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Curevac N.V. (CVAC)
:CVAC

CureVac (CVAC) AI Stock Analysis

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CVAC

CureVac

(NASDAQ:CVAC)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(9.49% Upside)
CureVac's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its overall score. The company's robust profitability metrics and low leverage enhance its financial stability. However, technical analysis indicates some short-term bearish momentum, which slightly offsets the positive financial and valuation aspects.
Positive Factors
Strategic Merger
The merger with BioNTech is a strategic move that could enhance CureVac's market positioning and operational capabilities, leveraging complementary technologies in mRNA science.
Patent Litigation Resolution
Resolving patent litigation provides financial gain and operational clarity, allowing CureVac to focus on core business activities and strengthening its industry position.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow generation indicates strong operational efficiency, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting long-term strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth suggests potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which could impact future profitability and market share.
Financial Losses
Reporting financial losses highlights operational difficulties and could strain resources, affecting the company's ability to invest in R&D and growth initiatives.
Decreased Cash Reserves
A reduction in cash reserves may limit CureVac's financial flexibility, potentially impacting its ability to fund ongoing projects and respond to market opportunities.

CureVac (CVAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CureVac Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCureVac N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing various transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). It is developing prophylactic vaccines, such as mRNA-based vaccine candidates CV2CoV, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial against SARS-CoV-2; CV7202, a prophylactic mRNA-based vaccine, which has completed Phase 1 clinical trial for rabies virus glycoprotein; and CVSQIV, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial against influenza, as well as vaccine for lassa fever, yellow fever, respiratiory syncytial virus, rotavirus, malaria, and universal influenza. The company also develops RNA-based cancer immunotherapies, including CV8102, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for treating cutaneous melanoma and adenoidcystic carcinoma, as well as squamous cell cancer of skin, head, and neck. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tübingen, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyCureVac generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its mRNA-based products. Key revenue streams include partnerships and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, government contracts for vaccine development, and potential future sales of its therapeutic products once they receive regulatory approval. Significant partnerships, such as those with global pharmaceutical companies and public health organizations, contribute to funding and resource sharing, enhancing its research and development capabilities. Additionally, CureVac may receive milestone payments and royalties from its collaborators, further bolstering its earnings as it advances its pipeline of mRNA therapeutics and vaccines.

CureVac Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 10, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CureVac has demonstrated strong financial health with a solid cash runway and strategic partnerships, particularly with GSK. Significant progress in oncology and patent validation are positive indicators. However, operational challenges, including a major restructuring and associated costs, pose concerns.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
CureVac closed 2024 with a cash position of EUR482 million, providing a solid expected financial runway into 2028.
Strategic Collaboration with GSK
Licensing agreement with GSK valued up to EUR1.45 billion plus royalties, significant upfront payment of EUR400 million received.
Pipeline Advancements in Oncology
Progress in glioblastoma and squamous non-small cell lung cancer programs with anticipated new data and regulatory milestones.
Patent Office Ruling
European Patent Office upheld the validity of CureVac's split poly-A tail 668 patent in amended forms.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges
Completion of a strategic corporate restructuring involving a headcount reduction of approximately 30%.
Impairment Costs
Impairment of a large-scale production facility, with extraordinary payments amounting to EUR137 million related to past commitments and patent litigation.
Company Guidance
During CureVac's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 financial results and business update call, several key metrics and strategic developments were highlighted. The company ended 2024 with a strong cash position of EUR 482 million, providing a financial runway into 2028. Key achievements included the completion of a strategic restructuring, which involved a 30% reduction in workforce, anticipated to decrease operating expenses by over 30% and reduce personnel costs by EUR 25 million. CureVac's collaboration with GSK, valued at up to EUR 1.45 billion plus royalties, generated a EUR 400 million upfront payment and a EUR 10 million milestone payment in the fourth quarter. In oncology, CureVac's Phase 1 glioblastoma study demonstrated promising results, and the company plans to advance to Phase 2 pending further data in the second half of 2025. In infectious diseases, a licensing agreement with GSK continues to progress, with a combined Phase 1/2 study for a seasonal influenza and COVID combination vaccine underway. The company also emphasized progress in its IP litigation, with the European Patent Office upholding the validity of a critical patent, reinforcing CureVac's leadership in mRNA technology.

