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Commerce.com (CMRC)
NASDAQ:CMRC
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Commerce.com (CMRC) AI Stock Analysis

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CMRC

Commerce.com

(NASDAQ:CMRC)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(3.21% Upside)
Commerce.com's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in AI, but is weighed down by high leverage, ongoing profitability challenges, and bearish technical indicators. The company's improved cash flow and financial position are positive, yet the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield limit its valuation appeal.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion and competitiveness.
AI Integration and Partnerships
Strategic AI integration and partnerships enhance product offerings and operational efficiency, positioning the company for future technological leadership.
Improved Financial Position
A stronger financial position with increased cash reserves enhances liquidity and provides flexibility for strategic investments and debt reduction.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and interest obligations, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges reflect operational inefficiencies and could hinder sustainable growth and shareholder value creation.
Enterprise ARR Decline
A decline in enterprise ARR suggests challenges in retaining and expanding enterprise customer relationships, impacting long-term revenue stability.

Commerce.com (CMRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commerce.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommerce.com, Inc. operates a software-as-a-service e-commerce platform for brands and retailers in the United States, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides a platform for launching and scaling an ecommerce operation, including store design, catalog management, hosting, checkout, order management, reporting, and pre-integration into third-party services, such as payments, shipping, and accounting. It serves stores in various sizes, product categories, and purchase types comprising business-to-consumer and business-to-business. Commerce.com, Inc. was formerly known as BigCommerce Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Commerce.com, Inc. in July 2025. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCommerce.com generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by taking a commission on sales made through its platform. This commission varies by product category and seller agreement. Additionally, the company offers subscription services for businesses that wish to enhance their visibility and access advanced analytics tools, creating a steady stream of recurring revenue. Advertising partnerships with brands looking to promote their products on the platform also contribute significantly to CMRC's earnings. Furthermore, CMRC has established strategic alliances with logistics and payment processing companies, allowing it to optimize delivery services and transaction efficiency, which in turn drives customer satisfaction and repeat business.

Commerce.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Commerce demonstrated strong financial results and strategic advancements in AI and partnerships, despite challenges in enterprise ARR and cautious Q4 guidance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profitability Exceed Expectations
Commerce delivered revenue of $86 million, in line with guidance, and non-GAAP operating income reached $8 million, significantly exceeding the high-end of profitability guidance by nearly $5 million.
Strong B2B Momentum and New Partnerships
Commerce attracted respected brands like ADI Global and Big Ass Fans, and celebrated successful launches from innovators. IDC and Gartner recognized Commerce for its B2B capabilities.
Significant AI Integration and Strategic Partnerships
Commerce is leveraging AI to reshape product discovery and purchasing, with partnerships with PayPal, Microsoft, Google, and Stripe. New products like Feedonomics Surface and Makeswift are being launched to meet AI-driven commerce needs.
Improved Financial Position
Commerce strengthened its balance sheet with approximately $143 million in cash and reduced net debt by 86% since Q3 2023.
Negative Updates
Enterprise ARR Decline
There was a sequential decline in enterprise ARR and a downtick in enterprise customers, attributed to lower-than-expected bookings and flat net revenue retention.
Conservative Q4 Revenue Guidance
Commerce provided a wide revenue guidance range for Q4, citing uncertainties in the holiday shopping season and macroeconomic factors.
Company Guidance
During the Commerce Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. For Q4, Commerce expects revenue between $87.8 million and $92.8 million, with non-GAAP operating income projected between $4.3 million and $9.3 million. Full-year 2025 revenue is anticipated to be between $340.6 million and $345.6 million, while non-GAAP operating income is expected to range from $24.7 million to $29.7 million, representing an increase at the midpoint from the prior guidance. The company emphasizes its focus on scaling profitable growth, leveraging new product launches, and enhancing its AI readiness to drive future performance.

