tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Clipper Realty Inc (CLPR)
NYSE:CLPR
US Market

Clipper Realty (CLPR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
227 Followers

Top Page

CLPR

Clipper Realty

(NYSE:CLPR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-28.40% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses and negative equity) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). High dividend yield and strong residential operating metrics provide partial support, but the sharp AFFO deterioration and unresolved 250 Livingston situation remain significant near-term risks.
Positive Factors
High occupancy and rent growth
Consistently high stabilized occupancy (~99%) and significant new-lease rent gains indicate durable pricing power and strong tenant demand in Clipper's core NYC residential portfolio. That supports predictable long-term rental cash flows, lowers vacancy risk, and improves asset-level NOI sustainability even amid macro variability.
Strong cash collection and improving operating cash flow
Very high collection rates (~98%) combined with positive, improving operating cash flow show the business converts rents to cash reliably. This strengthens internal funding for maintenance and capex, reduces reliance on external liquidity, and supports longer‑term ability to service secured property debt and fund lease‑up costs.
Largely fixed-rate, nonrecourse debt and on‑hand liquidity
A high proportion of fixed-rate, mostly nonrecourse financing and meaningful cash balances reduce immediate refinancing and interest-rate exposure for property operations. This financing profile cushions near-term cash flow volatility and preserves asset-level stability while management executes lease‑ups and asset stabilization.
Negative Factors
Stressed balance sheet with negative equity
Negative equity and historically high leverage materially weaken financial flexibility, constrain capital options, and increase refinancing and covenant breach risk. Over the medium term this reduces the company's ability to pursue opportunistic investments and raises the probability of distress if operating cash flows falter or restructuring is needed.
Severe AFFO decline and recurring net losses
A dramatic AFFO deterioration substantially reduces distributable cash and undermines dividend coverage. Persistent net losses despite strong property-level margins imply below‑EBITDA costs (interest, depreciation, impairments) are eroding earnings power, limiting retained cash to repair the balance sheet over the next several quarters.
250 Livingston default and potential foreclosure risk
Loss of a major tenant led to cessation of certain payments and an unresolved debt restructuring at 250 Livingston. Potential foreclosure or forced sale of the asset is a structural threat: it can permanently reduce rental income, absorb liquidity in legal/settlement costs, and impair access to mortgage financing across the portfolio until resolved.

Clipper Realty (CLPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clipper Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClipper Realty Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on owning, operating, and developing multifamily residential properties in the New York City metropolitan area. The company specializes in acquiring and managing high-quality residential assets, aiming to provide attractive living spaces that cater to the diverse needs of urban residents. Clipper Realty's portfolio includes a mix of properties that target various market segments, contributing to its strategic position within the competitive real estate market.
How the Company Makes MoneyClipper Realty generates revenue primarily through rental income derived from its multifamily residential properties. The company leases its apartment units to tenants, providing a steady stream of cash flow. In addition to base rental income, Clipper Realty may also earn revenue from ancillary services and fees related to property management and leasing activities. The company's revenue model is bolstered by its focus on operational efficiency and tenant satisfaction, which helps maintain high occupancy rates and reduce turnover costs. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with local service providers and real estate professionals can enhance its market presence and lead to potential acquisition opportunities that expand its portfolio and revenue base.

