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China Yuchai International (CYD)
NYSE:CYD
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China Yuchai International (CYD) AI Stock Analysis

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CYD

China Yuchai International

(NYSE:CYD)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(19.52% Upside)
The overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and a stable financial performance, despite concerns over cash flow management and valuation. The company's strategic initiatives and earnings call insights indicate potential for future growth, although challenges in the Chinese market and overbought technical indicators present risks.

China Yuchai International (CYD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

China Yuchai International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChina Yuchai International Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses and passenger vehicles, marine, industrial, and agriculture applications in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through two segments, Yuchai and HLGE. The company provides diesel engines comprising 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high horsepower marine diesel engines, and power generator engines, as well as natural gas engines, diesel power generators, diesel engine parts, and remanufacturing services; and generator sets, as well as plug in hybrid engines, range extenders, power generation powertrains, hybrid powertrains, integrated electric drive axel powertrains, and fuel cell systems. It also engages in the hospitality and property development activities. In addition, the company designs, produces, and sells exhaust emission control systems. It distributes its engines directly to auto original equipment manufacturers, agents, and retailers, as well as provides maintenance and retrofitting services. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyChina Yuchai International makes money primarily through the manufacturing and sale of diesel and natural gas engines. The company's revenue model is based on its extensive product portfolio which includes engines for trucks, buses, passenger vehicles, construction equipment, marine vessels, and power generators. Key revenue streams include direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), aftermarket sales, and strategic partnerships for technology advancement and distribution. Additionally, the company benefits from its significant market presence in China and its focus on expanding into international markets. Factors such as regulatory compliance with emissions standards and collaborations with other industry players further contribute to its earnings by enhancing product appeal and expanding market reach.

China Yuchai International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -0.18%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with strong growth in certain segments like marine and gen set engines and profitability in joint ventures, but challenges in China and flat revenue growth in the second half. The company's strategic initiatives, such as share buybacks and expansion in Thailand, demonstrate confidence in its future prospects.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Truck and Bus Engine Sales
Truck and bus engine sales rose by 17.2% year-on-year for the full year 2024, outperforming the overall truck and bus vehicle market, which saw a 2.6% decline.
Strong Growth in Marine and Gen Set Engine Sales
Marine and gen set engine sales increased by 25.5% year-over-year, driven by high demand from data centers.
Profitability in Joint Ventures
Investment in associated companies and ventures delivered higher profit, growing by 18.2% year-over-year in second half 2024 and by 53.6% year-over-year for full year 2024.
Inauguration of Yuchai Thailand Operations
Yuchai Thailand commenced production operations, expanding the company's manufacturing capabilities.
Share Buyback and Dividend
The company repurchased 3.3 million shares at a total cost of $39.8 million and paid a cash dividend of $0.03 per ordinary share, reflecting confidence in future growth.
Negative Updates
Flat Revenue Growth in Second Half
Revenue in the second half of 2024 was flat compared to the same period last year.
Challenges in the Chinese Market
The operating environment in China was challenging due to declining property investment and other economic factors.
Slight Decline in Operating Profit
Operating profit decreased slightly in FY 2024, with an operating margin of 3.1% compared to 3.4% in FY 2023.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses rose by 25.1% in the second half of 2024, primarily due to higher trade receivables provisions and increased travel, personnel, and selling expenses.
Company Guidance
During the China Yuchai International Limited conference call for the second half and full year of 2024, several key metrics and insights were provided regarding the company's performance and future outlook. The company's truck and bus engine sales increased by 1.6% year-on-year in the second half and by 17.2% for the full year, outperforming the Chinese market, which saw declines of 9.9% and 2.6% respectively. Operating sales rose by 12.6% year-over-year in the second half and by 9.1% for the full year. Revenue for the year increased by 6.6% to RMB 19.1 billion (USD 2.7 billion), while gross profit rose by 14.3% in the second half and 10.8% for the full year, reaching RMB 2.8 billion (USD 392.1 million). The company also experienced a growth in gross margin to 14.7% due to higher revenue and cost reduction initiatives. The share of profits from associates and joint ventures showed significant growth, with a 63.6% year-over-year increase for the full year. Despite challenges in the Chinese market, including a GDP growth of 5%, the company maintained a strong cash position with balances of RMB 6.4 billion (USD 895 million) as of December 31, 2024. The company also highlighted a successful share repurchase plan and continued investment in R&D, accounting for 6.2% of revenue, focusing on emission standard engines and new energy solutions.

China Yuchai International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
China Yuchai International demonstrates a balanced financial performance with a strong balance sheet backed by low leverage and stable equity. The income statement reflects moderate revenue growth and improving profitability, though margins remain relatively thin. Cash flow management is an area of concern, with declining free cash flow growth rates. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with potential for improvement in profitability and cash flow generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a moderate growth trajectory with a revenue increase of 6.03% from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin remains healthy at 14.73%, though slightly lower than the previous year. Net profit margin improved to 1.69% in 2024, indicating better profitability, yet still relatively low. The EBIT margin is consistent at 3.12%, and the EBITDA margin is 6.35%, demonstrating stable operational performance. However, revenue fluctuations in previous years highlight potential volatility risks.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 33.89%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.28, indicating minimal leverage and a healthy balance sheet structure. Return on equity improved to 3.52%, suggesting enhanced efficiency in generating returns on shareholders' investments. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial stability with limited debt exposure.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates challenges in free cash flow growth, with a notable decrease compared to 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.41, implying efficient cash generation relative to net profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio dropped to 0.72, highlighting potential constraints in cash availability for investments and dividends.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.13B18.05B16.03B21.27B20.58B
Gross Profit2.82B2.92B2.52B2.77B3.19B
EBITDA1.22B1.33B1.11B1.14B1.61B
Net Income323.06M285.52M218.58M272.67M548.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.05B25.76B24.14B24.91B26.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.31B6.01B4.80B5.15B6.14B
Total Debt2.57B2.59B2.37B2.22B2.25B
Total Liabilities14.75B13.58B12.30B13.29B14.46B
Stockholders Equity9.16B9.23B9.01B8.86B9.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow234.18M988.20M-550.38M-67.49M830.69M
Operating Cash Flow779.42M1.23B-119.42M504.56M1.42B
Investing Cash Flow113.10M-113.26M-133.05M-738.85M-785.75M
Financing Cash Flow-526.63M-33.74M-140.37M-838.56M-461.83M

China Yuchai International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price22.59
Price Trends
50DMA
21.51
Positive
100DMA
19.05
Positive
200DMA
15.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
47.88
Neutral
STOCH
35.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CYD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.76, above the 50-day MA of 21.51, and above the 200-day MA of 15.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CYD.

China Yuchai International Risk Analysis

China Yuchai International disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. China Yuchai International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

China Yuchai International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$9.53B45.4915.02%8.90%29.18%
71
Outperform
$4.72B56.095.78%0.58%4.99%169.24%
71
Outperform
$11.66B32.2114.59%9.69%54.29%
70
Outperform
$51.41B17.0127.56%1.95%-0.39%47.31%
69
Neutral
$879.80M20.543.51%2.37%4.26%11.69%
62
Neutral
AU$3.02B29.094.95%4.87%2.19%-27.19%
48
Neutral
$587.10M43.62-24.23%100.00%6.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CYD
China Yuchai International
23.45
14.78
170.47%
CMI
Cummins
373.23
82.26
28.27%
NPO
Enpro
224.08
73.95
49.26%
GNRC
Generac Holdings
197.28
55.75
39.39%
SPXC
SPX
203.71
55.86
37.78%
NPWR
NET Power
2.68
-6.08
-69.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025