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Community Bancorp. (CMTV)
NASDAQ:CMTV
US Market

Community Bancorp (CMTV) AI Stock Analysis

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CMTV

Community Bancorp

(NASDAQ:CMTV)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(37.10% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/09/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance (solid profitability/cash conversion but higher leverage and weaker TTM revenue with data inconsistencies). Technicals are supportive with an uptrend, though the stock looks overbought. Valuation is a clear positive, with a low P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Profitability and Cash Conversion
Consistent profitability and high cash conversion across recent annual periods indicate durable internal cash generation. That steady free cash flow supports lending capacity, dividend payments and reinvestment, enhancing long-term operational resilience and capital allocation flexibility.
Return on Equity
Sustained mid‑teens ROE over multiple years signals effective capital deployment and a profitable banking franchise. Persistent above‑average returns cushion earnings volatility, support shareholder returns, and indicate competitive strength in asset/yield management over the medium term.
Preferred Redemption / Capital Action
Redeeming perpetual preferred stock is a structural capital move that reduces fixed dividend obligations and simplifies the capital base. If regulatory ratios remain compliant, this increases management flexibility for organic growth, buybacks, or common dividends over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
A sharp increase in leverage materially raises balance‑sheet risk for a regional bank, increasing sensitivity to earnings shocks and interest costs. Higher debt constrains capital flexibility, may pressure regulatory ratios, and reduces the firm's buffer to absorb loan losses or stressed economic conditions.
TTM Financial Inconsistencies
Large, unexplained step‑changes in trailing metrics impair the reliability of near‑term forecasts and capital planning. Persistent data inconsistencies make stress testing and provisioning harder, elevating execution and regulatory risk when allocating capital or assessing liquidity under adverse scenarios.
Near-term Revenue and Margin Weakness
A TTM revenue decline after multi‑year growth, combined with uneven margins and an EBIT dip, suggests decelerating core earnings power. That undermines predictability of net income and ROE, complicating sustainable dividend coverage and lending expansion over the coming months.

Community Bancorp (CMTV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Community Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommunity Bancorp. operates as the bank holding company for Community National Bank that provides a range of retail banking services to residents, businesses, nonprofit organizations, and municipalities. It provides various consumer banking products and services, including checking accounts, savings programs, ATMs, debit/credit cards, and night deposit facilities, as well as online, mobile, and telephone banking. The company's business banking products and services comprise credit products for various business purposes, including financing for commercial business properties, equipment, inventories, and accounts receivable, as well as letters of credit; and business checking and other deposit accounts, cash management services, repurchase agreements, ACH and wire transfer services, and remote deposit capture. It offers commercial real estate lending products for commercial developers and investors, residential builders and developers, and community development entities, which include credit products to facilitate the purchase of land and/or build structures for business, for investors to develop residential or commercial properties, and for real estate secured financing of existing businesses, as well as financing to startups and other small businesses. The company's residential real estate lending products include fixed-rate and adjustable rate residential mortgage and home equity loans; retail credit products include personal, automobile, and boat/recreational vehicle loans; and municipal and institutional banking products and services for state and local governments, schools, charities, membership, and not-for-profit associations comprise deposit accounts, tax-exempt loans, lines of credit, and term loans, as well as a collateralized secured deposit products. It operates through a main office in Derby; and eleven branch offices in northeastern and central Vermont. Community Bancorp. was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Derby, Vermont.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommunity Bancorp makes money primarily through the interest earned on loans provided to customers, which is a significant revenue stream. This includes personal loans, business loans, and mortgages. Additionally, the company generates income from fees associated with account maintenance, transaction charges, and other banking services. Investment income from securities and other financial instruments also contributes to its revenue. Partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance its service offerings and customer base, driving more deposits and lending activities, which further boosts earnings.

