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Commerce.com (CMRC)
NASDAQ:CMRC
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Commerce.com (CMRC) AI Stock Analysis

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CMRC

Commerce.com

(NASDAQ:CMRC)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-5.48% Downside)
BigCommerce Holdings' overall score is driven by strong revenue growth and positive cash flow trends, but is hindered by profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provides a positive outlook with strategic partnerships, yet highlights ongoing challenges in ARR growth and customer acquisition.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships strengthen Commerce.com's technological capabilities and competitive position, potentially driving long-term growth through enhanced product offerings and operational efficiencies.
Operating Efficiency
Improved operating margins indicate better cost management and operational efficiency, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage in the long term.
Cash and Debt Management
Strong cash reserves and reduced debt enhance financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations, supporting long-term stability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues can hinder long-term growth and investment capacity, requiring strategic adjustments to improve margins and financial health.
Flat ARR Growth
Stagnant ARR growth suggests challenges in scaling and expanding the customer base, which could limit future revenue potential and market share expansion.
Customer Acquisition
Difficulty in acquiring new enterprise customers indicates potential issues in market penetration and competitiveness, affecting long-term revenue growth prospects.

Commerce.com (CMRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commerce.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommerce.com, Inc. operates a software-as-a-service e-commerce platform for brands and retailers in the United States, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides a platform for launching and scaling an ecommerce operation, including store design, catalog management, hosting, checkout, order management, reporting, and pre-integration into third-party services, such as payments, shipping, and accounting. It serves stores in various sizes, product categories, and purchase types comprising business-to-consumer and business-to-business. Commerce.com, Inc. was formerly known as BigCommerce Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Commerce.com, Inc. in July 2025. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommerce.com generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by taking a commission on sales made through its platform. This commission varies by product category and seller agreement. Additionally, the company offers subscription services for businesses that wish to enhance their visibility and access advanced analytics tools, creating a steady stream of recurring revenue. Advertising partnerships with brands looking to promote their products on the platform also contribute significantly to CMRC's earnings. Furthermore, CMRC has established strategic alliances with logistics and payment processing companies, allowing it to optimize delivery services and transaction efficiency, which in turn drives customer satisfaction and repeat business.

Commerce.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook due to revenue growth, improved margins, and strategic partnerships in AI-driven commerce. However, challenges remain in accelerating ARR growth and improving customer acquisition efficiency.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth
Commerce reported Q2 revenue of $84.4 million, growing 3% year-over-year, and non-GAAP operating income of $4.8 million. Operating cash flow improved to approximately $13.6 million, up nearly $2 million year-over-year.
Improved Operating Efficiency
Non-GAAP operating income margin improved by 335 basis points from Q2 2024 and 1,013 basis points from Q2 2023. Non-GAAP gross margin strengthened to 80%, up 280 basis points year-over-year.
Strong Balance Sheet
Commerce ended Q2 with $136 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, and reduced net debt position to $18 million, a 73% decrease year-over-year.
Notable Partnerships
Commerce announced partnerships with Perplexity, Google Cloud, and PROS to enhance AI-driven commerce capabilities. These partnerships aim to improve product data optimization, pricing, and quoting solutions.
Recognition and Client Wins
Commerce was awarded 24 out of 24 medals in the 2025 Paradigm B2B Combine for the third consecutive year. New clients include notable brands like URBN and Tapestry.
Negative Updates
Flat ARR Growth
Annual Revenue Run-rate (ARR) reached nearly $355 million, a year-over-year improvement of only 3%.
Enterprise Customer Count
The company has not yet returned to positive enterprise customer count growth, indicating challenges in expanding the customer base.
Sales and Marketing Efficiency
There is a need to improve the efficiency of sales and marketing spending, as highlighted by the executives.
Company Guidance
During the Commerce Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance for both the third quarter of 2025 and the full year. They expect Q3 revenue to be between $85 million and $87 million, with non-GAAP operating income ranging from $2.3 million to $3.3 million. For the full year 2025, projected revenue is between $339.6 million and $346.6 million, while non-GAAP operating income is anticipated to fall between $19 million and $25 million. The company reported Q2 revenue of $84.4 million, up 3% year-over-year, and a non-GAAP operating income of $4.8 million. Their annual revenue run-rate (ARR) reached approximately $355 million, reflecting a 3% year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP gross margins improved to 80%, and operating cash flow increased to approximately $14 million. Commerce ended Q2 with $136 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, while reducing net debt to $18 million, a 73% year-over-year decrease. They serve over 5,800 enterprise accounts, with average revenue per enterprise account rising to $46,403, a 9% year-over-year increase.

