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CorVel Corporation (CRVL)
NASDAQ:CRVL
US Market

CorVel (CRVL) AI Stock Analysis

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CRVL

CorVel

(NASDAQ:CRVL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$58.00
▼(-19.44% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/12/26
Overall score reflects strong financial quality (growth, improving margins, low leverage, high ROE) and a constructive earnings-call outlook centered on AI/technology efficiency gains and disciplined capital return. These positives are tempered by very weak technicals (deep downtrend across moving averages with negative momentum) and only moderate valuation support based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Margin Expansion
Sustained multi-year revenue growth with rising net margins indicates enduring demand for CorVel's managed-care services and improving operating leverage. This foundation supports reinvestment in technology, resilience to cyclical swings, and a structurally stronger profit base over the next 2–6 months.
Conservative Balance Sheet & High ROE
Very low leverage and historically high returns on equity provide strategic flexibility to fund acquisitions, technology spend, and buybacks without risking solvency. This durable capital structure helps absorb industry shocks and supports long-term value creation even as the equity base grows.
Technology, AI & Acquisition Momentum
Focused investment in AI, software and an accretive tech acquisition provides structural productivity gains and differentiated capabilities in claims and payment integrity. If sustained, these investments can lower unit costs, scale services and protect margins amid competitive pricing pressure.
Negative Factors
Cash Conversion Weakness
Cash generation in dollar terms is improving, but persistent below‑earnings cash conversion signals working-capital or timing volatility. Over months this can constrain discretionary investments or buybacks if earnings swing, reducing financial predictability and optionality.
Medical Inflation & Severity Headwinds
Structural medical cost inflation and growing claim severity increase client payor costs and pressure margins for service providers. These industry dynamics can force pricing adjustments or compress profitability absent commensurate efficiency gains or stronger negotiating leverage.
Revenue Volatility / Recent Deceleration
Intermittent decelerations and past revenue variability reduce visibility on sustainable growth rates. For a business investing heavily in scalable tech, uneven top‑line momentum complicates ROI timelines and could delay expected margin expansion from recent initiatives.

CorVel (CRVL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CorVel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCorVel Corporation provides workers' compensation, auto, liability, and health solutions for employers, third party administrators, insurance companies, and government agencies to assist them in managing the medical costs and monitoring the quality of care associated with healthcare claims. It applies technology, including artificial intelligence, machine learning, and natural language processing to enhance the managing of episodes of care and the related health care costs. The company offers network solutions services, including automated medical fee auditing, preferred provider management and reimbursement services, retrospective utilization review, facility claim review, professional review, pharmacy services, directed care services, Medicare solutions, clearinghouse services, independent medical examinations, and inpatient medical bill review. It also provides a range of patient management services, such as claims management, case management, 24/7 nurse triage, utilization management, vocational rehabilitation, and life care planning, as well as processing of claims for self-insured payors with respect to property and casualty insurance. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCorVel generates revenue primarily through its claims management services, which involve processing and managing workers' compensation claims for insurance companies and employers. The company charges fees for its services, including bill review, utilization management, and case management. Key revenue streams also include its network solutions, where CorVel partners with healthcare providers to offer cost-effective treatment options for injured workers, earning revenue through referral fees and negotiated rates. Additionally, CorVel benefits from long-term contracts with insurance companies, which provide a stable source of income. The company's focus on technology-driven solutions enhances its value proposition, allowing it to capture a larger market share and drive growth in its revenue streams.

