Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $12.80M
• Dividend Yield: 0.84%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.59K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.18
• Revenue Growth: -12.32%
• EPS Growth: 0.17%
• Country: US
• Employees: 161
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
• EPS (TTM): 0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 966,132
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 3,156
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,589
• PEG Ratio: -0.10
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.76
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.57
• P/FCF Ratio: -19.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.96
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.47
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.66
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -4.54
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $14.50 ▼(-0.21% Downside)

CVR’s score is held back primarily by weak profitability and negative cash flow despite a strong, low-debt balance sheet. Technicals are a clear positive with strong uptrend and momentum, while valuation is mixed because losses drive a negative P/E, partly offset by the dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Debt-Free Balance Sheet

Having no debt provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to focus on operational improvements without the pressure of interest payments.

Diverse Industry Presence

A diverse customer base across multiple industries helps mitigate risk and provides stability, as the company is not overly reliant on a single sector for revenue.

Dividend Yield

A consistent dividend yield can attract income-focused investors and provide a steady return, offering some resilience against market volatility.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

A significant decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining market share and demand, which could impact long-term growth and profitability.

Negative Profit Margins

Negative profit margins highlight cost pressures and inefficiencies, which can erode financial health and limit reinvestment in growth opportunities.

Negative Cash Flow

Consistently negative cash flow suggests the company struggles to fund operations internally, potentially leading to liquidity issues and reliance on external financing.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. operates in the fastener industry in North America. It operates in two segments, Fasteners and Assembly Equipment. The Fastener segment manufactures and sells rivets, cold-formed fasteners and parts, and screw machine products. The Assembly Equipment segment manufactures automatic rivet setting machines and assembly equipment, as well as parts and tools for related machines. The company sells its products to automobile and automotive component manufacturers through independent sales representatives. The company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Naperville, Illinois.

How the Company Makes Money

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co makes money through the sale of its manufactured products, which include rivets, cold-formed parts, and automated assembly equipment. The company generates revenue by supplying these products to a diverse customer base across several industries, including automotive and construction. Key revenue streams include direct sales to manufacturers that use these components in their production lines. Additionally, the company may engage in partnerships or contracts with large-scale manufacturers that require customized fastening solutions, contributing to its earnings. Revenue is also supported by the company's ability to provide specialized machinery and equipment that enhance the efficiency and capability of its clients' manufacturing processes.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is strong with minimal leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.02) and sizable equity, but operating performance is weak with ongoing losses (TTM net margin ~-19.7%) and negative operating profitability. Cash generation is also poor with negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow in TTM, increasing turnaround risk despite the recent revenue rebound.

Income Statement

Profitability is weak and deteriorated versus the earlier cycle: CVR is loss-making in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a deeply negative net margin (~-19.7%) and negative operating profitability (EBIT and EBITDA both negative). While revenue in TTM shows strong growth (~+152% vs the prior period provided), the company has not converted that rebound into earnings, and recent annual periods (2023–2024) also show persistent net losses and thin/volatile gross margin (including negative gross profit in 2023). The key strength is the top-line rebound in TTM; the key weakness is sustained negative margins and multi-year earnings pressure.

Balance Sheet

Balance sheet leverage is very conservative: total debt is minimal in TTM (debt-to-equity ~0.02) and was effectively zero in several annual periods, providing financial flexibility. Equity remains sizable relative to assets, which helps cushion operating losses. The main concern is returns: return on equity is sharply negative in the latest TTM (around -24%) and also negative in recent annual periods, indicating the capital base is not currently generating profits despite the low leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is negative in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and free cash flow is also negative, with free cash flow declining sharply versus the prior period provided. Although free cash flow is numerically higher than net income in TTM (because both are negative), that does not indicate strength—cash is still going out the door. A positive datapoint is that the business has shown it can produce positive operating cash flow in at least one historical year (2020), but the recent trend (2021–TTM) is consistently negative, raising funding and turnaround risk if losses persist.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	26.01M	26.99M	31.51M	33.65M	33.97M	27.59M
Gross Profit	2.17M	1.06M	-599.59K	3.82M	6.47M	4.92M
EBITDA	-2.70M	-3.99M	-4.56M	102.67K	2.68M	1.26M
Net Income	-3.54M	-5.62M	-4.40M	2.87M	1.11M	50.45K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	24.03M	23.37M	27.83M	33.63M	31.77M	31.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.68M	2.17M	3.16M	6.74M	4.78M	7.30M
Total Debt	948.34K	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	4.01M	3.34M	1.86M	2.64M	2.80M	2.53M
Stockholders Equity	20.02M	20.03M	25.97M	30.99M	28.97M	28.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.59M	-804.85K	-3.01M	-2.23M	-1.68M	-200.34K
Operating Cash Flow	-1.40M	-153.45K	-1.93M	-1.26M	-1.01M	623.80K
Investing Cash Flow	1.04M	1.01M	-108.06K	4.12M	1.33M	1.02M
Financing Cash Flow	384.06K	-318.82K	-618.33K	-850.20K	-850.20K	-502.39K

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 14.53
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.79, above the 50-day MA of 12.75, and above the 200-day MA of 11.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVR.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
LECO	77 Outperform	$15.73B	30.63	38.11%	1.22%	3.27%	10.89%
KMT	65 Neutral	$2.92B	26.84	8.70%	2.74%	-2.63%	-4.46%
EML	64 Neutral	$111.78M	21.50	4.98%	2.24%	-8.54%	-68.18%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
SWK	62 Neutral	$13.11B	31.98	4.52%	4.42%	-1.40%	―
HLMN	61 Neutral	$2.12B	55.94	3.11%	―	4.47%	345.07%
CVR	59 Neutral	$12.80M	-3.71	-16.20%	0.84%	-12.32%	0.17%