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Comstock Homebuilding Companies (CHCI)
NASDAQ:CHCI

Comstock Homebuilding Companies (CHCI) AI Stock Analysis

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CHCI

Comstock Homebuilding Companies

(NASDAQ:CHCI)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▼(-4.20% Downside)
CHCI scores well on fundamentals, led by strong profitability/growth and a low-debt balance sheet, with a supportive low P/E valuation. The score is held back by weaker technicals (trading below major moving averages with negative MACD) and recent softness in free-cash-flow trends.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Profit Margins
Improved profit margins reflect enhanced cost management and operational efficiency, contributing to sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility for future growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Market Concentration
Geographic concentration may expose the company to regional economic downturns, limiting diversification and increasing risk.
Industry Cyclicality
The real estate industry is cyclical, which can lead to fluctuating demand and financial performance based on economic conditions.
Limited Earnings Call Data
Lack of recent earnings call data may hinder investor insights into management's strategic direction and operational challenges.

Comstock Homebuilding Companies (CHCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comstock Homebuilding Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComstock Homebuilding Companies (CHCI) is a leading developer and builder of residential properties, primarily focused on creating high-quality single-family homes, townhomes, and multifamily communities. Operating in key markets within the Mid-Atlantic region and beyond, CHCI emphasizes sustainable building practices and innovative design to meet the demands of modern homebuyers. The company is also involved in land acquisition and development, providing a comprehensive approach to the homebuilding process.
How the Company Makes MoneyCHCI generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, including single-family homes and multifamily units, which are sold to individual buyers and investors. The company also derives income from land development projects, where it invests in raw land, develops it into buildable lots, and sells these lots to other builders. Key revenue streams include direct home sales, lot sales, and potential partnerships with real estate developers and financial institutions that facilitate financing options for buyers. Additionally, CHCI may engage in joint ventures or collaborations with other construction firms and local governments to expand its project portfolio, further enhancing its earnings potential.

Comstock Homebuilding Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and growth (TTM revenue +58%) with healthy margins and consistently positive earnings. Balance sheet is a clear strength with low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.10) and solid ROE (~26%). Main offset is cash-flow volatility, with TTM free cash flow down ~48% versus 2024 despite remaining positive.
Income Statement
78
Positive
CHCI shows solid operating profitability and strong recent growth. Revenue increased to $55.8M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (+58%), while margins remained healthy (gross margin ~21%, EBIT margin ~16%, net margin ~25%). Profitability has been consistently positive across the last several years, though margins in TTM are down versus 2024 (net margin ~25% vs ~28%), suggesting some normalization or higher costs versus last year.
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with low leverage and improving capital strength. Total debt is $5.6M against $56.3M of equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and debt-to-equity is ~0.10 (down materially from 2020–2021 levels). Returns on equity remain strong (~26% in TTM), indicating good profitability relative to the equity base; the main watch item is that returns have eased slightly from 2024 (~28%), consistent with modest margin compression.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation remains positive but is less consistent year-to-year. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), operating cash flow was $7.3M and free cash flow was $7.0M, with free cash flow tracking net income closely (about 96%), which is a good quality signal. However, free cash flow declined sharply versus the prior year (growth of about -48% in TTM), and cash flow coverage of net income also weakened (about 1.27x in TTM vs ~1.60x in 2024), pointing to higher working-capital or reinvestment demands.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.84M51.29M44.72M39.31M31.09M22.49M
Gross Profit11.93M12.66M11.68M9.94M6.44M3.97M
EBITDA10.21M10.59M9.38M8.16M5.16M2.61M
Net Income13.90M14.56M7.78M7.35M13.61M2.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.59M64.87M51.72M42.47M43.60M28.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.17M28.76M18.79M11.72M15.82M7.03M
Total Debt5.59M6.27M7.13M7.92M12.86M13.44M
Total Liabilities11.33M12.50M14.50M13.62M18.31M17.36M
Stockholders Equity56.26M52.37M37.22M28.85M25.30M11.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.02M10.89M8.76M7.47M7.62M3.29M
Operating Cash Flow7.31M11.26M9.00M8.09M7.81M3.44M
Investing Cash Flow-1.87M-936.00K-1.55M-2.10M1.24M1.67M
Financing Cash Flow-324.00K-352.00K-390.00K-10.09M-256.00K-1.59M

Comstock Homebuilding Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.57
Price Trends
50DMA
12.24
Negative
100DMA
13.53
Negative
200DMA
12.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Negative
RSI
43.30
Neutral
STOCH
14.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHCI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.53, above the 50-day MA of 12.24, and above the 200-day MA of 12.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHCI.

Comstock Homebuilding Companies Risk Analysis

Comstock Homebuilding Companies disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comstock Homebuilding Companies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comstock Homebuilding Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$3.82B36.7214.16%0.98%26.89%53.54%
69
Neutral
$112.47M8.0828.39%22.98%124.09%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$94.54M13.552.82%45.18%
63
Neutral
$157.52M-56.250.37%8.15%-0.59%-160.22%
57
Neutral
$131.21M-18.67%7.34%-11.41%-56.73%
54
Neutral
$244.88M-29.73-4.24%-33.73%-602.19%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHCI
Comstock Homebuilding Companies
11.19
2.86
34.33%
JOE
St Joe Company
65.24
17.95
37.96%
STRS
Stratus Properties
29.99
9.81
48.61%
LPA
Logistic Properties of the Americas
2.87
-6.56
-69.57%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.39
-1.59
-39.95%
MDV
Modiv
15.20
0.38
2.59%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026