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Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO)
NASDAQ:CRDO
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Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) AI Stock Analysis

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CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

(NASDAQ:CRDO)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$166.00
▲(10.04% Upside)
Credo Technology Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are the primary drivers of its overall stock score. However, the high P/E ratio and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The company's robust growth prospects and strategic market positioning are promising, but valuation concerns and technical weaknesses temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for Credo's products and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with major hyperscalers enhance Credo's market reach and provide a stable revenue stream, bolstering long-term growth prospects.
Acquisition of Hyperlume
The acquisition of Hyperlume allows Credo to enhance its product offerings and address future AI-driven data infrastructure needs, strengthening its competitive position.
Negative Factors
Inventory Increase
The increase in inventory levels could strain cash flow and indicate potential challenges in demand forecasting, impacting operational efficiency.
Nonlinear Growth Patterns
Nonlinear growth patterns can complicate revenue predictability and planning, potentially affecting long-term financial stability and investor confidence.
Optical Market Transition Delays
Delays in transitioning to new optical technologies could slow market adoption and impact revenue growth in the optical segment, affecting overall business momentum.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd provides various high-speed connectivity solutions for optical and electrical Ethernet applications in the United States, Mexico, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. Its products include integrated circuits, active electrical cables, and SerDes chiplets that are based on its serializer/deserializer and digital signal processor technologies. The company also offers intellectual property solutions consist of SerDes IP licensing. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCredo Technology Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-performance semiconductor products and optical interconnect solutions. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and cloud service providers, who integrate Credo's technology into their data center infrastructure. Key revenue streams include product sales, licensing agreements for its patented technologies, and ongoing support and maintenance services. Significant partnerships with major technology firms and cloud providers also play a crucial role in expanding Credo's market reach and driving revenue growth, as these collaborations often lead to large-scale contracts and increased demand for their innovative solutions.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant revenue growth and successful expansion in various market segments, including AEC and optical businesses. Despite challenges such as nonlinear growth patterns and inventory increases, the company's robust guidance and strategic positioning in emerging markets contribute to an overall positive outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Credo reported Q1 revenue of $223 million, reflecting a 31% sequential increase and a 274% year-over-year increase.
Strong Non-GAAP Financial Performance
Non-GAAP gross margin was 67.6%, with non-GAAP net income nearing $100 million, demonstrating significant financial leverage.
Expansion of AEC Market
AEC product line shows robust growth with diversification in customer base, including a fourth hyperscaler contributing to revenue.
Optical Business Momentum
Sustained strong momentum in optical business with expectations to double optical revenue in fiscal 2026.
Retimer Business Success
Ethernet retimer business achieved stronger results with PCIe retimer family gaining significant traction.
Positive Guidance and Outlook
Revenue guidance for fiscal 2026 is expected to be between $230 million and $240 million, with anticipated 120% year-over-year growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Nonlinear Growth Patterns
Shipment timing may lead to nonlinear growth patterns at a customer level, affecting predictability.
Inventory and Working Capital Increase
Q1 ending inventory was $116.7 million, up $26.6 million sequentially, affecting cash flow from operations.
Optical Market Transition Delays
Transition to 1.6 T optical transceivers is expected to take more time than anticipated, affecting market uptake.
Tariff Regime Impact
Current tariff regime remains fluid, potentially impacting future financial results.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal year 2026 first-quarter earnings call, Credo reported robust financial performance, with revenue reaching $223 million, marking a 31% sequential increase and a 274% year-over-year growth. The company achieved a non-GAAP gross margin of 67.6% and a non-GAAP net income of nearly $100 million. Demand for Credo's high-speed connectivity solutions, particularly in the AEC market, was fueled by strategic partnerships with hyperscalers, with three contributing over 10% of revenue. As the company anticipates significant year-over-year growth, it expects continued diversification in customers, protocols, and applications. Credo's optical business sustained strong momentum, aiming to double its optical revenue, while its Ethernet retimer business saw stronger results, positioning the company for PCIe design wins in 2025, with production revenue anticipated in 2026. Credo projects around 120% year-over-year growth for fiscal 2026, with non-GAAP net margins expected to be approximately 40% in the coming quarters.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Credo Technology Group demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, efficient operational management, and a stable balance sheet. The company has effectively managed its leverage and demonstrated robust cash flow generation, positioning it well for future growth and stability in the communication equipment industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Credo Technology Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 37.4% increase in the TTM period, supported by a robust gross profit margin of 65.98%. The net profit margin has improved significantly to 20.85%, indicating enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show healthy figures at 19.52% and 23.38% respectively, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is strong at 18.89%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 86.32%, highlighting a stable financial structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow performance is impressive with a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 222.06% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.17, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.74 further supports the company's ability to generate cash from its operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue600.13M436.77M192.97M184.19M106.48M58.70M
Gross Profit395.99M282.91M119.43M106.19M64.02M38.28M
EBITDA140.30M59.94M-22.52M-9.31M-14.04M-23.02M
Net Income125.12M52.18M-28.37M-16.55M-22.18M-27.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets905.17M809.26M601.93M397.29M375.69M155.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments479.65M431.34M410.00M217.81M259.32M103.76M
Total Debt15.61M16.04M13.87M15.50M17.19M0.00
Total Liabilities123.79M127.67M61.73M49.65M41.53M210.92M
Stockholders Equity781.38M681.58M540.20M347.63M334.16M-55.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow93.47M29.02M17.09M-46.33M-48.41M-48.42M
Operating Cash Flow126.49M65.08M32.74M-24.61M-30.83M-42.36M
Investing Cash Flow1.69M111.99M-249.49M-130.94M-17.58M-6.06M
Financing Cash Flow-12.30M-7.73M175.28M4.88M204.18M77.89M