Commerce.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Commerce.com demonstrates strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but struggles with profitability and high leverage. The company is improving its cash flow position, yet the high debt levels and negative return on equity present significant financial risks. Continued focus on reducing debt and enhancing profitability is essential for long-term stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Commerce.com shows a strong gross profit margin of 78.06% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -5.37% and EBIT margin of -2.02%. Revenue growth is robust at 68.7% TTM, but consistent net losses highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.28 in TTM, which poses a significant financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -52.06%, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, indicating a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Commerce.com has shown improvement in cash flow, with a free cash flow growth rate of 12.25% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, suggesting some ability to convert income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.79 indicates that cash flow generation is still a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue339.86M332.93M309.39M279.07M219.85M152.37M
Gross Profit267.07M255.34M235.19M209.09M171.38M118.24M
EBITDA12.95M-7.10M-43.28M-127.14M-70.31M-31.35M
Net Income-13.37M-27.03M-64.67M-139.92M-76.68M-37.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets309.46M340.29M444.06M474.06M555.46M276.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments142.03M178.16M270.13M303.51M399.88M219.45M
Total Debt165.88M220.58M350.31M350.11M348.41M15.85M
Total Liabilities266.63M306.92M418.52M428.38M417.17M59.87M
Stockholders Equity42.84M33.37M25.53M45.67M138.29M216.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.20M22.53M-28.42M-94.55M-43.60M-28.49M
Operating Cash Flow36.87M26.25M-24.24M-89.36M-40.30M-26.53M
Investing Cash Flow32.00M105.29M2.82M-116.53M-186.88M-1.96M
Financing Cash Flow-54.74M-114.04M1.24M209.00K305.27M239.95M

Commerce.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.36
Price Trends
50DMA
4.82
Negative
100DMA
4.79
Negative
200DMA
5.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
40.40
Neutral
STOCH
3.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMRC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.76, below the 50-day MA of 4.82, and below the 200-day MA of 5.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMRC.

Commerce.com Risk Analysis

Commerce.com disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commerce.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commerce.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.11B8.5220.19%5.80%12.20%
67
Neutral
$1.01B-1.68%19.87%-136.93%
66
Neutral
$696.34M101.966.53%3.62%-20.45%
66
Neutral
-5.41%5.96%50.29%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
56
Neutral
$964.15M37.34-2.13%
48
Neutral
$357.56M-37.23%2.97%53.53%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMRC
Commerce.com
4.40
-2.43
-35.58%
PRCH
Porch Group
9.12
5.67
164.20%
YALA
Yalla Group
6.95
2.67
62.38%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
11.78
-2.39
-16.87%
VTEX
VTEX
3.81
-2.65
-41.02%
MLNK
MeridianLink
20.01
-2.89
-12.62%

Commerce.com Corporate Events

Commerce.com Reports Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 7, 2025

Commerce.com, Inc., formerly known as BigCommerce Holdings, Inc., is a technology company that provides an open, AI-driven commerce ecosystem to empower businesses with data-driven solutions for seamless and personalized experiences across various channels. The company operates in the e-commerce sector, offering tools and systems for business growth and innovation.

Bigcommerce Holdings Inc. Earnings Call Highlights
Nov 7, 2025

Bigcommerce Holdings Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a positive sentiment despite some challenges. The company showcased strong financial results and strategic advancements, particularly in AI and partnerships, while also addressing concerns in enterprise ARR and providing cautious Q4 guidance.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Commerce.com Announces CCO Retirement and Leadership Change
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Commerce.com announced that Russell Klein, the Chief Commercial Officer, will retire effective November 1, 2025. Michaela Weber, Senior Vice President, Payments & Global Business Development, will take over his responsibilities, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMRC) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commerce.com stock, see the CMRC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Commerce.com Extends Ellen Siminoff’s Term as Executive Chair
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Commerce.com, Inc. announced the extension of Ellen F. Siminoff’s term as Executive Chair for an additional year starting October 1, 2025. As part of this extension, the board approved an annual cash payment of $200,000 to Ms. Siminoff, payable in four quarterly installments, and granted her the option to purchase 247,963 shares of the company’s common stock, which will vest in equal monthly installments over 12 months, contingent upon her continued service.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMRC) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commerce.com stock, see the CMRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 21, 2025