CureVac Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CureVac demonstrates a strong financial position with impressive profitability metrics and a solid balance sheet. The company has effectively managed its debt levels and equity, resulting in high returns on equity. While revenue growth has faced challenges, the company has shown resilience in improving its cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CureVac's income statement shows a strong recovery with a TTM gross profit margin of 87.6% and a net profit margin of 34.5%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 39.9% and 43.5%, respectively. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 2.5% in the TTM period, indicating potential challenges in sustaining revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.058, indicating low leverage. The return on equity is strong at 29.6%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 85.1%, showcasing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
CureVac's cash flow statement highlights a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 36.7% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.56, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 indicates that not all net income is translating into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue510.51M535.18M53.76M67.42M102.99M48.90M
Gross Profit484.00M429.35M-70.61M-116.57M-135.21M34.73M
EBITDA238.59M209.69M-234.09M-209.39M-386.49M-123.09M
Net Income193.64M162.19M-260.17M-249.03M-411.72M-129.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets688.88M802.83M788.25M860.47M1.16B1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments395.81M485.37M405.11M500.28M816.11M1.33B
Total Debt36.03M38.97M41.82M42.09M28.89M30.09M
Total Liabilities102.51M106.22M271.31M327.22M469.77M800.01M
Stockholders Equity586.37M696.61M516.94M533.25M688.48M711.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow196.15M83.41M-323.09M-379.40M-861.03M475.05M
Operating Cash Flow204.08M101.85M-267.89M-286.18M-733.13M522.40M
Investing Cash Flow-7.93M-18.44M-55.20M-93.50M-127.90M-45.27M
Financing Cash Flow-5.39M-5.11M230.89M63.17M344.96M819.83M

CureVac Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.48
Price Trends
50DMA
5.19
Negative
100DMA
5.30
Negative
200DMA
4.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
23.02
Positive
STOCH
8.28
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVAC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.01, above the 50-day MA of 5.19, and above the 200-day MA of 4.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.02 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.28 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CVAC.

CureVac Risk Analysis

CureVac disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CureVac reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
If we cannot maintain our corporate culture, we could lose the innovation, teamwork and passion that we believe contribute to our success. Q4, 2023
2.
If we are not successful in discovering, developing and commercializing additional products, our ability to expand our business and achieve our strategic objectives would be impaired. Q4, 2023
3.
The increasing use of social media platforms presents risks and challenges. Q4, 2023

CureVac Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$936.76M5.7917.68%-86.40%30.72%
70
Outperform
$1.83B48.4315.02%1128.17%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.08B-6.25-16.81%7.16%3.95%
48
Neutral
$1.81B-5.74-129.32%597.19%0.45%
46
Neutral
$563.22M-8.54-28.78%70.19%
36
Underperform
$1.00B-9.14-25.43%3.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVAC
CureVac
4.16
1.20
40.54%
SNDX
Syndax Pharmaceuticals
20.77
7.46
56.05%
STOK
Stoke Therapeutics
31.96
20.35
175.28%
ELVN
Enliven Therapeutics
16.87
-6.56
-28.00%
ABCL
AbCellera Biologics
3.60
0.68
23.29%
LENZ
LENZ Therapeutics
18.00
-13.30
-42.49%

CureVac Corporate Events

CureVac Shareholders Approve BioNTech Exchange Offer
Nov 26, 2025

On November 25, 2025, CureVac N.V. announced the results of its Extraordinary General Meeting, where shareholders overwhelmingly approved BioNTech SE’s public exchange offer for all outstanding shares in CureVac, with over 99.16% of votes in favor. The approval includes a legal merger and the appointment of new directors, marking a significant step in CureVac’s strategic alignment with BioNTech, potentially impacting its market positioning and operational dynamics.

CureVac Reports Q3 2025 Financials and BioNTech Transaction Progress
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, CureVac N.V. announced its financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2025. The company reported significant progress in its planned transaction with BioNTech, including obtaining clearance from the German Federal Cartel Office and the commencement of BioNTech’s public exchange offer for CureVac shares. CureVac’s financial performance showed a decrease in revenues compared to the previous year due to the absence of a one-time revenue from a prior agreement with GlaxoSmithKline. However, the company maintained a strong cash position and reaffirmed its cash runway into 2028. The announcement also highlighted ongoing developments in oncology, including the receipt of Clinical Trial Application clearance for a lung cancer therapy and progress in glioblastoma studies.

CureVac Announces Extraordinary Meeting for Merger with BioNTech
Oct 27, 2025

On October 24, 2025, CureVac N.V. announced an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders scheduled for November 25, 2025, to discuss a merger proposal with BioNTech SE. The agenda includes a legal merger where CureVac will merge into CureVac Merger B.V., with BioNTech acquiring ordinary shares in exchange for American Depositary Shares. This merger is part of a strategic reorganization aimed at enhancing CureVac’s market positioning and operational capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025