Commerce.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BigCommerce Holdings shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins and high leverage. Positive trends in operational cash flow are promising, but the company needs to convert revenue growth into sustainable profits.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BigCommerce Holdings has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a 20.8% increase from 2021 to 2024, indicating a positive growth trajectory. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The TTM data shows an improvement in EBITDA margin, but the EBIT remains negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet of BigCommerce Holdings shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio is low, reflecting potential solvency risks. However, the company has shown improvement in its stockholders' equity over time, suggesting a slow trend towards financial stability. The return on equity remains negative, highlighting the need for better profitability.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BigCommerce Holdings has shown positive operating cash flow in the TTM, indicating improving operational efficiency. The free cash flow has also turned positive, showcasing better cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning due to persistent net losses, indicating that profitability needs improvement despite positive cash flow trends.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue337.54M332.93M309.39M279.07M219.85M152.37M
Gross Profit263.48M255.34M235.19M209.09M171.38M118.24M
EBITDA8.13M-7.10M-43.28M-125.17M-69.73M-31.35M
Net Income-18.12M-27.03M-64.67M-139.92M-76.68M-37.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets302.53M340.29M444.06M474.06M555.46M276.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments134.46M178.16M270.13M303.51M399.88M219.45M
Total Debt166.02M220.58M350.31M350.11M348.41M15.85M
Total Liabilities263.77M306.92M418.52M428.38M417.17M59.87M
Stockholders Equity38.77M33.37M25.53M45.67M138.29M216.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.12M22.53M-28.42M-94.55M-43.60M-28.49M
Operating Cash Flow31.89M26.25M-24.24M-89.36M-40.30M-26.53M
Investing Cash Flow48.04M105.29M2.82M-116.53M-186.88M-1.96M
Financing Cash Flow-166.71M-114.04M1.24M209.00K305.27M239.95M

Commerce.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.29
Price Trends
50DMA
4.73
Positive
100DMA
4.91
Positive
200DMA
5.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
66.83
Neutral
STOCH
85.68
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.68, above the 50-day MA of 4.73, and below the 200-day MA of 5.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMRC.

Commerce.com Risk Analysis

Commerce.com disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commerce.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commerce.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
1.24B9.9219.26%6.79%12.97%
70
Neutral
831.57M86.105.34%4.51%8241.83%
63
Neutral
1.48B-67.36-5.73%5.96%50.29%
62
Neutral
1.89B40.65-190.60%-7.41%0.00%
60
Neutral
1.10B-836.67-0.46%22.16%-107.92%
58
Neutral
$400.45M-55.85%4.06%57.50%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMRC
Commerce.com
5.29
-0.94
-15.09%
PRCH
Porch Group
18.86
17.23
1057.06%
YALA
Yalla Group
7.90
3.73
89.45%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
7.53
-7.72
-50.62%
VTEX
VTEX
4.65
-2.64
-36.21%
MLNK
MeridianLink
19.96
-4.44
-18.20%

Commerce.com Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Commerce.com Extends Ellen Siminoff’s Term as Executive Chair
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Commerce.com, Inc. announced the extension of Ellen F. Siminoff’s term as Executive Chair for an additional year starting October 1, 2025. As part of this extension, the board approved an annual cash payment of $200,000 to Ms. Siminoff, payable in four quarterly installments, and granted her the option to purchase 247,963 shares of the company’s common stock, which will vest in equal monthly installments over 12 months, contingent upon her continued service.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMRC) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commerce.com stock, see the CMRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025