CorVel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive operational and financial picture: solid year-to-date revenue (+7%) and EPS growth (+16%), improved cash generation, meaningful share repurchases, progress on a technology acquisition, and accelerating AI-driven efficiency gains. Offsetting this were modest quarter results relative to expectations, a normalized (higher) effective tax rate that dampened near-term EPS, small margin expansion, and industry headwinds from rising claim severity and medical inflation. On balance, the highlights (growth, cash strength, strategic investments, AI traction, and a debt-free balance sheet) outweigh the lowlights, which are largely manageable short-term factors and industry trends.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Fiscal YTD Revenue Growth
Revenue for the nine months ending 12/31/2025 was $710 million, a 7% increase from $664 million for the same period in the prior fiscal year.
Strong Fiscal YTD Earnings Per Share
Fiscal year-to-date earnings per share were $1.53, up 16% from $1.32 in the prior-year nine-month period.
Quarterly Revenue and EPS Expansion
December quarter revenue was $236 million, a 3% increase vs. $228 million a year earlier; quarterly EPS was $0.47, up 2% from $0.46 (adjusted for December 2024 3-for-1 stock split).
Net Revenue Retention and New Business
Net revenue retention was 100% and the company achieved a 44% close rate on new business opportunities, with reported incremental growth from existing partners.
Cash Generation and Liquidity Position
Quarter-ending cash balance was $230 million and fiscal year-to-date free cash flow was $90 million; days sales outstanding improved to 39 days (3 days better YoY).
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased 185,559 shares for $13.4 million in the quarter; cumulatively repurchased 114.9 million shares for $868 million (representing ~69% of shares outstanding at an average price of $7.55).
Investment in Technology and CapEx for Growth
CapEx increased to $36 million YTD (from $24–27 million prior year) reflecting higher spending on proprietary software development and licenses to support scaling and product roadmap.
Acquisition and CERES Momentum
Closed a technology-centric acquisition in June; integration is ahead of plan and yielding meaningful efficiency gains in health payment integrity (CERES), driving increased market interest from large players.
AI and Automation Adoption
Expanded AI initiatives across claim prioritization, adjuster decision support, case management automation, and accelerated software development—expected to reduce service delivery costs, improve outcomes, and support margin expansion.
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
Company reiterated a strong, debt-free balance sheet positioning CorVel for strategic product expansion, technological advancement, and future acquisitions.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Results Modest vs. Expectations
Management described December-quarter results as modest relative to expectations and noted a deceleration in quarter-over-quarter revenue growth that ended a long track record of QoQ increases.
Effective Tax Rate Normalization
Normalization (increase) of the effective tax rate after an extended period of lower-than-average levels tempered earnings results for the quarter.
Only Small Margin Improvement and G&A Change
Allocation of general and administrative expenses decreased marginally from 9.7% to 9.6%, and margin improved slightly from 23.2% to 23.3%, indicating limited near-term operating leverage.
Industry Headwinds: Rising Severity and Medical Inflation
Market trends include lower claim volumes but increasing injury severity and higher medical cost per claim (reported multi-year increases), with medical inflation noted in the range of 5%–12% in some states—creating upward pressure on payor costs and complexity for service delivery.
Potential Long-Term Pricing Pressure
Management acknowledged likely pricing pressure over time as technology adoption grows across the market, though they expect cost efficiencies to offset fee adjustments.
Limited Segment Disclosure and Analyst Concerns
Company reports as a single segment (patient management and network solutions combined) limiting product-level transparency; analysts raised questions about the deceleration in revenue growth that management attributed to normal variability.
Company Guidance
Management guided that technology—particularly AI—and a June technology acquisition will drive meaningful cost efficiencies, margin expansion, and scalable growth in 2026, with productivity gains and realized ROI expected to more than offset pricing pressure; supporting metrics cited on the call include nine‑month revenue of $710M (up 7% y/y), fiscal YTD EPS $1.53 (up 16%), December-quarter revenue $236M (up 3%) and quarter EPS $0.47 (up 2%), net revenue retention of 100% and a 44% close rate on new business. They also pointed to operational improvements (G&A allocation down to 9.6% from 9.7%, margin tick from 23.2% to 23.3%, operating income $24.1M vs $23.8M), working capital and liquidity metrics (DSO 39 days, improved 3 days; quarter‑end cash $230M; fiscal YTD free cash flow $90M with $36M CapEx vs $24–$27M prior year), and continued capital return (185,559 shares repurchased this quarter for $13.4M; 114.9M shares repurchased to date for $868M at an average $7.55, ~69% of outstanding), all of which management presented as underpinning their forward outlook.