Community Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid multi-year profitability and generally good cash conversion, but TTM revenue is down (near-term pressure) and leverage rose materially into 2024 (higher balance-sheet risk). Several TTM inconsistencies versus annual trends reduce confidence in current momentum and balance-sheet readings.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue grew steadily from 2020–2024, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a decline (down 4.4%), signaling some near-term pressure. Profitability is strong across most periods with healthy net margins (roughly low-30% range in annual years and higher in TTM), but margin consistency is uneven (notably an EBIT margin dip in 2023 and an unusually large EBITDA figure in TTM), which reduces confidence in the trend quality.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
From 2020–2024, leverage moved higher, with debt-to-equity rising from ~0.17–0.20 to ~0.87 in 2024, which is a clear balance-sheet risk if earnings soften. Returns on equity were solid in 2020–2024 (roughly mid-teens), supporting the capital base; however, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) balance sheet figures appear inconsistent versus prior years (including zero debt and a sharply lower return on equity), limiting visibility and pulling the score down.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash generation looks consistently supportive in 2020–2024, with free cash flow tracking close to net income (roughly mid-90% range) and generally positive growth (aside from a decline in 2023). That said, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash flow numbers show extreme step-changes versus prior periods (very large operating/free cash flow and exceptionally high growth), which raises reliability concerns and prevents a higher score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.63M59.61M52.01M43.25M40.21M38.92M
Gross Profit43.20M38.10M37.84M38.24M36.47M32.49M
EBITDA843.45M16.23M17.40M18.02M17.23M13.90M
Net Income24.03M12.76M13.43M13.74M13.14M10.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23T1.25B1.10B1.06B1.02B918.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments164.06B169.57M15.00M205.22M200.18M71.56M
Total Debt93.34M134.43M67.49M47.26M46.80M54.41M
Total Liabilities1.11B1.15B1.01B980.86M934.35M840.94M
Stockholders Equity111.88M98.05M89.03M75.18M84.76M77.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.12M14.98M14.30M15.12M13.15M13.13M
Operating Cash Flow15.25M15.77M14.93M15.74M14.04M13.58M
Investing Cash Flow-32.22M-56.56M-92.09M-95.00M-104.59M-116.99M
Financing Cash Flow28.01M131.30M26.46M40.05M85.86M169.89M

Community Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.80
Price Trends
50DMA
28.73
Positive
100DMA
25.97
Positive
200DMA
23.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Positive
RSI
49.45
Neutral
STOCH
12.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMTV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.76, below the 50-day MA of 28.73, and above the 200-day MA of 23.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMTV.

Community Bancorp Risk Analysis

Community Bancorp disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Community Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Community Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$130.44M9.4810.12%2.69%10.78%21.72%
68
Neutral
$125.51M45.661.57%0.88%9.43%166.36%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$170.94M9.9714.97%3.90%11.58%33.44%
64
Neutral
$122.74M15.335.95%5.18%36.12%
64
Neutral
$109.52M15.336.52%1.75%2.85%73.41%
63
Neutral
$176.55M17.343.95%22.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMTV
Community Bancorp
30.50
13.64
80.94%
SBFG
SB Financial Group
20.71
0.85
4.28%
AFBI
Affinity Bancshares
19.90
1.78
9.82%
SFBC
Sound Financial Bancorp
42.68
-5.69
-11.77%
RBKB
Rhinebeck Bancorp
15.84
5.61
54.84%
SRBK
SR Bancorp, Inc.
16.57
4.90
41.99%

Community Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Community Bancorp Updates Board Committee Assignments for 2026
Neutral
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Community Bancorp., the parent company of Community National Bank, announced that it had posted the current committee assignments for its Board of Directors on its investor relations website, reflecting appointments that took effect on January 1, 2026. The update formalizes the board’s committee structure for the new year, signaling how governance responsibilities are allocated among directors and providing shareholders and other stakeholders with greater transparency into the company’s oversight framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMTV) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Community Bancorp stock, see the CMTV Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Community Bancorp Completes Redemption of Preferred Stock
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Community Bancorp. completed the redemption of all outstanding shares of its Series A Fixed-to-Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock at a redemption price of $100,814.38 per share. The company anticipates maintaining compliance with regulatory capital guidelines following this redemption.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026