Clipper Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The call conveyed strong operational performance in the residential business—high occupancy, record rents, high collection rates, and progress on the Prospect House development—supported by solid liquidity and a largely fixed-rate debt profile. However, these positives were substantially offset by a significant decline in AFFO and consolidated NOI and revenues driven mainly by the termination of the New York City lease at 250 Livingston, cessation of certain payments and an uncertain debt restructuring, plus near-term drag from Prospect House lease-up. Given the material deterioration in AFFO and the unresolved office-asset issues, the negatives meaningfully outweigh the positives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Residential Leasing and Rent Growth
Residential properties performing very well: new leases exceeded prior rents by nearly 13% in Q4; renewals were up ~7%. Stabilized residential portfolio is ~99% leased overall with rents at all-time highs.
High Rent Collections
Fourth quarter residential rent collection rate approximately 98% across the portfolio (including Flatbush Gardens), indicating strong cash flow and tenant payment performance.
Successful Prospect House Initial Lease-Up and Development Execution
Prospect House (953 Dean Street) brought online on time and on budget in August; currently ~78% leased at free-market rents of about $85 per foot. Project details: 240 units, ~160,000 rentable residential sq ft, 70% free market / 30% affordable, 57 parking spaces and ~19,000 commercial sq ft. Bridge loan replaced last quarter.
Notable Property-Level Performance
Key stabilized property metrics: Tribeca House 99% leased (rent $89/ft, new $95/ft); Clover House 96% occupancy (avg $90/ft, new $95/ft); Pacific House 96% leased (free-market new leases $76/ft); Aspen >98% occupancy with new leases/renewals ~15% higher than prior.
Residential Revenue and NOI Contributions
Residential revenues increased $2.7M (≈+9%) year-over-year driven by strong leasing; ongoing stabilized residential NOI increased by $1.4M (≈+7%). AFFO from ongoing residential properties increased ~$0.6M (≈+10%).
Balance Sheet and Financing Strength
Quarter-end liquidity: $30.8M unrestricted cash and $27.3M restricted cash. Operating debt is ~89% fixed with an average rate of ~3.87% and average duration of ~3.7 years. Debt is largely nonrecourse and asset-specific.
Dividend Maintained
Declared quarterly dividend of $0.095 per share, unchanged from the prior quarter, signaling management's decision to continue shareholder distributions despite headwinds.
Negative Updates
Material Decline in AFFO
AFFO fell to $1.7M this quarter versus $8.1M a year ago, a decrease of $6.4M (≈-79%), driven primarily by the New York City lease termination at 250 Livingston and initial lease-up expenses at Prospect House.
Overall Revenue and NOI Declines
Consolidated revenues decreased to $37.1M from $38.0M (down $0.9M, ≈-2.4% YoY). NOI decreased to $20.7M from $22.6M (down $1.9M, ≈-8.4% YoY).
250 Livingston Street — Major Office Setback
NYC vacated 250 Livingston mid-August triggering a $4.0M revenue decline and ~$3.8M NOI decline attributable to that lease termination. Management notified the lender it will not support ongoing operations, subsequently ceased certain payments (interest and real estate taxes) and may not fund expenses pending distribution discussions; debt restructuring is underway but not assured. The termination contributed roughly $6.1M of the AFFO decline.
Prospect House Lease-Up Drag on Near-Term Results
Prospect House initial lease-up produced excess expenses over limited revenue, producing a ~$1.2M negative AFFO impact this quarter as the asset stabilizes.
Disposition Impact and Portfolio Changes
Absence of 10 West 65th Street (sold May 2025) reduced revenues (~$1.0M) and NOI (modest impact), removing a previously contributing asset from current results and complicating comparability to prior year.
Risk to Cash Flow Sustainability
Large AFFO decline and the operational/financial issues at 250 Livingston create risk to ongoing cash flow and the sustainability of distributions despite current cash balances and a maintained dividend.
Company Guidance
Management guided that demand should remain strong and they will focus on optimizing occupancy, pricing and expenses while seeking full lease‑up of Prospect House and resolving 250 Livingston Street; key operating metrics cited include overall stabilized residential leased occupancy of ~99%, new leases up ~13% (renewals +7%), portfolio rent collections ~98%, Prospect House 78% leased with free‑market new rents ~$85/ft (240 units, ~160,000 RSF, 70% free market/30% affordable, 57 parking spaces, 19,000 SF commercial), Tribeca House 99% leased (overall $89/ft, new $95/ft), Clover House 96% leased (overall $90/ft, new $95/ft), Pacific House 96% leased (new free‑market $76/ft), Aspen >98% occupancy (news/renewals +15%); financials and balance sheet metrics referenced as context include Q4 revenue $37.1M (vs. $38.0M), NOI $20.7M (vs. $22.6M), AFFO $1.7M (vs. $8.1M), residential revenue +$2.7M (9%) including $1.5M from Prospect House offset by a $4.0M revenue and ~$3.8M NOI hit from the NYC lease termination at 250 Livingston, unrestricted cash $30.8M, restricted cash $27.3M, debt 89% fixed at a 3.87% average rate with 3.7 years average duration, and a $0.095 per‑share Q4 dividend payable March 19, 2026 (record March 12).

