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Orion Office REIT (ONL)
NYSE:ONL
US Market

Orion Office REIT (ONL) AI Stock Analysis

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Orion Office REIT

(NYSE:ONL)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(15.21%Upside)
Orion Office REIT's overall stock score is influenced by financial instability and ongoing losses, which weigh heavily on valuation. Despite short-term bullish technical indicators and strategic initiatives to improve market position, challenges in revenue generation and high leverage remain a concern. The company's strong liquidity and dividend yield offer some positives, but economic uncertainties and increased vacancies limit the upside potential.

Orion Office REIT (ONL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orion Office REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrion Properties Inc. specializes in the ownership, acquisition and management of a diversified portfolio of mission-critical and corporate headquarters office buildings in high-quality suburban markets across the U.S. The portfolio is leased primarily on a single-tenant net lease basis to creditworthy tenants. The company's team of experienced industry leaders employs a proven, cycle-tested investment evaluation framework which serves as the lens through which capital allocation decisions are made for the current portfolio and future acquisitions.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrion Office REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing its office properties to tenants. The company's income is derived from rental payments made by these tenants under long-term lease agreements. Orion's revenue model is supported by maintaining high occupancy rates and securing rental agreements with creditworthy tenants, ensuring a steady stream of income. Additionally, Orion may engage in strategic property acquisitions and sales to optimize its portfolio and enhance value. The company's earnings are also influenced by market conditions, property management efficiencies, and any cost-saving initiatives implemented across its operations.

Orion Office REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While the company highlighted strong leasing activity, successful property sales, and a strategic shift towards more stable dedicated use assets, these positives were offset by decreased revenues, increased vacancies, and higher CapEx. The market conditions and economic uncertainties continue to pose challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity
Over 450,000 square feet of leasing completed as of May 6, 2025, with a weighted average lease term of 7.4 years. Included a significant 15.7-year lease in Parsippany, New Jersey.
Successful Property Sales
Closed on the sale of three vacant properties totaling 287,000 square feet for a gross sales price of $19.1 million, and two properties totaling 211,000 square feet are under contract for $27.3 million.
Shift Towards Dedicated Use Assets
Approximately 32% of the portfolio by annualized base rent and 25% by square footage are now dedicated use assets, expected to increase through dispositions and acquisitions.
Strong Liquidity Position
Liquidity remains strong at $244.5 million, represented by cash on hand and the available balance on the revolver.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenues and Earnings
Total revenues decreased to $38 million from $47.2 million in the prior year. Core FFO dropped to $10.7 million compared to $20.4 million in the same quarter of 2024.
Increased Vacancy and Leasing Challenges
Operating property occupancy rate was 74.3% with lease rate at 77.4%. Initial rent spreads on renewal leases off about 18% due to market dynamics.
Increased CapEx
CapEx increased to $8.3 million compared to $3.4 million in the same quarter of 2024. Expected to rise with leasing activity and tenant improvement allowances.
Company Guidance
During Orion Properties' First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the full year 2025, reaffirming their core funds from operations (FFO) range of $0.61 to $0.70 per diluted share, and general and administrative (G&A) expenses between $19.5 million and $20.5 million. The net debt to adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from 8 to 8.8 times. Orion reported first-quarter revenues of $38 million, a net loss of $9.4 million or $0.17 per share, and a core FFO of $10.7 million or $0.19 per share. The company highlighted leasing activities, with over 450,000 square feet leased and an operating property lease rate of 77.4%. They also discussed their strategic shift towards dedicated use assets and their continued property sales to maintain liquidity, which stood at $244.5 million as of early May. Additionally, Orion's Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.02 per share for the second quarter of 2025.

Orion Office REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orion Office REIT exhibits financial instability, with declining revenues and consistent net losses impacting profitability. High leverage and negative returns signal financial stress, although cash flow management remains relatively stable. The company faces significant challenges in improving operational efficiency and achieving growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's revenue growth is erratic with recent declines, and it has been unable to generate positive net income, leading to negative net profit margins. Gross profit margin remains stable, but negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Orion Office REIT maintains a high level of debt, reflected in a significant debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable level of equity financing, but the negative return on equity is concerning, driven by consistent net losses.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in operating cash flow and free cash flow over time. The company has a solid free cash flow to net income ratio, but fluctuations in free cash flow growth reflect potential cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue155.67M164.86M195.04M208.12M79.73M53.47M
Gross Profit90.06M99.71M133.75M146.60M66.32M47.70M
EBITDA39.08M30.70M115.54M130.69M62.49M44.85M
Net Income-86.14M-103.01M-57.30M-97.47M-44.67M-4.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.33B1.34B1.42B1.57B1.76B546.43M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.38M15.60M22.47M20.64M29.32M0.00
Total Debt523.39M510.82M476.93M540.05M637.46M37.05M
Total Liabilities573.07M571.17M536.93M595.22M671.19M49.31M
Stockholders Equity753.48M763.92M885.62M974.47M1.09B497.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.20M31.68M70.65M102.61M46.19M41.86M
Operating Cash Flow40.99M54.26M89.09M114.23M56.11M42.33M
Investing Cash Flow-60.63M-51.26M5.29M22.48M-12.26M-464.00K
Financing Cash Flow9.47M-3.02M-92.49M-110.72M-18.44M-41.67M

Orion Office REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.17
Price Trends
50DMA
1.94
Positive
100DMA
2.42
Negative
200DMA
3.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
54.98
Neutral
STOCH
62.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.07, above the 50-day MA of 1.94, and below the 200-day MA of 3.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ONL.

Orion Office REIT Risk Analysis

Orion Office REIT disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Office REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orion Office REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CICIO
64
Neutral
$218.74M-2.51%7.31%-4.92%-128.59%
63
Neutral
$6.87B19.10-1.13%7.17%4.72%-24.75%
ONONL
55
Neutral
$127.00M-10.71%3.54%-18.92%-15.81%
PDPDM
52
Neutral
$905.69M-3.79%6.92%-6.23%18.07%
FSFSP
51
Neutral
$176.06M-9.96%2.34%-18.97%-14.57%
NYNYC
47
Neutral
$32.93M-96.16%-6.36%-26.04%
OPOPI
45
Neutral
$14.89M-15.03%17.54%-11.91%-80.43%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.17
-1.09
-33.44%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
1.70
0.19
12.58%
PDM
Piedmont Office
7.28
0.47
6.90%
OPI
Office Properties Income
0.21
-1.58
-88.27%
CIO
City Office REIT
5.42
0.78
16.81%
NYC
New York City REIT
12.68
2.83
28.73%

Orion Office REIT Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orion Office REIT Approves Equity Plan Amendment
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Orion Properties Inc., a real estate investment trust, held its Annual Meeting where stockholders approved an amendment to the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the number of shares issuable from 3,700,000 to 8,300,000. Additionally, stockholders elected five directors and ratified KPMG as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic decisions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orion Office REIT Announces Leasing and Sales Achievements
Positive
Apr 11, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Orion Properties Inc. announced significant leasing and property sales achievements for the year to date. The company completed 425,000 square feet of leasing, including a notable 15.7-year lease in New Jersey, and sold three vacant properties for $19.1 million. Orion maintains strong liquidity with $243.9 million available and continues to focus on shifting its portfolio towards more dedicated use assets such as flex and laboratory spaces. This strategic initiative aims to enhance the company’s market position and attract more stable, long-term tenants.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025