CorVel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and expanding profitability, supported by low leverage and consistently high ROE. Main risk is cash-flow conversion/volatility, with operating cash flow running well below earnings in recent periods.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Results show a strong multi-year growth profile with revenue rising from $553M (FY2021) to $896M (FY2025) and further to $941M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Profitability has improved alongside growth: net margin increased from 8.4% (FY2021) to 10.6% (FY2025) and 11.2% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with operating profitability also expanding versus earlier years. A key watch-out is growth volatility—FY2021 posted a revenue decline, and the TTM growth rate appears unusually high versus the annual run-rate, suggesting potential non-recurring uplift or timing effects.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered, with debt to equity low across periods (about 0.09 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and FY2025), supporting financial flexibility. Equity has expanded meaningfully (from $220M in FY2021 to $322M in FY2025 and $376M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), and returns on equity are consistently strong (~30%+ in most years), indicating efficient capital use. The main drawback is that high returns can sometimes be harder to sustain as the equity base grows, and debt ticked up in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus FY2025 (though still modest).
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving in dollars, with operating cash flow rising from $127M (FY2025) to $149M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and free cash flow increasing from $91.6M to $104.3M. However, cash conversion is only moderate: operating cash flow is well below reported earnings (about 0.60x in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), and free cash flow runs at ~0.70x of net income, suggesting working-capital needs or timing effects. Free cash flow growth is also uneven over time (notably negative in FY2022), which is a consistency risk despite strong recent momentum.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue941.49M895.59M795.31M718.56M646.23M552.64M
Gross Profit227.82M209.73M171.69M158.26M152.11M123.62M
EBITDA167.61M150.36M121.35M109.67M108.43M82.61M
Net Income105.73M95.17M76.25M66.36M66.41M46.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets644.78M545.98M454.68M393.92M415.25M424.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.03M170.58M105.56M71.33M97.50M139.72M
Total Debt44.56M28.08M31.40M33.76M43.14M54.66M
Total Liabilities269.06M223.99M207.03M191.75M202.85M204.36M
Stockholders Equity375.72M321.99M247.65M202.18M212.40M220.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow104.25M91.56M70.00M55.97M37.40M77.14M
Operating Cash Flow149.09M127.31M99.24M82.29M67.22M94.38M
Investing Cash Flow-44.84M-35.76M-29.24M-26.32M-29.82M-17.24M
Financing Cash Flow-37.16M-26.54M-35.76M-82.14M-79.61M-20.64M

CorVel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price72.00
Price Trends
50DMA
61.23
Negative
100DMA
67.09
Negative
200DMA
80.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.84
Negative
RSI
42.54
Neutral
STOCH
89.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRVL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.41, above the 50-day MA of 61.23, and below the 200-day MA of 80.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRVL.

CorVel Risk Analysis

CorVel disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CorVel reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CorVel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.13B40.698.79%18.54%-67.02%
71
Outperform
$2.72B35.9932.63%10.43%29.22%
70
Outperform
$24.46B23.4410.98%0.77%17.87%-9.35%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
58
Neutral
$500.91M28.4018.72%2.47%4.39%61.61%
56
Neutral
$500.91M28.4018.72%2.47%4.39%61.61%
50
Neutral
$3.15B-48.28-4.63%10.69%32.74%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRVL
CorVel
53.08
-54.67
-50.74%
BRO
Brown & Brown
71.85
-46.87
-39.48%
CRD.A
Crawford & Company A
10.80
-0.92
-7.83%
CRD.B
Crawford & Company B
10.45
-1.27
-10.81%
BWIN
Baldwin Insurance Group
22.05
-18.87
-46.11%
TWFG
TWFG, Inc. Class A
19.88
-11.99
-37.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026