Clipper Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is pressured by persistent net losses and a stressed capitalization profile (negative equity in 2024–2025 per the provided statements), despite comparatively better operating/free cash flow and strong property-level gross profitability. The sharp 2025 revenue drop in the dataset further weighs on earnings power and coverage.
Income Statement
41
Neutral
Revenue was relatively steady to modestly growing from 2020–2024, but 2025 annual revenue shows a sharp drop (down ~63% year over year), which is a major negative for earnings power. Profitability is mixed: gross margins are strong (about 57% in 2024 and ~80% in 2025), and EBITDA margins have been healthy historically, but net income has been consistently negative every year shown and worsened materially in 2025 (net margin about -13%). Overall, strong property-level economics are being outweighed by costs below EBITDA (e.g., depreciation/interest/other items), resulting in recurring bottom-line losses.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet is the weakest area. Leverage appears very high in most years (total debt around $1.1B–$1.27B from 2020–2024) and equity has deteriorated to negative in 2024 and 2025, which limits financial flexibility and increases refinancing risk. The negative equity also makes equity-based leverage measures unstable and signals that the company has a thin capital cushion relative to its asset base (~$1.23B–$1.29B of assets). While 2025 shows total debt as zero in the provided data, equity remains negative, so the underlying capitalization picture still screens as stressed based on the dataset.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation is comparatively better than reported earnings. Operating cash flow has been positive each year and generally improving versus earlier periods (roughly $16M in 2020 to ~$32M in 2024, then ~$23M in 2025). Free cash flow is also positive in most years, with a notable exception in 2021 when free cash flow turned negative. The main concern is volatility—free cash flow growth swings widely year to year—yet overall the business has shown an ability to generate cash even while net income remains negative.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue153.20M148.78M138.21M129.75M122.73M
Gross Profit122.81M84.84M75.64M67.88M63.28M
EBITDA64.45M70.42M58.24M54.62M47.03M
Net Income-19.90M-2.50M-5.90M-4.76M-7.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.29B1.25B1.23B1.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.82M19.90M22.16M18.15M34.52M
Total Debt1.28B1.27B1.21B1.16B1.13B
Total Liabilities1.32B1.30B1.24B1.19B1.16B
Stockholders Equity-30.71M-5.41M2.74M14.09M26.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.57M31.86M26.18M20.14M-24.71M
Operating Cash Flow22.57M31.86M26.18M20.14M10.82M
Investing Cash Flow12.09M-68.78M-41.36M-51.48M-77.94M
Financing Cash Flow-14.56M38.75M20.73M9.78M30.31M

Clipper Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.19
Price Trends
50DMA
3.50
Negative
100DMA
3.59
Negative
200DMA
3.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
39.67
Neutral
STOCH
37.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.36, above the 50-day MA of 3.50, and above the 200-day MA of 3.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CLPR.

Clipper Realty Risk Analysis

Clipper Realty disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clipper Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clipper Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
57
Neutral
$129.51M8.498.33%12.97%
55
Neutral
$1.10B63.464.30%4.58%36.82%
52
Neutral
$279.60M-26.07-4.89%6.98%1.62%11.38%
47
Neutral
$714.65M-23.86-12.63%7.06%-4.46%-206.19%
46
Neutral
$51.67M-8.1511.34%5.90%-322.37%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLPR
Clipper Realty
3.20
-0.73
-18.58%
CSR
Centerspace
62.33
0.69
1.12%
BRT
BRT Apartments
14.70
-1.78
-10.77%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
28.01
-10.00
-26.31%
BHM
Bluerock Homes Trust, Inc. Class A
11.45
0.07
0.59%
SUNS
Sunrise Realty Trust Inc
9.65
-0.54
-5.30%

Clipper Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsPrivate Placements and Financing
Clipper Realty Modifies Loan, Stabilizing Brooklyn Property
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On December 24, 2025, Clipper Realty subsidiary 141 Livingston Owner LLC, together with Clipper Realty Inc. and Clipper Realty L.P., entered into a loan modification agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, acting as trustee for commercial mortgage pass-through certificate holders, regarding a $100 million loan secured by the 141 Livingston Street property; the agreement became effective December 30, 2025. Under the deal, the borrower provided a $10 million renewal tenant reserve letter of credit and paid about $2.2 million in fees, while the lender waived claimed late charges and default interest, agreed to dismiss foreclosure actions with prejudice, and approved a five-year lease extension with the property’s New York City tenant effective December 28, 2025, collectively resolving ongoing litigation and stabilizing the financing and tenancy profile of the Brooklyn asset.

The most recent analyst rating on (CLPR) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clipper Realty stock, see the CLPR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Clipper Realty Faces Loan Default, Eyes Property Sale
Negative
Dec 23, 2025

Clipper Realty’s subsidiary 250 Livingston Owner LLC, borrower under a $125 million loan secured by the 250 Livingston Street property in Brooklyn and maturing in 2029 at a 3.63% interest-only rate, was notified on December 18, 2025 that it is in default after failing to make required cash management deposits and other amounts due following the termination of a major New York City agency lease effective August 23, 2025; as of December 22, 2025, the company estimated about $3.4 million of interest and default interest outstanding, and the lender has warned it may pursue foreclosure or other remedies while the company attempts, without assurance of success, to negotiate a consent and cooperation arrangement tied to a potential property sale. Separately, Clipper Realty, through its subsidiary 141 Livingston Owner LLC, is working toward a potential settlement with the special servicer for the $100 million mortgage on 141 Livingston Street that would likely involve the company posting a $10 million letter of credit and paying up to $3 million in fees in exchange for waiver of claimed penalties and default interest, dismissal of foreclosure actions with prejudice, and approval of a five-year lease extension with the building’s main New York City tenant effective December 28, 2025, a deal that, if completed, could stabilize that asset and ease the company’s litigation and refinancing pressures.

The most recent analyst rating on (CLPR) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Clipper Realty stock, see the CLPR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026