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Darling Ingredients (DAR)
NYSE:DAR

Darling Ingredients (DAR) AI Stock Analysis

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DAR

Darling Ingredients

(NYSE:DAR)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$51.00
▼(-1.24% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
Overall score reflects moderate fundamentals with weakening margins and declining free cash flow as the primary constraints, partially offset by an improved leverage profile. Technicals are supportive but appear overbought, while valuation is the biggest negative due to the very high P/E. Earnings call commentary was mixed—strong core guidance and segment strength tempered by renewables/DGD volatility and high debt—while the collagen JV adds a modest positive catalyst.
Positive Factors
Diversified sustainable business model
A multi-segment model (Rendering, Ingredients, Fuel) captures value across food, pet food, pharma and renewable fuels. Durable feedstock relationships and broad end markets reduce single-market exposure, supporting steadier revenue streams and resilience to individual segment cycles.
Strong core ingredients performance and guidance
Management provided explicit multi-quarter EBITDA guidance for core ingredients, reflecting sustained demand for fats and proteins. Consistent margins and sizable segment EBITDA indicate a structurally stronger, predictable cash-generating core that can fund operations and strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Strategic collagen JV to scale gelatin/collagen business
The JV with Tessenderlo creates a scaled collagen/gelatin platform with meaningful revenue and synergies. Majority ownership preserves upside while consolidating market share, improving cost structure and product breadth—structural drivers for revenue diversification and higher long-term margins.
Negative Factors
Declining profitability margins
Sustained margin compression signals structural cost pressures or pricing constraints in core operations. Lower operating profitability erodes returns on equity and limits internal funding for investments, making growth or deleveraging initiatives more dependent on external improvements or efficiency programs.
Falling free cash flow
A persistent drop in free cash flow reduces the company's ability to pay down debt, fund capex, or invest in strategic expansions without raising external capital. Over several quarters this constrains financial flexibility and can increase vulnerability to industry shocks or funding cost rises.
High leverage and renewables volatility
Elevated net debt combined with DGD’s volatile renewables earnings (LCM hits and negative EBITDA episodes) raises leverage risk. Earnings swings from the fuel segment can impair deleveraging progress and force reliance on asset sales, PTC monetization, or incremental borrowing to meet strategic needs.

Darling Ingredients (DAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Darling Ingredients Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDarling Ingredients Inc. develops, produces, and sells natural ingredients from edible and inedible bio-nutrients. The company operates through three segments: Feed Ingredients, Food Ingredients, and Fuel Ingredients. It offers ingredients and customized specialty solutions for customers in the pharmaceutical, food, pet food, feed, industrial, fuel, bioenergy, and fertilizer industries. The company also collects and transforms various animal by-product streams into useable and specialty ingredients, such as collagen, edible fats, feed-grade fats, animal proteins and meals, plasma, pet food ingredients, organic fertilizers, yellow grease, fuel feedstock, green energy, natural casings, and hides. In addition, it recovers and converts used cooking oil and animal fats, and residual bakery products into valuable feed and fuel ingredients. Further, the company provides environmental services, including grease trap collection and disposal services to food service establishments. It primarily operates under the Sonac, Dar Pro, Rothsay, Rousselot, Nature Safe, CleanStar, Peptan, Cookie Meal, Bakery Feeds, Ecoson, and Rendac brand names in North America, Europe, China, South America, Australia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Darling International Inc. and changed its name to Darling Ingredients Inc. in May 2014. Darling Ingredients Inc. was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDarling Ingredients generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of rendered products, which include protein meals and fats used in animal feed and pet food. The company also earns income from its ingredients segment, which provides specialized products such as gelatin and hydrolyzed proteins for food and pharmaceutical applications. Additionally, Darling produces renewable diesel and other fuel products from its rendering operations, contributing to its revenue. Significant partnerships with food processors and agricultural businesses enhance its supply chain and provide a steady stream of raw materials, while the growing demand for sustainable and environmentally friendly products supports its earnings. The company's focus on innovation and sustainability further positions it favorably in the market, allowing it to capitalize on emerging trends in both the food and energy sectors.

