Strategic Developments in Data Centers
Vantage Data Centers announced two mega campuses: Frontier in Texas ($25 billion, 1.4 gigawatts) and Lighthouse in Wisconsin ($15 billion, 1 gigawatt) to support AI infrastructure.
Successful Partnership with Franklin Templeton
DigitalBridge launched a private wealth distribution channel partnership with Franklin Templeton, opening access to institutional quality infrastructure investments.
Negative Updates
Carried Interest Reversal
The company reported a $20 million reversal of carried interest during the quarter due to changes in the fair value of fund investments not exceeding the preferred return hurdle.
Company Guidance
In DigitalBridge's third quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported significant growth and strategic advancements. Financially, fee revenues increased by 22% year-over-year to $94 million, while fee-related earnings soared by 43% to $37 million. The firm raised $1.6 billion in new capital during the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $4.1 billion. Notably, DigitalBridge achieved its $40 billion fee-earning equity under management (FEEUM) target a quarter early, with FEEUM reaching $40.7 billion. The company's power bank strategy was highlighted as a key driver of success, with record data center leasing activity, including the announcement of two mega campuses in Texas and Wisconsin valued at $25 billion and $15 billion, respectively. These developments underscore DigitalBridge's strategic focus on securing power and expanding its data center footprint to support AI infrastructure demand.

DigitalBridge Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: cash generation is strong (2025 operating cash flow and free cash flow around $258–$259M) and leverage appears materially improved (very low debt vs. equity). Offsetting this, the income statement is a key weakness with a sharp 2025 revenue drop (~73% vs. 2024) and negative EBITDA/EBIT, while net income has been volatile and likely influenced by non-operating items.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Profitability is volatile. Revenue fell sharply in 2025 (annual revenue down ~73% vs. 2024), and operating results turned negative (EBITDA and EBIT below zero), which signals weaker core earnings power. That said, reported net income remained positive in 2025 with a very high net margin, but it is not well-supported by operating profitability and contrasts with prior loss years (notably 2020–2022), indicating earnings may be driven by non-operating items and can swing materially.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage looks materially improved versus prior years. Total debt is low in recent periods (debt-to-equity ~0.17 in 2024 and shown as 0 in 2025), while equity remains sizable (~$2.1B in 2025) relative to assets (~$3.4B), supporting balance-sheet flexibility. The main weakness is inconsistent returns on equity over time (negative in 2020–2022, modestly positive in 2023–2025), which suggests asset profitability has not been stable.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength recently. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were strong in 2025 (both roughly $258–$259M) and improved versus 2024, with positive free cash flow growth. Free cash flow has also generally tracked net income closely in the last two years, supporting earnings quality. Key risks are historical volatility (large negative free cash flow in 2020) and uneven coverage of accounting profits by operating cash flow in some earlier years.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue93.96M607.03M821.38M694.77M366.06M
Gross Profit0.00462.38M784.73M650.50M293.00M
EBITDA-30.11M218.96M343.19M220.39M648.84M
Net Income83.23M70.52M185.28M-321.80M-310.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B3.51B3.56B11.03B14.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments382.51M302.15M345.33M855.56M1.60B
Total Debt0.00339.71M420.82M902.04M5.64B
Total Liabilities968.96M1.02B1.05B6.46B8.93B
Stockholders Equity2.11B1.96B1.81B1.66B2.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow257.98M56.53M233.64M262.58M248.24M
Operating Cash Flow259.33M60.12M233.64M262.58M248.24M
Investing Cash Flow-126.00M-11.22M-979.04M-1.91B146.56M
Financing Cash Flow-48.28M-90.84M58.15M923.78M411.26M

DigitalBridge Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price15.41
Price Trends
50DMA
15.01
Positive
100DMA
13.27
Positive
200DMA
12.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
58.31
Neutral
STOCH
16.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DBRG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 15.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.41, above the 50-day MA of 15.01, and above the 200-day MA of 12.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DBRG.

DigitalBridge Group Risk Analysis

DigitalBridge Group disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DigitalBridge Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DigitalBridge Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.74B27.838.71%3.99%5.29%-60.36%
69
Neutral
$1.51B20.667.32%4.97%-3.94%64.29%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$2.90B216.760.30%-61.00%-90.82%
65
Neutral
$1.01B23.072.16%0.45%-24.85%
61
Neutral
$2.12B-8.06-12.53%10.29%-28.94%-28.24%
57
Neutral
$1.18B20.955.29%7.31%5.95%5.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DBRG
DigitalBridge Group
15.41
4.28
38.45%
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin
20.80
3.75
21.99%
ESRT
Empire State Realty
6.05
-2.91
-32.48%
AAT
American Assets
20.06
-0.92
-4.39%
UE
Urban Edge Properties
21.29
1.75
8.98%
GNL
Global Net Lease
9.48
2.66
39.02%

DigitalBridge Group Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
DigitalBridge Group Agrees to Cash Acquisition by SoftBank-Backed Buyer
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

On December 29, 2025, DigitalBridge Group, Inc. agreed to be acquired by Duncan Holdco LLC, an entity backed by an affiliate of SoftBank Group Corp., in a cash merger under which each outstanding share of the company’s Class A, Class B and Performance common stock, as well as each common unit of DigitalBridge Operating Company, will be converted into the right to receive $16.00 in cash, while preferred stock and preferred units will remain outstanding. The DigitalBridge board, acting on the recommendation of an independent committee, unanimously approved the deal and will recommend it to shareholders, though closing remains subject to shareholder approval, a wide array of antitrust, foreign investment and sectoral regulatory clearances, and consents from clients representing at least 85% of base-date revenue, with the parties bound by no-shop and matching rights provisions and reciprocal termination fees of $96 million for the company and $154 million for the buyer in specified circumstances, underscoring both the complexity of the regulatory process and the protections put in place for stakeholders if the transaction is delayed or blocked.

The most recent analyst rating on (DBRG) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DigitalBridge Group stock, see the DBRG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
SoftBank to Acquire DigitalBridge Group in $4 Billion Deal
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, DigitalBridge Group announced that it had entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by SoftBank Group for a total enterprise value of approximately $4 billion, in a deal designed to expand SoftBank’s data center and connectivity capacity for AI infrastructure. Under the terms, SoftBank will acquire all outstanding DigitalBridge common shares for $16.00 in cash, representing a 15% premium to the December 26, 2025 closing price and a 50% premium to the unaffected 52-week average as of December 4, 2025; DigitalBridge will continue to operate as a separately managed platform led by CEO Marc Ganzi after closing, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals and is expected in the second half of 2026, positioning SoftBank to deepen its role in next-generation AI infrastructure while giving DigitalBridge greater capital backing and strategic reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (DBRG) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DigitalBridge Group stock, see the DBRG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026