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Csg Systems International (CSGS)
NASDAQ:CSGS

CSG Systems International (CSGS) AI Stock Analysis

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CSGS

CSG Systems International

(NASDAQ:CSGS)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(9.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
Overall score reflects strong financial momentum and steady cash generation as the main positives, supported by constructive technicals. The key constraints are elevated leverage and a relatively high P/E with only a modest dividend yield, while the NEC acquisition progress adds a meaningful positive corporate catalyst.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription revenue & strong top-line growth
CSG’s subscription-heavy software and services model combined with TTM revenue growth near 52.9% indicates durable, contract-driven revenue expansion. Recurring licenses, maintenance and managed services support predictable cash flows and scalable margins as telecom/media customers digitize over the coming months.
Healthy cash generation and FCF conversion
Consistent operating cash flow (~$156M TTM) and free cash flow (~$145M) with FCF close to net income demonstrate earnings quality and strong cash conversion. This provides durable capacity to fund operations, shareholder returns, M&A integration, and deleveraging over the next several quarters.
Strategic acquisition progress and governance change
Shareholder approval and regulatory progress toward NEC’s acquisition create a structural change: CSG should gain access to NEC’s global scale, R&D and distribution. Over months this can strengthen competitive positioning, expand enterprise sales channels and fund product roadmap acceleration under new ownership.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 2.0 constrains financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. Elevated leverage limits room for opportunistic investment or sustained dividend increases and requires sustained cash generation or deleveraging to materially reduce balance-sheet risk.
Modest margin compression
Though profitable, CSG has experienced modest declines in EBITDA and net margins versus 2024, signaling cost pressure or mix shifts. Sustained margin erosion would reduce cash available for reinvestment and debt paydown and could pressure returns if revenue growth slows or integration costs rise.
Slowing free cash flow growth
A ~10.7% drop in FCF growth suggests working-capital or reinvestment headwinds that can persist across quarters. Slower FCF expansion constrains the company’s ability to accelerate deleveraging, sustain dividend increases, or fund growth initiatives without relying on external financing.

CSG Systems International (CSGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CSG Systems International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCSG Systems International, Inc. provides revenue management and digital monetization, customer engagement, and payment solutions primarily to the communications industry in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers Advanced Convergent Platform, a private SaaS based platform; related solutions, including field force automation, analytics, electronic bill presentment, ACH, etc. to the North American cable and satellite markets. The company also provides managed services; and professional services to implement, configure, and maintain its solutions, as well as licenses various solutions, such as mediation, partner management, rating, and charging. It serves retail, financial services, healthcare, insurance, and government entities. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCSG Systems International generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model for its software solutions, which includes billing and revenue management systems. Key revenue streams include software licenses, maintenance, and support services, as well as professional services that encompass consulting and implementation. Additionally, the company earns revenue through managed services and hosting solutions. CSG also benefits from strategic partnerships with telecommunications companies and technology providers, which help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The growing demand for digital transformation in the telecommunications and media sectors further contributes to CSG's earnings by driving the need for advanced billing and customer management solutions.

CSG Systems International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Type
Revenue by Type
Highlights the different sources of revenue, such as software, services, or support, providing insight into the company's business model and areas of growth or dependency.
Chart InsightsCSG Systems International's SaaS and Related Solutions revenue shows consistent growth, peaking in late 2024, while Software and Services and Maintenance revenues are more volatile. The latest earnings call highlights record revenue and improved profitability, yet revenue growth is expected to be at the lower end of guidance due to North American market challenges. The company is diversifying revenue sources, reducing dependency on cable and telecom, and aims for higher profitability margins, signaling strategic resilience despite a recent contract termination.
Data provided by:The Fly

CSG Systems International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including record revenue, improved profitability, and substantial free cash flow. However, revenue growth is expected to be at the lower end of the guidance range, and a contract termination adds a minor downside note. Overall, the call reflects a positive sentiment with significant achievements and manageable challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Revenue
CSG reported a record high $597 million in revenue in the first half of 2025, representing the highest revenue in the first half of the year in CSG's history, up from $585 million in 2024.
Improved Profitability
The company achieved a 19.5% non-GAAP operating margin in the first half of 2025, with a 250-basis-point improvement compared to 17% in the same prior year period.
Strong Non-GAAP Adjusted Free Cash Flow
CSG generated $47 million of non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow in the first half of 2025, a significant improvement over the $5 million from the same period last year.
Successful New Deals
The company signed new deals with Orange Business and Liberty Communications of Puerto Rico, and expanded its relationship with a large mutual life insurance and financial services company in the U.S.
Shareholder Returns
CSG is on track to meet a commitment to return more than $100 million to shareholders in 2025, with $59 million returned in the first half.
Negative Updates
Lower Revenue Growth Guidance
CSG expects revenue growth to come in at the lower end of its guidance range, between 2% and 3%, due to headwinds in the North American broadband market and elongated sales cycles.
Contract Termination
A contract with a Latin American telecommunications customer, Digicel, was terminated, which accounted for $1.4 million of first half 2025 revenue.
Company Guidance
During CSG's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company revealed a 19.5% non-GAAP operating margin in the first half of 2025, marking a 250-basis-point improvement from the previous year. The company reported $597 million in revenue for the first half of 2025, up from $585 million in 2024, and highlighted a significant boost in non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow, generating $47 million, a substantial increase from $5 million in the same period last year. CSG's revenue diversification efforts have led to 32% of total revenue coming from industries outside of cable and telecom, with a target to exceed 35% by the end of 2026. The company also reported a reduction in revenue concentration, with Charter and Comcast now representing 36% of total CSG revenue, down from 49% in 2017. Additionally, CSG raised its full-year profitability targets for 2025 and increased the midpoint of its non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow expectations. The company remains committed to 2% to 6% organic revenue growth and aims for 18% to 20% non-GAAP adjusted operating margin in the long term.