Darling Ingredients Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated clear operational and commercial progress across Darling's core ingredients (Feed and Food) with meaningful year-over-year EBITDA, sales and margin improvements, improved leverage and liquidity, and strategic actions (Brazil asset bid and Food JV). Offsetting these positives were substantial headwinds in the Fuel segment for the year, DGD-related accounting/cash volatility, restructuring charges, and continued policy uncertainty (RVO/LCFS) that materially influence future fuel economics. Management is optimistic about 2026 if policy clarity emerges and expects DGD margins and production to improve, while prioritizing debt reduction and selected bolt-on opportunities.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Yearly EBITDA Momentum
Combined adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $336.1M versus $289.0M in Q4 2024 (+16.3%) and $245.0M last quarter; core ingredients EBITDA for Q4 was $278.2M versus $230.0M in Q4 2024 (+21.0%). For fiscal year 2025, core ingredients EBITDA was $922M versus $790M in 2024 (+16.7%).
Revenue, Volumes and Margin Expansion
Total net sales in Q4 were $1.7B versus $1.4B in Q4 2024 (+21.4%). Raw material volume in Q4 rose to 4.1M metric tons from 3.8M (+7.9%), and quarterly gross margin improved to 25.1% from 23.5% a year ago (+1.6 percentage points).
Feed and Food Segment Strength
Feed segment Q4 EBITDA rose to $193M from $150M in Q4 2024 (+28.7%), with sales of $1.13B versus $924M (+22.3%) and margin up to 24.6% from 22.6% (+2.0 pp). Food segment Q4 sales increased to $429M from $362M (+18.5%) and EBITDA to $82M from $64M (+28.1%), with gross margin 27.2% vs 25.7% (+1.5 pp).
Operational Execution and Product Momentum
Management highlighted four consecutive quarters of margin expansion in Feed, best-in-class operational performance at DGD in Q4 (DGD EBITDA of ~$57.9M or $0.41/gal in Q4), increasing global collagen/gelatin demand, and early commercial traction for higher-value NexData product launches (GLP-1 alternative and upcoming Brain Health product).
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Improvements
Net debt (debt net of cash) improved to ~$3.8B from ~$4.0B (≈$200M reduction, ~5%); preliminary bank covenant leverage ratio improved to 2.9x from 3.9x a year ago (-1.0x). Revolver availability ~ $1.3B and FY capex was $380M with Q4 capex $156M.
Strategic M&A and Portfolio Actions
Darling was the stalking horse bidder for three Potense Group rendering assets in Brazil; expected purchase price around $120M to be funded from Q1 cash flows. Management is advancing a joint venture with PB Leiner and Tessenderlo (regulatory reviews underway) and signaling deliberate portfolio rationalization and possible targeted asset sales.
Negative Updates
Fuel Segment Yearly Earnings Decline
Combined Fuel segment adjusted EBITDA (including DGD) for fiscal 2025 was $192M versus $374M a year ago, a decline of ~48.7%, reflecting a challenging year for the biofuels environment despite a stronger Q4.
Net Income and EPS Pressure
Reported net income for the quarter was $57M (diluted EPS $0.35) versus $102M (diluted EPS $0.63) in Q4 2024, a decline of ~44% in net income and ~44% in EPS. Adjusted non-GAAP EPS was $0.67 vs $0.66 a year ago after adjusting for charges.
Restructuring and Impairment Charges
Management recorded $58M of restructuring and impairment charges in the quarter related to portfolio restructuring, which reduced reported earnings and signals non-core realignment activity.
DGD Related Volatility and Cash Contributions
Darling contributed approximately $328M to Diamond Green Diesel in 2025 (offset by $368M in dividends received). Darling's share of DGD EBITDA for the full year was ~ $104M; the business experienced inventory LCM adjustments (unfavorable $24M at DGD level in Q4, though favorable $140M at entity level for the year), illustrating earnings volatility tied to inventory accounting and market swings.
Policy and Market Uncertainty
Management repeatedly cited uncertainty around renewables public policy (RVO, LCFS, tariffs) as a key near-term headwind affecting feedstock flows, market incentives for renewable diesel, and visibility for 2026. Timing of RVO finalization remains unknown, and outcomes materially affect fuel economics.
Near-Term Operational Impacts and Weather
Severe winter weather in January caused moderate operational disruptions in the Southeast/Eastern Shore, and seasonality (winter) plus fat price lags are expected to drive a modest pullback in core EBITDA in Q1 relative to Q4 (management guided core ingredients adjusted EBITDA of ~$240M–$250M for Q1).
Company Guidance
Management's forward-looking commentary for Q1 2026 called for core ingredients adjusted EBITDA of roughly $240–$250 million (versus core ingredients Q4 EBITDA of ~ $278M and full‑year 2025 core EBITDA of ~$922M), and they expect Diamond Green Diesel (DGD) to produce about 260 million gallons in Q1 at improved margins (they are not formally guiding DGD EBITDA until after final RVO clarity). They warned only a modest pullback versus Q4 due to winter seasonality and lower fat prices, said they will reconsider providing DGD guidance after the RVO ruling, and expect to fund the ~$120M Potense Brazil asset purchase with Q1 cash flows; other pertinent metrics called out on the call included Q4 combined adjusted EBITDA of ~ $336M, FY‑2025 DGD sold ~1.0 billion gallons with DGD entity EBITDA of ~ $1.04B (Darling’s share ~ $104M; Q4 DGD EBITDA ~ $58M or ~$0.41/gal), Darling’s contributions to DGD of ~$328M in 2025 offset by ~$368M of dividends received (including ~$285M of production tax credit sales), year‑end net debt of ~ $3.8B, a preliminary covenant leverage ratio of 2.9x, and ~ $1.3B available on the revolving credit facility.

