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CSG Systems International (CSGS) AI Stock Analysis

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CSGS

CSG Systems International

(NASDAQ:CSGS)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$74.00
▲(13.53% Upside)
CSG Systems International's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call outcomes, highlighting record revenue and improved profitability. The expansion of the Charter Communications contract further boosts confidence in future growth. However, financial performance is tempered by high debt levels and variable free cash flow, and the valuation is fair but not particularly compelling.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The quarter's results were strong across the board, similar to last quarter's results, though there seems to be no quarterly change in the operating environment.
Profitability
Cost and gross margin improvements helped drive adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 250 basis points year-over-year to 25.1%.
Strategic Partnerships
CSG is gaining importance as a strategic partner for high profile technology companies, as manifested by its expanded collaboration with AWS to accelerate cloud transformation in telecommunications & financial services.
Negative Factors
Market Conditions
There seems to be no quarterly change in the operating environment, which might limit growth potential.
Revenue Growth
Organic revenue growth guidance was lowered to the range +2-3% y/y, from +2-4% y/y previously.

CSG Systems International (CSGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CSG Systems International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCSG Systems International (CSGS) is a global leader in revenue management and customer experience solutions, primarily serving the telecommunications, cable, and media sectors. The company provides a comprehensive suite of services that includes billing and revenue management, customer relationship management (CRM), and digital engagement solutions, enabling clients to enhance customer experiences, streamline operations, and maximize revenue growth.
How the Company Makes MoneyCSG Systems International generates revenue through a combination of software licenses, subscription services, and professional services. The company’s primary revenue streams include licensing fees for its software solutions, ongoing subscription fees for cloud-based services, and consulting and implementation services that support customers in deploying and optimizing their systems. Additionally, CSG maintains strategic partnerships with major telecommunications and media companies, which enhance its market reach and drive sales through bundled service offerings. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with clients, providing a stable and predictable revenue base.

CSG Systems International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including record revenue, improved profitability, and substantial free cash flow. However, revenue growth is expected to be at the lower end of the guidance range, and a contract termination adds a minor downside note. Overall, the call reflects a positive sentiment with significant achievements and manageable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Revenue
CSG reported a record high $597 million in revenue in the first half of 2025, representing the highest revenue in the first half of the year in CSG's history, up from $585 million in 2024.
Improved Profitability
The company achieved a 19.5% non-GAAP operating margin in the first half of 2025, with a 250-basis-point improvement compared to 17% in the same prior year period.
Strong Non-GAAP Adjusted Free Cash Flow
CSG generated $47 million of non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow in the first half of 2025, a significant improvement over the $5 million from the same period last year.
Successful New Deals
The company signed new deals with Orange Business and Liberty Communications of Puerto Rico, and expanded its relationship with a large mutual life insurance and financial services company in the U.S.
Shareholder Returns
CSG is on track to meet a commitment to return more than $100 million to shareholders in 2025, with $59 million returned in the first half.
Negative Updates
Lower Revenue Growth Guidance
CSG expects revenue growth to come in at the lower end of its guidance range, between 2% and 3%, due to headwinds in the North American broadband market and elongated sales cycles.
Contract Termination
A contract with a Latin American telecommunications customer, Digicel, was terminated, which accounted for $1.4 million of first half 2025 revenue.
Company Guidance
During CSG's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company revealed a 19.5% non-GAAP operating margin in the first half of 2025, marking a 250-basis-point improvement from the previous year. The company reported $597 million in revenue for the first half of 2025, up from $585 million in 2024, and highlighted a significant boost in non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow, generating $47 million, a substantial increase from $5 million in the same period last year. CSG's revenue diversification efforts have led to 32% of total revenue coming from industries outside of cable and telecom, with a target to exceed 35% by the end of 2026. The company also reported a reduction in revenue concentration, with Charter and Comcast now representing 36% of total CSG revenue, down from 49% in 2017. Additionally, CSG raised its full-year profitability targets for 2025 and increased the midpoint of its non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow expectations. The company remains committed to 2% to 6% organic revenue growth and aims for 18% to 20% non-GAAP adjusted operating margin in the long term.