CSG Systems International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: TTM revenue growth is strong (~52.9%) with positive profitability (gross margin ~49%, EBITDA margin ~17.3%, net margin ~6.8%) and healthy free cash flow (~$145M). Key offsets are modest margin easing and elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.0), though the apparent TTM debt reduction is a positive risk-trend if sustained.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show strong top-line momentum (revenue growth ~52.9%) with solid profitability: gross margin ~49%, EBITDA margin ~17.3%, and net margin ~6.8%. Profit levels are stable versus 2024 (net income roughly flat), but margins have eased modestly from 2024 (net and EBITDA margins down), indicating some cost pressure despite the growth.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage remains a key watch item with debt-to-equity around ~2.0 in both 2024 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), which is elevated for balance-sheet flexibility. Positively, returns on equity are strong (~29% TTM), and reported total debt appears to drop sharply in TTM versus 2024, suggesting meaningful de-levering (or a reporting mix shift) that improves risk profile if sustained.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is healthy in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with operating cash flow of ~$156M and free cash flow of ~$145M, and free cash flow runs close to net income (~0.90x), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is a decline in free cash flow growth (down ~10.7% TTM) after prior-year improvement, suggesting working-capital or reinvestment headwinds.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.22B1.20B1.17B1.09B1.05B
Gross Profit581.61M582.78M554.22M524.58M503.28M
EBITDA191.24M215.25M194.78M154.16M191.34M
Net Income55.88M86.85M66.25M44.06M72.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.54B1.50B1.44B1.35B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments180.01M161.79M186.26M150.44M233.67M
Total Debt586.59M574.58M592.80M487.19M468.06M
Total Liabilities1.26B1.22B1.17B993.30M946.90M
Stockholders Equity283.70M282.57M273.33M355.25M436.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow141.39M113.30M103.92M26.61M113.66M
Operating Cash Flow155.94M135.72M131.90M63.60M140.22M
Investing Cash Flow-14.14M-5.13M-27.91M-9.04M-66.71M
Financing Cash Flow-121.44M-79.92M-31.30M-51.69M-33.39M

CSG Systems International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price79.73
Price Trends
50DMA
78.77
Positive
100DMA
75.80
Positive
200DMA
69.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
56.78
Neutral
STOCH
44.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSGS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 79.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.72, above the 50-day MA of 78.77, and above the 200-day MA of 69.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSGS.

CSG Systems International Risk Analysis

CSG Systems International disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CSG Systems International reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CSG Systems International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.63B24.897.16%10.13%1280.04%
71
Outperform
$2.07B22.516.07%9.60%
70
Outperform
$2.28B40.3128.84%1.66%3.30%31.18%
70
Outperform
$1.36B33.3219.01%1.33%10.27%3.52%
69
Neutral
$970.54M50.786.09%10.40%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSGS
CSG Systems International
79.73
15.43
24.00%
RAMP
LiveRamp Holdings
26.34
-3.57
-11.94%
NTCT
Netscout Systems
29.34
6.35
27.62%
RDWR
Radware
22.99
-0.20
-0.86%
ATEN
A10 Networks
19.28
-0.64
-3.23%

CSG Systems International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
CSG Shareholders Approve Merger to Become NEC Subsidiary
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, CSG Systems International, Inc. held a special meeting of stockholders at which a quorum of 23,588,332 shares of common stock was present or represented by proxy, out of 28,520,509 shares outstanding as of the December 10, 2025 record date. Stockholders overwhelmingly approved the Agreement and Plan of Merger with Japan’s NEC Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary, Canvas Transaction Company, Inc., under which Canvas will merge with and into CSG, and CSG will survive as a wholly owned subsidiary of NEC, while also giving non-binding advisory approval to the merger-related compensation for CSG’s named executive officers. The adjournment proposal was not needed because the merger agreement received sufficient support, and, assuming all remaining customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals are satisfied on time, the companies expect to close the transaction within the 2026 calendar year, marking a significant step toward CSG’s transition into NEC’s corporate structure and potentially altering its future strategic direction and governance for existing stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSGS) stock is a Buy with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CSG Systems International stock, see the CSGS Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CSG Systems Advances Toward Acquisition by NEC Corporation
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On October 29, 2025, CSG Systems International, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Japan’s NEC Corporation under which a wholly owned NEC subsidiary, Canvas Transaction Company, Inc., will merge with CSG, leaving CSG as the surviving entity and a wholly owned subsidiary of NEC. The transaction cleared a key regulatory hurdle when the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act expired at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on January 5, 2026, though the closing still depends on additional regulatory approvals, majority shareholder approval of the merger agreement, and other customary conditions, marking continued progress toward CSG’s planned acquisition and integration into NEC’s global operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSGS) stock is a Hold with a $80.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CSG Systems International stock, see the CSGS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026