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Orion Office Reit, Inc. (ONL)
NYSE:ONL
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Orion Office REIT (ONL) AI Stock Analysis

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ONL

Orion Office REIT

(NYSE:ONL)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
ONL scores below average primarily due to weak financial performance: declining revenue, persistent losses, and a sharp deterioration in free cash flow. The score is partially supported by improved leverage/liquidity and a more constructive earnings call (raised core FFO guidance and continued deleveraging progress). Technicals are soft (below key short-term moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation support is limited by negative earnings despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved Leverage & Liquidity
Orion's reported net-debt/EBITDA of 5.4x, $177M liquidity and lower outstanding debt materially reduce solvency risk. Durable deleveraging improves financial flexibility to fund required CapEx, absorb leasing timing gaps, and lower interest burden, supporting steadier operations over coming months.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue & Losses
Revenue contraction from $208M to ~$143M TTM and deeply negative operating/net margins (~-65%) indicate the core leasing business is not covering costs. Persistent top-line decline and structural negative margins impair FFO conversion and damage prospects for sustainable profitability absent secular demand recovery or structural repositioning.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Leverage & Liquidity
Orion's reported net-debt/EBITDA of 5.4x, $177M liquidity and lower outstanding debt materially reduce solvency risk. Durable deleveraging improves financial flexibility to fund required CapEx, absorb leasing timing gaps, and lower interest burden, supporting steadier operations over coming months.
Read all positive factors

Orion Office REIT (ONL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orion Office REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orion Properties Inc. is an investment firm concentrating its expertise on acquiring, owning, and managing a varied collection of essential corporate headquarters and vital office properties situated in premier suburban markets nationwide. This po...
How the Company Makes Money
Orion Office REIT primarily makes money by leasing its office properties to tenants and collecting contractual rental income. A significant portion of its leases have historically been structured as net leases (often single-tenant), meaning tenant...

Orion Office REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed clear operational progress: meaningful leasing velocity, extended WALT, disciplined dispositions that generated substantial proceeds, measurable expense and interest cost savings, improved liquidity and leverage metrics, and a modest upward revision to core FFO guidance. Offsetting these positives were declining GAAP revenues and slightly lower adjusted EBITDA, renewal rent pressure (Q2 renewals down 7.7%), quarter-to-quarter occupancy volatility, continued reliance on one-time sale gains to boost net income, and near-term CapEx variability. On balance the company appears to be making steady, tangible progress toward portfolio stabilization and deleveraging, but some core operating metrics remain under near-term pressure.
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Velocity and Pipeline
Completed 673,000 sq ft of leasing year-to-date, including 202,000 sq ft in Q2 and 116,000 sq ft post-quarter (includes first new lease at Tulsa). Pipeline exceeds 1.1 million sq ft (~17% of portfolio) in discussion or documentation. Weighted average lease term (WALT) improved to 6.2 years from 5.5 years a year ago (up ~12.7%). Cash rent spreads comparing current ending rents to new ending rents: +2.1% in Q2 and +7.1% year-to-date. Leasing concessions trending lower on a per-square-foot basis versus last year.
Negative Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Declines
Total revenues in Q2 2026 were $34.3 million versus $37.3 million in Q2 2025, a decline of approximately 8.6%. Adjusted EBITDA declined to $17.2 million from $18.0 million year-over-year (down ~4.4%). Core FFO was flat at $11.8 million ($0.20 per share) versus the same quarter in 2025, indicating limited near-term operating earnings growth.
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Leasing Velocity and Pipeline
Completed 673,000 sq ft of leasing year-to-date, including 202,000 sq ft in Q2 and 116,000 sq ft post-quarter (includes first new lease at Tulsa). Pipeline exceeds 1.1 million sq ft (~17% of portfolio) in discussion or documentation. Weighted average lease term (WALT) improved to 6.2 years from 5.5 years a year ago (up ~12.7%). Cash rent spreads comparing current ending rents to new ending rents: +2.1% in Q2 and +7.1% year-to-date. Leasing concessions trending lower on a per-square-foot basis versus last year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Orion narrowed and raised its 2026 guidance, now forecasting core FFO of $0.72–$0.77 per diluted share (up from $0.69–$0.76), lowering expected net debt to adjusted EBITDA to 6.0–6.8x (from 6.5–7.3x) while keeping G&A guidance unchanged at $19.8M–$20.8M; the board also declared a Q3 cash dividend of $0.02 per share (payable Oct 15, record Sep 30). At quarter end the company reported net debt/annualized adjusted EBITDA of 5.4x, total liquidity of $177M (cash/restricted $63.5M and $113M revolver capacity), $436.6M of outstanding debt, net debt/gross real estate assets of 27.9%, and expects incremental CapEx of roughly $30–$40M for the remainder of 2026 while remaining on track to lease ~1.0M sq ft this year and to continue increasing dedicated‑use assets (38.7% of ABR at quarter end) over time.