Darling Ingredients Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Moderate financial profile: revenue growth is positive but modest (TTM +2.49%) while profitability has weakened with declining gross, EBIT, and EBITDA margins. Leverage trends improved via a better debt-to-equity ratio, but ROE declined. Cash generation is solid relative to net income, yet free cash flow is falling (TTM -13.27%), creating a notable constraint.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Darling Ingredients shows moderate revenue growth in the TTM period with a 2.49% increase. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased over time, indicating potential cost pressures. The net profit margin has also declined, reflecting reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has declined in the TTM period, with a negative growth rate of -13.27%, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, indicating reduced cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.14B5.72B6.79B6.53B4.74B
Gross Profit964.95M1.28B1.65B1.53B1.24B
EBITDA922.30M1.01B1.48B1.41B1.20B
Net Income62.80M278.88M647.73M737.69M650.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0010.07B11.06B9.20B6.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.67M75.97M126.50M127.02M68.91M
Total Debt3.94B4.26B4.64B3.58B1.62B
Total Liabilities0.005.61B6.37B5.31B2.79B
Stockholders Equity0.004.38B4.61B3.81B3.28B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00506.81M342.26M420.94M430.02M
Operating Cash Flow0.00839.29M899.26M813.74M704.42M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-498.90M-1.68B-2.42B-490.26M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-399.56M876.29M1.68B-221.36M

Darling Ingredients Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price51.64
Price Trends
50DMA
42.19
Positive
100DMA
37.78
Positive
200DMA
35.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.91
Negative
RSI
86.49
Negative
STOCH
82.96
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 51.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 48.82, above the 50-day MA of 42.19, and above the 200-day MA of 35.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 86.49 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DAR.

Darling Ingredients Risk Analysis

Darling Ingredients disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Darling Ingredients reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Darling Ingredients Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$9.93B9.2127.33%1.81%24.67%
74
Outperform
$7.42B10.3818.05%2.86%-3.83%-2.04%
65
Neutral
$6.66B16.9823.16%3.37%2.35%9.61%
63
Neutral
$8.17B134.24-0.83%-58.55%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$2.15B12.6016.05%-10.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAR
Darling Ingredients
52.68
14.12
36.62%
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
41.81
-3.90
-8.53%
INGR
Ingredion
117.92
-11.15
-8.64%
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings
47.96
-2.38
-4.74%
BRBR
BellRing Brands
18.34
-53.88
-74.61%

Darling Ingredients Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Darling Ingredients Forms Joint Venture with Tessenderlo
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Darling Ingredients Inc. announced a definitive agreement with Tessenderlo Group to form a joint venture, combining their collagen and gelatin business segments into a new company, NewCo Collagen LLC. Darling will hold an 85% stake, while Tessenderlo will hold 15%, with expected annual revenue of $1.5 billion. The venture aims to capitalize on the growing collagen market, leveraging synergies and expanding the Nextida product portfolio. The transaction, pending regulatory approvals, is expected to close in 2026, enhancing growth opportunities and shareholder value for Darling Ingredients.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAR) stock is a Buy with a $45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Darling Ingredients stock, see the DAR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Darling Ingredients Announces Executive VP’s Upcoming Retirement
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Darling Ingredients Inc. announced the upcoming retirement of John F. Sterling, the Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary, effective March 31, 2027. Sterling will continue in his current role until January 4, 2026, after which Nick Kemphaus will take over his responsibilities. Sterling will remain in an advisory role until his retirement, with a salary adjustment and exclusion from incentive programs. Kemphaus, with over 20 years of legal experience, has been with the company since 2012, handling various legal and regulatory matters.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAR) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Darling Ingredients stock, see the DAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026