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price150.85
Price Trends
50DMA
152.59
Negative
100DMA
134.66
Positive
200DMA
96.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.47
Positive
RSI
49.97
Neutral
STOCH
32.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRDO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 150.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.79, below the 50-day MA of 152.59, and above the 200-day MA of 96.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CRDO.

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Risk Analysis

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$27.46B201.094.96%12.97%4.71%
74
Outperform
$31.69B12.6525.45%3.13%1.04%
70
Outperform
$26.10B221.8718.75%175.81%
66
Neutral
$34.00B34.274.03%2.58%5.05%115.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$32.10B40.57155.78%0.50%36.77%102.83%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
150.85
104.18
223.23%
CIEN
Ciena
194.70
123.84
174.77%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
9.40
1.39
17.35%
NOK
Nokia
6.09
2.01
49.26%
UI
Ubiquiti Networks
556.40
201.54
56.79%

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Credo Technology Appoints Brian Kelleher as Director
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Lip-Bu Tan resigned from the board of directors of Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd, with no disagreements on company matters. Subsequently, Brian Kelleher was appointed as a Class III director effective October 27, 2025, bringing extensive experience from his previous roles at NVIDIA and other tech companies, which may enhance the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRDO) stock is a Buy with a $182.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd stock, see the CRDO Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Credo Technology Approves Key Proposals at AGM
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd held its Annual General Meeting where shareholders voted on key proposals. These included the election of three Class I directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending May 2, 2026. All proposals were approved, indicating shareholder support for the company’s current leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRDO) stock is a Buy with a $170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd stock, see the CRDO Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Credo Technology Enters Equity Distribution Agreement
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd entered into an equity distribution agreement with Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC to facilitate the sale of its ordinary shares, with a total offering price of up to $750 million. This agreement allows for the shares to be sold in various market transactions, potentially impacting the company’s market presence and providing liquidity options for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CRDO) stock is a Buy with a $170.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd stock, see the CRDO Stock Forecast page.

Credo Technology Group Faces Ongoing Risks Threatening Financial Stability
Sep 6, 2025

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. faces significant risks and uncertainties that could impact its operations and financial performance. These risks, detailed in their Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended May 3, 2025, include potential adverse effects on their business, financial condition, and the trading price of their shares. Despite the passage of time, there have been no material changes to these risk factors as of their latest Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Stakeholders should remain vigilant as these risks continue to pose a threat to the company’s stability.

Credo Technology’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Sep 5, 2025

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong performance with significant revenue growth and successful expansion in various market segments. The sentiment during the call was overwhelmingly positive, despite some challenges such as nonlinear growth patterns and inventory increases. The company’s robust guidance and strategic positioning in emerging markets contribute to an optimistic outlook.

Credo Technology Reports Strong Q1 2026 Growth
Sep 4, 2025

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd is a company that specializes in providing secure, high-speed connectivity solutions, primarily catering to AI-driven applications, cloud computing, and hyperscale networks. The company is known for its focus on reliability and energy efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025