Orion Office REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak despite some balance-sheet improvement. Income statement trends show contracting revenue (2022–2025: 208.1M → 147.6M; TTM 142.9M) and persistent losses with very negative TTM operating/net margins (~-65%/-66%). Cash flow quality deteriorated as free cash flow turned negative (2025: -28.1M; TTM: -71.6M) even though operating cash flow remains positive (TTM: 14.9M). The main offset is reduced leverage (debt down materially over time; TTM shows zero debt reported), lowering solvency risk, but returns on equity remain negative and assets are shrinking.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.94M147.65M164.86M195.04M208.12M79.73M
Gross Profit82.89M82.82M99.71M134.26M146.60M66.32M
EBITDA-6.37M-48.76M30.70M81.92M64.28M882.00K
Net Income-93.87M-139.31M-103.01M-57.30M-97.49M-47.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.14B1.17B1.34B1.42B1.57B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.87M22.36M15.60M22.47M20.64M29.32M
Total Debt451.23M482.41M510.82M476.93M540.05M809.95M
Total Liabilities506.05M545.99M571.17M536.93M595.22M671.19M
Stockholders Equity632.75M623.21M763.92M885.62M974.47M1.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.11M-28.12M31.68M70.65M102.61M46.19M
Operating Cash Flow22.61M23.58M54.26M89.09M114.23M56.11M
Investing Cash Flow47.71M16.78M-51.26M5.29M22.48M-12.26M
Financing Cash Flow-60.27M-36.89M-3.02M-92.49M-110.72M-18.44M

Orion Office REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.60
Price Trends
50DMA
2.76
Positive
100DMA
2.65
Positive
200DMA
2.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.66
Neutral
STOCH
43.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ONL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.66, below the 50-day MA of 2.76, and above the 200-day MA of 2.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ONL.

Orion Office REIT Risk Analysis

Orion Office REIT disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Office REIT reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orion Office REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
$1.16B-14.41-5.39%0.70%-17.55%
52
Neutral
$539.28M-3.78-18.69%10.09%0.51%56.07%
49
Neutral
$156.87M-1.65-14.88%3.08%-6.53%-20.91%
46
Neutral
$107.22K-4.32
44
Neutral
$45.28M-1.09-6.97%9.09%-5.02%21.97%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.77
0.29
11.47%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
0.44
-1.13
-71.99%
PDM
Piedmont Office
9.35
1.62
20.96%
BDN
Brandywine Realty
3.10
-0.47
-13.17%
OPI
Office Properties Income Trust
18.95
-14.90
-44.01%

Orion Office REIT Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Orion Office REIT Stockholders Approve Directors and Auditor
Neutral
May 13, 2026
On May 13, 2026, Orion Properties Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, at which investors voted on the election of five directors and the ratification of the company’s external auditor for the current fiscal year. Stockholders ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026