CSG Systems International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CSG Systems International exhibits solid financial health with stable revenue growth, strong profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The company has a moderate level of leverage but demonstrates commendable cash generation and return on equity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CSG Systems International shows a steady growth in revenue, with a Revenue Growth Rate of 0.36% for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period. The Gross Profit Margin remains strong at 48.7%, and the Net Profit Margin is a healthy 6.95%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 11.41% and 17.23% respectively, indicating solid operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in Net Income from the previous period suggests potential areas for improvement.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a manageable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.00, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) for the TTM period is 29.50%, reflecting effective use of equity. However, the Equity Ratio stands at 19.95%, suggesting lower equity financing relative to total assets, which could imply higher financial risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
CSG Systems International displays strong cash flow management with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.11, indicating robust cash generation relative to net earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.85, highlighting the company's ability to convert earnings into free cash flow efficiently. Furthermore, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 36.36% suggests a positive cash flow trajectory.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.21B1.20B1.17B1.09B1.05B990.53M
Gross Profit600.05M582.78M554.22M524.58M503.28M454.94M
EBITDA216.92M215.25M194.78M149.04M189.55M170.71M
Net Income81.95M86.85M66.25M44.06M72.33M58.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.50B1.44B1.35B1.39B1.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments145.88M161.79M186.26M150.44M233.67M240.30M
Total Debt564.94M574.58M592.80M487.19M468.06M469.79M
Total Liabilities1.13B1.22B1.17B993.30M946.90M909.61M
Stockholders Equity290.72M282.57M273.33M355.25M436.61M422.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.01M113.30M103.92M26.61M113.66M143.62M
Operating Cash Flow170.76M135.72M131.90M63.60M140.22M173.02M
Investing Cash Flow-20.35M-5.13M-27.91M-9.04M-66.71M-66.26M
Financing Cash Flow-94.21M-79.92M-31.30M-51.69M-33.39M-76.97M

CSG Systems International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.18
Price Trends
50DMA
63.25
Positive
100DMA
62.98
Positive
200DMA
60.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Negative
RSI
60.54
Neutral
STOCH
77.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.37, above the 50-day MA of 63.25, and above the 200-day MA of 60.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSGS.

CSG Systems International Risk Analysis

CSG Systems International disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CSG Systems International reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CSG Systems International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$5.87B21.7922.19%-1.62%36.57%
76
Outperform
$1.88B22.5929.06%1.90%3.31%31.16%
76
Outperform
$1.27B25.7724.39%1.38%11.04%18.70%
74
Outperform
$5.19B21.6819.09%11.22%40.85%
74
Outperform
$9.56B17.3815.75%2.34%-6.76%13.90%
67
Neutral
$4.19B50.7410.03%20.51%12.84%
61
Neutral
$35.56B8.99-10.49%1.86%8.45%-8.32%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSGS
CSG Systems International
65.31
20.61
46.11%
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
51.23
4.17
8.86%
DOX
Amdocs
85.75
1.84
2.19%
SPSC
SPS Commerce
110.48
-75.40
-40.56%
WEX
WEX
172.64
-20.50
-10.61%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.43
4.60
35.85%

CSG Systems International Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
CSG Systems Expands Contract with Charter Communications
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, CSG Systems International announced an extension and expansion of its contract with Charter Communications, extending their partnership through September 30, 2031. This agreement allows CSG to continue providing revenue management and monetization services to Charter, leveraging their cloud-native SaaS platform, CSG Ascendon, to enhance Charter’s digital entertainment offerings. The extension of this relationship is expected to create significant value for both companies, as CSG continues to support Charter’s residential Internet, TV, and home phone services.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025