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CureVac (CVAC)
NASDAQ:CVAC

CureVac (CVAC) AI Stock Analysis

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CureVac

(NASDAQ:CVAC)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(5.39%Upside)
CureVac's stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's strategic collaborations and pipeline advancements add value, though operational restructuring and past financial volatility pose risks. The stock's undervaluation enhances its attractiveness in the biotechnology sector.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company has €438.3 million in cash and equivalents, expected to fund operations into 2028, providing a strong financial foundation.
Intellectual Property
CureVac obtained a positive ruling from the European Patent Office that upheld the validity of a European patent.
Negative Factors
Clinical Trials
Nine severe treatment-related adverse events, including four serious adverse events, will be something to watch in the readouts for CVGBM.
Legal Challenges
Infringement hearings against major companies BNTX and PFE are commencing, indicating ongoing legal challenges.

CureVac (CVAC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CureVac Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCureVac N.V., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing various transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). It is developing prophylactic vaccines, such as mRNA-based vaccine candidates CV2CoV, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial against SARS-CoV-2; CV7202, a prophylactic mRNA-based vaccine, which has completed Phase 1 clinical trial for rabies virus glycoprotein; and CVSQIV, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial against influenza, as well as vaccine for lassa fever, yellow fever, respiratiory syncytial virus, rotavirus, malaria, and universal influenza. The company also develops RNA-based cancer immunotherapies, including CV8102, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for treating cutaneous melanoma and adenoidcystic carcinoma, as well as squamous cell cancer of skin, head, and neck. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tübingen, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyCureVac makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its mRNA-based therapeutics and vaccines. The company's revenue streams include partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, where they co-develop products and share in the revenue generated from successful products. Additionally, CureVac earns income from licensing agreements, providing access to its proprietary mRNA technology to partners in exchange for upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. Significant partnerships with industry leaders and investments in research and development also contribute to CureVac's revenue model, as the company leverages these collaborations to advance its pipeline and bring new products to market.

CureVac Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
CureVac has demonstrated strong financial health with a solid cash runway and strategic partnerships, particularly with GSK. Significant progress in oncology and patent validation are positive indicators. However, operational challenges, including a major restructuring and associated costs, pose concerns.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
CureVac closed 2024 with a cash position of EUR482 million, providing a solid expected financial runway into 2028.
Strategic Collaboration with GSK
Licensing agreement with GSK valued up to EUR1.45 billion plus royalties, significant upfront payment of EUR400 million received.
Pipeline Advancements in Oncology
Progress in glioblastoma and squamous non-small cell lung cancer programs with anticipated new data and regulatory milestones.
Patent Office Ruling
European Patent Office upheld the validity of CureVac's split poly-A tail 668 patent in amended forms.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges
Completion of a strategic corporate restructuring involving a headcount reduction of approximately 30%.
Impairment Costs
Impairment of a large-scale production facility, with extraordinary payments amounting to EUR137 million related to past commitments and patent litigation.
Company Guidance
During CureVac's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 financial results and business update call, several key metrics and strategic developments were highlighted. The company ended 2024 with a strong cash position of EUR 482 million, providing a financial runway into 2028. Key achievements included the completion of a strategic restructuring, which involved a 30% reduction in workforce, anticipated to decrease operating expenses by over 30% and reduce personnel costs by EUR 25 million. CureVac's collaboration with GSK, valued at up to EUR 1.45 billion plus royalties, generated a EUR 400 million upfront payment and a EUR 10 million milestone payment in the fourth quarter. In oncology, CureVac's Phase 1 glioblastoma study demonstrated promising results, and the company plans to advance to Phase 2 pending further data in the second half of 2025. In infectious diseases, a licensing agreement with GSK continues to progress, with a combined Phase 1/2 study for a seasonal influenza and COVID combination vaccine underway. The company also emphasized progress in its IP litigation, with the European Patent Office upholding the validity of a critical patent, reinforcing CureVac's leadership in mRNA technology.

CureVac Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CureVac shows a remarkable turnaround in profitability with a net profit margin of 30.29% in 2024 and substantial revenue growth of 896.06%. The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio and high equity ratio, while cash flows have improved significantly. However, past volatility in revenue and profitability remains a risk.
Income Statement
65
Positive
CureVac shows a remarkable turnaround in profitability with a net profit margin of 30.29% in 2024, compared to previous losses. The gross profit margin has also improved significantly. Revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is substantial at 896.06%, indicating strong top-line growth. However, past volatility in revenue and profitability could pose a risk.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of CureVac demonstrates a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 and a high equity ratio of 86.79% in 2024, indicating financial stability and low leverage. Return on equity is 23.29% in 2024, showcasing efficient use of equity. However, past fluctuations in stockholders' equity and liabilities suggest potential volatility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
CureVac has shown significant improvement in free cash flow, growing from a loss in 2023 to a positive 83.41 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.63 indicates decent cash generation efficiency. However, historical cash flow volatility and negative cash flows in prior years highlight potential risks.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
535.18M53.76M67.42M102.99M48.90M
Gross Profit
429.35M-70.61M-116.57M-135.21M34.73M
EBIT
177.68M-274.21M-249.46M-412.26M-124.00M
EBITDA
209.69M-234.09M-209.39M-386.49M-123.09M
Net Income Common Stockholders
162.19M-260.17M-249.03M-411.72M-129.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
485.37M405.11M500.28M816.11M1.33B
Total Assets
802.83M788.25M860.47M1.16B1.51B
Total Debt
38.97M41.82M42.09M28.89M30.09M
Net Debt
-442.78M-360.63M-453.71M-782.57M-1.29B
Total Liabilities
106.22M271.31M327.22M469.77M800.01M
Stockholders Equity
696.61M516.94M533.25M688.48M711.35M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
83.41M-323.09M-379.40M-861.03M475.05M
Operating Cash Flow
101.85M-267.89M-286.18M-733.13M522.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-18.44M-55.20M-93.50M-127.90M-45.27M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.11M230.89M63.17M344.96M819.83M

CureVac Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.27
Price Trends
50DMA
3.61
Positive
100DMA
3.48
Positive
200DMA
3.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Positive
RSI
49.86
Neutral
STOCH
13.26
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.21, above the 50-day MA of 3.61, and above the 200-day MA of 3.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.26 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVAC.

CureVac Risk Analysis

CureVac disclosed 97 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CureVac reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
If we cannot maintain our corporate culture, we could lose the innovation, teamwork and passion that we believe contribute to our success. Q4, 2023
2.
If we are not successful in discovering, developing and commercializing additional products, our ability to expand our business and achieve our strategic objectives would be impaired. Q4, 2023
3.
The increasing use of social media platforms presents risks and challenges. Q4, 2023

CureVac Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$961.42M4.4834.46%799.36%
56
Neutral
$901.42M-15.59%-35.41%-12.26%
54
Neutral
$933.92M-63.56%270.02%32.69%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.35-45.10%2.79%16.77%-0.01%
52
Neutral
$693.20M-33.48%-25.88%-29.16%
52
Neutral
$975.05M-64.16%-30.25%-5.92%
VIVIR
50
Neutral
$753.40M-44.59%-73.79%-5.24%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVAC
CureVac
4.07
-0.08
-1.93%
XNCR
Xencor
9.74
-12.28
-55.77%
VIR
Vir Biotechnology
5.25
-5.23
-49.90%
NRIX
Nurix Therapeutics
12.63
-3.87
-23.45%
PRAX
Praxis Precision Medicines
44.60
3.51
8.54%
ABCL
AbCellera Biologics
3.23
-0.19
-5.56%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.