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Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY)
OTHER OTC:CRNCY
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Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) AI Stock Analysis

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CRNCY

Capricorn Energy PLC

(OTC:CRNCY)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(4.76% Upside)
Capricorn Energy's overall stock score is driven by a mix of financial recovery and strategic achievements, particularly in Egypt. Despite these positive developments, the stock faces bearish technical indicators and valuation challenges, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. The earnings call highlights a positive trajectory, but operational cost increases and capital expenditure delays pose risks.

Capricorn Energy PLC (CRNCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Capricorn Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapricorn Energy PLC operates as an independent oil and gas exploration, development, and production company. The company holds a portfolio of exploration, development, and production assets in the United Kingdom, Israel, Egypt, Mauritania, Mexico, and Suriname. Its activities focused in North West Europe, North and West Africa, and Latin America. The company was formerly known as Cairn Energy PLC and changed its name to Capricorn Energy PLC in December 2021. Capricorn Energy PLC was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapricorn Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its exploration and production activities. The company typically enters into contracts with various customers, including refiners and traders, to sell its produced hydrocarbons at market prices. Key revenue streams include the production of oil from its operated and non-operated fields, and the natural gas produced from its assets. Additionally, Capricorn may benefit from partnerships and joint ventures with other companies in the energy sector, which can provide access to new resources, shared infrastructure, and reduced operational costs, thereby enhancing overall profitability.

Capricorn Energy PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong focus on operational and financial improvements, particularly in Egypt, with significant achievements like government approval of new contracts, reduction in overhead, and substantial returns to investors. However, there are challenges such as increased operational costs and delays in capital expenditure, as well as difficulties in expanding in the U.K. North Sea. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, indicating a positive trajectory.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Government Approval of Production Sharing Contracts
Major milestone achieved with government approval of new consolidated production sharing contracts in Egypt, expected to enhance reserves and production.
Significant Reduction in Overhead
General and administrative burden reduced by approximately 80%, including staffing contingent, effectively rightsizing the organization.
Substantial Returns to Investors
Over $600 million returned to investors through dividends and share buybacks.
Debt Reduction in Egypt
Debt in Egypt paid down materially over the year, with continued progress expected.
Liquid Production Performance
Higher-margin drilling leading to liquids remaining slightly above forecast at 43% of production.
Improved Cash Collections from EGPC
Cash collections from EGPC improved, anticipating at least $90 million in the second half of 2025.
Negative Updates
Increasing Operational Costs
Operational expenses trending upwards due to currency devaluation and declining production against a fixed cost base.
Delayed Capital Expenditure
Capital guidance slightly reduced as scheduling pushes some current year activity into the following year.
Challenges in U.K. North Sea
Inability to successfully conclude opportunities in the U.K. North Sea due to being outbid or sellers retaining assets.
Company Guidance
During the midyear 2025 results call, Capricorn's management highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives that underscore the company's progress and future plans. The company achieved a significant milestone by securing government approval for a new consolidated production sharing contract in Egypt, which is expected to enhance reserves, production, and cash flow. Over the past two years, Capricorn exited non-core activities, reduced its general and administrative expenses by approximately 80%, and returned over $600 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Production for the first half of the year aligned with projections, maintaining a range of 17,000 to 21,000 BOE per day, with liquids comprising 43% of production. The company aims to collect at least $90 million in the second half to aid in reducing its outstanding debt. Looking ahead, Capricorn plans to focus on realizing value from its Egyptian base business, exploring opportunities in the U.K. North Sea, and pursuing synergistic asset deals, all while maintaining a self-funding business model.

Capricorn Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capricorn Energy PLC is navigating a volatile financial landscape, with noticeable improvements in recent profitability and cash flow. Despite these gains, the company faces challenges in stabilizing revenue and maintaining favorable equity ratios. Continued focus on managing leverage and sustaining positive cash flows will be critical for future growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has experienced significant revenue fluctuations, with a notable decline from 2019 to 2024. Profit margins have been inconsistent, with a recent return to positive net income after losses in previous years. The gross profit margin improved in 2024, but the overall revenue growth remains negative.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Capricorn Energy displays a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased over the years, reflecting a reduction in the proportion of assets financed by equity. Return on equity turned positive in 2024 after negative results in previous years, showing potential for recovery.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company has shown improvement in free cash flow, shifting from negative to positive in recent years. Operating cash flow has also turned positive, supporting net income after previous negative figures. However, the historical volatility of cash flows poses potential risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue157.31M177.90M201.00M229.60M57.10M400.00K
Gross Profit40.23M51.20M140.30M149.20M12.70M-11.70M
EBITDA90.08M116.30M41.70M3.30M923.90M72.60M
Net Income-20.81M10.60M-144.00M-67.10M894.50M-393.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets537.20M619.70M667.60M1.53B2.25B1.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.10M123.40M189.50M891.20M400.70M574.80M
Total Debt69.50M105.40M119.20M162.90M180.70M240.00M
Total Liabilities188.60M270.40M261.10M314.70M447.80M509.70M
Stockholders Equity348.60M349.30M406.50M1.12B1.80B1.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.59M44.50M-100.80M-105.30M90.50M-142.90M
Operating Cash Flow40.04M86.10M-39.90M63.50M179.90M257.90M
Investing Cash Flow-33.91M-51.30M120.80M963.90M-296.00M225.60M
Financing Cash Flow-58.18M-97.30M-646.20M-579.60M-147.90M-69.30M

Capricorn Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.25
Price Trends
50DMA
5.65
Negative
100DMA
5.94
Negative
200DMA
6.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
43.09
Neutral
STOCH
9.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRNCY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.49, below the 50-day MA of 5.65, and below the 200-day MA of 6.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CRNCY.

Capricorn Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$193.12M2.758.08%-13.66%-4.85%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
57
Neutral
$154.96M136.451.50%10.74%-0.04%-71.98%
53
Neutral
$171.17M11.433.66%-10.36%-43.83%
52
Neutral
$176.90M19.66-6.20%-26.51%90.30%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRNCY
Capricorn Energy PLC
5.25
-0.27
-4.89%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
4.51
-0.23
-4.85%
HUSA
Houston American Energy
5.51
-8.29
-60.07%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
4.21
-2.46
-36.88%
REI
Ring Energy
0.94
-0.55
-36.91%
SAFX
XCF Global Inc Class A
1.05
-9.64
-90.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2025